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9961  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: January 21, 2022, 03:30:20 PM
If you are so sure of this, then you should bet on this event - you can easily increase your money by 9 times. Paris Saint-Germain 9.95 - such odds are offered by bookmakers now. Just note that at the moment PSG is not a favorite according to the bookmakers - there are already 4 clubs ahead, so such a bet will be very risky.

Four clubs ahead of PSG as the favorites to win the Champions League?
That means he's fifth.

Who are the other clubs?
I would say Man City, Bayern, Liverpool, who was the other?
Juventus? I don't think so.

You will be surprised, but this is Chelsea:

Manchester City FC 3.80
Bayern Munich 4.65
Liverpool 6.05
Chelsea 7.60
Paris Saint Germain 9.95

Chelsea's recent games put the relevance of these quotes into question, but on the other hand, such a coefficient means that their chances are about 12%, which seems quite adequate knowing the history of Chelsea. Chelsea are experienced cup fighters and can beat any team in a head-to-head match.
9962  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What will be the next big industry move? on: January 20, 2022, 04:59:03 PM
But the government can not do anything if the casino is out of their country as they will not get anything. So the government can not pressure the casino to follow their regulations because it will be far away from the country and the casino can earn much money without paying a tax. The government can only get the tax from the casino with a license but is not out of their country.

But we know how strong the government can do many things to benefit from something that the government thinks they can get. I agree that the government will intervene in every business to get more income. But the gambling industry will still grow more in the future with or without following the government regulations as we know that many underground casinos that the government hard to detect.

This is not true. For example, in my country, casinos and bookmakers that do not receive an internal license are simply banned at the provider level. Of course, there are people who can bypass bans through VPN, but you understand that the drop in traffic for such casinos is very large, since the percentage of "naughty" people who are ready to try to get access is too small. Therefore, restrictions work well even for foreign sites.
9963  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: January 20, 2022, 04:54:30 PM
That's right, Milan has not been consistent in the last few games despite managing to maintain their position in 2nd place in the last few weeks. Milan has a weakness at the defender. Moreover, Tomori is currently injured, Milan does not have a reserve player who can fill this position properly. This will make Milan defense will be more weak in the next few weeks, Milan may find it difficult to keep a clean sheet. When meeting Milan in the next few days, Juventus will probably be more dominant. This can be a threat to Milan because one more defeat their position can be replaced by Napoli.

Maybe Milan don't look as good as Juventus in recent matches, but still it will be a home game, plus the position in the standings hints that Milan are playing better  Smiley I don't think Juventus will be able to win here, most likely we will see a draw. By the way, the bookmakers estimate the chances of both teams as equal with a minimal advantage for Milan.
9964  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 20, 2022, 04:20:08 PM
So far, I heard he wants to go to real Madrid, but I'm not sure where his position is if it happens. Ancelotti always uses Casemiro for that position which is still effective and always brings victory for Real. Pogba will make a change for Madrid's strategy which is the same case with Ronaldo on MU, maybe in Madrid will be many players be sacrificed, but I don't know if they bring Haaland and Mbappe too, if this is true Madrid comes to be new galacticos, it's not about football but just for a Television show.

Knowing the character of Pogba, one would expect the most unexpected show (although he became more adequate with age)  Grin I don't really think he will move to Real Madrid as such a move would take a very long time to prepare and Real Madrid will be busy trying to get Mbappe and Haaland at the same time first of all. Under such conditions, Pogba will be only 2-3 priority for Real, which should not suit him.
9965  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: January 20, 2022, 04:15:30 PM
Final score 1-1 Sevilla failed to get 3 points even though Sevilla controlled the match with 68% ball possession it's just that Valencia's defense was solid today
Sharing points does not change the ranking of both teams but Sevilla failed to keep the points gap even though if Sevilla win the difference in points is 2 which means the competition for the title is still open.

Real Madrid have a comfortable 4-point lead, they can even afford to lose a match and still be the leader. Given that Sevilla can't beat everyone in a row, I expect this gap to widen rather than close. However, with behind such a rival as Betis, Sevilla can at least be confident in second place. Atlético will be dangerous if they can get out of the crisis but it is too far.
9966  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 20, 2022, 04:07:08 PM
It is very doubtful that Lille will be able to make a good series of victories. They have not lost 8 matches already, but as you rightly noted, they have drawn 5 times, plus they have a zero balance of goals scored and conceded goals 27-27. This suggests that they play "like everyone else" and are not able to be above the "average" team. But in today's match, they are favorites due to the fact that the opponent is weak, and odds of them winning are 1.56.

And they really made it against Lorient by a 3-1 score. Lille are still doing good but as you said we can't call them a great team still. They are in the recovery phase and it is doubtful whether they will keep this form up for a longer time. If they really aim to reach top positions in the standings, they have no other choice than continuing to win in the league. I would like to see the last champion finishing the season at a decent position for sure. They are good enough to do this now I guess.

They will play their next match against Brest, a much stronger team, plus it will be an away game. Lille needs a win only, but bookmakers estimate the probability of such an event below 50 percent - the odds are 2.15. I think when Lille's opponents come across from the top of the tournament table, then Lille will already be an underdog, so I don't see any chances that they will be able to seriously improve their standings.
9967  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers on: January 20, 2022, 03:59:49 PM
Can't put it any better than this. Let's check the FIFA rankings. The 9th placed team from CAF is Mali, while the 10th placed team is Ivory Coast. Now coming to FIFA, the 17th and 18th placed teams are Austria and Czech Republic respectively. Russia is at 19th place, followed by Turkey. Norway at 23rd, Greece at 28th and Iceland at 31st position respectively. Imagine players like Erling Håland missing the world cup. FIFA quotas make no sense. They want to spread the game and that is fine with me. But they can't chose weaker teams over strong ones.

I don't know where you saw this ranking, but in the official FIFA world rankings, the first African team to appear is Senegal in 20th place.
https://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/men?dateId=id13505

You cannot compare the ranking by federation. The ranking between continents must be based on the world ranking.

The FIFA ranking is based on the games that teams have played in the last 12 months and their results. That is, if a strong team has had many draws, it loses places against others that are theoretically weaker, but achieve better results. For example Italy was the champion of the Euro, but the first place is Belgium.

I think everyone understands perfectly well without any mathematical calculations and ratings that the European teams from the seventeenth onwards are head and shoulders above any African team from the ninth. And I think that they are stronger than even the top African teams, so this unfair distribution of quotas raises many questions.
9968  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Africa Cup of Nation Discussion Thread || Current discussion: Group Stage. on: January 20, 2022, 03:54:23 PM
You are right. Nigeria has won all their group stage matches. There is no other team that has qualified for the next round by winning all the matches on the group stage. In addition, Nigeria has scored 6 goals in 3 matches and conceded only 1 goal. They are undoubtedly one of the strongest teams in the Africa Cup of Nations. Nigeria has a chance to win the title if they can maintain this continuity. Although the African teams are not very strong. They are very weak compared to the European teams.

Thanks to these successful games, Senegal was able to become the favorite, before that Cameroon was the favorite. Egypt, which was the favorite before the start of the tournament, fell back very far:

Senegal 5.30
Cameroon 5.50
Nigeria 5.75
Morocco 6.30
Ivory Coast 8.45
Egypt 11.10

But it will be funny if they win this tournament, personally I won't be surprised as there are a lot of random results.
9969  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: January 20, 2022, 03:40:48 PM
Tottenham 3 - 2 Leicester

and to think that in this game I was already thinking that Tottenham would lose, it was almost certain that they would lose, but something unbelievable happened:

scored 2 goals in 7 minutes and worse they scored at halftime from 90 to 97 minutes, how is it possible that the leicester defense allowed something like that? this is insane and unacceptable. Leicester manager must be disappointed

According to the stopwatch, Spurs had 15 seconds to clear the two-goal handicap, but the referee added another two minutes and they were able to do it. After such amazing results, I'm beginning to believe that Tottenham can win the games they have now in hand and take at least third place, although at the beginning of the season such assumptions would be complete idiocy  Grin
9970  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 20, 2022, 03:33:28 PM
Still not believing how come Dortmund easily defeat by Bundesliga 2 team St Pauli 2-1 although played with best composition player, Haaland, Marco Reus, Witsel and Thougan Hazard played as the first minutes and Dortmund really try to win on DFP Pokal competition. But they failed although with best composition player not success defeated St Pauli as Bundesliga 2 team. Dortmund miss chance to get DFP Pokal in this season maybe try to focus on Bundesliga.

I think their self-confidence let them down, in their minds they already thought what the next opponent would be and how many goals they would score in this match, but the opponent was concentrated and the advantage of the home match played its role. I think Borussia will concentrate on the Europa League - they are considered the favorites there and winning the Europa League looks much more likely than winning the title against Bayern.
9971  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: January 20, 2022, 03:28:51 PM
I am also sure that this season PSG will be easier to lock up the Champions League title because from the data the PSG players themselves are very great and complete enough for all lines so that the PSG lineup this time is the strongest lineup for the Champions League and makes it a candidate for Champions League champions which is very strong.

If you are so sure of this, then you should bet on this event - you can easily increase your money by 9 times. Paris Saint-Germain 9.95 - such odds are offered by bookmakers now. Just note that at the moment PSG is not a favorite according to the bookmakers - there are already 4 clubs ahead, so such a bet will be very risky.
9972  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ EFL Championship ⚽ Prediction Round #28 (Jan 22) on: January 20, 2022, 03:23:25 PM
1. Bristol City - under
2. Nottingham - under
3. Birmingham - over
4. Draw - under
5. Bournemouth - over
6. Draw - under
7. Draw - under
8. Sheffield Utd - over
9. Draw - under
10. Draw - under
11. West Brom - over

Sportsbet username: KTChampions
9973  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io "UFC 270 Multi Master Challenge" (Saturday) on: January 19, 2022, 08:09:09 PM
13) Ciryl Gane
12) Deiveson Figueiredo
11) Michel Pereira
10) Cody Stamann
9) Rodolfo Vieira
Cool Raoni Barcelos
7) Ilia Topuria
6) Jack Della Maddalena
5) Tony Gravely
4) Trevin Giles
3) Silvana Gomez Juarez
2) Matt Frevola
1) Kay Hansen
9974  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 19, 2022, 07:58:45 PM
I was very surprised when I found out that Borussia flew out of the cup. They played with a normal squad and Haaland even scored a goal (albeit only from the penalty spot), but St. Pauli turned out to be stronger. I don’t know if this will help Borussia focus better on the championship and try to compete with Bayern, but in my opinion this is another confirmation that Borussia is too weak to fight for the championship.

This is a very disappointing match for Dortmund. I never thought that they will lose this game that too against St. Pauli.
Haaland scored their only goal but that too from a spot-kick. That Self-extinguishing goal from Witsel was a bit unfortunate but seems like St Pauli's defense played well and contained Haaland properly. What amazes me is that Dortmund had about 70% possession, they lost to their counterattacks.

This unfortunate result will have a big unfortunate consequence in the future - in next year's Super Cup we will not see a repeat of the epic confrontation between Bayern (I'm sure they will win the championship) and Borussia. Now a weaker club will take the place of Borussia and the Super Cup will not be as interesting as it could be.
9975  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: January 19, 2022, 07:51:48 PM
What leads to the collapse of the teams is that the clubs earn money, and the corrupt officials of FIFA and UEFA distribute it. The creation of the Superleague would solve this problem. Football has long needed to be a normal business like the NHL, by the way, wage caps and other principles that help clubs remain profitable work great there.

You are right. The wages of the players are so high compared to any doctor or engineer.
I remember a doctor said when the COVID first hit - why don't you tell your footballers to treat the patient as they are paid so much  Cheesy.

Football has become a business rather than a sport in the current time. If you look at the transfer fees - $100M nowadays is nothing for an average player, this needs to stop.

Some onlyfans models earn millions for taking topless pictures, this does not mean that they earn unfairly, it only says about inflation. I'm sure that in 10 years we will see transfers that are many times higher than the record transfer for Neymar (Real Madrid is already ready for this reality - compensation for young players in contracts is approaching a billion). But this does not bother me much - these are business affairs, but officials who spoil everything with their ideas infuriate me.
9976  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: January 19, 2022, 07:43:54 PM
What is the point of discussing Chelsea's championship prospects if they have long since disappeared?
The funny thing is, if Arsenal win all their games they have in hand, they'll be equal to Chelsea in terms of points. If Tottenham do the same, they will be ahead of Chelsea  Shocked Of course, this is unlikely, but nevertheless now it is worth discussing whether Chelsea can hold on to third place, given that they are churning out draws, the likelihood of this is decreasing.

You are absolutely correct. Chelsea played 23 matches already while Arsenal 20 and Tottenham 18. If both Arsenal and Tottenham win all the games, the standings would be:
1. Manchester City
2. Liverpool
3. Tottenham
4-5. Chelsea/Arsenal

It should be the most concern by Chelsea for now, because they might even out from the top 4 if they keep losing points in their upcoming matches till the end of the season.

I don't think Arsenal and Tottenham are capable of such a long winning streak (especially Arsenal - they're going to have very difficult games now) but still if Chelsea keep losing points their third place will be less clear. By the way, all these "surprises" and interesting calculations will attract our attention for a long time - when there are teams in the top with a difference of 5 (LOL!) games played, this has to be taken into account.
9977  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Africa Cup of Nation Discussion Thread || Current discussion: Group Stage. on: January 19, 2022, 07:36:56 PM
Based on what I saw, the only team that more or less plays is Cameroon, the rest give quite random results and I'm not sure of anyone.
Ghana surprised, if I remember correctly, it was one of the two favorites in the group, but in the end it only finished 4th. For betting, this tournament is simply terrible, it is impossible to come up with any adequate prediction here.
This group stage was unexpected as it is full of 1 - 0 matches, Cameroon played quite good, people have been saying Cameroon will win AFCON but let us see who will be the winner.

I checked the quotes this afternoon and Cameroon was in first place, second was Senegal and Egypt was in 5th place, although before the start of the tournament it was in first place and was ranked as a favorite. Right now I can't say the specific odds that bookmakers offer as they remove long-term quotes when games are played. I think in a few hours it will be possible to see again that Cameroon is now the favorite, and Egypt fell after showing inconclusive results.
9978  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers on: January 19, 2022, 07:30:58 PM
Now Africa will have 9.5 quotas (one quota over 9 will be played in play-offs, that is, in fact, Africa can get 10 quotas), and UEFA only 16 - what kind of nonsense is this? The 17th and 18th European teams that could go to the World Cup will tear any team from Africa, but they will sit at home since there will be 9 (or 10 African teams) at the championship. Damn FIFA continues its corrupt games and I'm more and more thinking that we should just ignore these outdated miserable competitions. Club football is the most efficient and fair.
I believe people running FIFA have no clue on how to assign quotas and they keep on experimenting to see what works, and sadly in the process they end up destroying the game we love so much. Lastly we can criticise them all we want, but this is the reality and sadly we need to accept it and move on because they won’t bend their ego and do what’s right for this sport.

The problem is that the officials are well aware of what they are doing. They sell quotas for guaranteed votes in the next "elections" in FIFA, this organization is completely riddled with corruption. I hope the Superleague will be created and the business will destroy all these delusional monstrous ideas of officials.
9979  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 19, 2022, 12:56:36 PM
Lille are actually not too bad for quite many weeks in the standings now. They didn't lose their last eight league matches but won only three of them as far as I can see now. The only thing they need is to start a winning streak now. And their next match is today against Lorient home. Lille are in a better shape than Lorient obviously now and they should be winning this match without having too much problem. Lorient haven't been getting any win for a long time period. And Lille defeated them in their last home match by 4-0. Maybe they wouldn't have that big gap now but they can still win.

It is very doubtful that Lille will be able to make a good series of victories. They have not lost 8 matches already, but as you rightly noted, they have drawn 5 times, plus they have a zero balance of goals scored and conceded goals 27-27. This suggests that they play "like everyone else" and are not able to be above the "average" team. But in today's match, they are favorites due to the fact that the opponent is weak, and odds of them winning are 1.56.
9980  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: January 19, 2022, 12:50:01 PM
Valencia and Sevilla will play, it's very hard to pick a side here. Valencia play at home and their recent form is exciting, but Sevilla have also a great form except for the last cup game loss against Betis. Sevilla need three points to put more pressure over Real Madrid. Interesting stats we have about this clash, Sevilla won last five games, that's impressive. I still can't trust them enough to take risk about that tempting odds.
For the other game Celta Vigo and Osasuna will play and both teams give no confidence about winning games. I think it's a risky Wednesday for La Liga and we better stay away from these matches. Barca game is also postponed.

Bookmakers estimate the chances of Sevilla as clearly less than 50%
3.05 - 3.1 - 2.6
I also see no reason to take risks here, because the outcome is difficult to predict. It seems to me that in this match it is more relevant to bet on BTTS, I am almost 100% sure that Sevilla will be able to score. The question is whether Valencia can.
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