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1  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do. on: July 17, 2025, 10:16:53 AM
We went down 7% then we went up 7%.
So we broke even in difficulty over last 2 periods of adjustment.

Minor quibble: A 7% loss followed by a 7% gain is a bit short of "back to even". The more extreme example of a 50% loss requires a 100% gain to "get back to even".
2  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do. on: May 09, 2025, 05:07:21 AM
.........

This drop will help miners and the 97k price is good.

but mining needs a price boost to about 125k and fast.

While BTC price is moving in the direction that you suggest, it's still well short at $102K.
3  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do. on: February 25, 2025, 07:30:49 PM
For good or for bad, BTC price has recently dropped to $86K. We'll have to see if that is a "blip" or a longer term change.
4  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do. on: February 08, 2025, 09:52:48 PM
Might BTC price also play into this? Currently about $96K down from well over $102K.
5  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: December 14, 2024, 07:47:47 AM
This makes me think, that the potential tariff's by Trump could really make mining hardware way more expensive. I haven't been paying attention much in the last year, but whatever happened to the Intel SHA256 chips? I assume that other major upheavals within Intel overshadowed their SHA256 efforts and it all just got discarded.
6  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Have anyone ROIed on his miner ? on: November 18, 2024, 04:11:16 AM
my L7 s now making 36 a day and burning 8 in power this is a 28usd a day profit.

..........

The L7 units are the best in the world for long term profits.


Just so I am clear, an L7 is a Alt-coin miner, right? I am not whining about the mention of an Alt-coin, just trying to understand. Thanks for any additional context or background.
7  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: November 11, 2024, 06:37:55 AM
With BTC price on it's current trajectory, I don't think we should expect any decline in difficulty for the remainder of the year.
8  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: October 29, 2024, 05:19:07 AM
Since I see BTC price breaking through the $70K barrier, I don't see much reason for big miners to let up on the hash rate "pressure" any time soon.
9  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: August 27, 2024, 06:18:02 PM
Are Donald Trump's new NFT's on the normal BTC block chain? Do these kind of "releases" push up the costs for the usual BTC exchanges, or is there just not enough in size to tell?

If this too off-topic Phil, just feel free to delete it.
10  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: August 06, 2024, 07:34:26 AM
historic lows per th and the diff actually got a tiny bit worse.

that is fucking very impressive.

............................................

hard to believe no shift in diff with prices at under 54k

maybe tomorrow or the next day

Actually I don't see anything crazy here at all. While there must be folks that are now "underwater" in terms of actual profit from mining, they may well not think it's permanent and see if they can make it up later (with a higher BTC price). Folks that are still "above water" might think they can drive out some weak miners and do better later. They can't adjust the price of BTC, but maybe they can get better transaction rates in the future?

Mining still remains a "queens race" to the bottom in terms of lowest cost for actual delivered hash rate. That means the most efficient hardware, lowest electric rates, stable surrounding government, and stable infrastructure costs and availability.

Eventually something will have to change, but for the next few months, it's all a "game of chicken". BTC is of course the wild card and affects all players pretty much the same way.
11  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: June 24, 2024, 07:22:45 PM
It seems to me that a $60K BTC price won't support a lot of increase in terms of actual new hash rate. Might "accelerate" the turnover of old gear with newer and more efficient gear, all with an associated fiat price cost to do so.
12  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: March 12, 2024, 02:12:28 AM
OK, I have seen a reference to a "bull trap". Can someone explain what that really means and how it works?
13  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: March 11, 2024, 09:57:43 PM
Have we now hit a new "All Time High" on BTC price (roughly $72.5K)?

That seems like it will spur mining effort, at least until the halving.
14  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: January 28, 2024, 11:22:22 PM
So the summary of the two above comments and some rough math, the s19j for $3473 will produce in revenue about $11.35 per day. If you have "free" electricity, if this were to continue, your miner would be paid off in about 306 days. The next halving will happen during those 300 days, so it will obviously extend past 306 days.

Is this summary reasonably accurate?
15  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: January 22, 2024, 09:40:36 PM
In terms of dollars, some of these changes seem less impressive. BTC price has slipped to $39,978.
16  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: January 05, 2024, 08:33:39 AM
While I appreciate those folks that have researched and considered what the next halving might look like based on 2020, I would urge caution in doing so. The COVID pandemic disrupted most of the planet in terms of supply chains, shipping, and overall economic activity. I don't think that Bitcoin would be immune to that as well. Lots of external forces directly influence BTC price which can drive a lot of other actions in the overall sphere of Bitcoin.

Just my thought.
17  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: December 25, 2023, 08:45:35 AM
Would this qualify as FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out)?
18  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Nerd Miner question!! on: December 13, 2023, 09:29:26 PM
I had never heard of this until now. As I read the description of the device, it's CLEARLY intended to be a very low power "Lottery Miner". Even if you find some way to connect it to a pool, it's unlikely to ever produce any income that you can realize. In my opinion, this just has to be a "fun adventure" on your part, and not related to any monetary or BTC acquisition. Trying to push it outside it's design goal (aka Lottery Miner) I expect will be frustrating and likely fruitless.
19  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: November 10, 2023, 05:07:15 PM
BTC price has been on a solid upwards trend for at least two weeks now. I just saw it top $37K for the first time in many month. This is sure to help push up difficulty as people think that it's more profitable to mine BTC.
20  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: November 06, 2023, 10:19:42 AM
I might be too late:

14) 4.30 to 4.62%  alh
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