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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2025/26 on: Today at 10:55:40 AM

Barcelona finally moved closely to Real Madrid in La Liga as now with same played matches, they have only two points less than Real Madrid and make the title race hotter. Xabi Alonso and Real Madrid know that they won't have easy race for the title and at least Barcelona will create enough challenge and big pressure during this season.

With weakness and problems in defense systems of both Real Madrid and Barcelona, their direct competition will have many changes in this season and it will become more exciting if there is at least a third competitor in this race.
Barcelona has never been more than two points behind Real Madrid, and they were close until the draw with Rayo Vallecano. In my opinion, Barcelona is in better form now, and Real Madrid is managing to stay strong, but it's clear they'll be back to back-to-back titles. The rest of the competition is holding on only because they managed to win their first few matches, mainly because their opponents weren't particularly strong. But with time, things will fall into place, and Real Madrid and Barcelona will pull away from the other teams.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Season on: Today at 10:42:39 AM
The Juventus vs Bayern match was very exciting because we saw both teams raply goals. Of course, we saw that Juventus was very ambitious to win, as was Bayern. The 4-4 score that resulted from the match was certainly extraordinary and very entertaining for me because it was such an exciting match. Juventus, despite trailing by two goals, managed to equalize, resulting in a 4-4 draw. Both teams must now settle for one point each. Did you find the match entertaining?

Benfica vs Qarabag was won by Qarabag with a score of 2-3. Of course, in that match, I bet on Benfica to win, and I was happy when Benfica scored first against Qarabag through Barrenechea and Pavlidis. Unfortunately, Qarabag responded with goals, ultimately winning the match 2-3. The Champions League is truly different from domestic leagues because in the Champions League, the teams are strong, and they have both physical and mental strength the strong one
Juventus played against Borussia Dortmund, not Bayern, and Bayern will be playing Chelsea today. As for the score, yes, Juventus for the second match in a row has been putting on a goal show against strong opponents. In the previous match they played Inter and won 4-3, and this time they played Dortmund and it ended 4-4. Maybe this is the new Juventus under Tudor, and we will often see such matches, but for me seeing such results involving Juventus is a surprise. Benfica is also surprising, they scored two goals very quickly and I was almost sure they would be able to finish that match with a win, but then something strange happened. By the way, they also unexpectedly lost their last match in the Portuguese league.
3  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Продолжение адопшена биткойна on: Today at 10:35:47 AM

Да, серьезно. Какое-то время назад у меня было в портфеле около 25 альтов и это было постоянной головной болью для меня, решить что делать дальше с ними. Может у Вас все было быстро и просто, но мне например приходилось вести календарь и отмечать что произойдет в будущем и отслеживать как это повлияло на цену, чтобы после как-то совместить с моим предположением на будущее, и решить, продать или перелить в другой альт. Если взять какой-то популярный и старый альткойн, то это может и не сложно. Но если взять новинку, то я просто уставал читать дискорд и новости по проекту.
Да солидное количество, мне кажется чтобы качественно отслеживать всю информацию по такому количеству токенов, это должно превратится в полноценную работу. Хотя если свободное время позволяет то можно поиграться. Другое дело какая эффективность такого портфеля, потому что если не успевать все вовремя продавать, переливать и тому подобное, то можно просто застрять в этих токенах. С биткоином все на много проще, как в плане управления, так и в плане адопшена, биток скорее начнут принимать чем какой то альткоин, если речь о топе то еще может быть, с остальными все сложно.
4  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Последний вагон на север on: Today at 10:28:21 AM

Как уже ранее упоминали, есть большая вероятность того, что ставку снизят на 0.25%. Скорее всего, это уже заложено в текущие котировки битка, а риторика на пресс-конференции, вероятно, определит дальнейший тренд. Думаю, что если Пауэлл намекнет на дальнейшее снижение ставок, то рынки воспримут это очень позитивно. Однако, если в его риторике будет осторожность и сомнения относительно каких-либо экономических данных, то рынки, вероятно, уйдут в коррекцию.
В любом случае сегодня стоит ожидать сильную волатильность в диапазоне от $115k до $118k, будут брить как быков, так и медведей.
Волатильность скорее всего будет, а касательно риторики, то Пауэлл в основном осторожен им не сложно представить чтобы он был позитивным, ведь если речь пойдет о снижении ставки, то он будет понимать к чему это приведет, в итоге он получит рост инфляции и если он не уйдет в отставку, то ему же придется потом с этим снова бороться. Но с другой стороны если они там на верху все за одно, а я думаю что так оно и есть, то сильно переживать он не будет, и все что должно случится уже распланировано и без него.
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2025/2026 on: September 16, 2025, 11:00:24 AM

It's just surprising to me that out of 31 matches managed by Amorim in the league, he only has 8 wins to his name, this is never a good statistics. If it were to be a classroom, it's total failure. I do not understand the tactics his deploying, I don't know if his doing experiments with his players and where they are to play. Just look at their match against City. The position he deployed some players to were not even their positions. Take Fernandez for instance, his a player that like to explore the spaces around which means his a free role player but in that match, he was deployed deep into the midfield.
What surprises me most is what I read today about the management continuing to trust Amorim, it's almost the same as what I heard when they talked about ten Hag when everything was bad. You're right, winning 8 games out of 31 is a terrible statistic, especially for a team like Manchester United, but apparently the club's problem is now deeply rooted in all structures, starting with the club's owners, they are clearly not ready to manage such a team and what is happening is very sad, these are clearly the most difficult times for the team and all the fans.
6  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is it okay to trade without a source of income? on: September 16, 2025, 10:56:00 AM
Considering that trading carries certain risks, it's probably best to pursue it when you have a steady income, sufficient for everything, such as meeting your needs or even having extra funds to spend on anything. For some people who have been in the business for a while, they may have already determined and allocated funds for trading from their income, but for others, this may not be the case. Trading without an income is permissible, but the risks are greater.
Trading implies that you will earn money from it, but it will not be right away, because trading, like any other business, requires that you understand it well and understand how the market works. Therefore, especially at the first stages, you should have either another source of income or good savings that will help you survive without another source of income. And no matter how sad it may sound, you should assume that training may remain for you a business that will not bring profit, because it is difficult and there are very strong traders who can beat you.
7  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What do you try to learn first? on: September 16, 2025, 10:52:17 AM

I think that all newbies, when they see the odds of betting on teams and understand who the Favorite is, of course, immediately think that he will win, especially when they see several matches where this happens. This is a deception that not everything is so obvious. And I know from my own experience how hard it is to always believe in underdogs. Because of the odds, they always seem weak, but in reality, when a bettor sits in a game where these guys turn the game around, it is always unexpected.
Let's be honest, even an experienced player evaluates the teams' chances based on the odds, and even if we see some discrepancies, it is very difficult to bet the total of the odds, that is, against the bookmaker. Most often, my bets consist of several matches of favorites and I hope that these teams will win. I think that beginners think approximately the same way, and those players who are able to bet on outsiders, there are not many of them, and this requires a lot of experience in betting and self-confidence.
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Season on: September 16, 2025, 10:45:15 AM

The return of Jude Bellingham is a big boost to the Real Madrid team. He has always sacrificed for the team, playing with a brace for a long time after suffering from a shoulder injury in a La Liga match against Rayo Vallecano. His recovery after the surgery was to last for about 12 weeks, but with his inclusion in the 23-man squad for that will face Marseille, he has recovered earlier than expected.

Arda Guler has enjoyed consistent time in the team since the Englishman's absence and he has not performed badly. But the return of Jude will bring depth and experience to the squad. My prediction is that he will be introduced as a substitute since it will take some time for him to fully recover 
Guler is currently getting more playing time than he had under Ancelotti, but it is not yet clear what is the reason for this, either Bellingham's injury or he is getting more trust from Alonso. We will soon find out when Bellingham can regain his form and fully return to the game. Guler may return to the bench again. By the way, Rodrigo is almost not discussed and I have not followed how he is doing, but it seems that he sat on the bench for the entire last match against Sociedad.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is provably fairness something important you? on: September 15, 2025, 11:38:48 AM
I don't have much content to give here, and neither do I know in-depth about provably fairness, but little do I understand is that — provably fairness means, your rolls aren't manipulated and results of your rolls are fair (cmiiw).

Question being, if casino you play on has provably fairness checker or it gives you data that you can use on online tools to verify your bets (for ex, https://www.btcgosu.com/tools/provably-fair-verifier/) ; now how many times you actually verify your bets? And is provably fairness really important to you or can you do without it?  

On irrelevant note: For good while I read it as, 'probably fair' instead of 'provably fair'.
I rarely bet on statistics, so I almost never track or check stats like corners, cards, fouls, shots, throws, and so on. But I think if there were serious discrepancies, there would be a lot of information about it. Besides casinos, there are also official sources that keep complete statistics, and I believe casinos rely precisely on this official data. They cannot change it in their favor because that would harm the casino’s reputation.
10  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2025/26 on: September 15, 2025, 11:31:59 AM

Rashford has played well. It is true  that he is improving gradually. Anyway, Rashford has not yet proven his ability to get a place in Barcelona's starting XI. He will definitely have to try to perform better. Otherwise , his place in Barcelona's squad is not guaranteed. If Rashford wants to stay in Barcelona, ​​he will have to be more diligent and try to perform well. Otherwise, Barcelona will not take a decision to buy Rashford next season. Because Barcelona is  currently in a financial  crisis. They are not interested in wasting money by buying unnecessary players. However, I am personally optimistic about rashford. Maybe we will see better performance from this forward in the future.
Flick needs a deep bench so he can rotate the squad effectively, because Barcelona is competing in many tournaments, and they simply won’t be able to manage it well with just one lineup. Rashford has started several matches in a row, so I think everything is fine with him at Barcelona. Raphinha came on as a substitute and worked well with Rashford; Raphinha scored a goal and Rashford got an assist, so I think he is doing well. Of course, it would be great if he started scoring as well, then I think Flick would have no doubts at all that he is a worthy starting player.
11  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Торгуем банковский кредит в крипте. on: September 15, 2025, 11:24:34 AM
Тоже верно, можно заблокировать для себя такую возможность получать кредиты у банков, если попасть в черный список, но останется много других мест, где можно будет этот кредит взять. И если действительно случится такая ситуация, что деньги понадобятся очень срочно, то придется брать в другом месте, и там проценты могут быть еще больше и условия еще жестче. Так что делать что-то такое специально только чтобы проводить в черный список это бессмысленно, больше похоже на то что как раз это было сделано непроизвольно потому что нечем было выплачивать.


Можно и у родственников, друзей, знакомых одолжить, так что на самый крайний случай все таки без банков можно обойтись. Но такие займы имеют потенциал испортить отношения, потому что стоит задержать сроки отдачи этого долго как сразу начнутся мысли и тому подобное, а если еще прилично задержать или вовсе не отдать такой долго то это будет внутрисемейная вражда или потеря друга, так что с этим лучше не рисковать. Думаю что за просрочку одного кредита в черный список не попадешь, это нужно системно делать и нормально так затянуть выплату, но банк это себе все учтет и компенсация за это будет не малая.
12  Local / Токены / Re: Metis [METIS] on: September 15, 2025, 11:17:07 AM
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13  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can anyone really beat the bookies long term? on: September 14, 2025, 10:56:29 AM

Maybe people just forget about those win/lose situation they get since usually they focus on current real time result especially that they are to focus watching those current games or sports event they followed.

I also bet for long years and I don't get bothered to see my win/loss record since I think that is just part of the fun betting on those sports we love to watch.

Also I don't think we can consistently earn good profits that's why I don't take this thing seriously.
If you were playing just for fun from the beginning, it’s understandable that you didn’t think about keeping track of wins and losses. But if your goal is to win, I believe keeping statistics is essential. You won’t be able to remember all your bets, and I think it’s even difficult to track your overall balance, how many times you’ve added to your deposit, how much you’ve lost, how much you’ve won, if you don’t record it somewhere separately, like in a notebook or a spreadsheet.

And if you don’t know how much you’ve lost or won, it’s hard to understand whether you’re playing at a profit or a loss. But if you top up your deposit more often than you record your wins, it naturally becomes clear that losses are much greater.
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 14, 2025, 10:49:58 AM

After Bayer Leverkusen failed to have a win in the two matches they played in the German Bundesliga under the guidance of Erik Ten Hag, I believed they wouldn't defeat Eintracht Frankfurt because Eintracht Frankfurt won their first 2 matches convincingly this season, but seeing that Bayer Leverkusen defeated Eintracht Frankfurt by 3-1, it means that Bayer Leverkusen team is taking a new shape under their new manager towards getting back to the Bayer Leverkusen we knew under Xabi Alonso's guidance.
If what they say about Ten Hag is true, and he had many conflicts within the team, both with players and management, then I can assume that it’s possible the players deliberately played poorly, sabotaging the game just to get Ten Hag fired as quickly as possible. I’ve always said that the dumbest thing a coach can do is get into conflicts with players. I understand that there can be a conflict with a single player, which is acceptable, and in that case measures should be taken for team discipline. But if conflicts happen with many players, it will inevitably end with the coach being fired. And indeed, the victory over Frankfurt shows that Bayer is in great form and can play well against strong teams. Let’s hope it continues that way.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 14, 2025, 10:45:12 AM

This proves that Juventus is worthy of vigilance this season and must be taken into account in the title race. I've said before that Juventus is different and much better since Igor Tudor took over. Their slump in the last few seasons can no longer be used as a benchmark. Juventus is now a different team and ready to compete for the title.

On the other hand, Inter Milan's mentality is increasingly depressed after suffering two consecutive defeats. This is very bad for Chivu, their new coach. He is certainly under immense pressure after what happened, and this situation could worsen without significant improvement.

Overall, the match was intense and the goals were very enjoyable, especially since the match was played at a high level. I think this is normal for two top Serie A teams. Playing at home, Juventus has great ambitions, so they can win the match by turning things around after being behind.
Actually, these are teams that like to play solid defense and rarely turn matches into high-scoring games. But the Juventus vs. Inter matchup lately has become one where they score a lot. Last season, they also played each other, and that match ended 4-4. This time, Juventus was a bit luckier, but I’ve already said that I think Inter will be somewhat different without Inzaghi. And it seems to me that something in their style of play has already started to change.
16  Local / Токены / Re: NULS - бизнес-решения для разработчиков on: September 14, 2025, 10:35:38 AM
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17  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Сколько ВТС нужно для выхода на пенсию on: September 14, 2025, 10:24:29 AM
Чтобы взносами по 1000 сатоши накопить 0.1 btc, нужно сделать 10 000 взносов. Последний взнос (при битке 1М) будет 10 долларов, следовательно средний - около 5.5$. На сигаретах с мороженым столько не сэкономишь (хотя смотря кто сколько курит и ест Wink ). А вся накопленная сумма получится около 55 000 баксов без учета инфляции - не очень-то долго на это проживёшь.
Смотря сколько лет нужно прожить, но я согласен с тем что это такая себе цель, выходить на пенсию с 55к в молодом возрасте. Тем более если молод то будет продолжать чем то заниматься, будешь зарабатывать, а с таким капиталом уже можно что то начинать, или как минимум купить биткоина и надеяться что эта сумма увеличится в несколько раз, тогда уже можно чувствовать себя более уверенно.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How quickly do you forget a loss on: September 12, 2025, 10:55:38 AM
The difference may be that they already have extensive experience in the world of gambling, so they approach gambling differently, unlike the novice gamblers you mentioned, who tend to be aggressive and often struggle to control themselves in any given situation.
But in reality, I believe that treating gambling correctly doesn't depend on how long you've been a gambler, but rather on whether you approach it with the right understanding. Simply put, even if you're new to gambling, if you have the right understanding, your approach will undoubtedly be the same as that of experienced gamblers.
The right attitude is to bet as much as you don't mind losing. Then you won't need time to forget about the defeat, after the match is over I either do other things or I can look at other matches to choose a bet. I don't get disappointed with a loss because I don't bet much, everything is simple and it works for me. For a beginner this may not be clear, it may seem that gambling is for earning money, there will be ambitions and there will be many attempts to play with big and small bets and odds, but in the end almost everyone ends up playing for entertainment.
19  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2025/2026 on: September 12, 2025, 10:46:05 AM

Liverpool is currently 4th most valuable club in soccer world with good increase in commercials and valuation their brand is also having good positive output which giving them good results while now their new stadium dream is giving all indications they could at their best for coming years.

Presence in Champions League and having good results in Premier League mean things will be on track, and they can stay in stable position despite having loses in £57 million for 2023-24 start of season showing they will be done another good end of their season. Arne Slot can bring good strategy in presence of quality players those are ready to give their best this season I am expecting them to end with double or treble which could be surely one of the best for them and their fans.
Liverpool invests huge amounts of money in the team, sets new transfer records, I remember something similar once happened at PSG, but it did not give them results. I understand that for Liverpool this is to some extent a forced measure, because they needed to replenish the attack and strengthen the defense, but on the other hand I understand that these may be Slot's demands and the management listens to him. The most important thing here is that such expenses are justified.
20  Economy / Economics / Re: The economy of having children on: September 11, 2025, 11:55:04 AM
In my country, it is pretty common for parents to have kids then think that their kids are their hope. That is because they get kids without being financially ready for it yet and then they just eventually hope that when their kids grow up they will be the ones to build wealth for them. But is having kids the reason why people end up financially worse over the years? Do not get me wrong, kids are a blessing but realistically speaking they are expensive. Is it fair to yourselves and to the kids to have kids just to leave it up to them to be wealthy and let them grow up through hardships?
It seems to me that this is a more European model when people plan to have children when they reach a certain level of income. But it seems to me that this has both advantages and disadvantages, on the one hand, you will be better off and will be able to give your children the best, but on the other hand, you will be older parents and this will have an impact at a more mature age. Although this may only be my beliefs and trying to have children when you are still young and do not have any savings is very difficult and can lead to financial problems and conflicts because of this.
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