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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 24, 2014, 12:13:27 AM
So on BFX the 2-and 4-hour RSI-Trendline just crossed as well as the 1-/2- and 4-hour OBV-Trendline (slightly). The rest of my indicators are also looking quite good so I am long for now.
Goood night guys  Smiley
P.s.: Don't trust in what I'm saying, just a noob here documenting his thoughts  Wink
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 23, 2014, 08:59:34 PM
1-Hour RSI-Trendline on BFX broken, getting excited here  Grin
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 23, 2014, 04:14:00 PM
Looks like that 12h MacD does not fuck around, i wonder if 450 will hold

Could someone please explain this whole MacD stuff for us newbies? Smiley Thanks.
MACD is one of the most commonly known indicators. You can find a lot about it searching the web.
You can enable it on https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd under settings. The basic logic behind this is the following: MACD crosses up (turns from red to green) -> buy, MACD crosses down (turns from green to red) -> sell. This doesn't work very well on lower timeframes but can work on higher timeframes even though there are a lot of better indicators than that one. Anyway its still always useful to have an eye on it since quite a lot of people trade using it.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Charts Showing Software-Generated Predictions vs Actual Prices on: April 22, 2014, 02:38:47 PM
Hey Kevin,

I really like your project but must too admit that constantly opening new threads gets somewhat annoying. Why don't you just have one thread which you keep constantly updated? Works quite well for other projects and enables the users here to monitor the progress of your project.
Oh and 2 topic: I like the new charts and I'm looking forward to having them on your site Smiley

Cheers
Hpotsirc
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: April 22, 2014, 10:26:55 AM
Quick TA update (at $0.495):
- 6H candle color/volume: not much volume during Easter holidays, conclusion: none
- Bid/ask strengh at market (Bitstamp): slippage to sell 5k: $0.047, slippage to buy: $0.053, conclusion: bids have built up since last time
- Trendline comparison: we are now at -0.336 log units. The trendline is at $1.073 and rising $0.007 per day, conclusion: rock bottom (note: it is not necessary that 'rock bottom' will change until the parabolic uptrend starts, because the trendline is itself rising)
- Sentiment: n/a
- Prognosis: shortest term unsecure, mid-term reversal seems confirmed, long-term buy zone
Thinking in mBTC already i really like that attitude  Cheesy
Anyway even though i don't have much to contribute to this thread i just wanted to drop by and say that i really appreciate the effort that is being made here. After being in Crypto-Universe for 6 months now I'm still a total noob and this thread is really helpful - so thank you Smiley
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Spring Rally! on: April 19, 2014, 09:43:15 AM
Looks quite much like the beginning of the last rally. Let's see how this turns out Smiley
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: What do you guys think about today? on: April 17, 2014, 08:11:54 AM
I suppose we're going down to something around 470 to bounce back later.
8  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 17, 2014, 08:01:59 AM
The new regression indicator seems to be working in reverse...   I get sell signals when they should be buy, and the other way round..

2014-16-04 10:16:10.516   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Sell 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005195 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-16-04 10:49:23.232   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Buy 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005225 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 12:35:07.202   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Sell 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.0000520 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 12:56:00.758   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Buy 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005279 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 01:31:42.267   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Sell 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005203 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 02:40:27.242   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Buy 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005253 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 02:41:31.779   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Sell 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005069 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

2014-17-04 04:13:29.384   |ORDER_STACK|   {Cryptsy Buy 10000.00000000 Doge @ 0.00005149 Ltc/Doge} changed to status COMPLETED

Have you backtested this? I did some backtests yesterday for BTCUSD on Bitstamp and got quite good results even though it sometimes sold low and bought high.
9  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 16, 2014, 09:40:26 PM
Wow... now this is a really nice update! I will start testing it by the end of the week.
Thank you very very much! (Especially for the new Safeties  Wink) Also thank you for the explanations you have given during the last days Stephan!

Once again very good work. You and your crew can't be sleeping that much  Cheesy
10  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 13, 2014, 08:21:52 AM
I've got no idea what the problem was but after trying it again this morning it worked. I guess it was a problem caused by bitstamp.
11  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 12, 2014, 08:49:30 PM
Today my API credentials for Bitstamp somehow got lost  Huh When i tried to fill in new credentials i got the following message:

I will try it again tomorrow. I'll report back then.
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 12, 2014, 09:06:04 AM
Yep a small scale head and shoulders. I dont see any reason to trade it though.... too small. the market will change too fast. and no short term fundamental reason I am aware of.
Thank you for the confirmation. I wasn't sure because it didn't look as clear on Bitcoinwisdom.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 12, 2014, 08:47:45 AM
Hey guys,

not quite sure here. Is this a head and shoulders pattern on the right?
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Interesting short-term price prediction on: April 12, 2014, 08:12:21 AM
Well as you said the height of the top wasn't predicted correctly, however the time was correct. Really worth getting up that early  Grin Let's see how it works out through the day.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 10, 2014, 03:19:48 PM
SO happy i managed to sell my mining hardware few days ago. Is there any other purpose for SHA ASICS?=)
You can use them for heating next winter  Tongue
16  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 10, 2014, 08:39:32 AM
This is not a public market place people. There are other locations to post that. Smiley

@scryptblocks:
PM has been send back.

@Hpotsirc:
You are on the right track with your thoughts. I will get back on this in another post later on. (i want to explain in detail what happening and how to set this up in a good way)
Sounds good! Thank you for getting back to me Smiley
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: 20 Day Price Forecast (8.2% error) on: April 09, 2014, 03:03:56 PM
Did you ever test your model? I don't mean the error you produce by taking the learning data. I mean the actual prediction for an at that point unknown future. For example: You are prediction 489.2$ for tomorrow 4pm GMT. Now save that prediction and compare with the real value tomorrow.

I think then you get a much larger number than 1.3%
I think this is because the error adds up. So 1.3% only applies to the forecast of next hour and when you predict for example 12 hours ahead you could end up being 15.6% off.
It could propably be helpful to give additional information like average error of predicted price 6/12/18/24 hours ahead. That gives a better impression of the capabilities of this model.
18  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Haasonline Simple Trade Bot For BTCe and Bitstamp[Main topic] on: April 09, 2014, 09:57:35 AM
For next week we have scheduled a new update and the following trade indicators will be added:
- Blind indicator (Alpha tested OK) (All licenses)
- Coppock Curve Indicator (Alpha tested OK) (Simple+Advanced)
- Aroon Oscillator Indicator (Alpha tested OK) (Simple+Advanced)
- Ultimate Oscillator (Alpha tested OK) (Simple+Advanced)

And with a little bit of luck we will also add: (please read: this is NOT sure yet, it may be the update after)
- Ulcer Index (Simple+Advanced)
- Regression Slobe Indicator (Simple+Advanced)

Of course this not all we are working on right now. As posted before we are also working on adding support for spread orders, an alternative way to submit orders, we try to improve the order tracking (percentage filled tracking) and the benchmark will be expanded to support a longer period.

All currencies/pairs will be updated again too. We have seen + added support for the new coins at BTC-e and Cryptsy.

And last, but sure not least.... support for Bitfinex is coming.  Cool


Once this update is finished and released then we have scheduled another new revolution in automated trading. What this will be remain a secret till the release of this update. Until this time the only thing that is really important is that i have never made a bold statement. So when i speak of a revolution again, just believe it will be true. Wink
Hey Stephan,

sounds great as usual Smiley Any thoughts about what i have posted earlier?
Dynamic roof in wouldn't work for me either because i find it quite hard to tune it properly (it often triggers on sudden spikes). So my question is: Would it be possible to have the dynamic roof in/dynamic drop loss be adjusted each time the bot trades rather than each x minutes? This would be really nice. It would also be even better if we were able to choose to delete the last buy/sell prices when this triggers rather than just buying/selling so the bot can go back to its normal work.
After thinking about this a little longer i came to the conclusion that this could be best achieved with a new safety, something like "trade-adjusted Drop loss/Roof in" (I am not particularly creative with names so dont bother Wink). I think this would be a great thing because (correct me if i'm wrong) that is basically what people do when trading manually, setting a threshold in case their trade decision was wrong.

Something else: I pointed the creator of http://www.btcpredictions.com/ to your direction. He is trying to predict bitcoin prices by using neural networks. This actually works quite good, just seems to have problems with the current low volume. He said he is not ready yet to put his work to this level but will consider it later.
I think his work has great potential and maybe this could be interesting for you. This would very propably be another feature that no other bot out there has.

Hpotsirc
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: MAJOR BITCOIN EXCHANGES DOWN AND VULNERABLE on: April 08, 2014, 02:52:28 PM
Who is doing buying and selling on Bitstamp now, that we cannost login? There is still volume... https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd
People that have access via the Bitstamp API. Everybody can set this up for his account but i think it is mostly used for bots.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: MAJOR BITCOIN EXCHANGES DOWN AND VULNERABLE on: April 08, 2014, 11:35:06 AM
GREAT DEAL FOR ANYBODY WHO´S NOT USIN BITSTAMP THROUGH API. THEY CAN´T EVEN REMOVE THEIR BUY ORDERS WHILE YOU HAPPY FUCK DUMP INTO THEM. BAD KARMA FOR YOU!
Uh i just got fonzied, i feel quite honored Grin Anyway i am holding just like throughout all the last days. Way too less volume to make decent trades and also no clear trend on a larger scale. Anyway:
Hazek has addressed Bitstamps vunerability in the Bistamp thread.

In summary he says that the reason they come up as vunerable is most likely due to their anti DDoS provider as they have patched their back end. Logins as well as withdraws disabled until they confirm.
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