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1  Economy / Speculation / 416x Levered S&P Position (99% Stop Loss) Bitcoin 10-35x 4Q21 on: July 03, 2020, 02:50:35 PM
In this video we look at Bitcoin with the S&P 500. We discuss the possibility Bitcoin could go to zero. That is my stop loss.

You do have downside risk but understand why Bitcoin is the best investment right now about to break into its bull market phase of its four year halving cycle.

https://youtu.be/o8eTKyJVlH4
2  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What Happens to Miners After Bitcoin Halving. Global Meltdown & Next BTC Cycle? on: April 15, 2020, 09:08:33 PM

If anyone has any insights to if you believe the global slowdown will have a negative effect on Bitcoin's market cycle please share your thoughts as I always like to consider the other side of my trade.

Peace and enjoy
3  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / What Happens to Miners After Bitcoin Halving? on: April 15, 2020, 08:26:56 PM
I continue to try and promote awareness about Bitcoin and macro trends that effect the overall price moves and adoption.

In this video we will look at two important questions.

How Bitcoin miners will react to the BTC halving?
And will this time be different for the Bitcoin market cycle with the global slowdown?


https://youtu.be/eGLApU2xEco

4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000 on: April 09, 2020, 12:16:18 PM
Another exaggerated prediction, that is all I can comment.
I think that expectations from halving are too high. It might influence the price in positive way, however that will probably be on short term and on a smaller scale. I don't expect some huge price jump and especialy not price range of 55000$ or more, I.don't think that is likely at all.

You think the performance of the last two halving cycles were anomalies. What do you base that off of pure speculation or intuition?

5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin set to RISE into the Halving? on: April 09, 2020, 12:13:29 PM
I imagine the price will rise for $11,000, and make a correction at $7,000-$9,000, and then after the halving, the price slowly to increase and back to $14,000 until October. After that, the price rises so high and break $20,000 and more Grin

It's too good to be true, but the price can go to any price Grin

But so far, I enjoy for the up and down of the price because I make some profit from that.

Phenomenal post. P-h-e-n-o-m-e-n-a-l

This is pretty much my exact base case as well. Due to the recent dump it is possible in my opinion however that we don't get a 30% correction until $14,000.

And during the bull phase except a handful of 30% corrections.


6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin set to RISE into the Halving? on: April 08, 2020, 09:09:47 PM
The most important question on everyone's mind right now is Bitcoin set to rally into the halving or will we see another dump and retest of the recent lows?

Do you realize the market just rallied 94%? And that the halving is one month away? This is the halving pump, just like the one that occurred in May-June 2016 right before the July 2016 halving. During that rally, price just about doubled, but shortly before the actual halving the market crashed 40%.

Be prepared for that. Logically the halving should be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event since it's public knowledge. I would expect sellers to front run the event (like 2016) for the same reason.

I don't think we'll be seeing the March lows again, but depending where this rally tops, a 30-40% drop wouldn't be out of the ordinary.

It was a 30% drop after the 2nd halving right?

I agree if we were to rally past the "fair value" of $11,400 the halving prior we could see a pullback. Also throughout the bull market phase expect MULTIPLE 30% pullbacks as during the last market cycle.

Personally, I don't view it as Bitcoin just rallied 100% off of the low (which is of course has) but nothing more than a vicious liquidation loop on Bitmex which self corrected within hours after Bitmex went offline. Price is basically back to where it was before the liquidity crisis.

7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin set to RISE into the Halving? on: April 08, 2020, 07:01:41 PM
Jordan already said it could go to $20K this year like it will tough the ATH when it breaks the resistance where the liquidity crisis he mentioned. The fact that halving as always will act as catapult for the price to pump, its almost certain that it can go that direction. Halving is going to happen next month. He is suggesting to buy just when it retest the support level why not buy now?

While I do think any price under $10,400 is cheap, and anything under 20k provides amble room for serious profit - I am providing a "safe" entry into Bitcoin. I also mentioned in the video that now is a good time to buy and I added during the dump at $4100, $5200, $6100 and $6500. I would had added more but the dump was very quick and I could not get more funds to the platform I needed in time.

Yes, $6,300 is going to be a fantastic entry into Bitcoin in just a short time in my opinion.

8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin set to RISE into the Halving? on: April 08, 2020, 06:43:00 PM
In this time, The Bitcoin price will not follow Shocked the previous Bitcoin Halving events. So, the previous two Bitcoin halving events make the new Bitcoin ATH within the 6-month period and 1 1/2 year period, So, This Bitcoin halving event may take a long time Undecided to make new Bitcoin ATH. The major reason can be the global situation of the pandemic coronavirus.

Some interesting thoughts.

Bitcoin definitely dumped during the liquidity crisis caused by the pandemic which seemingly popped the everything bubble. Since it has recovered almost 100% off of it's low. The Federal Reserve's response to the liquidity crisis was to expand the money supply by $4 trillion dollars restarting QE. In 34 days Bitcoin's monetary policy will experience QH or quantitative hardening.

The next 12-18 months should be explosive for hard money assets such as Bitcoin & gold as they are repriced with the world's monetary supply increasing drastically over the last few weeks.

9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000 on: April 08, 2020, 05:37:46 PM
i think 130K usd still too much...
but according to the stock to flow analysis, maybe we can approach 100000usd
for the previous bitcoin halving seem it worked great...
but all of us know, the history, is not sure, it will repeat itself!

take a look at the chart below.




While I have 130K as my fair priced target (stock to flow has 110k) the important piece to consider is that markets tend to overshoot themselves both to the upside and downside.

Take a look at the chart you provided and prior to the 1st halving and during the 1st halving price reached beyond the upper bound of the stock 2 flow chart.

During the 2nd cycle reached the upper bound.

If during the coming 3rd halving cycle prices again reached or exceeds the upper bound that places price close to $350,000.

Now again markets tend to overshoot to the upside and downside.

An -85% correction from the peak if it were 350k places Bitcoin back down to $52,500 in the bear before recovering toward fair price of S2F $110,000 before the 4th halving cycle.

10  Economy / Speculation / Is Bitcoin set to RISE into the Halving? on: April 08, 2020, 05:28:22 PM
The most important question on everyone's mind right now is Bitcoin set to rally into the halving or will we see another dump and retest of the recent lows?

In this video I take a in-depth look at the possibilities and probabilities of what happens going into the halving.

https://youtu.be/j78WSzThEK0
11  Economy / Speculation / Here is What Price i Will Sell My BTC During the Next Bull Cycle on: February 15, 2020, 08:32:18 PM
After receiving messages and requests from my popular video and thread on Bitcoincointalk, "Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000" I decided to do a follow up on what price will be selling my Bitcoin during the next bull market phase and why.

https://youtu.be/HxIdyjmeJsc

I am always open to learning and growing my understanding while at the same time want to help as many people as possible. I believe this is a valuable resource for the community.






12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000 on: January 13, 2020, 09:45:52 PM
Approximately every 4 years the reward that miners receive for finding a block, halves. This event is referred to as the “Bitcoin halving” and was hardcoded by Satoshi Nakamoto into the Bitcoin protocol to enforce its deflationary monetary policy.

In the 2020 Bitcoin halving mining rewards will drop from 12.5 Bitcoins per block, to 6.25 Bitcoins per block.

At the time of the 2020 halving, 18,375,000 Bitcoins will have been mined in total. That’s approximately 85% of the total Bitcoin supply.

What will the Bitcoin price be at the halving?

Right after the first halving in 2012, the Bitcoin price rose from $12 to $140. Weeks after the second halving in 2016, Bitcoin started a rally that propelled its price from $582 to $20,000.

This video provides the exact price range to expect at the halving and looks at the possible height of the bull market following.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKHI_-SIcDU






This video provides the exact price range to expect at the halving and looks at the possible height of the bull market following.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKHI_-SIcDU

13  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Price Selling on: January 11, 2020, 07:46:03 PM
Bitcoin has broken out from a reverse head and shoulders and has successfully tested the broken resistance as new support today.

Take a look, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h4lwcQ1X-BTC-USD-New-Trade-Alert-Multi-Time-Frame-Analysis/
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin going beyond $14,000 before May, history repeating itself on: January 10, 2020, 08:04:59 PM

This thread provides a video with a clear explanation of where Bitcoin should be at the halving and 3-6 months afterwards and during the height of the coming bull.

14K is not accurate going off the past halving cycles.

Take a look, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5201543.new#new


15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Another Accurate Bitcoin Price Prediction (going on the record again) on: January 10, 2020, 08:01:18 PM

Bitcoin has broken out from a reverse head and shoulders and has successfully tested the broken resistance as new support today.

Take a look, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h4lwcQ1X-BTC-USD-New-Trade-Alert-Multi-Time-Frame-Analysis/


16  Economy / Speculation / BTC Price Selling on: December 17, 2019, 08:53:23 PM
The selloff continues and Bitcoin is dumping. Is it he Plus One scam holdings being sold? Is it Bitcoin miner capitulation? Is it normal price fluctuations?

Be greedy when others are fearful.

Let's take a step back and get a clear look together.

https://youtu.be/1SUR_9UuTSE

17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000 on: December 16, 2019, 06:20:14 PM
Approximately every 4 years the reward that miners receive for finding a block, halves. This event is referred to as the “Bitcoin halving” and was hardcoded by Satoshi Nakamoto into the Bitcoin protocol to enforce its deflationary monetary policy.

In the 2020 Bitcoin halving mining rewards will drop from 12.5 Bitcoins per block, to 6.25 Bitcoins per block.

At the time of the 2020 halving, 18,375,000 Bitcoins will have been mined in total. That’s approximately 85% of the total Bitcoin supply.

What will the Bitcoin price be at the halving?

Right after the first halving in 2012, the Bitcoin price rose from $12 to $140. Weeks after the second halving in 2016, Bitcoin started a rally that propelled its price from $582 to $20,000.

This video provides the exact price range to expect at the halving and looks at the possible height of the bull market following.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKHI_-SIcDU




If the analysis were that easy...
We are all aware of the different nature of BTC. So we do not know what will happen until or after halving. Maybe the price will go down as it does today, maybe it will increase as unexpected. The previous ones had an impact on the price, and I hope we will get the same result from the next halving. For now, the important thing is whether the price will reach $6900 level and the next moves.

The best pro athletes also make the sports they excel out look easy. The truth is there is nothing easy about it.

Same here. Nothing easy about it.

18  Economy / Speculation / Another Accurate Bitcoin Price Prediction (going on the record again) on: November 22, 2019, 06:45:47 PM
Lots of fear and fatigue in the markets with sentiment fairly negative. People capitulating.

In this video I am going on the record to give my Bitcoin price prediction. The truth is there is lots of fear in the market right now but if you take a step back you get a much clearer picture.

I also give you an absolute edge in the markets and take all of the emotions out of trading Bitcoin.

https://youtu.be/BOsqXm1YFcE
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin STILL Good Investment? (Think Again) on: November 22, 2019, 06:44:19 PM
Indeed a good store of value.
But is that the real purpose of it?
For now that might be the case and everyone is selling whenever they see a pump is happening.
Either a ROI or just a small profit.

For those who are saving money instead of banking this could be also the better idea rather than waiting for annual return which is just small.
But I believe it should not end that way.

What is the point of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is the first ever money with a known monetary policy that cannot be manipulated. It is digital and can be sent across the internet, radio or satellite. Gold is very difficult to transact…

It is a public ledger that cannot be cheated i.e. no fraud. It is the most attacked piece of software ever created and cannot be hacked.

It is decentralized meaning you do not need to trust a third party. You can send and receive money from anyone in the world, whenever you want, without anyone having a say in it and almost instantly.

It is borderless.

It is unconfistable meaning nobody can freeze your funds or prevent your access to them.

Bitcoin is the future. Start doing your research or you are going to be left behind.

As Fed Chair Powell put it last week when testifying ‘the national debt is growing faster than the economy and poses a threat to future generations.’ He also said he nor anybody knows what to do about it.

The current fractional reserve debt based system is unsustainable. Buy Bitcoin.


20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin STILL Good Investment? (Think Again) on: November 21, 2019, 09:27:40 PM
This video makes the case why Bitcoin is in my opinion not only a good investment but the best investment you can make.

Any additional insights in how to best relate this to those who do not yet own any Bitcoin is appreciated.

It is important we help as many people as possible find safety in this financial climate and $244 trillion global debt crisis.

Thank you

https://youtu.be/ubL2RDg37Wk




That is if many people will understand this. Surprisingly a lot of people haven't understand the true importance of Bitcoin till now.
They are still being skeptical if they should invest in it till now. Unfortunately, they will start running around buying high when the price of hit thousands.. Its a pity.

EXACTLY. Lots of fear in the markets right now. Long term this is an excellent place to dollar cost average in and pick up Bitcoin.

Looking back people are going to wish they had bought here same as when price was $3,500 late 2018.

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