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No, Nothing's happened yet, but it might in the future. I'm not worried about myself, but it will effect the viability of bitcoins and their marketability. The Feds love to let these type of things roll along, let people get invested, and then shut em down. They might not be able to stop bitcoin, but they will be able to shut down websites if they want to, which could make things very difficult I think. Another thing don't think the Feds won't consider this a threat, all they've got is their money. Without it they're toast.
I agree this is entirely likely, in fact it will almost certainly happen. There's no way Bitcoins will become as successful as speculators are hoping without some hostility from the fed. It will be interesting to see which countries attack it and how quickly. Hidden transactions make taxation difficult, but as long as Bitcoin is competing as a virtual currency it's fine, next it will be traded like physical currency when there is some fixed value attached to it (1 Bigmac will ALWAYS cost 1 BTC), finally it will be traded like the semi-virtual currencies of the exchanges, credit cards, etc.
Until the last point it's of laughable threat to established currencies.
