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1  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: June 27, 2019, 10:32:36 PM
I am still open to the idea that the Reversals may work. I am going to check them later. Maybe Socrates is good at technical analysis. Who knows?

However, if someone claims anything, the burden of evidence lies upon the one making the claim, not the other party. There has been a mountain of evidence on this thread that Armstrong's claims are just that- claims. There is no evidence in favor, only against. Even if some of that evidence can be waved away, there are still many  things that remain and have not been adequately addressed, if at all. Cycle/array models are known to be trash. Armstrong claims to have made calls to predict large scale financial disasters in advance to the day but when he does it in real time, it is always ambiguous. Then he claims he called it. That is dishonest. He won't give a black or white answer. He should instead say he made a trade and why in real time. Not once did he ever do so. He also claims to have an office, a supercomputer, a talking AI decades before they came out these days, a huge database from coins and money he compiled himself, and so on. Evidence for those claims, please. Otherwise I could do the same thing.

I think this is worth reflecting on.

There is some junk on Socrates (mostly the opinion stuff), and I simply ignore it

What actually works?  Can you use weekly/monthly reversals to a reasonable degree of profit?  Can Arrays improve the probability of Reversal moves?  Is it worth the investment for that alone?

I approached Customer service as I am looking for a system to place Tail hedges on market retracements (2-3 month periods).  I was asking about the October to December share market pull back and how the reversals flagged this.   They showed me a daily reversal chart picking the move.  Why would I be looking at daily reversals for an event that was 2-3 months in movement?  I would focus on weekly and monthly triggers.  From that perspective this would simply not meet my needs. 


2  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: June 03, 2019, 09:59:59 AM
It's easy to follow. Open (election of reversal) or close and open (reverse) (election of opposite reversal) positions on the market close, based on weather reversals are elected. If no election, no trading.
What is not easy is to trust the system. My backtesting on a daily so far produced very good results.
I wonder what will happen when some choppiness comes. Armstrong wrote that this system is not good for congested market trading.

The thing that threw me was the number of hypothetical positions seemed to change at an unusual time (i.e. not at end of fractal period) and they said to use intermediate and major reversals not others - and am unsure which ones are intermediate.
3  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: June 03, 2019, 05:54:18 AM
Can someone explain to me the charts Armstrong has shown in the past with buy sell arrows or more specifically long and short signals. I believe this were generated off of reversals?

I think most wanted to follow Socrates as if was to be a thoughtless way to trade...simply follow the reversals and the arrays. Obviously we are all more confused than ever.

Yes it has to do with reversals trades.  On the Pro level commentary they talk about "being currently hypothetically long x number of positions".  I asked about how to follow this and they said that feature is not yet in place.
4  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 16, 2019, 03:11:02 AM
psp777 and others, are there other cyclical analysts you recommend/respect?

Can you name names?
5  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 13, 2019, 07:26:58 AM
Hi folks,

Anyone here using the Socrates Pro-membership on the XJO?

i am still learning the controls and would love a chat.
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