Bitcoin Forum
October 06, 2024, 04:30:55 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 28.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: [1]
1  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Oh crap. I was afraid of this. on: June 26, 2011, 10:41:42 PM
It's worse than I thought!!

The guy who wrote the article (infavor of capital controls) is the FINANCE MINISTER OF CHILE!!!

That is where Trade Hill's servers are located!

No they aren't.

Code:
>nslookup tradehill.com

Server:         127.0.0.1
Address:        127.0.0.1#53

Non-authoritative answer:
Name:   tradehill.com
Address: 46.21.104.237

>whois 46.21.104.237

inetnum:         46.21.104.0 - 46.21.105.255
netname:         GLESYS-CUSTOMER-SERVERS
descr:           Customer VPS services located in Falkenberg, Sweden
remarks:         INFRA-AW
country:         SE
admin-c:         GLE-RIPE
tech-c:          GLE-RIPE
status:          ASSIGNED PA
mnt-by:          GLESYS-MNT
mnt-domains:     GLESYS-MNT
source:          RIPE # Filtered

person:         GleSYS Support
address:        Box 134
address:        31122 Falkenberg
address:        Sweden
phone:          +46-346-738800
nic-hdl:        GLE-RIPE
mnt-by:         GLESYS-MNT
source:         RIPE # Filtered

2  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 09:24:36 PM
If you wanted to do it with CPUs, it would take about 150,000 quad core Xeon E7450s.  But that is the top end CPU, and it certainly doesn't exist in that quantity worldwide.  Go down a tier, and you need about 300,000 of them.

For reference, google had about 150,000 CPUs back in 2007.  They've probably grown considerably, and might have 300,000 CPUs total by now.  But they will be a mix of CPUs from the last few years, probably none were ever top of the line at time of purchase.  If you operation is massively parallel, you don't need the fastest CPUs, you need the ones that give the best bang for the buck.  And google is using whatever CPUs they have to make money hand over fist already, so it seems unlikely that they would want to shut down their search operations to take on bitcoin in a big way.
Estimates of the number of CPU cores owned by Google varies wildly.  ZDNet did an one back in 2007.  They reckoned that Google had the capacity for 654,400 processor cores (so maybe 300,000 actual CPUs).

That's in just one building.

The site in question has two such buildings.

And that's just one site out of many.

Now, how much of that is speculation, and how much of the capacity is actually filled I have absolutely no idea.  But to underestimte what Google is capable of is, I think, a dangerous thing to do.
3  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 06:45:04 PM
Thanks for making that clear Joel.
4  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: File Hosting / Torrent Seeding on: June 26, 2011, 05:46:34 PM
It's definitely a good idea, but how cheap is cheap?

I know that seedboxes can be had for as little as £1.20 (that's GBP, so maybe $1.90 USD) per month for 10 GB disk space.
5  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 04:00:40 PM
If a Big Player™ decided to undermine bitcoins then they could do so very easily.  All they'd have to do is throw enough resources at it to capture the majority of the mining capability and they'd be able to sit on whatever they mine.  This would be likely to temporarily push up the value of existing coins, thereby making it much more difficult for any new adopters to jump in.
If the value of existing coins goes up, then people don't need as many of them. So it doesn't matter that they're more difficult to get. It cancels out.

So, by extension, it's practical for the bitcoin economy to continue as it is now, with no more coins being created or introduced than are currently in circulation?

Quote
Then when the number of people using bitcoins contracts and the number of services accepting them in payment shrinks (both of which I think would be likely in this scenario) the value of each coin would decrease as the existing supply outpaced the demand.
Then, when the value drops, people can get as many bitcoins as they need. So if you assume the problem occurs, it will solve itself. This tends to suggest the problem won't actually happen.

If they push up the price of bitcoins, people will need fewer of them. If they make bitcoins expensive and thereby discourage people, the reduced demand will lower the price, ending the discouragement.

I think there's a 'perceived value' thing to be addressed.  I think that people are unlikey to be drawn in if the price of a single coin is excessively high (in fiat terms).

Quote
And don't forget the 51% thing.  That's potentially a very big issue.  If someone could control the block chain, even partialy, then the intergity of the entire system would be compromised.
That's true, but that's a different issue from them mining. At worst, they could significantly increase the time it would take before you could be assured a bitcoin transaction wasn't going to be reversed.

Yes, I agree that it's unrelated to mining, but it's a very real possibilty if someone decides to throw enough power at it.

Unless I'm misunderstanding things (which is quite possible) then it seems to me that it's also a much much bigger issue than the time it takes to confirm a transaction.  Doesn't control of the block chain enable the controller to reverse every transaction (or at least a significant proprotion of them), and also create fraudulent transcations?
6  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: File Hosting / Torrent Seeding on: June 26, 2011, 02:37:28 PM
Quote
hire someone to seed it for you
This is what seedboxes are for.

There are plenty of places offering these.  I do so myself, and would definitely consider doing them in exchange for bitcoins if the coin:fiat price was stable enough.
7  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Demonoid Invites on: June 26, 2011, 02:30:23 PM
They cant exactly check, and my ratio is like 120.0 on most torrents Tongue
Demonoid ratios are notoriously inaccurate.  Unlike other 'proper' private trackers they don't use any keys in the announces or torrents but instead rely on IP addresses.  This fails on many levels.

Anyone with a dynamic IP address is pretty much guaranteed to have an incorrect ratio.  Demonoid simply use the address you had when you last logged in there, so if your address changes then it won't be connected to your account or the torrents you're running.  Further, if someone else is allocated your IP address as last recorded by Demonoid then all their transfers will be assigned to you.

And it doesn't work at all if you use a seedbox.
8  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 02:06:43 PM
This scenario is really unlikely. But it would be terrible for miners, great for early adopters, and awesome for BitCoin itself. Obviously, miners would be screwed because the difficulty would go through the roof. Early adopters would be thrilled because the value of a BitCoin would go up and they could consume a very high fraction of the market volume selling off their BitCoins without causing it to crash. Not only would they get absurdly rich, but they'd be *helping* BitCoins by doing it. It would be awesome for BitCoin itself because the value of coins would go up and the involvement of large companies would legitimize BitCoins further.

The only motive I could see for them doing this would be to try to kill BitCoins. But like the Goldfinger attack, this is an absurdly inefficient way to do that.
Without commenting on the likelihood or otherwise, I don't see how it would be good for anyone.

If a Big Player™ decided to undermine bitcoins then they could do so very easily.  All they'd have to do is throw enough resources at it to capture the majority of the mining capability and they'd be able to sit on whatever they mine.  This would be likely to temporarily push up the value of existing coins, thereby making it much more difficult for any new adopters to jump in.  Then when the number of people using bitcoins contracts and the number of services accepting them in payment shrinks (both of which I think would be likely in this scenario) the value of each coin would decrease as the existing supply outpaced the demand.

And don't forget the 51% thing.  That's potentially a very big issue.  If someone could control the block chain, even partialy, then the intergity of the entire system would be compromised.

If such a player actually wanted to help bitcoins then the best thing they could do is not mine at all, but rather just start accepting them as payments.
9  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 01:55:59 PM
Quote
We definitely should not talk about this
Not talking about it won't reduce the risk of it happening.

These people aren't stupid, are very likely to be aware of bitcoins, and have huge resources at their disposal.

A head-in-the-sand attitude won't help anyone.  It's better to be aware of and address these (very real) possibilities rather than brushing them under the carpet and hoping it won't happen.

[edit]
Added the quote to make it clear what i replying to
[/edit]
10  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Google & Co. Mining ?!?? on: June 26, 2011, 01:35:52 PM
If Google (or some well-resourced TLA) wanted to kill BTC (I'm not saying they do, just if they did) and they decided to get serious then I imagine that they could do so fairly easily.

If they threw even a fraction of their computing power into mining I suspect that they could outpace the total output of the current miners and grab the lion's share of new coins for themeselves.  They could then simply sit on these (or even "destroy" them).  Some people may argue that this would increase the value of existing coins, but I don't think so.  If there were no freely-available new coins then the barrier to entry would become much higher for potential new adopters.  The outcome would be a smaller user base, and possibly also the ultimate a collapse of the system, except pehaps amongst those already holding coins.

There's also the 51% thing to consider.  Any big player with sufficient resources could conceivably disrupt or corrupt the block chain.
11  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Introduce yourself :) on: June 26, 2011, 01:16:11 PM
I've been reading the forums for a while and signed up to answer the Linux question here: http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=22697.0

But it seems I can't.  Oh well.
Pages: [1]
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!