Team	Stake	Bitcoin-Betting
Tigers	1.95	2.020
Guardians	1.86	1.893
Padres	1.96	2.000
Cubs	1.85	1.909
Red Sox	2.29	2.380
Yankees	1.63	1.654

👉 Place your bets!

Nice job Sims! Your plays have been very good. Here are some props that I like.




Yoshinobu Yamamoto — Under 3.5 Hits Allowed (2.159)

• September heater: 0.67 ERA, just 7 hits across 4 starts (three of those were 1-hit outings).
• Season line: Opponents hit .183; he held teams to 3 hits or fewer in 12 of 30 starts.
• Only prior start vs CIN: 7.0 IP, 4 H (earlier in the year; current form is stronger).
• CIN made minimal contact early in Game 1; their road batting average ranked among the 10 worst.
• Underlying metrics (xERA/xBA) support elite contact suppression.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — Over 17.5 Pitching Outs (1.961)

• 18 outs = at least 6 full innings; near even money.
• Last 7 starts ~100 pitches on average; 18+ outs in 6 of those 7.
• Final 5 starts: 34 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 44 K — very efficient profile.
• Reds’ profile vs RHP: high K rate, bottom-third run creation — path to 6–7 IP is realistic.

Freddie Freeman — Over 1.5 Total Bases (2.080)

• Clutch track: homered in four straight World Series games last year.
• Matchup: xSLG around .504 vs Littell; Littell’s poor quality-of-contact metrics, especially vs LHH.
• Multi-hit in Game 1; hits behind on-base machines (Betts, Ohtani) → extra BA chances.
• +108 is fair for 2+ TB via two singles, a double, or better.

Max Muncy — Over 0.5 Total Bases (1.621)

• Career vs Littell: .400/.500/1.600 with 2 HR (small sample but loud contact).
• Littell is homer-prone with below-average whiff/K rates → more balls in play for Muncy.
• Only one hit needed to cash; matchup leans in his favor.

Dodgers Team Total — Over 4.5 Runs (1.763)

• LA hit 5 HR in Game 1; lineup form is hot.
• Littell: 3.81 ERA but heavy home-run vulnerability; contact profile fits Dodgers’ power.
• Dodgers led the NL in HR and OPS this season; depth through 1–9.
• If Yamamoto goes deep, bullpen is fresher to lock down late runs.

---

Card Summary (Bitcoin-Betting)
• Yamamoto Under 3.5 Hits Allowed — 2.159 
• Yamamoto Over 17.5 Outs — 1.961 
• Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases — 2.080 
• Muncy Over 0.5 Total Bases — 1.621 
• Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 — 1.763

Prediction: Barcelona 2–1 PSG — close for an hour, Barça late after sustained pressure. 

⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758 
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961 
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook	🔵 Dodgers	🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting	1.526	2.730
Stake	1.52	2.65
Sportsbet	1.48	2.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾

2-1 yesterday.



My picks

Broncos -7 @ 1.855
Jets +3 @ 1.833

My picks

Broncos -7 @ 1.855
Jets +3 @ 1.833

I'm taking Tampa Bay, Jacksonville and Atlanta all against the spread.

✍️ Circa Million (5 ATS Picks per Week)  
⚡ Chargers (−6.5) at Giants  
🧀 Packers (−7) at Cowboys ⭐  
🛡️ Commanders (−1) at Falcons 🦅  
🟣 Vikings (−2.5) vs Steelers ⚒️  
⚫ Ravens (−2.5) at Chiefs 🔱  

🛡️ Circa Survivor (Standard Pool) – Most popular projected picks (%):  
🐃 Buffalo Bills (31%)  
🤘 Houston Texans (24%)  
🦁 Detroit Lions (15%)  
⚡ Los Angeles Chargers (8%)  
🎖️ New England Patriots (8%)  

💰 Circa Grandissimo (High-Stakes Survivor)  
Small pool (69 entries), strategies differentiate from obvious favorites. Aligned with Survivor trends:  
🐃 Buffalo Bills  
🤘 Houston Texans  
🦁 Detroit Lions  
⚡ Los Angeles Chargers  
🎖️ New England Patriots  

⏰ Start Time (ET)	🏟️ Game (Away @ Home)	🎟️ % Tickets Away	🎟️ % Tickets Home	💵 % Money Away	💵 % Money Home
9/28 8:30 AM	Vikings @ Steelers	50%	50%	40%	60%
9/28 12:00 PM	Eagles @ Buccaneers	52%	48%	56%	44%
9/28 12:00 PM	Saints @ Bills	12%	88%	9%	91%
9/28 12:00 PM	Panthers @ Patriots	42%	58%	20%	80%
9/28 12:00 PM	Commanders @ Falcons	50%	50%	34%	66%
9/28 12:00 PM	Browns @ Lions	7%	93%	8%	92%
9/28 12:00 PM	Titans @ Texans	19%	81%	16%	84%
9/28 12:00 PM	Chargers @ Giants	89%	11%	91%	9%
9/28 3:05 PM	Jaguars @ 49ers	41%	59%	26%	74%
9/28 3:05 PM	Colts @ Rams	31%	69%	28%	72%
9/28 3:25 PM	Bears @ Raiders	59%	41%	63%	37%
9/28 3:25 PM	Ravens @ Chiefs	60%	40%	48%	52%
9/28 7:20 PM	Packers @ Cowboys	90%	10%	91%	9%
9/29 6:15 PM	Jets @ Dolphins	41%	59%	35%	65%
9/29 7:15 PM	Bengals @ Broncos	14%	86%	8%	92%

Newcastle United vs Arsenal – Match Preview

Standings and Overall Performance

Newcastle United: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss (6 points), sitting mid-table. They've scored just 3 goals (joint second-worst attacking record in the league) but conceded only 3, with a goal difference of 0. 
Arsenal: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss (10 points), positioned higher in the table. They've scored 10 goals (among the top four teams for goals scored) and conceded only 2, boasting a +8 goal difference and the joint-best defensive record alongside Crystal Palace.

Recent Form

Newcastle: Unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches (all with clean sheets), but struggling offensively with an average of 0.6 goals per game and conceding 0.6 on average. They've kept four clean sheets in five league games this season, and opponents have generated among the lowest Expected Goals (xG) totals against them in the league. 
Arsenal: Unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game overall this season. They've kept clean sheets in seven of their last eight competitive outings but have looked short on ideas against strong defenses.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall: Arsenal holds a clear lead in all-time meetings. 
Recent: Newcastle have won their last three home games against Arsenal (two in the Premier League, one in the EFL Cup) without conceding a goal. In the last five encounters overall, Newcastle have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. 
Manager-specific: Mikel Arteta has four away defeats against Newcastle as Arsenal boss—second only to his record at Manchester City.

Key Injuries and Player Notes

Newcastle: Fabian Schär is out with a head injury. No major new issues reported, but a couple of players have minor niggles from midweek action. Anthony Gordon has 10 shots without scoring this season (second-most in the league without a goal). 
Arsenal: Kai Havertz and Noni Madueke are sidelined; Martin Ødegaard is nearing a return from a shoulder injury and could feature. Recent injury history includes knocks for Bukayo Saka, William Saliba, and Viktor Gyökeres (head injury, but expected back). Six of Arsenal's 10 league goals this season have come in the 15 minutes around half-time.

Prediction : Both teams have been tough defensively. I'm going 1-0 Arsenal although 1-1 wouldn't surprise me. It will be tough on Arsenal playing away.

Bitcoin-Betting Odds 
Newcastle: 3.64 
Draw: 3.40 
Arsenal: 2.15

⚽ Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen 
Friday Night Bundesliga under the lights at the Allianz Arena 🔥

Harry Kane leads Bayern’s attack, while Marvin Ducksch looks to spark an upset for Bremen.

📍 Munich | 🗓️ Sept 26 
Bitcoin-Betting – Always Get the Best Odds 👉 app.bitcoin-betting.com/soccer/germany-bundesliga

You can play in ETH if you would like and just pay gas for withdrawals. I made an ETH transfer yesterday for 13 cents. Here's a quick table for savings.

To read it if someone bet $50 per game and made 20 bets winning half that equals $500 winners. $50 * 10 = $500 meaning payout is $974.50 at Bitcoin-Betting. Large bettors save more.

Site	House Edge	Multiplier	$500 winners	$1,000 winners	$5,000 winners	$10,000 winners	$100,000 winners
Bitcoin-Betting	2.57%	1.949	$974.50	$1,949.00	$9,745.00	$19,490.00	$194,900.00
Stake	4.50%	1.914	$957.00	$1,914.00	$9,570.00	$19,140.00	$190,140.00
Sportsbet	4.04%	1.919	$959.50	$1,919.00	$9,595.00	$19,190.00	$191,900.00

Comparison	$500 winners	$1,000 winners	$5,000 winners	$10,000 winners	$100,000 winners
Savings over Stake	$17.50	$35.00	$175.00	$350.00	$4,760.00
Savings over Sportsbet	$15.00	$30.00	$150.00	$300.00	$3,000.00

Edited to show frequent bigger bettor at $500 per game betting 4 games per day using 300 days for the year winning half.

$14,280 savings over Stake for the year.
$9,000  savings over Sportsbet for the year.

Really nice calls Bastketsrus. Kansas City covered and the Packers went down ruining a lot of Survivor Pools. Circa plays went 3-2 for the second week in  row.

I'm taking the Lions +4.5 Monday Night. I liked the over too until I saw the line of 52.5. I'm not playing a total.

Here's a table with hold percentages. Which payout methods would you like to see?

Sportsbook	Spread	Total
Bitcoin-Betting	2.57%	3.48%
Stake	4.50%	5.66%
Sportsbet	4.04%	5.17%

Betting Odds and Market Outlook

Bet Type	Bitcoin-Betting	Stake	Sportsbet
Man City +0.5	1.909	1.92	1.88
Arsenal -0.5	1.990	1.90	1.96
Over 2.5	1.787	1.77	1.75
Under 2.5	2.099	2.02	2.07

Predicted Scoreline and Conclusion

All signs point to a close, high-quality encounter on Sunday. Arsenal have momentum, defensive confidence, and the boost of the Emirates crowd, while Manchester City possess big-game experience and individual brilliance capable of turning any match. Considering the form, tactics, and injuries, a 2-1 victory for Arsenal is the prevailing prediction. Arsenal’s attack has been clicking (averaging over 2 goals per game in the league) and even without Saka and potentially Ødegaard, they have enough creativity through players like Martinelli, Eze/Trossard, and Rice’s distribution to breach City’s defense. City, for their part, almost always find the net – Haaland’s presence alone makes a goal likely – but Arsenal’s back line has shown it can hold firm and limit chances. In our analysis, Arsenal’s strong home form and recent psychological edge over City give them a slight upper hand. They have “shown little signs of weakness at the Emirates” this term, and they’ll be highly motivated to make a statement in the title race. City’s midfield injuries/changes and the short turnaround from Thursday could leave them a bit vulnerable, especially if the game turns into a physical battle in midfield where Rice and Zubimendi can impose themselves. We expect Arsenal to press aggressively and perhaps take an early lead, with City growing into the game later on. Guardiola’s men certainly have the quality to get a result – and if they click, they could even flip the script – but given the evidence so far this season, a narrow Arsenal win is a reasonable call. In a 2-1 scenario, perhaps Arsenal’s new striker Gyökeres continues his scoring form along with a goal from midfield (set-piece or long-range, where they’ve threatened), while Haaland pulls one back for City. Ultimately, Arsenal’s “home advantage and recent form might just tip the scales” in a match that should live up to the hype. Expect a fiercely contested affair with plenty of tactical intrigue and individual brilliance on display – a match worthy of two title contenders. 🏆

⚽🔥 EPL BETTING – CLICK HERE 🔥⚽