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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 07, 2025, 09:26:50 AM
psychiatrist: This chartbuddy you speak of, is he in the room with us right now?

me: Yes! Actually two of them. Plus a bunch of vapourminers and philipma1957s ..

psychiatrist: What else do you see doubled?

me: Bitcoin price.

psychiatrist: Ok - Wardens, please help Mr psycodad into his straitjacket and escort him back to his 'room'. Please make sure he takes his pills. We'll try again next week and see if we can get through to him.

me: Yay! More Haloperidol for me *yikes*.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 05, 2025, 03:22:46 PM
Meantime I'm off to my annual pilgrimage to Vegas this week for Defcon and stuff. Anyone want to grab lunch or dinner?


Have fun there!

I've been attending HIP97 and HAL2001 and it was really great fun.
Listened to Phil Zimmermann, Theo de Raadt , Lucky Green, John Gilmore among a ton of other cool hackers.
Saw my first live Van Eck phreaking demonstration over ~10m - was fucking impressed.
Oh the memories.. largest non-military openair network then, though wiring was a bit improvised :-)



PegDHCP was invented as joke, but was used on both occasions (RFC2322)

Nowadays this kind of cons is just getting too luxurious and expensive for my taste, the same time I get too old to sit in a tent with a desktop computer so the additional comfort is surely welcome.

Was always wanting to attend a defcon in the 90s-early 2000s actually until I got rounded up on behalf of some US TLA. Not travelling to any 5eyes country since then..
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 01, 2025, 01:03:29 PM
I am sorry, I obviously jinxed it.
I would therefor like to clarify the only real truth for the record:

Of course I am not planning to buy a german car, I never said that - that's all FAKE NEWS!!
Anybody saying so is a dirty lying scumbag and Imma gonna sue them!
I don't do and never did german car things, I hate german cars!
Those guys lost the war, I am never ever going to drive such car from losers.

I am looking at a Ford (like a Pinto), a Chrysler or even a Tesler, these are all big, beautiful, nice cars and I love them a lot.

</s>

Oh the long walks will be so good for my health..  Embarrassed

But seriously: It gets harder and harder for orange emperor to shake up the markets, BTC seems to recover nicely given the scope, reach and extents of his latest tariff bomb.

[EDITED to add:] Seems only BTC/USD is recovering, it is flat and holding support against EUR or CHF.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 31, 2025, 07:16:51 PM
Damit, I could really use a little leg up right now.
 
Reason being that I am only allowed to drive my 20yr old car for another 20 days now as it failed inspection and they demand that I replace a shock absorber. Would be fine with that, but Opel isn't producing/selling these shock absorbers any more. Couldn't get one in after market either, not even 2nd hand as it seems very special (somethingsomething sports-electronic-control bla). I liked that car a lot but it is what it is.

We used to have a world in which all kinds of repairs were part of the norm, yet in recent times, more and more products have become unrepairable.. Even if you end up getting another car, there may be something that you find out at some later point.. such as an ability to repair your shock absorbers.... yet I understand too that you also need to pass inspection...

And, sure, i might be fighting with the hypothetical too much, since maybe the point is about the need to potentially sell some corn due to a new expense related to car replacement.

So I found a used Mercedes caravan that would really fit us well but I need to cash out some corn first and I have this tingling feeling in my guts that once I press the sell button price will shoot up to 140k in an instant. I have no problem shelling out a few sats for that but after stacking and hodling for about a decade I feel like a few days or weeks could really make a difference here. Money means nothing to me, though BTC does.

Talked this now over and over with the missus and we decided to just give a fuck for now - we will wait for a better price first (clearly over 130, ideally even more) - and if things go seriously south we don't care if we have to walk to the grocery store for a few weeks.

I mean who needs a friggin car, right? (oh wait, occasionally I really do)

If somebody would have told me two years ago that I will be too stingy to sell at 118k to buy a car, I would have laughed out loud at him.. Hodling really changes perspective, especially for those in FU mode. Cars come and go, but BTC that one sells never comes back..
</privileged whining>

You seem to be on the edge of having enough bitcoin but maybe not having more than enough bitcoin in such a way that it is obvious that you have more than enough bitcoin.

Of course, no one wants to suffer a 15% to 20% or more cut to their BTC.. or what they could have had gotten from a sale of BTC, yet in some sense there is not a real BIG difference between $118k and $140k.. yet it also may depend on how many BTC that you have.

For example, if you were to be right at fuck you status (let's say 15.769 BTC for an anticipated withdrawal rate of $6,666 per month), then you have no extra BTC for the extra expenses and you might not even feel psychologically comfortable to cash out at your $6,666 per month level.  On the other hand, if you were to be more than 100% higher than your threshold fuck you status (let's say more than 32 BTC in this example), then you might not give too many shits about selling a few extra satoshis here and there in order to satisfy some of your expenses (even potentially some BIGGER item expenses from time to time)... so then there becomes a question about the quantity  of the BTC cushion that you might have that may well motivate you in regards to how concerned you are about our current $118k BTC prices versus the possibility of $140k BTC prices within a short-term in the future, that may or may not end up happening... but yeah, I am with you that the odds for $140k within a few months is decently high, perhaps even getting into the arena of 60%, and some folks might even consider such odds for $140k and higher to be even greater than 60%.

Also maybe with potentially BIG ticket items, there may be preferences to have even greater than 100% cushions to be spending from our excess bitcoin holdings before we might start to not be so worried about such extra spendings... The threshold likely differs.. .. and if you were at 3x (such as 48 BTC in the hypothetical) your fuck you status threshold  or 4x (64 BTC) or 5x (80 BTC).. at some point, you would likely become less concerned about shaving off some BTC, and the BIG ticket item would not really seem to be considered as a BIG ticket item.


Thanks for your consideration and advice regarding FU numbers.

The problem is not actually replacing that thing with a "dumb" replacement for like $50 from the same model without the special sport version of shock absorber electronic adjustment for the "sportfahrwerk" of that (whatever that may be called in english - and ofc I didn't know I have "sportfahrwerk" until I needed the shock absorber  Cheesy), the thing is there would be a orange shock absorber led warning lamp in the dashboard showing error and the inspection would fail.

Our society claims to be sooo sustainable and green but a car today has a maximum lifespan of 10-15yrs. While looking for the shock absorbers everywhere I even heard things like "Oh, 20yrs is not bad, we have cars that are not anymore maintainable after 6-7 yrs".
But that must be me and you only who think repairing stuff and using it for another 10yrs is sustainable.. Though admittedly buying new is better for the economy.

The amount to spend and the worry of mine are purely emotional, technical the amount doesn't matter so much at 118, you are right. But something in me wants to squeeze out more car for less corn  Grin
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 31, 2025, 12:06:52 PM
Damit, I could really use a little leg up right now.
 
Reason being that I am only allowed to drive my 20yr old car for another 20 days now as it failed inspection and they demand that I replace a shock absorber. Would be fine with that, but Opel isn't producing/selling these shock absorbers any more. Couldn't get one in after market either, not even 2nd hand as it seems very special (somethingsomething sports-electronic-control bla). I liked that car a lot but it is what it is.

So I found a used Mercedes caravan that would really fit us well but I need to cash out some corn first and I have this tingling feeling in my guts that once I press the sell button price will shoot up to 140k in an instant. I have no problem shelling out a few sats for that but after stacking and hodling for about a decade I feel like a few days or weeks could really make a difference here. Money means nothing to me, though BTC does.

Talked this now over and over with the missus and we decided to just give a fuck for now - we will wait for a better price first (clearly over 130, ideally even more) - and if things go seriously south we don't care if we have to walk to the grocery store for a few weeks.

I mean who needs a friggin car, right? (oh wait, occasionally I really do)

If somebody would have told me two years ago that I will be too stingy to sell at 118k to buy a car, I would have laughed out loud at him.. Hodling really changes perspective, especially for those in FU mode. Cars come and go, but BTC that one sells never comes back..

</privileged whining>
6  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: ^-^-^- SPACE COIN [SPACE] REVIVAL POS / POW ^-^-^- on: July 28, 2025, 02:53:15 PM
Okay, I will then delay my "airdrop" offer until the new wallet is out, I've edited my post.

Looking forward to the new wallet and good luck with your work, appreciated.
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 21, 2025, 05:42:23 PM
The headline/teaser made me smirk and after reading I am way much less scared about those quantum thingies factoring meaningful numbers (like i.e. public keys) in foreseeable future:

..
Peter Gutmann, a professor of computer science at the University of Auckland New Zealand, thinks PQC is bollocks – "nonsense" for our American readers – and said as much in a 2024 presentation [PDF], "Why Quantum Cryptanalysis is Bollocks."
..

-> https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/17/quantum_cryptanalysis_criticism/
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 21, 2025, 04:38:01 PM
Post parity is what we should be looking up to.

This is the way.
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: ^-^-^- SPACE COIN [SPACE] REVIVAL POS / POW ^-^-^- on: July 21, 2025, 01:51:17 PM
Where does one get the wallet?
Website - http://spacecoin.info  is not working

Is the coin still on exchanges?

Also, have you seen:  https://spacecoin.org/ ?

I have only the github: https://github.com/midnight-miner/spacecoin

Everything else needs to be answered by midnight_miner.
10  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: ^-^-^- SPACE COIN [SPACE] REVIVAL POS / POW ^-^-^- on: July 18, 2025, 02:45:31 PM
As the network seems still alive and kicking I'd like to offer the following bountys for people contributing to SPACE:

50'000 SPACE for a synced block explorer
50'000 SPACE for running the block explorer for 1 year (paid after one year)
50'000 SPACE for getting SPACE onto an exchange


You should give away coins just for people holding a wallet.  If this is a staking coin, you might get people on board.

Yeah, certainly worth a shot, why not.

The first 10 bitcointalk users with a registration date before Jan 1st 2025 who PM me a Spacecoin address will receive 5'000 Spacecoins.
Deadline is by end of July 2025 midnight.


EDIT: ^Withdrawn until new wallet is out, once this happens I'll offer that again.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 09, 2025, 07:42:20 PM
* psycodad yikes
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 08, 2025, 02:15:26 PM
Are we going to be nominated for the richest public forum today?

We have a fund of 1196 $BTC or equivalent to $129,083,136 for now at Bitcoin price of $108K. Shocked


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=155000.msg1643255#msg1643255


fuck. Could launch a full-on social media platform for 1/10th of that!

The difference is that a SM platform earns money by selling out its users, AFAIK this is not the case with bct.
One of the rare cases when it's free and we're still not the actual product.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2025, 02:14:39 PM
Haven't bought a bottle for like 20+ years.

Still in memorie during my student period when my stomach made from iron, lol.



Oh, don't remind me of Strohrum, that shit burned like hell no matter through which body orifices it entered or left ones body (especially when it traveled through the same orifice in reverse direction, a few days of sore throat were guaranteed).
Though 35yrs ago here but I still have a very lively memory of the burn feeling..

That said, it's Gin-O'clock here, so cheers!

14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2025, 05:14:42 PM

Unfortunately
drilling here is expensive
like one btc per hole
.

...

We inquired a geothermal heat pump a few years ago because the idea is brilliant and effective compared to air heat pumps but when the guy started to list expenses we realized we would well end up in the 6 figure range just for drilling the hole, I guess at current corn prices the whole setup would cost over 1 BTC, possibly up to 1.5 easily. An AC costs me <$10k installed and probably like $200-500 per summer for leccy. For heating in winter we spend like ~1200 for oil + ~500 for wood.

That said, the amortization time frame for such an apparatus is well beyond the reach of my mortal residues. Still like the concept and I guess once installed and paid you enjoy (almost) free heating and cooling.

ah i went horizontal loop as i have the land. so 2000 foot loop of pex buried six feet down in my back yard. mucho cheaper than drilling as only needed an excavator to trench 6 feet down, lay the pex and fill it back in.

and at the time we needed to replace our ageing boiler heat system a decade or so ago there were some nice tax rebates and zero percent loans to go with geothermal installs.

That sounds quite straightforward, I guess you'll need at least about 200m of pipes laid out (considering that in our case they wanted to drill down to 150-180m depth, hence the cost) but your solution might possibly work for me in front of the house.
I duckduckgo'd it and it seems they call it here "spiral collectors", though I suspect the efficiency of the spiral setup is probably a bit lower than a hole down to 180m.

I am actually pretty happy with my oil heating as we use it only to create some baseline and warm water - the rest is done with the wood stove. But oil heatings are legally phased out here, since this year you can't replace central elements of an oil heating and 2025 is the last year we're allowed to replace simpler parts so I bought a new oil burner for it and hope it works for another 10yrs.

But once the thing breaks down, I need something with a green stamp on it and I totally despise air heat pumps as I am still convinced that at -15°C they are basically very expensive and ineffective electric heatings - the geothermal stuff on the other hand does make sense to me (yeah, as if I knew shit..).
I personally would have loved a wood heating but she-who-calls-the-shots is concerned about me carrying 5 room meters wood down to the basement every year when I get even older than I already am.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2025, 01:37:39 PM
Friggin shitty heat
psycodads brain shutdown, but
corn unaffected.

AC affordable
with few satoshis, but then
no use in winter.

geothermal rocks
both heat and AC combined
a ground source heatpump

takes heat from the house
preheats your hot water tank
desuperheater


Unfortunately
drilling here is expensive
like one btc per hole.

Can afford a lot
of leccy and oil for that
as long as I last.

But good you have it
I do envy you a lot,
staying cool these times.


Seriously though, whenever missus and me decide to shell out some money for a split AC and installation, the next summer will be cool and rainy so we delay it again only to regret it the year after next bitterly (like i.e. NOW).

We inquired a geothermal heat pump a few years ago because the idea is brilliant and effective compared to air heat pumps but when the guy started to list expenses we realized we would well end up in the 6 figure range just for drilling the hole, I guess at current corn prices the whole setup would cost over 1 BTC, possibly up to 1.5 easily. An AC costs me <$10k installed and probably like $200-500 per summer for leccy. For heating in winter we spend like ~1200 for oil + ~500 for wood.

That said, the amortization time frame for such an apparatus is well beyond the reach of my mortal residues. Still like the concept and I guess once installed and paid you enjoy (almost) free heating and cooling.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2025, 11:24:07 AM
watching a couple peeps in the senate chamber literally playing "rock paper scissors" lol

guess theyre doing their due diligence on that one big beutiful bill



Due diligence by
rock paper scissors in USA
is terribly 2024-ish.

Modern societies
of course use better methods:
dice or tarot cards.

Sundays are doing
something unbeknownst to me
will this ever stop?
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2025, 11:08:12 AM
Friggin shitty heat
psycodads brain shutdown, but
corn unaffected.

AC affordable
with few satoshis, but then
no use in winter.

If I ordered now
would be installed in autumn
what a misery.

Nuclear iceage
ironically could be
very useful now.

Hate haikus truely
Dunno why I do this now,
boredom possibly?

Help, my brain is hot
Cannot help myself but keep
vomitting haikus.

I stop the whining,
rampant grumbling does no good
still way too hot here.

Done with haikus now
back to my hodler coma
please let it snow soon.


#heatinduceddeliriumhaiku
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 22, 2025, 02:52:18 PM
Bye bye 100k, it was nice
knowing you, hope to see you
again very soon.

Hopes for hookers and
blow we had, instead we'll fist
fight at gas stations.

^I am not pretending these to be Haikus at all, but the prospect of WWIII evokes strange desires in me - like for example crossing "Haiku writing" from my bucket list.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 22, 2025, 01:54:03 PM
<snip>

To win is to own.
Sell a kidney, if you must.
It cannot be stopped!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

The kidney has a
special place in every heart.
as orange man says.

Forgive me the pun
the war makes me cynical,
signing off for now.
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: ^-^-^- SPACE COIN [SPACE] REVIVAL POS / POW ^-^-^- on: June 19, 2025, 12:32:11 PM
As the network seems still alive and kicking I'd like to offer the following bountys for people contributing to SPACE:

50'000 SPACE for a synced block explorer
50'000 SPACE for running the block explorer for 1 year (paid after one year)
50'000 SPACE for getting SPACE onto an exchange
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