There is too high probability that by the time Avalon batch 3 delivered BFL will be out in full 655TH force and then good luck with making back your 88 BTC
I have calculated that BFL pumping @25% of their ability i.e. 200 units a day * 22 workdays a month of 60GH units will increase network by 8.8TH a day
200*22*60/30=8,800GH
Not counting existing miners or other companies. So in 365 days you will make 43.71 BTC and deduct $1,314 for power (0.600kW*24H*365D*$0.25)
Price is 3-4 times too high so it's too big of a gamble. Feels like Avalon is cashing-out out of the game. Last final sale for all the marbles, grabbing with both hands. They pretty much dead very soon. Even if BFL will delay again for 2 month, Avalon doesn't have much better track record of delivering in volume. Where are 1st batch 300 and 2nd 600, I ask you?
And we are only 2 weeks away from their announced delivery.
Plus no warranty or guaranteed support. Sounds like they don't have faith in their ability to fix it, (or make it)
agreed.
Now at this price/earn ratio I am out of the ASIC purchasing game. No longer sensible.
It might be sensible if the BTC price skyrockets but if that's the case I might as well just gamble my hard earned cash straight on buying coins.