An answer to find the probability that a number of x blocks to be found in a time frame in which you would expect to find λ blocks is found here :

bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/22978/how-can-we-be-sure-that-a-new-block-will-be-found/22984#22984

where x = 2 or more and λ = 1.

Any comment for this response is appreciated.

Thanks

Thank you for the link. There is a similar question :


but I wonder the answer :


why the answer is in percent ?

Thanks

I mean the probability that the network generates at least two blocks within 10 minutes by using current hashrate of the network and current difficulty level.
For example is it possible to use https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Generation_Calculator for this purpose ?

Thanks

Hi,

We know that Bitcoin network in average generates one block per 10 minutes.

Is there a formula to compute the probability that the entire network generates two or more than two blocks (at least two blocks) in less than 10 minutes ?

Thanks