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1  Economy / Speculation / Theory : China began using wash trading to hide large buyers entering the market on: October 30, 2015, 05:32:12 AM
Now that the buyers are here, people are stuck wondering how much volume is real, how much is not.

It would have been a trigger to the other markets to see Chinese volume suddenly surge with a price surge. It would show too plainly Chinese interest.

Now, we really don't how many coins the Chinese are buying, and other traders' uncertainty of how serious they are gives them more time to get them cheaper. A head start.
Race is on.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 20, 2015, 03:31:11 AM
I'll leave the rest to your imagination.




Is kinda textbook...
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2015, 06:32:23 PM
Coinbase wall down.
Whats going on

Sometimes big walls get pulled once people start buying/dumping into them, and sometimes they seem to get pulled for no reason. They are probably often put there just for show.

Not just the bid wall I think. Quite a few ask walls came down with it.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2015, 06:23:46 PM
Coinbase wall down.
Whats going on
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 18, 2015, 03:49:15 PM
Suddenly Coinbase is bigger than Finex and Bitstamp Huh

I remember some weeks ago they had really low volume

No. Since they started charging fees they have lower volume than Bitstamp. Coinbase ask side (and bid if we take out that wall) is still very thin. Don't know why would anyone wire 1mil$ to the exchange with such low liquidity.

If I was sending $1m anywhere, I'd want it to be somewhere with at least a degree of regulation and in my home country, not somewhere like Stamp of Finex that might run into problems of some sort.



Why don't more people understand this?
Between the current players, Coinbase is destined to end up as the leading exchange.
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 18, 2015, 07:18:23 AM
Quote from: Shatoshi link=topic=t178336.msg11123336#msg11123336 date=1429341065
Inflating prices by a dollar and then charging 1% on any transaction?

Fuck the 1%.

Coinbases last blunder they sold TONS of BTC off the real positive news with their lie. 

So sell a bunch of expensive $320 BTC and buy them back the next day for $240.... fuck the 1%.

I think Bitcoin is due to pop pretty good... it would be a sham to see Coinbase try to suck up some of the limelight with fake news again  Lips sealed.

Really excited about Rand being at the Bitcoin event tomorrow.  Even a small glimmer of hope with a USA president that likes Bitcoin... he could set the pace as far as accepting it and not wanting to make USA coin.

http://www.coindesk.com/rand-paul-new-york-bitcoin-event/


I am referring to their order book.
This is unprecedented on their exchange.
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 18, 2015, 07:08:20 AM
the fuck is up with coinbase?
8  Economy / Services / Re: EARN BITCOIN WITH YOUR SIGNATURE ,UP TO 0.1BTC A MONTH, ONLY 30 SLOTS LEFT on: August 16, 2014, 10:56:58 PM
447

1HSjsnJbDpRWNDDLairZozKLsvaJaZeJDH

Shareholder
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 01, 2014, 05:14:04 PM
Only 1700 btc until 700. Insane.
10  Economy / Securities / Re: [ActiveMining] Official Shareholder Discussion Thread [Moderated] on: May 20, 2014, 09:28:07 PM
I've got shares on cryptostocks.com, what do I do? Huh
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Winklevoss Twins to List Bitcoin Fund on Nasdaq on: May 09, 2014, 01:30:38 AM
Would there be any advantage in buying shares in this ETF over just buying btc yourself?

Non technical people will not have to worry about their investment getting hacked and stolen.
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 05:59:15 AM
Where did the walls on Huobi go?


Edit : My thing was fucked up
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 03:31:03 AM
I didn't say a word about China. This is strictly technical. The end of a trend needs to be marked with an increase in volume.

I would not wait for an increase in volume, I don't think it will ever come.
Mt Gox ruined that trust, these exchanges are just too amatuer. Nobody feels comfortable putting large amounts of fiat/coins into them anymore. Large buyers and sellers will wait for institutional level exchanges, and in the meantime the buying will happen through Second Market, dark pools, and directly from miners.

There won't be an uptick in volume on Bitstamp, the stream of coins coming in for sale will slowly dwindle as the off chain buying increases. You will wait for large volume, but suddenly there will hardly be any coins for sale. Buying on Stamp-level exchanges will be for small fish and last-resort larger traders.


Nailed it.


 Wink
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 03:29:10 AM
I didn't say a word about China. This is strictly technical. The end of a trend needs to be marked with an increase in volume.

I would not wait for an increase in volume, I don't think it will ever come.
Mt Gox ruined that trust, these exchanges are just too amatuer. Nobody feels comfortable putting large amounts of fiat/coins into them anymore. Large buyers and sellers will wait for institutional level exchanges, and in the meantime the buying will happen through Second Market, dark pools, and directly from miners.

There won't be an uptick in volume on Bitstamp, the stream of coins coming in for sale will slowly dwindle as the off chain buying increases. You will wait for large volume, but suddenly there will hardly be any coins for sale. Buying on Stamp-level exchanges will be for small fish and last-resort larger traders.


Nailed it.


So what happens to price under this scenario?   Price slowly trickles upward due to lack of coins, without volume?

It will trickle slowly at first, because experienced bitcoin traders will scoff at such a low volume rally. Then panic will grow as they notice that the sell walls are not being replaced. Price will then rocket on the low volume of traders who still use these exchanges. The hole these traders will be trying to fit through will be much smaller than anticipated because large buyers have cut off the stream of coins for sale nearer to the source.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 08, 2014, 03:07:17 AM
I didn't say a word about China. This is strictly technical. The end of a trend needs to be marked with an increase in volume.

I would not wait for an increase in volume, I don't think it will ever come.
Mt Gox ruined that trust, these exchanges are just too amatuer. Nobody feels comfortable putting large amounts of fiat/coins into them anymore. Large buyers and sellers will wait for institutional level exchanges, and in the meantime the buying will happen through Second Market, dark pools, and directly from miners.

There won't be an uptick in volume on Bitstamp, the stream of coins coming in for sale will slowly dwindle as the off chain buying increases. You will wait for large volume, but suddenly there will hardly be any coins for sale. Buying on Stamp-level exchanges will be for small fish and last-resort larger traders.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2014, 06:50:48 AM
Wouldn't it be funny if the Chinese authorities were just pissed at the exchanges for running shitty and making fake volume. Like we were.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2014, 03:20:55 AM
Did China just eat ~2.5k ask wall???

>3k
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2014, 03:08:04 AM
Huobi was amazing just now. Shocked
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 30, 2014, 04:35:43 AM
while I wish for the price to go lower, I fear that ideas are infectious.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gC4j-V585Ug

I thought this transparency of money argument is compelling. just wanted to share.

Amazing. Didn't plan to watch the whole thing, but couldn't stop. Thanks for that.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 25, 2014, 03:52:28 AM
I don't want to jinx it here...but if we manage to recover from the drop quickly we could be looking at another "Silk Road" cash scenario.

At the time people thought the Silk Road was the cornerstone of the bitcoin economy as well.


edit : I do realize that we were in a bit stronger uptrend at the time of the SR crash.
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