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1  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / CUSTOM AVATARI on: October 02, 2020, 08:06:22 PM
Sjetih se kako smo spominjali nedavno da bi moglo biti fora da svatko od nas s lokala ima svoj posebni avatar koji bi nosili kada nismo sudionici u kampanjama. Moj ste vec vidjeli, no evo ga opet.





Ono sto je novost je da je Bestchange dopustio nosenje custom avatara svim sudionicima njihove kampanje pod uvjetom da na svoj custom avatar uklope i njihvo Bestchange logo.

Potpuno istu ideju sam i sam imao u glavi kad smo spomenuli nase lokalne avatare. Svaki avatar bi bio custom po idejama i zeljama, no imao bi placeholder na koji bi se moglo umetnuti nesto sto se promovira.

Evo linka gdje Bestchange dopusta ovaj novitet i primjer @TheBeardedBaby sa njegovim custom avatarom.

TheBeardedBaby custom avatar



Naravno zasad je to samo Bestchange, ali ja sam spreman za akciju.Da se krene raditi avatare i napravi ih se, pa bi ja to predlozio Hhampuzu kasnije kad smo spremni s primjerima. Prilicno sam siguran da bi Hhampuz mogao to vidjeti kao fora nacin za dodatnu formu promocije projekta.

Sigurno je zanimljivije vidjeti hrpu posebnih avatara koji promoviraju projekt nego sve jednolicno i zbog toga to i dopustiti u vecini svojih kampanja.

Znamo da Hhampuz goni hrpu kampanja.



Stoga pisite svoje prijedloge i ideje.

Najbolje bi bilo ovako, radi preglednosti i organizacije, ako ste zainteresirani da vam se pomogne napraviti avatar, napravite sljedece:

Jedan post po korisniku za sve vezano za avatar, ideje, prijedlozi, primjeri, potencijalni izvori s neta koji pokazuju kako zelite da vam izgleda avatar ili cemu da slici.I onda taj post samo editate ako se pojavi nesto novo sto zelite dodati.

Dakle rezervirajte si svi prvo postove u sljedecih par dana ako ste zaintersirani i pocnite pisati ideje ili slicno unutar istih, a onda nakon 4-5 dana mozeno poceti laprdati i komentirati i ako bude potrebno mijenjati stvari.

Ja cu odmah rezervirati prvi post da se ima za kasnije ako bude trebalo, kao primjer.
2  Economy / Scam Accusations / [SCAM] Stablecoin uSWAP backed by NOTHING on: September 29, 2020, 06:04:48 PM
What happened: Uswap is a stablecoin backed by nothing, by air it seems. They are running an airdrop claiming that they are giving 1000% of worth in the their USP token to people, yet token is backed by absolutely nothing. In addition they are having a sale, selling air to people and yet they decided to give out 60% of token supply to community? 5 years vesting on tokens? Almost guaranteeing the listing on top 20 major exchanges, yet they created both token and all their social media with the last few days, no Github, no Whitepaper, no team and roadmap looks like a kid made it up.

So many flags in one project.


Website: https://uswapexchange.com/

Archive: https://web.archive.org/web/20200928231252/https://uswapexchange.com/


Code:
Domain name: uswapexchange.com
Registry Domain ID: 2562186804_DOMAIN_COM-VRSN
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: http://www.namecheap.com
Updated Date: 0001-01-01T00:00:00.00Z
Creation Date: 2020-09-26T16:54:39.00Z
Registrar Registration Expiration Date: 2021-09-26T16:54:39.00Z
Registrar: NAMECHEAP INC
Registrar IANA ID: 1068
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: email@namecheap.com
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: +1.6613102107
Reseller: NAMECHEAP INC
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Domain Status: addPeriod https://icann.org/epp#addPeriod
Registry Registrant ID:
Registrant Name: WhoisGuard Protected
Registrant Organization: WhoisGuard, Inc.
Registrant Street: P.O. Box 0823-03411
Registrant City: Panama
Registrant State/Province: Panama
Registrant Postal Code:
Registrant Country: PA
Registrant Phone: +507.8365503
Registrant Phone Ext:
Registrant Fax: +51.17057182
Registrant Fax Ext:
Registrant Email: email@whoisguard.com
Registry Admin ID:
Admin Name: WhoisGuard Protected
Admin Organization: WhoisGuard, Inc.
Admin Street: P.O. Box 0823-03411
Admin City: Panama
Admin State/Province: Panama
Admin Postal Code:
Admin Country: PA
Admin Phone: +507.8365503
Admin Phone Ext:
Admin Fax: +51.17057182
Admin Fax Ext:
Admin Email: email@whoisguard.com
Registry Tech ID:
Tech Name: WhoisGuard Protected
Tech Organization: WhoisGuard, Inc.
Tech Street: P.O. Box 0823-03411
Tech City: Panama
Tech State/Province: Panama
Tech Postal Code:
Tech Country: PA
Tech Phone: +507.8365503
Tech Phone Ext:
Tech Fax: +51.17057182
Tech Fax Ext:
Tech Email: email@whoisguard.com
Name Server: dns1.namecheaphosting.com
Name Server: dns2.namecheaphosting.com
DNSSEC: unsigned


Link to their token on Etherscan with date of creation:  https://etherscan.io/token/0x2a2a52d83a5ec8ccea30f67bf5dd669a2d986f46?a=0xf26c5f062f3638ab7e880f6e9efc49c2157a1a13#tokenAnalytics


Screenshots of their social media and web:










Their FAQ looks exactly as their project , really shitty, as there is no inofo they can provide, since it is all made up.




All in a all a pretty textbook flags and easy to spot scam, but since they have a fancy TG airdrop bot, a lot of people will go for it and then because they participate in an airdrop some will go and even buy some tokens in the sale since it looks like an awesome deal.

1 ETH = 1000 USP which would be 1000$ worth, which does not make any sense, but people usually don't think and fall for this kind of shit.
3  Economy / Scam Accusations / TRON LINK wallet promotion, extra crypto on: September 17, 2020, 11:20:59 PM
Notice: I have checked if this is a scam and there was no red flags so far, domain is legit I will put the info here and both apps are legit, plus I'm not putting any ref links here, so mods please don't delete this topic, if you think it should be moved to some other board please move it or tell me where to move it. I'm not payed a cent to publish this, just spreading the word to people so they don't miss potentially a good chance to make some extra crypto like a lot of us did with UNI.

Still digging about it and to be honest I'm not 100% sure, so thread carefully.If I find red flag I will update topic to inform everyone and move this to scam accusations if that happens.


Code:
Domain Name: TRONLINK.ORG
Registry Domain ID: D402200000008814142-LROR
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.godaddy.com
Registrar URL: http://www.whois.godaddy.com
Updated Date: 2019-07-31T08:53:09Z
Creation Date: 2018-12-26T04:11:17Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2020-12-26T04:11:17Z
Registrar Registration Expiration Date:
Registrar: GoDaddy.com, LLC
Registrar IANA ID: 146
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: email@godaddy.com
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: +1.4806242505
Reseller:
Domain Status: clientDeleteProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientDeleteProhibited
Domain Status: clientRenewProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientRenewProhibited
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Domain Status: clientUpdateProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientUpdateProhibited
Registrant Organization: chiliZ Blockchain
Registrant State/Province:
Registrant Country: MT
Name Server: MEERA.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM
Name Server: JEROME.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM

As the title says Tron wallet is having a promotion where you can claim 300 credits as a reward for using the wallet and testing it, both on Android and IOS respectively.

Later those credits will be swapable for other cryptocurrencies like TRX, ETH, BTC or BTT, also users will have option to redeem credits for certain goods in the shop.

You can also invite your friends of course to spread the word about the wallets and for each friend you will be rewarded additional credit.





Here are the links for both wallets:


Tronlink: TRX & BTT Wallet  
Link na Tron wallet na IOS:  
 





TronLink Pro - The Best TRON Wallet
Link na TRON wallet na Google play:

4  Economy / Scam Accusations / [SCAM] Wolfage.finance DEFI SCAM!! on: September 07, 2020, 08:39:08 PM
What happened:: Wolfage.finance is running a DEFI presale project SCAM, paid some high profile trading groups with more then 20k members to hype them up as 50X potential project, they created all their social media including the website and github on 4th or on 7th September, plus they have plagiarised whitepaper with spelling mistakes in places where they wrote something themselves.They don't even have a roadmap. The "team" is completely anonymous and they are marketing this as a community driven project, they don't want to disclose any info related to "team".[/font]

Flag type 1: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=trust;flag=2349

Bitcointalk ANN: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5277214.msg55244814#msg55244814
Archived:https://archive.vn/5R1dJ

DO NOT JOIN THE PRESALE!! Screenshots down below:




Website: https://wolfage.finance/

Archived:https://archive.vn/U4HRl

Github:https://github.com/WolfageFinance/wolfage-finance-ecosystem

Archived: https://archive.vn/J2DBH

Code:
Domain Name: wolfage.finance
Registry Domain ID: c2700acd5a5b421f8462820a4d377498-DONUTS
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.tucows.com
Registrar URL: http://www.tucows.com
[color=red]Updated Date: 2020-09-04T12:41:09Z
Creation Date: 2020-09-04T12:08:02Z[/color]
Registry Expiry Date: 2021-09-04T12:08:02Z
Registrar: Tucows Domains Inc.
Registrar IANA ID: 69
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: email@tucows.com
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: 416.535.0123x1283
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Domain Status: clientUpdateProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientUpdateProhibited
Domain Status: addPeriod https://icann.org/epp#addPeriod
Registry Registrant ID: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Name: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Organization: Data Protected
Registrant Street: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant City: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant State/Province: ON
Registrant Postal Code: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Country: CA
Registrant Phone: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Phone Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Fax: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Fax Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Email: Please query the RDDS service of the Registrar of Record identified in this output for information on how to contact the Registrant, Admin, or Tech contact of the queried domain name.
Registry Admin ID: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Name: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Organization: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Street: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin City: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin State/Province: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Postal Code: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Country: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Phone: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Phone Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Fax: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Fax Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Admin Email: Please query the RDDS service of the Registrar of Record identified in this output for information on how to contact the Registrant, Admin, or Tech contact of the queried domain name.
Registry Tech ID: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Name: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Organization: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Street: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech City: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech State/Province: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Postal Code: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Country: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Phone: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Phone Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Fax: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Fax Ext: REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Tech Email: Please query the RDDS service of the Registrar of Record identified in this output for information on how to contact the Registrant, Admin, or Tech contact of the queried domain name.
Name Server: dns1.p07.nsone.net
Name Server: dns2.p07.nsone.net
Name Server: dns3.p07.nsone.net
Name Server: dns4.p07.nsone.net
DNSSEC: unsigned




Whitepaper has been copied from various sources as they are lazy , examples will be https://consensys.net/blockchain-use-cases/decentralized-finance/ and Defipulse.com and they have spelling mistakes where they actually wrote something themselves.










Screenshots of the dates of creations:[/size]






Screenshots of the TG trading channels promoting and hyping up the sale:  Probably didn't even check if it is a scam, just took the money to advertise the scam.

TG Groups promoting this scam:







My friends and I started diggin with alt accounts on TG and asking questions about plagiarised whitepaper, dates of creation and such.That created ruckus and other people started asking questions too. Bot started banning and restricting people, deleting question so it went quiet there really fast. Only their shillers and paid commentators are there asking generic questions about wallets, presale date and such.




EDIT: They announced the roadmap fast while I was creating the post so they look better.
5  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Stock-to-flow Model - Modeliranje vrijednosti Bitcoina na temelju rijetkosti on: September 06, 2020, 12:04:02 AM
Autor: fillippone
Originalna tema: Stock-to-Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity




Malo clanaka su imali toliko velik utjecaj na Bitcoin ekosustav kao clanak autora PlanB.
On je pokusao modelirati vrijednost Bitcoina koristeci Stock-to-Flow pristup.
Stock-to-Flow pristup nije nista novo u financijskom svijetu, koristi se jako dugo vezano za fizicke robe; takodjer je prvo primjenjen na Bitcoin od strane Saifedeana Ammousa u njegovoj knjizi "The Bitcoin Standard", koristeci ovaj pristup opisao je zasto je Bitcoin “superioran, konkretniji novac” u odnosu na fizicku robu I FIAT novac.
PlanB clanak je objavljen kasnije nego Saifedeanova knjiga, ali je imao veci ucinak: bio je specificno usmjeren ka odredjivanju Bitcoinove cijene i imao je izniman efekt u naglasavanju vaznosti halvinga za Bitcoin.

U trenutku objavljivanja PlanB clanka cijena Bitcoina je bila 3,400 americkih dolara.

U ovome topicu objasnit cu neke od zabluda o ovome clanku, odgovarajuci na nekoliko cesto postavljenih pitanja, proucavajuci kritike prema ovom modelu i daljnji razvoj istoga.


Link na originalni clanak:

Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity




Quote
Uvod:

Satoshi Nakamoto objavio je tehničku dokumentaciju Bitcoina 31. listopada 2008. [1], kreirao početni genesis blok 3. siječnja 2009. i objavio izvorni kod 8. siječnja 2009. Time je započelo putovanje  koje vodi do Bitcoin trzista vrijednog 70 milijardi USD.
Bitcoin je prvi rijetki digitalni objekt ikada viđen. Rijedak je poput srebra i zlata te se može slati putem interneta, radija, satelita itd.

“Kao misaoni eksperiment, zamislite da postoji temeljni metal rijedak poput zlata sa sljedećim karakteristikama: dosadno sive boje, neadekvatan kao električni vodič, nije posebno čvrst[…], beskoristan za bilo koju praktičnu ili dekorativnu svrhu… s jednom posebnom, carobnom karakteristikom: može se slati preko komunikacijskog kanala.”- Nakamoto
Zasigurno ova digitalna rijetkost ima vrijednost.No koliku?U ovom clanku odredjujem rijetkost koristeci Stock-to-Flow model, i koristim Stock-to-Flow u svrhu modeliranja Bitcoinove same cijene.


31 prijevod je vec objavljen, slijedi jos prijevoda na drugim jezicima (Dodat cu ih ovdje).

Arabic
Armenian
Bulgarian
Chinese
Croatian
Czech
Dutch
Finnish
French
Frisian
German
Georgian
Greek
Gujarati
Hebrew
Hindi
Indonesian
Italian
Japanese
Korean
Norwegian
Persian
Polish
Portuguese
Romanian
Russian
Slovenian
Spanish
Swedish
Turkish
Vietnamese


Stock-to-Flow cijena uzivo:
Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model uzivo



Prikaz Stock-to-Flow modela uzivo:
Bitcoin SF Analiza by @hansolar21



F.A.Q.

Puno je pitanja o Stock-to-Flow modelu. Na mnoga je vec odgovor poznat u raznim podcastima( izvori nakon odgovora). Ovdje cu kopirati pitaja koje se najcesce ponavljaju, koristit cu rijeci PlanaBe da opisem odgovor, te pritom dodati neka od mojih razmatranja u slucaju da smatram da je potrebno.

Q1.
Quote
Stephan Livera: Pretpostavljam da je jedan od faktora koji se ovdje treba uzeti u obzir i situacija u kojoj dodje do nagle promjene na trzistu i dodje do precjenjivanja te potom do podcjenjivanja vrijednosti. Mozemo li razgovarati malo o tome?

A1.
Quote
PlanB: Apsolutno.Mozda kad budemo razgovarali o modelu samom, vidjet cete da nema 100% preciznost, naravno, zato i je model; dakle sve FOMO akcije, bull market i strah za vrijeme bear marketa nisu uracunate u model i to se reflektira na grafikonu trgovanja(trading chart). Dakle cijena iz modela je jednostavna, bazirana na Stock-to-Flow; no pravo stanje na trzistu, naravo, gdje se odigrava igra pohlepe i straha, dovodi do precjenjivanja ili podcjenjivanja vrijednosti. Obicno sto vidimo…”obicno,” pritom mislim na zadnja 2 puta kada se to dogodilo... je da vrijedost na trzistu ode 3-10x vise od vrijednosti u samom modelu, ali padne 50% maksimalno, tako da je to jedan od razloga zbog kojih sam pomislio, “Ok, ako je danas vrijednost na trzistu 6000 USD ili malo vise i prati model, 50% od toga je 3000 USD i to bi trebalo biti dno trenutnog bear trzista. Tako ja to osobno vidim.
SLP67


Q2.
Quote
Je li halving vec uracunat u cijenu?” I mislim da ovo o tome gdje stojis u ostalim debatama, npr. Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). Dakle, kao Ausrijanac, i cak kao Saifedean glavom i bradom, je mislim komentirao nesto slicno rekavsi, “ Gledaj, znanje nije dano svima jednako, te ne bi trebali predvidjati da ono sto bi se moglo nazvati jakim oblikom EMH, ili mozda slabim oblikom EMH, nije dobar nacin razmisljanja o tim stvarima,” ali opet postoje oni iz Chicago skole i drugih skola misli koji su skloniji vise vjerovati u to.Gdje ti sebe svrstavas po tome pitanju?
A2.
Quote
PlanB: To je vrlo zanimljiv argument. Zapravo, to je jedan od mojih prvih chartova(grafikona trgovanja Cheesy ), sa color overlayem; prikazuje cijenu Bitcoina mjesecima do sljedecg halving; mozes jasno vidjeti iz charta da halving nije uracunat u cijenu, ili barem nije bio uracunat posljednja dva halvinga.Stoga, najbolji odgovor koji ti mogu dati je da nije uracunat trenutno,  sljedeci halving u svibanju 2020, po efficient market hypothesis(EHM). Na neki nacin je cudno.Trebao bi biti uracunat , naravno. Zapravo, ja sam veliki pobornik efficient market hypothesisa(EHM), ili barem mislim da bi trebao biti koristen kao prva pocetna tocka za vecinu ljudi koji nemaju pristup inside informacijama, specijalizirano znanje, ili veliku sobu za trading operacije. Efficient market cijena je najbolja cijena na koju se takvi ljudi mogu osloniti i to posebno vrijedi u situaciji kada je trziste veliko, likvidno i ucinkovito, te mislim da to vrijedi i za Bitcoin u sustini.To je trziste od 80 milijardi americkih dolara.
SLP67



Q3.

Quote
Stephan Livera:[...]“O, moze li se Stock-to-Flow analiza ili modeliranje primjeniti na altcoine?” [...]"
A3.
Quote
PlanB: Ok, to je najcesce pitanje koje me pitaju, moze li se napraviti Stock-to-Flow model za Litecoin ili B Cash ili Ethereum.Idemo zaronit malo dublje ispod povrsine. Stvar je da je Stock-to-Flow analiza bazirana na cinjenici da se ne moze krivotvoriti dragocjenost.Mozda da odemo jedan korak nazad za ljude koji nas prvi puta slusaju.Stock-to-Flow je zaliha, rezerva ili nesto poput 17 miliona Bitcoina, skoro 18 miliona u zalihi, i to se dijeli s proizvodnjom, opticajem(FLOW), dakle stock-to-flow, a proizvodnja, opticaj(flow) je zastita. I to je otprilike 0.7 miliona bitcoina godisnje trenutno. Ako podijelis to dvoje medjusobno dobijes broj 25, 25 je stock-to-flow broj za Bitcoin..

PlanB: I nije samo broj, mislim ja sam to nazvao rijetkost, kvantitativna mjera rijetkosti u clanku, ali zapravo kljuc stock-to-flowa je da proizvodnja ne moze povecati zalihu.Ako je zaliha dovoljno velika i proizvodnja nije restriktirana onda proizvodnja i proizvodjaci mogu napuhati zalihu.Znamo kakvi se problemi pojave kad pojedicni ili tvrtke imaju dopustenje da „napusu“ zalihe. Pogledaj Zimbabve npr.gdje Mugabe moze printati i printao je koliko god je htio sa katastrofalnim ucincima na ekonomiju.Ista stvar sa Madurom u Venezueli.Isto se moze reci i za americki dolar i euro u ovom trenutku sa kvantitativnim popustanjem.Svi printaju...Ne bih trebao reci printanje, nego stvaranje dolara, eura i jena da spase banke i cijele ekonomije.

PlanB: Dakle, cinjenica da proizvodnja ne moze povecati zalihu je kljuc, stock-to-flow upravo pokusava sprijeciti ono sto vidimo s fiat valutama u Zimbabveu i Venezueli i trenutno s kvantitativnim popustanjem.Ako to primjenimo na kripto onda nesto poput decentralizacije postaje iznimno vazno.Ako jedna osoba, tvrtka ili drzava moze promijeniti monetarnu politiku, to nije decentralizacija.Tada proizvodjac, jedna osoba, vlada ili tvrtka mogu napraviti vise novcica i povecati(napuhati) zalihu.

PlanB: Na primjer, Ripple. CEO Rippla moze preminati novih 100 milijardi rippla ako pozeli.Ako pogledas Ethereum isto, nisu imali  gornje granice na zalihu Ethereuma i sada su to promijenili. Dakle mijenjanju kolicicninu zalihe novca.Nije ono sto je bila, niti ono sto ce biti, ali cinjenica da je mogu mijenjati je...No to je stvar koja bi me zabrinjavala da sam ulagac.To je potpuno drugacije s Bitcoinom.Bitcoin, imate pravu peer-to-peer mrezu s mnogo nodova(cvorista Cheesy),  mozete utvrditi i potvrditi zalihu novca sami.Niste ovisni o nekom nezavisnom poput banke, neke tvrtke ili data centra da vam kaze kolika je zaliha novca.

PlanB: Ne mozete promijenit zalihu novca ili promijeniti taj carobni broj od 21 milijuna novcica, a ako to i ucinite zapravo se hard-forkate od Bitcoina i vjerojatno vas nitko nece slijediti.Nesto poput Bitcoin Casha sa velikim blokovima.Mozete to uciniti, no ne ocekujte da ce vas ljudi slijediti.Mozda posljednja stvar za spomenuti je da s teoretske strane stock-to-flow modela za Altcoine, novac mora biti tesko proizvodiv, skup proces poput proizvodnje zlata.Ima mnogo zlata u oceanima, cak sam i citao clanak o asteroidu nedavno, zlatnom asteroidu.

PlanB: Bilo bi skupo rudariti to zlato u oceanu ili na asteroidima i to je to sto sprijecava da se to i radi pretpostavljam.Isto vrijedi za Bitcoin.Ima hash-baziran dokaz o radu s vrlo visokim hash rateom.Zato struja kosta puno kad se rudari bitcoine i to je potpuno drugacije kod mnogo altcoina.Na primjer, Ripple nema dokaz o radu ili Bitcoin cash skoro pa nema hash rate, dakle nemaju sigurnost.To bi mene ucinilo nervoznim da ulazem u altcoine i za ljude koji bi zeljeli znati vise o ovome , Nick Szabo je covjek koji je izmislio termin nekrivotvoriva dragocjenost i detaljno ga opisao.Pobrinite se da to procitate.

PlanB: Uz ovaj teoretski argument o nekrivotvorivoj dragocjenosti, odlucio sam donekle protiv svoje volje jer je bila velika potraznja, napraviti stock-to-flow modele za altcoine.Samo da vidimo jel bi to bilo moguce izvesti.To je zapravo jedna od stvari koju trenutno istrazujem s timom kvantnih analiticara.Vec vam mogu otkriti dio rezultata i vec samo malo tweetao o tome.Svi altocini imaju jako niske R na kvadrat vrijednosti , pa modeli na pristaju bas dobro.Na primjer Litecoin je prilicno zanimljiv jer je uskoro ima halving.Litecoin ima R na kvadrat od 32%. To je u odnosu na Botcoinov od 95% jako nisko. Zapravo kaze da nema korelacije.Isto vrijedi za Ethereumovih 50% R na kvadrat.Novcici poput DCR, Decreda imaju 0% R na kvadrat.

PlanB: Dakle teoretski argument o nekrivotvorivoj dragocjenosti vas vec pripremi na cinjenicu da nije moguce napraviti model za altcoine, no kada ga napravite pokaze vam da rezultati takvih stock-to-flow modela uopce nisu dobri. [...]
SLP86

Nekoliko grafova za altcoine: Ocito vidi se manjak korelacije ( i kointegracije) izmedju SF i vrijednosti:


Q4.
Quote
Stephan Livera: Fascinantno.Ova tablica koji imas, samo za slusatelje, pokazuje godinu, halving i cijenu predvidjenu modelom.Dakle rekao si 50,000, 400,000 i onda 3.2 milijuna za halving 2028. Sad, ako uzmemo da stock-to-flow modeliranje funkcionira, imas li ikakvih ideja koliko ciklusa bi ovo moglo funkcionirati?
A4.
Quote
PlanB: To je isto rasprava na Twitteru, mnogo pitanja upravo o toj beskonacnoj vrijednosti.Ako gledas tablicu, mozemo ici sve do 2140. kada opskrba postaje 0, kada vise nema novih bitcoina, samo naknade. Te teoretska vrijednost Stock-To-Flow modela bi bila beskonacna.Kako je to moguce?U principu mislim da je ovo potpuno teoretski argument, a ja sam vrlo praktican covjek.Ako pogledas samo 3 sljedeca halvinga, sad smo na 100, 200 milijardi USD trzisne vrijednosti.Svaki halving trziste naraste 10X.Nakon 2020. idemo na 1 trilion, nakon 2024. na 10 triliona.Nakon 2028., dakle treci halving idemo na 100 triliona americkih dolara, otuda moje ime, moj Twitter nadimak.

PlanB: Mislim da ne moramo cekati 2140, prije nego se model srusi ili se barem nesto srusi.Mislim da ce do toga doci prije nego mislimo.Mislim da ce do toga doci mozda 2024.Negdje Izmedju 2024. i 2028. zato sto je rast od 10 do 100 triliona USD ogroman ako to usporedimo s americkim dolarom.Ima monetarnu bazu od 3 triliona i mislim M2 od otprilike 12 do 14 triliona.To znaci da ce negdje izmedju 2024. i 2028., bitcoin biti veci od americkog dolara.U principu znaci da ce americki dolar umrijeti i mjerit cemo sve u Bitcoinu.

Stephan Livera: Vrlo bullish.
SLP86

Evo slike koja prikazuje na sto se referiraju u tekstu iznad:


Twitter link


Kada je Satoshi odredio da ce zaliha BTCa biti makismalno 21 milijun temeljeci to na pretpostavkama vezanim za totalnu zalihu novca, zakljucio je da ako zeli izjednaciti taj limit i s Bitcoinom, tada satoshi, najmanja jedinica bitcoina, bi imala vrijednost 1 centa, minimalna prakticna jedinica racuna.To je impliciralo da jedan bitcoin ima vrijednost 1 milijun.(Hal Finney- link) je bio ukljucen u donosenju ove odluke.
Da cijena Bitcoina naraste preko ovog limita potrebno je da americki dolar izgubi na vrijednosti: poslije odredjene tocke u vremenu Bitcoinu cijena prestaje rasti, ali americkom dolaru pocinje padati.Kada Bitcoin bude vrijedio 3,200,000 USD litra miljeka ce mozda kostati 50 USD: mjeriti cemo cijene sa sve kracim i kracim metrom.
 

Nezavisna revizija Stock-To-Flow modela:

  • Kvantificiranje nesigurnosti u Bitcoinovom Stock-To-Flow modelu
    Quote
    Linearna regresija zapisa vrijednosti izgleda razumna, ali dovoljno velika nesigurnost( varijabilnost / greska), posebno na linearnoj ljestvici, cini teskim donosenje specificnih predvidjanja.No i to je samo po sebi korisna informacija.

  • Krivotvorenje Stock-To-Flowa modela kod modeliranja Bitcoinove vrijednosti

    Quote
    Ovaj clanak istrazuje postoji li veza stock-to-flow modela s vrijednosti Bitcoina.Predlozeni zapis-zapis model je testiran na statisticku tocnost u odnosu na “least squares“ pretpostavke, na stacionarnost u svakoj varijabli i na potencijalne nepouzdane veze. Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) je stvoren i testiran u odnosu na originalni stock-to-flow model.Iako neki od ovih modela funkcioniraju bolje od originalnog modela u terminima Akaike Information Criteria, svi dozivljavaju nesupjeh u pokusaj da invalidiraju hipotezu da je stock-to-flow model vazan ne-nepouzdan alat za predvidjanje vrijednosti Bitcoina.


Podcasti u kojima PlanB raspravlja o svom clanku:


Stock-To-Flow reference u drugim kontekstima:

  • Drzavna Njemacka banka kaze da ce Bitcoin skociti na  $90,000 u 2020

    Quote
    Njemacka banka BayernLB je objaviila izvjestaj o Bitcoinu(BTC) vs zlato, u kojem predvidja veliki skok za kriptovalute u 2020.

    Bitcoin zasjenjuje zlato?
    1. listopada drzavna banka iz Minhena je objavila istrazivanje koje naznacuje da nadolazeci Bitcoin halving jos nije uracunat u sadasnju cijenu od 8,300 USD.

    Financijska institucija je objasnila da je zlato moralo “zaraditi“ svoj visoki stock-to-flow omjer “mukotrpno kroz tisucljece.“dok ce Bitcoin najvjerojatnije uspjeti dostici slican stock-to-flow omjer poput zlata u sljedecoj godini, predvidja izvjestaj.

    Direktan link na spomenuto istrazivanje:
      Zasjenjuje li Bitcoin zlato?




6  Economy / Scam Accusations / [Scam] Investbitgain.com on: September 03, 2020, 08:55:35 PM
What happened:: Fake Cloud mining website offering up to 30% return after 7 days for example.

They claim to make all of their profits from cloud mining and that way they repay the customers this crazy returns they are promising...Clearly a scam. I even made account to login and it the same garbage there too.Unrealistic returns all the way.



Archived : https://archive.vn/bzK9J

Code:
Domain Name: INVESTBITGAIN.COM
Registry Domain ID: 2546670554_DOMAIN_COM-VRSN
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: http://www.namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2020-07-17T14:34:41Z
Creation Date: 2020-07-17T14:34:26Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2021-07-17T14:34:26Z
Registrar: NameCheap, Inc.
Registrar IANA ID: 1068
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: abuse@namecheap.com
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: +1.6613102107
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Name Server: DNS1.NAMECHEAPHOSTING.COM
Name Server: DNS2.NAMECHEAPHOSTING.COM
DNSSEC: unsigned
URL of the ICANN Whois Inaccuracy Complaint Form: https://www.icann.org/wicf/
>>> Last update of whois database: 2020-09-03T20:48:20Z <<<
7  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Kako instalirati i kako koristiti: ~snip~ on: August 19, 2020, 11:30:32 PM
Bas sam neki dan trazio kako se dobije taj famozni ~snip~ kojim se zamjenjuje hrpa quotova. Postao sam umoran od brisanja quota na quote na quote rucno, pri odgovaranju na neke postove.

Vidio sam da se koristi no mislio da ljudi to samo napisu rucno, no eto sva sreca pa sam isao malo pretraziti forum i nasao da je to zapravo skripta koju se instalira i olaksa si zivot.

Znam da vas vecina to vjerojatno vec ima, ali isto tako znam da ima i ovakvih kao ja koji jos nisu to otkrili.



Stoga evo kratki tutorial kako si instalirati skritpu:

Instalirajte Tampermonkey na Chromeu ili Brave-u, Greasemonkey na Firefoxu ili Violentmonkey na Operi.

Provjerite da je monkey enabled.

Nakon toga instalirajte ovu skriptu: https://openuserjs.org/scripts/EcuaMobi/Quote_plus. Nakon sto otvorite link ako vam je jedan od monkeya koji koristite enabled, samo kliknete na install i to je to.

Ovdje mozete vidjeti source code: https://openuserjs.org/scripts/EcuaMobi/Quote_plus/source

Na ovom topic od @EcuaMobi mozete vidjeti vise detalja: User Script: Automatically remove nested quotes v1.1.1




Evo i prikaza kako to izgleda u akciji:


1.Post koji zelite quotati:



2.Full text opcija sa preview-om:




3.Latest quote opcija s preview-om:



4. ~snip~ opcija s preview-om:


8  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Reportajte postove bez Merita - Merit Sourcevima on: August 14, 2020, 01:41:34 AM
Odlucio sam otvoriti ovaj topic jer vidim da skoro nitko s naseg lokalnog dijela foruma ne koristi ovaj topic od @LoyceV:


Report unmerited good posts to Merit Source by @LoyceV


Ovaj topic i inicijativa je odlicna za local board kao nas buduci da nam nedostaje merit sourceva i da se ljudi cesto zale da nemaju dovoljno merita, pa se ovo moze iskoristiti kao neka zamjena ili painkiller dok ne dobijemo jos koji merit source.
Evo ukratko modificirani prijevod da i oni koji nisu vicni engleskom lakse skuze o cemu se radi i koja su pravila:
 

Pravila:

Nemojte postati teme ili postove koji su samo prijevod vec postojece teme ili website.

Postajte link na dobar post koji jos nije primio merit.
Dodatak ovom pravilu: mozete postati post koji nema merit i nakon sto dobije merit, date mu onda merit i vi.

Smijete postati i vlastite postove.

Ako postate postove na jeziku koji nije Engleski navedite na kojem jeziku je linkani post.

Olaksajte posao Merit Sourcevima i koristite ovaj format:

Code:
[b][url=https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1234.msg1234#1234]TITLE[/url][/b]
Description : <optional, but either description or category must exist>
Category : <optional> {guide, opinion, news, question, technical question, technical answer, share technical improvement/upgrade, etc.}
Section : <optional>
(quote edited a bit)

Example :
Quote
Re: Math problem regarding recovery seed
Description : Short code to get valid recovery seed from shuffled recovery seed
Category : Guide, technical answer
Section : Bitcoin Technical Support

Ako budete spamali ovu temu s beskorisnim postovima @LoyceV ce obrisati vase postove i staviti vas na ignore listu.Ignore listu s ignoriranim korisnicima ce objaviti na ovoj temi.
Ako ste na @LoyceV-ovoj ignore listi vec otprije, samo ce izbrisati vase postove.
Cilj ove inicijative je naci kvalitetne postove korisnika koji ne zasluzuju biti usporeni ili blokirani na putu da postignu veci rank radi manjka merita.

Merit sources
Ako zelite pomoci , dodajte @LoyceV-ovu temu na watch list ili postajte na ovoj temi da vam se automatski doda na watch listu ako ste Podesili svoje postove u opcijama da budu Auto-Watched. Ako postate na temi iako ste i sami Merit Source nece vam se brisati post.


I posljednja molba od @LoyceV-a : Suzdrzite se zlouporabe ove teme!

P.S. Ako imate ideju za bolji naslov za ovu temu predlozite, mislim da se moze staviti bolji naslov nego ovaj, ali mozak mi ne radi najbolje trenutno.

P.P.S. Provjerite radi li vam link za podesavanje watch liste iz mog posta, patio sam se njim 10tak minuta i jos uvijek nisam siguran radi li kako treba, ako ne radi pomozite da proradi Cheesy
9  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Super Merit Table - Gdje ste potrosili/dobili sav svoj merit by bitmover on: August 14, 2020, 12:21:14 AM
Evo prijevod posta sa engleskog dijela foruma od korisnika bitmover, radi se o alatu koji vam pokazuje gdje ste potrosili i primili sav svoj merit.

Koristio sam podatke od DdmrDdmr i ovaj put te stvorio ovaj fora alat.

Ovdje mozete vidjeti gdje je bilo koji clan foruma potrosio ili dobio sav svoj merit, sortirano po boardovima.

Samo koristite trazilicu kako biste pronasli vlastito korisnicko ime.Nakon toga cete vidjeti tablicu s boardovima s prikazom potrosenih i dobivenih merita sortiranu po boardovima.



https://bitcoindata.science/supertable.html



Meni se alat svidja i prilicno je koristan. Nekad moze potrajati loadanje, no budite strpljivi (cijela baza podataka ce se loadati).
10  Other / Beginners & Help / [GUIDE]: How To Setup Stop-Loss order and other types of orders on: July 29, 2020, 01:18:06 PM
I see a lot of people asking about it and a lot of them are confused so made this as simple as possible.

Just a quick video showing how to setup stop-loss order to to prevent unwanted and unexpected loss while trading. Quick and easy guide with basic information.








Here is a good thread by @GreatArkansas about Stop-loss orders, you should check that out too:


Two more useful links shared by @lobat999 about a Stop-limit order and OCO (One-Cancels-the-Other) orders:


One more useful thread with short summaries about each type of orders by @nelson4lov:

11  Economy / Scam Accusations / (SCAM ALERT) TRON BANK on: July 29, 2020, 12:46:39 PM
What happened: I started seeing this referrals and decided to investigate. It is a classic scam offering 25% returns daily and 750% per month... They have Telegram group and it seems that balance on the contract is rising still, so either people are sending their tokens or scammers are doing this by themselves to trick people and make them think that lots of people are doing it. So better to try to warn people about it.


Code:
Domain Profile
Registrant Whois Privacy
Registrant Org Private by Design, LLC
Registrant Country us
Registrar Porkbun LLC
IANA ID: 1861
URL: http://www.porkbun.com,http://porkbun.com
Whois Server: whois.porkbun.com

(p)
Registrar Status clientDeleteProhibited, clientTransferProhibited
Dates 13 days old
Created on 2020-07-16
Expires on 2021-07-16
Updated on 2020-07-16  
Name Servers DANIELLA.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM (has 20,594,966 domains)
KURT.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM (has 20,594,966 domains)
 
Tech Contact Whois Privacy
Private by Design, LLC
500 Westover Dr #9816,
Sanford, NC, 27330, us
(p)
IP Address 104.27.172.248 - 613 other sites hosted on this server
 
IP Location United States Of America - Texas - Dallas - Cloudflare Inc.
ASN United States Of America AS13335 CLOUDFLARENET, US (registered Jul 14, 2010)
Domain Status Registered And No Website
IP History 4 changes on 4 unique IP addresses over 15 years  
Registrar History 2 registrars with 2 drops  
Hosting History 3 changes on 3 unique name servers over 15 years

Archived: https://archive.vn/3uDHe




Link to the contract : https://tronscan.org/#/contract/TL7Ff4UTtkPLyzZVaE6p9xgQYKoY5CtUSK



Contract balance rising:



I have contacted the owner on Tg to try to dig a bit and see what can be found.Will update if I get any response.

Here's the profile of the group owner:

12  Economy / Scam Accusations / (SCAM ALERT) Crypto-fist.ltd on: July 14, 2020, 12:22:59 PM
Ran into this on Telegram and it seems it is circulating on quite a few groups, being spammed quite aggressively. Decided to put it up here in hopes that someone will see it who had intention to double their BTC, ETH, LTC...

Offering to double your investment in only 24h, obvious scam!

Code:
Domain Profile
Registrant REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
Registrant Org Domain Protection Services, Inc.
Registrant Country us
Registrar Name.com, Inc.
IANA ID: 625
URL: http://www.name.com
Whois Server: whois.name.com

(p)
Registrar Status clientTransferProhibited
Dates 9 days old
Created on 2020-07-05
Expires on 2021-07-05
Updated on 2020-07-10  
Name Servers DNS1.STORM-PRO.NET (has 694 domains)
DNS2.STORM-PRO.NET (has 694 domains)
 
Tech Contact REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
REDACTED FOR PRIVACY,
REDACTED FOR PRIVACY, REDACTED FOR PRIVACY, REDACTED FOR PRIVACY, REDACTED FOR PRIVACY
(p) (f)
IP Address 193.233.15.167 - -1 other site is hosted on this server
 
IP Location Russian Federation - Moskva - Moscow - Ooo Freenet Group
ASN Russian Federation AS51558 SMTLB-AS, LB (registered Sep 28, 2010)
Hosting History 1 change on 2 unique name servers over 0 year

Archived : https://archive.fo/5440S



The "investment plan" they are offering:




Their support email address is also not working:

support@crypto-fist.ltd



13  Economy / Scam Accusations / (SCAM) FM, Follow Me - Ponzi Scheme on: July 09, 2020, 10:12:30 PM
What happened: Ponzi scheme

Classic Ponzi


Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5261096.0

Archived: https://archive.fo/D7IY4

Scammer profile: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2827642

Github contract info: https://github.com/followmecontract/followmecontract.github.io
Archived:https://archive.vn/Vfv19
14  Economy / Scam Accusations / (SCAM) TetherDollars.com on: July 08, 2020, 09:35:53 PM
I have a few groups where people can freely share their referrals and I monitor them to remove scam projects and ban idiots who share that kind of stuff.

This one caught my eye and it is an obvious scam.

Project is tetherdollars.com and it is clearly a scam, you can see as soon as you scroll through their website. They are offering crazy returns, doubling and classic scam stuff.


Quote
Domain Name: TETHERDOLLARS.COM
Registry Domain ID: 2423189881_DOMAIN_COM-VRSN
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: http://www.namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2019-08-14T17:03:01Z
Creation Date: 2019-08-14T17:02:58Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2020-08-14T17:02:58Z
Registrar: NameCheap, Inc.
Registrar IANA ID: 1068
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: abuse@namecheap.com
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: +1.6613102107
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Name Server: DNS1.REGISTRAR-SERVERS.COM
Name Server: DNS2.REGISTRAR-SERVERS.COM
DNSSEC: unsigned
URL of the ICANN Whois Inaccuracy Complaint Form: https://www.icann.org/wicf/

Here are some snips of the website so you don't have to even open it yourself.



And snips of "investment" plans that they are so "generously" offering:

15  Economy / Scam Accusations / [SCAM] OpenAlexa.io on: May 23, 2020, 10:51:22 AM


Few days ago a guy was looking for CM's in few local boards for a project (topics are deleted now, so can't find them), his TG account is @sande123 , so I contacted him. Project is https://openalexa.io/en/basic# and it is clearly a scam, very bad one as you can see as soon as you scroll through their website.


Quote
Domain Name: OPENALEXA.IO
Registry Domain ID: D503300001183669403-LRMS
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.namecheap.com
Registrar URL: www.namecheap.com
Updated Date: 2020-04-23T20:16:37Z
Creation Date: 2020-03-30T14:50:29Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2025-03-30T14:50:29Z
Registrar Registration Expiration Date:
Registrar: NameCheap, Inc
Registrar IANA ID: 1068
Registrar Abuse Contact Email:
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: +1.6613102107
Reseller:
Domain Status: serverTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#serverTransferProhibited
Registrant Organization: WhoisGuard, Inc.
Registrant State/Province: Panama
Registrant Country: PA
Name Server: HANK.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM
Name Server: IRENA.NS.CLOUDFLARE.COM
DNSSEC: unsigned
URL of the ICANN Whois Inaccuracy Complaint Form is https://www.icann.org/wicf/






I have snaps from contacting them so I will list their TG accounts and some snaps, link to TG group and a smart contract they use.


TG group - https://t.me/joinchat/PsYQrxxKa_yLnwLVVVGUDg


Smart contract - https://etherscan.io/address/0x80e9540c204c05Be63cfE44b43302780175b60FF


I joined their TG group - https://t.me/joinchat/PsYQrxxKa_yLnwLVVVGUDg with an alt TG account so I can take some snaps and spy a bit Cheesy



TG accounts -

  • @sande123
  • @superstramped
  • @oliver_kent

Some snaps of the conversations:


@sande123 - also selling TG and FB followers that are most likely inactive/bots, plus you can see the wallet he uses in one of the snaps:






@superstramped - some kind of middleman or @sande123 2nd account:



@oliver_kent - admin in TG group or mod, or 3rd account of @sande123 as they never write back at the same time.





16  Economy / Economics / MakerDAO accepting USDC as collateral, liquidity issues on: March 18, 2020, 08:26:57 PM
As the topic name says, MakerDAO is accepting USDC now, despite USDC being competitor to MakerDAO’s stablecoin Dai, to fix its liquidity crisis.

Meaning you can use USDC as a collateral to get DAI in return. MakerDAO hopes this will increase the total liquidity within MakerDAO.

Because of this users of some services on top of Compound started getting USDC instead of DAI as payments.

In addition, on March 19 MakerDAO, will be selling of in an auction for cheaper price to alleviate the debt problem they are facing.

https://cryptoiq.co/makerdao-approves-usdc-as-collateral-even-though-it-is-a-competitor-due-to-liquidity-crisis/


Edited to add updates: Regarding auction of MakerDAO, Dharma along with crypto asset investment firm Paradigm pledged to cover as much as the entirety of the shortfall. Which are good news for DeFi and the future of DeFi.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/the-makerdao-auction-is-happening-heres-what-to-expect

https://twitter.com/Dharma_HQ/status/1238334502427975680

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