Bitcoin Forum
April 30, 2024, 08:53:17 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: [1]
1  Local / Трейдеры / Хэджирование биткоин-позиции опционами on: November 10, 2019, 12:54:20 PM
Короче, идея такая: покупаем BTC/USD объёмом 1 контракт, к примеру, за 8000, и тут же покупаем месячные PUT опционы на 1 BTC, пусть за 100. Биткоин чертовски волатилен, т.е. по-любому за месяц либо стрельнёт ввысь, либо упадёт на дно, а то и не раз, по крайней мере движения не менее 500$ можно ожидать. Если будет, например, 7500, то мы в убытке 100, а если 8500, то с прибылью 400. P/L = 4/1. А при движении в 1000$ P/L = 9/1!
В общем, в чём тут подвох, может кто-нибудь по-быстрому объяснить?
2  Local / Трейдеры / Низкорисковые стратегии on: March 24, 2019, 09:24:54 AM
Привет!
Какие есть низкорисковые стратегии торговли для криптовалют? Желательно не слишком сложные, то, что можно реализовать с использованием TradingView - что-нибудь типа парного трейдинга, возвращения к среднему и т.д. Ищу в инете, но конкретики почти нет, возможно, криптовалютный рынок настолько нестабильный, что такие стратегии здесь плохо работают, либо из-за какой-то другой специфики...
3  Economy / Trading Discussion / RoninAI - predictive analysis on the crypto markets based on AI and ML on: October 14, 2018, 10:46:08 AM
Hello. I would like to share you with my experience with RoninAI. It is a web service that gives signals for cryprotrading and investing based on artificial intelligence and machine learning. As far as I get they are from USA/Belarus, but I'm not sure. There is information about product and team on the site https://roninai.com/. They also have a twitter account. You can find few reviews about RoninAI from popular resources made during pre-start marketing campaign. From the FAQ:
Quote
RoninAi is a Software as a Service (SaaS) cryptocurrency trading aide that uses the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning to achieve outsized returns for its users no matter the market state. RoninAi uses complex machine learning techniques such as LSTM (long short-term memory) and time series data to offer dynamic portfolio allocations.

The service has been launched at September 25. They have 2 versions of product: "Pro Terminal" ($399/month) and "Investor Terminal" ($99/month). Before the start there was a pre-sale with prices 199 and 49 respectively. I bought the second one so can talk only about it. Here is a difference:
Quote
The Pro Terminal, however, has all of the benefits of the Investor Terminal, but its Ai takes more factors into account thanks to an increase of data that it receives. The Pro terminal also allows for more Portfolio allocation options.

Let's go to the most important. The UI contains 3 sections: Dashboard (the main one), Settings and FAQ.



At the settings you can subscribe to "Unusual market activity alerts" via email or/and sms:
Quote
Notifications when AI detects market manipulation/unusual market behavior before it affects the market
I had subscribed since from the beginning but not receive any notifications. In fact, there is no logs or indicators of unusual market activity so I cannot check out if there were not such an occasions or my alerts simply did not get to me.

Now about the Dashboard. RoninAI currently supports 5 cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, BCH, LTC, XRP:

Each one has the same tools:

1. Time before next data update. Actually, it updates every minute, so it would be enough only 60-seconds countdown.
2. Portfolio allocation ratio. For example, BTC 36% vs USD 64% means that you must hold 36% of your deposit in BTC. Pro Terminal users have available portfolio among all 5 currencies simultaneously. That ratio also may be considered as trading signals. Percent in BTC is confidence of BTC price growing. 50% means that AI not sure if price will go up or down, above 50% - raise, below 50% - decline. This is forecast for next 5-10 minutes and it updates with all other data (i.e. every minute).
3. Historical price chart. Contains current price, max, min and change for given time interval. Price is calculated based on quotes from few big cryptoexchanges.
4. Historical RoninAI forecast. This chart shows how RoninAI portfolio rebalancing strategy outperforms HODL strategy. I'm not sure it is supposed to be in use somehow, I guess it is here just as proof of concept.


As you see, the most interesting thing here is purple number that says us direction and probability of price moving. I had recording the example series of signals during 25-minute period:

It could be possible to collect much more statistics but I see no reason for that, such sample is quite enough. Unfortunatly, I could not come up with any strategy based on such signals, so actually I have no practical experience of using this service. I also not able to say how accurate forecast is, because it aims 5-10 minutes but updates every minute and can be changed to an opposite, so it is unclear how to measure accuracy - take first signal or some average or somehow else. May be someone will figure it out how to use RoninAI for trading or investing, then please let us know. What about me, I've demanded refund but they agreed only compensate me 50% of purchase (sad, but at least better than nothing).

Recently RoninAI guys have promised some greate updates in november and further future. Let's wish them success.
Thanks for attention!

PS: I tried to insert pictures, but they look like hyperlinks and have no previews... Anybody can help me with that?
4  Local / Трейдеры / Как поднимать 1% в день? on: July 28, 2018, 04:02:23 PM
Привет, народ. Я новичок, как поднимать 1% в день, есть простые способы? Или хотя бы 0.5%. Не тратя весь день, с как можно меньшими рисками. Без наработки годов опыта на бирже.
Pages: [1]
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!