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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Lessons from poker on: February 26, 2019, 12:05:36 PM
During the online poker boom of the mid-2000s, I played full-time for a few years.

I'd be hesitant to describe myself as a "pro"; I was young and not playing particularly high stakes. But I was churning out hands (playing 24 tables at once) and making an hourly well ahead of what anyone would pay me at the time.

Anyway, I haven't played poker (online) for many years now, but a lot of the lessons I learned during those years have served me well when sports betting. Here are three of them:

Don't be results orientated

Poker is very much a game of ups and downs. It is common for good moves to backfire and bad moves to pay off. Accordingly, it was extremely important to separate your actions from results. For instance, if I managed to get an opponent to bet all their chips against me with a worse hand, only for them to hit one of the only two cards in the deck they needed to beat me, I needed to keep my head up and acknowledge I'd done the right thing, despite losing.

But equally, if the roles were reversed, I couldn't celebrate knowing I'd made a bad play.

When it comes to sports betting, it is much the same. If I call a tight game between strong defences, bet on a 0-0 draw, and then watch a tight game finish 1-0 due to a freak goal out of nowhere, I know to tell myself that if I keep doing what I'm doing, I'll come out top in the long-run.

Information is power... but only if your opponent doesn't have it too

People who play poker a lot tend to run programs which provide thousands of statistics on their opponents. This is fine, and the information is great for informing decisions. But it becomes worthless if the other players has the same information, and knows I have this information. If the stats show a crazily aggressive opponent, but that opponent knows I have this information, they can easily adapt their game to fool me.

With sports betting, it is easy to get carried away with information. "Messi is injured so it makes sense to bet against Barcelona". Well, no, because obviously the bookmaker knows this too, and has already adapted their odds accordingly.


There's no system, only constant improvement

I eventually fell out of love with poker and stopped studying the game. My results quickly went downhill. It is the same with sports betting. Finding an edge is hard, but possible. The thing is even if you find one, don't bank on keeping it very long. For a couple of years, I had a lot of success betting on football from very obscure leagues. I had an algorithm which was great at spotting games where bookmakers had not priced up correctly. But very quickly this edge vanished, as the bookmakers improved their own pricing strategies.

Would love to hear from anyone else who played poker seriously online and now bets on sports...
2  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Gambling altcoins - are they fundamentally undervalued? on: February 06, 2019, 11:50:52 AM
Read an interesting article on gambling altcoins that I posted in the BTC gambling forum but was told I'd likely get more discussion here.

The article basically concluded that gambling alts (like FunFair, Edgeless, Wagerr etc.) are undervalued given that gambling is a key use case for cryptocurrencies.

Of course, FunFair at one point had a $900m+ marketcap (now just $21m).

Do you think these coins will bounce back? Will new ones emerge? Or do you think most people betting with crypto will stick with Bitcoin?

Here's the article: https://www.cryptogamblingnews.com/crypto-gambling-undervalued/
3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Are gambling altcoins undervalued? on: February 05, 2019, 04:42:15 PM
Came across an interesting article looking at gambling altcoins and their value versus the rest of the crypto market and other gambling companies.

The conclusion was that gambling alts (like FunFair, Edgeless, etc.) are undervalued given that gambling is a key use case for cryptocurrencies.

Of course, FunFair at one point had a $900m+ marketcap (now just $21m).

Do you think these coins will bounceback? Will new ones emerge? Or do you think most people betting with crypto will stick with Bitcoin?

Here's the article: https://www.cryptogamblingnews.com/crypto-gambling-undervalued/

4  Economy / Services / Crypto journalist wanted on: October 31, 2018, 01:25:14 PM
The role

  • Reporter for a soon-to-launch media project focusing on crypto exchanges
  • Writing breaking news on exchanges including Binance, Bittrex and HitBTC
  • Building relationships with key people at the major crypto exchanges
  • Pitching, researching and writing analytical articles exploring every angle of the crypto exchange environment

The candidate

  • A passion for and an in-depth knowledge of cryptocurrency exchanges
  • Some writing experience preferred
  • We are not looking for a content mill; we'd rather someone who is great at coming up with interesting takes on the key issues facing the users of crypto exchanges

Specs

  • Part-time, ongoing role. We want someone who can commit to around 3 hours per day
  • Work remotely, and we are happy to be flexible
  • The successful candidate will undertake an initial (paid) one-month trial, with a view to assuming the position on an ongoing basis
  • Salary: $1,000 / month
  • Part of a small team with an opportunity for quick progression

If you are interested, please DM me or post your Telegram / Skype and we will reach out.
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