[1/ write ONLY optimistic predictions]

Merits are extremely overrated and useless (my opinion) but since I see quite many folks here begging for merits, today I will give you the best advice ever. Finally you will get your 10 merits within a week (guaranteed)!!

Pretty simple.

Visit this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.510540

This thread is very active and many drunk people post daily. Many of them have unlimited smerits to give to others.

1/ write ONLY optimistic predictions (the crazier the better). For example: if you think BTC price will be 15k next month, write 75k instead.
2/ posts do not need to be constructive or smart, keep it very simple but extremely BULLISH (key word here) so you can have more success.
3/ post GIF or a meme, some funny stuff, or again some very bullish stuff. A meme or GIF #TOTHEMOON can be very effective.
4/ the easier to understand, the better. And the shorter the better. Remember this is 2019: short attention span era.
5/ post more during drinking time (typically Friday and Saturday night, but I guess Thursday also works). Many people tend to be more generous when drinking.

Cannot guarantee all your posts will get merits, but you will get used to the atmosphere of this thread, if you are smart enough you will do good (maybe smart is not the appropriate word but you get the point).

I believe in you   please come back for more advice if needed. I wish you the best of luck and a wonderful weekend!!!

[down]

Hi folks,

If any admin or moderator reads this. We need someone to clean up this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg53200714#msg53200714

At the beginning I really liked this thread, whenever I made a optimistic prediction it was well received (got merits even though I couldn't care less about my merits count). It was all good..... until I started to state that I trade for 20% or 30% profit.

I cannot list all the posts, but it was even worse when I started to share my opinions about down trends. Just on this page https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg53200714#msg53200714  I am personally attacked for my opinions ("retard", "clown", "troll").

Is it acceptable?

Bottom line: make bullish predictions, you will be glorified, make bearish predictions you will be verbally assaulted by people way too much involved emotionally.

Would appreciate if there is a moderator fully dedicated to this thread as it is usually pretty active daily.

Thanks.  



PS: those attempts at intimidation will obviously not affect my predictions which are based on facts. I always remain unbiased and it's certainly not my fault if the market is bearish for at least two more years.

Thought it could be a flat ABC but looks like it's a zigzag.




For those who didn't follow the Elliott Wave analysis, this is a typical tool used for trading, very well known and successful, we are clearly seeing this at the moment:



I would say possible price 4k next year, maybe 3k if C point is in line with the top of wave 3, but it's too tough to call exact prices.

Anyway, bear trend is crystal clear.

There is always a possibility to break above 12k, which would change the whole trend but this is not likely at all (unfortunately).

The best thing for Bitcoin would be to go back to 1k, that would be very healthy and a good chance to accumulate Bitcoin, but there would be panic and most of you would not buy (I would!!).

Going back to 1k is possible but it's gambling at this stage. On the other hand going back to 4k is very likely (my humble opinion).

There should be a bounce back to 9k area soon but the trend is clearly showing a 4k price for next year. Please forget about the halving by the way this is a delusional bet.

I for once place a sell order at 9k and wait for next year scenario but a price of 1k would be fantastic. That's a very long term scenario though. I would even say 1k would be necessary for another big peak at 20k (and possibly above).



I make this thread self moderated but the Belgian guy is allowed to post as long as he doesn't predict a price of 25k for end of December   I promise I won't delete anyway  


@ another guy who a few days ago called the zigzag ABC correction. kudos to you (sorry forgot the username).



Constructive opinions always welcome  

Advice for short term investors.

Of course long term holders will not care, but a bounce back is expected towards 9k.

There is a very strong support at 6.4k.

This support at 6.4k is very important, if we get below it will be very ugly, but right now it's likely that this support holds.

That is a circa 30% profit expected for February or March 2020.

Looking good for now. Every investment is risky but the risk is quite low in my opinion.

Do your own research and invest what you can afford to lose.

Best of luck.

Odds: 1.60 on Betfair (American odds -166).

Very nice odds, all serious predictions from experienced traders predict a price between 6.5k to 8.5k.

That's free money for me. I bet 3 digits on this.

Best of luck.

Tail or fade, up to you. This is a copy/paste, the author authorizes to share these tips publicly.



Brazil: Serie A :


Flamengo have 5 games left to play, everyone else playing this weekend has 6, so 18 points still up for grabs as a maximum.

Top 4 qualify for Copa Libertadores group stage, next two for the Copa second stage and the following six team will play Copa Sudamericana next season, Athletico Paranaense are exempt from these calculations as they already have a Copa Libertadores group stage spot courtesy of winning the Copa do Brasil, so, for example, if they finish top six, places down to 7th will qualify for Copa Libertadores. Bottom four are relegated.

Tie breakers are points, number of wins, goal difference, goals scored, h2h ................in that order.

A few words about all the Saturday/Sunday games.......


Fluminense- Atletico Mineiro


Fluminense are 17th, one point from safety, but we have spoken of them often as having more ability/talent than most teams we usually find near the foot of the table at this stage of the season and they are top scorers amongst the bottom 7. Back in September I wrote .......... Flu's last two home starts illustrate what they are capable of and their unpredictable nature, they beat Copa Libertadores contenders Internacional 2-1 and lost 1-0 to struggling CSA, in the first they "won" attempts 22-15, on target 6-4, big chances 3-1, hit woodwork 1-0 , attempts inside box 14-5, passes 640-412 , completions 89%-84%, in the second, for the same categories they were 33-5, 12-3, 3-0, 1-0, 16-3, 686-344, 91%-73%. They were worthy winners of the first and could not lose the second with those numbers again even if they tried ! Looking at their stats for the 15 games played it is difficult not to see them as midtable level.

Atletico are six points above the drop zone and whilst they have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 , they have collected 5 points from the three most recent to stop the rot and end a dire run of results. AMG were 4th with six wins through ten rounds, subsequently they went 4-4-11 (1X2) scoring at the rate of 0.95 goals per game, until the very recent upturn. They are winless in 11 on the road, scoring just 7 goals and I doubt they can match the motivation of Flu today, especially given that the host entertain second placed Palmeiras in their next home start.

Flu are good, or maybe it is more true to say, at their best, through the middle third of games, they have scored 12 goals between the 31st and 45th minute, with 18 of 32 coming during the 31st- 60th period, 10/16 through this third of the game in home starts. This gives an interesting angle to "in play" betting, with AMG having a 1-6 goal difference on the road between the 31st and 45th minute.


In running options are "obvious", but I will suggest 2 units Fluminense -0.5 ball 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket.


Santos- Sao Paulo

This is a derby fixture with only 70 km separating the two teams. Santos are 3rd eight points clear of 4th and with absolutely no reason to play for anything other than the win. SP are 5th, four points adrift of 4th and three ahead of Inter and Corinthians the other teams battling for Copa spots and those two meet in SP today.

Santos are traditionally strong at home, with a 62-18-11 (1X2) record and 63.1% win rate since the start of 2015, scoring an average of 1.86 goals across those 91 games. They tend to start on the front foot too, with a 17-4 home first half goal difference this season. SP have only conceded 12 away goals all season, but 7 have come before the break and they trailed at HT in derby games with both Corinthians (1-0) and Palmeiras (2-0). Santos have looked the better team this season and the league table agrees, albeit maybe not to the same level as what we have seen with our own eyes, typical of some comments about them were the following from the first of an early season trio of games (league and cup) with Bahia ............. Bahia got into the SP area FAR too easily and the movement of the visiting forwards was too slick and quick for the home backline and defenders were losing their man time and time again.
There has been far too little substance in the SP attacks, as they are set up to (overly) protect that backline , they have failed to score in 7/12 starts and in the first half in just one of nine games, with Santos so strong at home before the break, that feels like the best way to approach this.

1.75 units Santos -0.5 ball 2.79 first half betting asian line/Sportmarket.


Corinthians - Internacional


These two are tied on 49 points, they are six clear of Bahia in 8th, so at least one should qualify for Copa Libertadores, with currently 6th placed Athletico Paranaense out of the equation ( see above). Inter hold the edge by virtue of having won two more games than Corinthians.

Easy to see this being a tight hard fought encounter given the league positions, how these two play and what is at stake and the last 20 h2h meetings have averaged 1.95 goals and only one has produced more than three goals, so a shoot out would surprise. Not a game I like or have any strong feelings about , so I will leave it there.


Gremio- Flamengo


This is the fixture I touched upon in midweek, ahead of Flamengo's derby with Vasco ..............

The Clássico dos Milhões is one of the biggest derby games in Brazil and will be the last Rio derby for either team this season. Champions elect Flamengo have a 10 point lead at the top of the table and an awesome home record, going 31-3-4 here in their last 38 starts in the league, which is an astonishing 81.58% win rate. Of those 31 wins, 19 have come along with a clean sheet, 10 by conceding a single goal and two with two goals allowed and,  21 by 2+ , meaning that they have won 55.26% of those 38 games by at least two goals. That suggests they are value today at odds of close to evens to win by 2, but we have a lot more to consider.

First up, this is that big derby game and form often goes out of the window in these and one of those 7 games Fla failed to win in that incredible sequence was a 1-1 draw with Vasco last season, also, there is that 10 point lead and Flamengo do not need to win, as long as they keep ticking over they will be crowned champions in the next couple of weeks and it would need two wins for Fla (today and away to Gremio, a very tough fixture, on Sunday) , combined with a loss for Palmeiras, to get it all done this weekend . Further, Vasco are decent on the road , a 5-5-6 away record and only 17 goals conceded is very good for a mid table team in Serie A and comfortably the best outside the Copa Libertadores places. Above all else and, this is hanging over Flamengo like the Sword of Damocles, is the Copa Libertadores final with defending champions River Plate in 10 days time, which will now take place in Lima, Peru, the original venue of Santiago in Chile having been officially changed just two days ago. That means a lot of plans being altered and a six hour flight from Rio, but I guess the clubs knew this was likely for some time.

Anyway, a very tough build up to that for Flamengo with a fierce derby today against a rival who will offer no quarter and then the two hour flight down to Porto Alegre to face a Gremio team out for revenge after Fla beat them 5-0 in the Copa semi final second leg in Rio just three weeks ago. They know that River Plate will be fresher and just asked just to play one game in build up and the Argentine side will doubtless rotate for that and look only towards the final, Fla seem unlikely to do likewise, as incredible as that might sound. Head Coach Jorge Jesus has simply refused to rest players and apart from veteran full backs Rafinha and Filipe Luis being allowed the occasional game off, it has been full strength almost every game and has it has worked so well, it is difficult to see him changing that policy at this late stage. I can understand it for tonight, but surely there has to be some temptation to mix things up on Sunday in a game where the opposition feels hurt and humiliated and it would not take much to see the contest boil over. Anyway, regardless of what Jesus decides, a Copa Libertadores final is a big thing and once in a lifetime, if they are lucky, for most players . It is only the second ever final for Fla, the other coming in 1981 and no one wants to miss out and that will be at the back, maybe even forefront, of the mind of most players as they take to the field tonight and Sunday.

As strong as Flamengo have been as host, they are now playing their biggest rival and with that fixture directly ahead of their biggest single game in almost four decades ! Also, Vasco have conceded just a single goal in five + games (490+ minutes) on the road ,not conceded more than one goal in 11 straight away games and they have lost just two of 10 of these derbies as the visiting side , conceding only 7 goals total. All things considered, best value for me with .........

Gremio are 4th, but might well be the second best team in Brazil this season, losing in the Copa do Brasil semi final on penalties and at the same stage of the Copa Libertadores to Fla in that aforementioned game. They have often rotated in the league giving the cups priority and I do not doubt they could have had another 6-8 more Serie A points on board without that. Therefore, the loss to Fla was not only hugely disappointing, but humiliating, in their last 24 starts, Gremio have conceded a maximum of one goal 20 times, allowed 2 on three occasions and that five to Fla ! They will definitely be out for revenge, the visitors would doubtless like to take something from today, but priority has to be the game in Peru next week and avoiding injuries and the 4-4 draw with Vasco in midweek was not normal, they had only conceded more than a single goal once in their 23 previous starts and then only two and no one will convince me that Fla were not heavily distracted and we can expect more of the same today.

Fla have a trio of key players suspended in Willian Arao, Gerson and Bruno Henrique, which leaves them short in central midfield, the three have 22 goals and 10 assists between them in the league, each played in that oft mentioned Copa Libertadores game with Henrique scoring the breakthrough goal.


1.75 units Gremio -0.75 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket.


Athletico Paranaense- Botafogo


Hosts have nothing much to play for since winning the Copa Do Brasil ( see above) but they are one of the better teams in Brazil, relaxed and they have subsequently gone 6-6-1 (1X2) losing only to leaders Flamengo, who have been carrying all before them, in that sequence CAP faced six (at the time) top 6 teams and took 12 points from losing positions which hardly suggests a team going through the motions. As a host they are as strong as anyone and last month I noted ........... They are also VERY good as host and have a 71% (22) win rate through 31 games here in  Curitiba in the league , averaging 2.11 goals per game and a couple of the games they failed to win in that sequence came inbetween two legged cup ties, they rarely lose as host when fully committed.

Botafogo got that much needed win over Avai on Monday .........

Botafogo are struggling too, they are in the final relegation spot and only a win will take them out and actually above two teams, so a huge incentive. It was hard to see them in this situation earlier in the season, they were 9th last season and through 10 rounds this time round 6th, 20 rounds 10th, but they are 2-0-9 subsequently and have scored just 7 goals in that sequence. Having said all that, they are 7-1-7 at home, which compares favourably enough with Avai's 12 road losses and Bota won the reverse fixture 2-0. Of those seven wins here in Rio, six have come by a single goal, Avai's 12 away day defeats have seen six by one goal and five by exactly two, so few real hammerings, just the one and that at Gremio who are a very good team. Next two home starts (they have only three remaining after today) for Bota are Corinthians and Internacional, who are both fighting for top 6, so things will not get any easier and if you cannot beat Avai under these circumstances then perhaps you do not deserve to stay up. Botafogo are no longer a major player and did spend one recent season in Serie B, but they are usually top 10 (7 of last 8 campaigns in the top flight) and have (almost) double the points of Avai (33 to 17) and their need is great.

They won that 2-0 but are not safe yet, however, this will be far tougher and Botafogo have already lost 11 times on the road (12/17 away starts) and they have not won here in Curitiba in 9 visits, failing to score in six.


Bahia- Palmeiras


Bahia are 9th , six points off the two teams directly above them and those Copa Libertadores dreams, which looked like coming true just a month or two ago, have all but disappeared and they have taken just 9 points from a possible 33.

Palmeiras are second and ahead of a trip to Vasco da Gama 9 days ago I wrote about them still hopeful of taking the title race down to the wire ......

I bigged Vasco up in the middle of last month ahead of a home game with Fortaleza and also spoke about their previous game which was with Avai, so all useful for today's trio of games ..............

Avai and Vasco da Gama played out a very disappointing 0-0 draw in Florianópolis in midweek, until late it looked like only Vasco were really trying to win and for the second game in a row they will be disappointed not to have scored, they played well and created chances in both (other was a 1-0 home loss to a strong Santos team) and their +24 ITB numbers from their last six starts highlight that and those are top 4-5 not 14th place stats, they are not in those lofty positions however and lie just 5 points above the drop zone and will be looking to stop the rot here. Fortaleza got their desired result in midweek, beating the bottom club Chapecoense 2-0, but have two home games next week, which might take precedence as they have travelled SP-Fortaleza-Rio in the last eight days which will be 11,000 km + by this evening. Smaller teams have to pick their battles to survive in Brazil and you feel that Fortaleza's was on Wednesday and then, lie ahead. Vasco have some very talented offensive players who's abilities have not fully been reflected in goals , I was very taken with 17 yo Talles Magno and 20 yo Marrony against Santos, playing as two of the front three , Marrony is available again and I hope they return to the three up top, Talles only turned 17 in June, he is a ridiculous talent, can play anywhere in a front three and I guess, has half of Europe watching his progress, despite playing only 900+ minutes of first team football.

Avai are and were in big trouble and think they are going to survive by playing for 0-0 for 80 minutes and trying to win in the final 10, that is ok if you are playing Flamengo, but they do the same even against a fellow struggler and midweek was the final straw, how can you show so little ambition ? If you are not good enough, fine, but give yourself a chance and for 90 minutes , not 10 !

Vasco have gone 3-2-1 subsequently and the 11 points gave taken them to 11th and safety, the loss came here in Rio versus Gremio who are of a similar level to Palmeiras, most would say today's opposition is tougher. I am not 100% convinced of that, but do feel that Vasco might think they have done enough for now and after a brief blip, Palmeiras have won 3 in a row and 5/6 and are perhaps unfortunate that Flamengo are so good as they still trail them by 8 points. However, they are certainly not giving up with 24 points up for grabs and with Fla still to travel to the teams in second and third , the leaders also have a Copa Libertadores final in Chile in 17 days time versus the defending champions, that comes just days after they play Palmeiras and there is a danger that Flamengo will get distracted. Anyway a chance to put some pressure on the leader with Fla playing a derby game tomorrow.

Vasco are without both starting defensive midfielders in Bruno Gomes and Richard due to suspension, the latter has played almost every minute of games available since coming back into the team on Matchday 10, but have lost the last three he has missed without scoring and was defensive MOTM when the two teams met in the reverse fixture.

They won that 2-1 , but drew 1-1 in their derby game with Corinthians in their only subsequent start, however, Flamengo also dropping two points in midweek kept the dream alive and Palmeiras know what a tough game the leader has today. Palmeiras have won on 4 of 5 visits here to Lauro Freitas ("winning" the second half in the last two), they have a -5 first half road goal difference this season, but are +6 after the break and if news comes through at the half (the two games kick off at the same time) that Fla are losing or at least not winning, Palmeiras should be very motivated for the second half.


Gremio-Palmeiras double is tempting and makes a lot of sense and I will be very keen on Palmeiras late in this game if they need a result and Fla are struggling, think I will wait until the break before getting involved.


Fortaleza- CSA


CSA are 18th , six points and two wins from safety with a 1-3-12 road record, back to back promotions have caught up with them and they have looked doomed from early summer.

They came up with Fortaleza who were champions and 9 points better in B and this time round are 10 ahead, four clear of the drop zone with one more win likely to go a long way to securing survival. They will be looking for those three points here, with their next two starts against Copa teams and they will be buoyed by a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture. Fortaleza tend to hit the ground running as host with a +7 first half goal difference which falls to -3 in the second period. CSA are a nightmarish 0-14 ( scored-conceded) on the road through the first 45 minutes and with Fortaleza having led at the break (1-0 and 2-0) in the last two league h2h meetings, that surely looks the way to go.

Jonathan Gomez ,5 goals and three assists for CSA, which is a lot of goal threat to be missing from a team who have only scored 21 goals is suspended. Also absent is first choice defensive midfielder Dawhan which is a position CSA are not exactly flush in, they have taken only one point from the seven games in which he played 15 minutes or less, scoring just a single goal.


Fortaleza half time -0.5 ball 2.24 or 90 minutes -1 ball 2.04 , either for 1.75 units, you can choose, I marginally prefer the former.


Chapecoense- Ceara


There is a lot of sympathy for Chapecoense because of the Colombian plane crash and many will be sorry to see them depart Serie A, but that looks a done deal now as they sit in 19th , effectively 14 points from safety and I suspect plans for next season have long been made for second tier level.

Ceara survived by 4 points last season, their first back in the top flight and they would be delighted with a repeat. They currently lie sixth from the bottom, two points above the relegation zone, but with two "big name clubs" immediately below them and with their next four starts (and only five remain after today) versus top 8 teams and it is all too easy to see things getting a little uneasy, if they are not so already, without a win today. The visitors are 2-2-12 on the road which doesn't offer too much encouragement, but those numbers start to go out of the window over the closing weeks of the season when motivation, heart and desire are the overriding factors to consider. They might be happy with a point, especially if Fluminense ( see above) come up short on Saturday, but we are not expecting that and anyway, better to take the points whilst they are available.


1.75 units Ceara -0.5 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket.


There are a few (not as many as usual) international call ups, only one of real note is the Athletico Paranaense goalkeeper Santos (bit confusing !), CAP have lost 4/7 in his absence, 6/25 (none of the last 12) when he has started. Enough to put me off the host in that game at low, albeit understandable odds.



Best of luck all.

After a death cross we officially entered another bear market.
There is still hope, if it is a fakeout (happened once) but most likely we are in bear market, and the price to monitor is 6.4k. If we hold that price we are good, if we go below 6.4k it will be a disaster, with probably a price going below 3k in 2020 or 2021.

However, if one day we go above 12.4k it will be an incredible signal to buy, overtaking 12.4k would mean reaching 20k again (and above).

Let's see how it plays out.

I remember back in 2017 when I started to get really interested in cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Cash was supposed to be that super fast coin, much faster than Bitcoin.
How sad that over 2 years later, it takes 80 freaking minutes for 12 confirmations (fee: 1.82 SATOSHI) so I can finally receive the funds in my Bitstamp wallet in order to convert to EUR and withdraw the money.

Most cryptos are terrible (the king Bitcoin included) when it comes to use them for transactions, the fact that the price is volatile makes it stressful for high amounts if you have to wait for over an hour.

Cryptos can be great for quick profit, but for real transactions they are very limited.



Sad state of facts

https://www.lb.lt/en/news/mistertango-uab-fined-eu245-thousand-for-non-compliance-with-aml-requirements

Read on another forum that company accounts cannot send or receive money at the moment.

How about personal accounts? I have an account with them since 2018 and I start to worry. Not many crypto related services offering bank options these days.

Hi folks,
Unless I missed it but the rare times I login to this forum on my mobile, it's a desktop version, obviously terrible to browse, need to constantly zoom in and zoom out, a poor experience.

Isn't ironic? This forum being about the modern technology, blockchain, the future digital currencies, maybe mainstream one day, and yet a forum that looks like it was made in 2002.

Don't tell me it's because of the signatures that would not display properly on a mobile version?

 

[love]

Hi guys,
Hi girls (not many here though),

Humble man willing to spread love, generosity and passion on this forum  

Issue is: I threw away my merits to some strangers (sometimes strange strangers) here and there, so predictably ran out of ammo.

Is there a way to be able to give more merits, other than receiving merits myself?  





Jesus could multiply breads (the "Feeding of the 4,000" you can Google it), I would like to multiply merits the same way.


Thanks in advance for your kind consideration.  







PS: Jesus also multiplied fish but I am vegetarian.
Thanks for your understanding.

[David Goffin to reach semifinals @ 13.0]

David Goffin to reach semifinals @ 13.0

You heard it first  

Of course it's a bold pick, but Federer looked poor in Cincinnati, and Nishikori is very mediocre lately.

Full draw:




Federer has an easy draw though. Nadal's draw is a bit trickier.
And Djokovic's has a mine field in front of him: Querrey, Wawrinka, Medvedev.


Another pick is Daniil Medvedev reaches the final @ 7.0.


Constructive opinions always welcome!!  

Hi folks!
My brother wrote his thesis about Hayek, an economist from Austria. Took him like 5 years to write it. Last time I was discussing with him about Bitcoin, and my brother found this quote from his thesis: "I do not believe in the return of a healthy currency until we take the currency away from the hands of the State".
That's an interesting point of view. Not a point of view we often hear in the media (if at all!). But we know how many currency disasters happened since last century, and it clearly shows that contrary to popular belief, money is too important of a thing to be managed by the State!!
 
Basically Hayek was saying that economic cycles are essentially created by the monetary manipulation of public authorities, leading to catastrophic social and economic consequences. Pretty much since the 70s fiat currencies have no legit reason to exist, other than being the mandatory currencies decided by governments.
And since 2008 expansionary monetary policies have created new risks and still raise doubts about the ability of government currencies to play their role as healthy money. This quote from Hayek is from 1984 (big brother ) "I do not believe in the return of a healthy currency until we take the currency away from the hands of the State, it cannot be done with violence, but all we can do is by some indirect and cunning means, to introduce something that cannot be stopped.

I was speechless when I read this quote from 1984. This is exactly what Bitcoin is about.
Now the "non violence thing" still raises a question, I think there needs to be a revolution at some point. What if banks one day forbid all crytocurrencies transactions? I hope it will never happen. But State governments are tough motherfuckers.   that's my biggest fear. One the other hands, why wasn't it be done earlier? This question still remains unanswered for me.
Anyway, Bitcoin is an incredible revolution, hopefully one day it can become mainstream and accepted by most countries.
Any constructive opinion welcome 

Time to sell, wait for $10500 and buy again.

This way you will either lower your average price, or gain more BTC.

The choice is yours.

[not reasonable to invest]

Hi guys,
hi girls (not many here though),

Feeling generous today! Quite a rare sight  below some info and advice aimed at very beginners.

You are new to cryptos and think bitcoin is anonymous?

Well, it is not!  all transactions are visible on the blockchain. Your address(es) (which is in some way the equivalent of an account number) will show all kinds of information: amount of transactions, recipient of funds, etc...

Bitcoin price is different from one platform to another! Why?! 

Well each trading platform sets its price and sometimes there are big differences, mainly explained by differences in liquidity from one to the other. Price is I believe calculated on an average of the transactions executed. And we know that for now no institution is yet the reference in this field. There is no equivalent of Nasdaq!

Is it possible to cancel a transaction?
Obviously no, not possible!  Hence it's crucial to double check the bitcoin address of the person you want to send funds.

What is the best time to buy? 

IMO it is not reasonable to invest during a peak. A pump is often followed by a correction and that's when you can consider an investment. But keep in mind that you can lose everything.


What to do when the price keeps going down?

The least stressful way is IMO to do nothing. Price analysis often shows that the market sooner or later bounces back. If deep inside you truly believe in bitcoin and the technology behind it, a drop of the price should not worry you.
I know this advice is difficult to apply though, I myself made the mistake to sell during a correction, so it's always easier said than done 

And my last advice would be to avoid trading at all costs if you are a beginner. It takes skills and experience.

That's it for today folks. Have a wonderful Saturday, it's raining here so I'll just get some alcohol and read this forum for an hour or two even though it's unreadable at times 

Best of luck everyone.

Signed up quite recently.

The few times I started a topic to ask a genuine question, I saw plenty of replies, most of them off topic, most of them very dumb (sorry), looks like a lot of morons posters there (sorry again), it's like parrots or bots posting without having a clue.

If I had a ban hammer here I would ban 80% of the posters for flooding, or for just being stupid bots.

Hope something can be done. Thanks for reading anyway!  

[Please do not play there.]

hi guys,
hi girls (not many here though),

I am tired of reading so many stories about this bookmaker. Please do not play there.

It is now well known that this bookmaker from Russia does its best to keep the funds of winning players. But because they spend so much money in advertising, they have shit loads of customers “trusting” them … until they get cheated.

On this topic, I am just reporting some threads posted on SBR (SBR is a major betting forum, and also a bookmaker reviewer).

Here are some topics:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/sportsbooks-industry/3368530-1xbet-blocked-my-account-1742-a.html  the guy will never get his money and winnings back.

In this thread there are at least 5 or 6 people who have been asked to send a letter to confirm their identity. 1Xbet then denied to have received the letter. But just read the thread, it is very sad, a real mafia.
Another topic: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/sportsbooks-industry/3512124-1xbet-scam-do-not-ever-bet-there.html

And maybe the worst story is this customer from Portugal https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/sportsbooks-industry/3484144-1xbet-stole-all-money-i-had-my-account.html He had his account locked, 1xbet placed bets (themselves) on his account to lose the money. The next morning he had his account unlocked, only to see that his money was gone. Jawdropping stuff.

Another sad story http://www.gpwa.org/forum/1xbet-scam-warning-231709.html

In French > https://www.clubpoker.net/forum-poker/topic/224413-attention-1xbet-arnaque/

Opinions on Trustpilot > https://www.trustpilot.com/review/1xbet.com (the rating speaks for itself)

And there are probably hundreds of threads in other languages (Spanish, Portuguese, Italian etc.)

Please stop playing at 1xbet, you participate in this scam.

Please share this topic, please share it on Twitter, Facebook, all the forums you know, people have to know. This scam has to stop for good.


Thanks for reading, and please share the most you can.

[supply and demand]

Hi guys,
Hi girls (probably not many here though),

I am trying to understand how Bitcoin price move, and especially trying to understand the big pump or big crash.

Right... so we all know it is about supply and demand, BUT it cannot be that simple, can it? Yesterday for instance, I exchanged 0.18 BTC to get some EUR, technically I sold 0.18 BTC, but on the other side someone (or several people) bought 0.18 BTC.

Which leads me to this thread, what makes the price move so much during certain periods?

And it's not about the quantity available because we know the quantity is limited and only decrease with time. So what are the exact mechanisms that dictate how the price move, up or down?

I am grateful for all your constructive replies. Please enlighten me  

...unless you have some skills from the financial world that you can transfer to crypto.... and even that, NOT SURE.

Too many newbies get burnt.

Unless you have solid experience at reading graphs, clouds, candles, etc, don't do it. You may make some money by pure luck when you will get burnt in the long term because it's a new field for you.

There is no worse feeling that selling at XXXX$ and then see the price go up by 2k in a week span.  

My advice for newbies is to invest long term, by long term I mean 2, 3 years or longer.

Best of luck.

Hi,
Don't post often here, and I am far from being an "expert", however quick (very simplistic) chart:



Looks like the general downtrend that was very difficult to break, has finally been broken.

Now, short term, I honestly have no idea what to expect.

Any clue?