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1  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / //// on: October 07, 2017, 02:32:29 PM
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2  Economy / Trading Discussion / Can I open a Japanese bank account to withdraw from Mtgox? on: November 30, 2013, 01:50:13 PM
I sold 900 coins this week and its going to take months to get the funds withdrawn to UK. 

Anyone know if opening an account at  JapanNet Bank in Tokyo and withdrawing to that an option?

Thanks in advance.
3  Other / Politics & Society / The official "what about the roads?" thread on: November 26, 2013, 08:33:32 AM
Since Elwar is censoring his thread, I will repeat my reply here.

If you want a new road built in a city like London, you need eminent domain to take possession of the 10s of 1000s of plots of land that will be paved over.  If there is no eminent domain there is no new roads in urban areas and that effectively kills off the silly idea of all roads being private.
4  Economy / Economics / Is Bitcoin a Pyramid or Ponzi scheme & what are the ramifications? on: November 21, 2013, 02:07:54 PM
I don't know if anyone noticed but if you post in Anonymint's threads, he edits your posts to suit his argument.  Normally I have no regrets about posting but since he is messing about I will delete my replies in his thread and post here.

"A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation that pays returns to its investors from their own money or the money paid by subsequent investors, rather than from profit earned by the individual or organization running the operation." - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponzi_scheme

Bitcoin was created by idealists who want to offer an alternative to fiat currency.  As such, its not fraudulent so can't ever be considered a Ponzi scheme.

"A pyramid scheme is an unsustainable business model that involves promising participants payment or services, primarily for enrolling other people into the scheme, rather than supplying any real investment or sale of products or services to the public" - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyramid_scheme

Bitcoin is already a working currency.  So its not any more unsustainable than any other project and as such it can't ever be considered a Pyramid scheme.
5  Other / Politics & Society / What is freedom? on: November 05, 2013, 11:18:25 PM
Have you seen any posts along these lines?

"Just as you can't be a little bit pregnant you can't be a little bit free so if I have to pay tax, I am not free."

"The difference between the state and slavery is that the state allows me to choose where to live.  I am really a slave if I have to obey other people's laws."

The logic baffles me.  It would be strange if someone said "Just as you can't be a little bit pregnant you can't be a little bit bald so if I have a few hairs missing I am bald."  There is a spectrum between bald and hairy.  

Likewise there is a spectrum between freedom and oppression.  If you have the right to vote, if you live in state with a working separation of legislative, executive and judicial functions and if you have the right to emigrate, I think you are free.  

Is this enough or is there more you would want before you could be called free?
6  Economy / Economics / The Death of Inflation despite QE on: May 28, 2013, 09:23:00 AM
Interesting article on how years of money printing has failed to get inflation started.

http://coppolacomment.blogspot.com.au/2013/05/inflation-deflation-and-qe.html

Money quote:
Quote
Under-employment and falling productivity force down real incomes. Add to this the effects of fiscal tightening in both the UK and the US, which hit working people on middle to low incomes disproportionately, and to my mind you have a significant hit to aggregate demand which is sufficient to explain deflation in both countries. Both UK and US governments believe that monetary tools such as QE can offset the contractionary impact of fiscal tightening. But this is wrong.
7  Other / Politics & Society / These 31 charts will destroy your faith in humanity on: May 26, 2013, 03:49:37 PM
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/05/24/these-31-charts-will-destroy-your-faith-in-humanity/
8  Economy / Trading Discussion / Does MtGox partially fulfill orders? on: May 02, 2013, 09:21:00 AM
If I list 100 Bitcoin at $200 and only 50 sell before the market drops back to $190, does MtGox leave me with half sold or does it "unravel" the deal and leave me with 100 unsold?

I'm trying to work out if its better to place lots of small orders rather than buy or sell 100 at a time.
9  Other / Beginners & Help / Making a table in Simple Minds Forum posts. on: May 01, 2013, 12:14:10 PM
I know table in [] works but I can't get other table tags to work.

How do we make a table with rows and cells in our posts?
10  Economy / Speculation / Trading Log on: April 29, 2013, 11:54:44 AM
I've mined over two thousand Bitcoin and my shops have generated 97.  Mining difficulty is high and shop sales are for a fraction of a Bitcoin so to build my stake, I will try day-trading on mtgox.

This is my first attempt and just in case anyone wants to see how a newbie does in the free market, I'm posting a trading log.  I know most day-traders lose their funds so if I do so, feel free to point and laugh.  

If anyone is interested, my only preparation is reading "The Disciplined Trader" by Mark Douglas from https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/17639754/Douglas%2C%20Mark%20-%20The%20Disciplined%20Trader%20%281990%29%20-%20ISBN-0132157578%20%5B245%5D.pdf

So far, I have gained 7.4 Bitcoin on top of the 2197 I started with.  I'm hoping to do significantly better once I have verified an OKPay account and am able to do a little arbitrage between BTCE and MtGox.

Day 1 Closing Balance                                                                          BTC Balance                                                                       USD Balance
April 29 @ 0958: Sold 97 for $138.99 each.                                    2100.00000000 BTC                                                           $13,401.13782

Day 3 Closing Balance                                                                          BTC Balance                                                                       USD Balance
April 29 @ 0958: Sold 97 for $138.99 each.                                    2204.35338829 BTC                                                           $22.55013
11  Other / Politics & Society / Defending the NAP: Resource Scarcity and Environmental Issues on: July 08, 2012, 09:59:48 AM
Fergalish came up with an idea that we try to debate the NAP from the opposite point of view.  It going to be a quiet day in the office so I'll kick off.

Scenario: We live in a global anarchy.  Its a mature society.  There are no laws, no fixed rights and all disputes have to be resolved with arbitration on pain of being made an outlaw if you initiate violence.  Everywhere is owned by someone.  Even the depths of the ocean and the depths of space beyond the moon.

Is there anyone can see a problem with this from the point of view of Resource Scarcity and Environmental Issues.

Note: Arbitration is assumed to be rational.  Your freedom ends when it costs me money.  Likewise, no arbitrator will allow me to impose costs on you.
12  Other / Meta / Moderators Deleting Posts in their own Threads on: July 04, 2012, 07:19:40 PM
A moderator starts a thread asking people to refute his argument.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91501.0

His argument doesn't go the way he wants and locks the thread.  He then opens the same thread again.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91597.0

I have made a reply that is on topic.  Its deleted. 

Is there a point to this behaviour?

13  Other / Politics & Society / Failure in Action on: June 25, 2012, 05:27:17 PM
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/study-more-half-trillion-dollars-spent-welfare-poverty-levels-unaffected

Quote
Federal welfare spending in fiscal year 2011 totaled $668 billion, spread out over 126 programs, while the poverty rate that remains high at 15.1 percent, roughly where it was in 1965, when President Johnson declared a federal War on Poverty.

As a non-American,its striking that almost all US welfare goes to people who don't need it in the form of housing and insurance subsidies.  Is change possible or will they carry on wasting money?

14  Other / Politics & Society / Joe Ricketts is Worried about Government Spending on: May 18, 2012, 09:24:42 AM

Joe Ricketts is very worried about the deficit and government spending and has a plan how to stop it.  He will spend $10 million on political ads.  What a big hearted generous man!

The New York Times takes him at his word as to his motivation.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/18/us/politics/magnate-steps-into-2012-fray-on-wild-pitch.html?ref=us

Joe Ricketts "has seemed motivated primarily by his belief that government spending is out of control and that Mr. Obama cannot be trusted to rein in the deficit and reduce the national debt."

Seems fair enough until we come to this story about where he will get the $10 million:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/rahm-emanuel-not-returning-calls-from-ricketts-family/2012/05/17/gIQAb8WcWU_blog.html?tid=pm_politics_pop

We find that "The Ricketts family is seeking taxpayer funding for the renovations. Emanuel has reportedly sought to put $100 million in tax incentives into the deal. "

So Joe Ricketts is asking for $100 million in government spending on his family business and will spend $10 million on ads complaining about government spending.  That leaves him $90 million ahead and allows him to pose as a small government conservative.

Nice.  What a big hearted generous man!
15  Other / Politics & Society / Tyler Cowen Sees US Exports Coming Up Trumps on: April 04, 2012, 06:57:10 PM
Tyler Cowen is possibly the most respected modern libertarian economist and his book "The Great Stagnation" was the top economics book last year.

Right now, he is very optimistic about US exports though a lot less cheerful when it comes to US standards of living.

http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=1227

Money quote:
Quote
Over the past twenty years, the United States has suffered an oddly unfavorable position in the global economy. China has been wealthy enough to bid up resource prices, including oil, but not wealthy enough to buy enough major American exports to bring buying and selling into even rough balance. Nor has China been innovative enough to come up with new products for American consumers. As China continues to grow, America will become a bigger winner. Just as Canada and Australia have prospered over the past ten years because their specialties matched Chinese demands, the United States is likely to be the bigger winner in the next ten years as Chinese (and other) demands mature.
16  Other / Politics & Society / How irrational are people? on: March 30, 2012, 11:05:18 AM
In the UK there is talk of a strike in the uniuon of workers who deliver petrol to garages.  If negotiations fail, there will have to be a week's notice of a strike and there a week of legal shenanigans to be done first.  Once a strike starts, its estimated that there is 2 weeks resilience in the system and the army has trained replacement drivers.  Nothing to worry about - right?  If everything goes wrong, its 4 weeks before we start to run out of fuel

A government minister half-heartedly said "Fill your tanks next time you are at a garage instead of the usual £10 people spend.  Bring a jerry can along and fill that too."

Lo and behold, panic ensures.  I've spent 45 minutes in a traffic jam caused by cars queuing for petrol.  It appears that every garage in the country is besieged by motorists with jerry cans.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2121984/Fuel-shortages-Police-shut-garages-profiteers-look-cash-chaos.html

How does this happen?  How does a peaceful country with no real problems turn into a land of panic stricken people who queue for hours for something that might run out in a month?  I feel like I'm watching people having a collective brain seizure.
17  Other / Politics & Society / Do we really have a choice about privacy ? on: March 05, 2012, 10:44:03 PM
I've always worked on the assumption that if you use a website, you have to accept its privacy policy.  The EU has extensive privacy policies that frankly are a pain for anyone setting up a business and I've always hated dealing with data requests and their stupid £2 fees.

Then I read this: http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/03/reading-the-privacy-policies-you-encounter-in-a-year-would-take-76-work-days/253851/

Money quote:
Quote
   A few years ago, two researchers, both then at Carnegie Mellon, decided to calculate how much time it would take to actually read every privacy policy you should.

    First, Lorrie Faith Cranor and Aleecia McDonald needed a solid estimate for the average length of a privacy policy. The median length of a privacy policy from the top 75 websites turned out to be 2,514 words. A standard reading rate in the academic literature is about 250 words a minute, so each and every privacy policy costs each person 10 minutes to read.

    Next, they had to figure out how many websites, each of which has a different privacy policy, the average American visits. Surprisingly, there was no really good estimate, but working from several sources including their own monthly tallies and other survey research, they came up with a range of between 1,354 and 1,518 with their best estimate sitting at 1,462.

    So, each and every Internet user, were they to read every privacy policy on every website they visit would spend 25 days out of the year just reading privacy policies! If it was your job to read privacy policies for 8 hours per day, it would take you 76 work days to complete the task. Nationalized, that’s 53.8 BILLION HOURS of time required to read privacy policies.

78 days - wtf !!  I can't bear reading legalese for an hour and I am being sued all the time.  78 days for an average user is just crazy.  And that assumes they understand what they consent to.

Maybe this is a case where the EU got it right after all.  What do you guys think?

18  Other / Politics & Society / Private enterprise bankrupting America? on: March 02, 2012, 09:40:05 PM
Here is an interesting article about health costs in the US compared to health costs worldwide: http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/high-health-care-costs-its-all-in-the-pricing/2012/02/28/gIQAtbhimR_story.html

Its long so here are some of the highlights:
1. The US pays much much more for everything.  A day in hospital is 4 times the cost in the US as opposed to Switzerland, which is the next most expensive.
Quote
In 2009, Americans spent $7,960 per person on health care. Our neighbors in Canada spent $4,808. The Germans spent $4,218. The French, $3,978.
2. If the US could get to Swiss levels, and Switzerland is ridiculously expensive as well, but if the US could get to Swiss cost levels, the federal deficit would be eliminated.
Quote
If we had the per person costs of any of those countries, America’s deficits would vanish. Workers would have much more money in their pockets. Our economy would grow more quickly, as our exports would be more competitive.
3. The well run system have their government set prices for drugs.  The US does not.
Quote
In America, Medicare and Medicaid negotiate prices on behalf of their tens of millions of members and, not coincidentally, purchase care at a substantial markdown from the commercial average. But outside that, it’s a free-for-all. Providers largely charge what they can get away with, often offering different prices to different insurers, and an even higher price to the uninsured.
4. Individual Americans are victims of price gouging.  Passed out sick? Pay extra!!!
Quote
Health care is an unusual product in that it is difficult, and sometimes impossible, for the customer to say “no.” In certain cases, the customer is passed out, or otherwise incapable of making decisions about her care, and the decisions are made by providers whose mandate is, correctly, to save lives rather than money.
5. Obamacare is not going to fix this.  I find the following hard to believe but WaPo can hardly have made it up:
Quote
In the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit, for instance, Congress expressly barred Medicare from negotiating the prices of drugs that it was paying for.
6. American health care professionals don't see any problem with this and insist government should not regulate prices.  Classic rentier mentality:
Quote
“There is so much inefficiency in our system, that there’s a lot of low-hanging fruit we can deal with before we get into regulating people’s prices.” says Len Nichols, director of the Center for Health Policy Research and Ethics at George Mason University.
7. This price gouging applies to the the full spectrum of procedures:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/business/high-cost-of-medical-procedures-in-the-us/?hpid=z2

For an illustration of this in practice, here is a woman who had similiar treatments in US and UK.  Look at the price difference...US charged $103,322 while UK charged $4750.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2105680/This-woman-emergency-op-Americas-hospital-stars-NHS-So-did-best-care.html

Anyone advocating a free market in health should take a long hard look at these figures.  Its clear that having the government negotiating prices with drug firms and trade unions is far more efficient than having every sick person competing through insurance companies with every other sick person.  

And its also clear that the US budget deficit is not due to some generic failure of government.  Its a failure due to the private market in health care.  Fix that and your federal deficit goes away overnight.
19  Other / Politics & Society / Abortion and Morality on: February 24, 2012, 06:01:56 PM
In the UK, you can get an abortion for almost any reason in the first 5 months of pregnancy.  Except for 1 reason...if you don't want a little girl, you are not allowed that as a reason for an abortion.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/9103839/Scotland-Yard-launches-investigation-into-doctors-who-agreed-to-illegal-abortions-of-baby-girls.html

Now we have a scandal that doctors are allowing women to don't want girls get abortions.  The health minister says “Carrying out an abortion on the grounds of gender alone is in my view morally repugnant”  Interestingly all religious figures say nothing at all about this - presumably the priests are busy looking at nice new dresses to wear on Sundays.

Let's think about this a second.  If you got to a doctor and say "I am pregnant and do not want a baby" abortion is legal and no-one passes judgement on your morality.  But add the word "girl" to the end of that sentence and you not only are committing a crime, you get government ministers saying its "immoral!"

Does this make any sense at all?
20  Other / Politics & Society / Why China’s Political Model Is Superior on: February 17, 2012, 06:14:07 PM
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/16/opinion/why-chinas-political-model-is-superior.html

For those without free access: http://pastie.org/private/uxnuzaibibu562qqydlmyg

I expected to see the usual communist claptrap but the writer is a venture capital guy and he makes a very strong anti-democratic case.  

What do you guys think?
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