THERE IS NO MAGIC

“Your trading methodology has to make sense for you even if it’s the opposite of what makes sense for other people. Choices made in developing your approach to trading should suit you personally to minimize internal conflict. Only then will you have the confidence to remain true to its development and its execution during tough times. The long-term advantage of developing your own system from scratch (rather than trading someone else’s system) assures you of high compatibility with your beliefs, personality, edges, and objectives. That compatibility becomes one of your sustainable edges. As Curtis Faith of Turtle fame noted: “It’s not about the system, it’s about the trader’s ability to execute the system.” – (Source: VanTharp.com)


LB and I have just wrapped up the final in our series on full time trading. For the most part they have been enjoyable except for one twat who complained that it was unprofessional of LB to not present when she was suffering from severe laryngitis. Presenting for the first time in years is an interesting thing as the expectations of those you present to also change over time.

This particular series could be summarised as all the mistakes I have made in trading and the solutions I have found such as they are. One of the things I have learnt over the past few decades is that there is no magic. Trading is a grinding profession where your central tenet is not to go broke waiting for the next big move. I think in part some attendees were waiting for the magic.

That point in the seminar where you do a grand reveal of your magic strategy that never has a losing trade which means you can quit your job tomorrow and start trading full time with nothing other than a credit card because CFD providers will now in their wisdom allow you to fund your account with credit and earn frequent flyer points.

Regrettably the field of investing has been tainted by endless shonks who have polluted the thinking of people before they even set foot in the market. Before writing this piece, I Googled trading bitcoin for a living and got 35,900,000 returns. Certainly not all of them relate to trading bitcoin or any other crypto full time but if even 10% do then then that’s a staggering 3.5 million  sites promising people that they can give up their day job and start trading overnight.

The central theme of these sorts of sites and it is not limited to cryptos is that you can trade full time with very limited capital. And you can do this because you will never have a losing trade. Your equity curve will be a linear trajectory that soars from the bottom left hand corner of the chart to infinity without ever breaking stride. I can understand why this sort of thing has permeated the thinking of new traders.

Whilst this sounds seductive it ignores many of the key realities of trading the foremost of which is that trading does not produce linear returns. We encounter a feature of equity curves called drawdown. All trading systems generate drawdowns – in a very general sense if you are a trend following you expect to have a drawdown of between 15% to 25% once per year. As an example, consider the equity curve below.

This is the equity curve of Dunn Capital a money manager that uses trend following as its basic tool. You see decades of outperformance punctuated by drawdowns. There is an inviolate relationship between performance and drawdown, if you are swinging fr the fences you need to expect to be struck out a lot. Irrespective of the trading system drawdown is a fact of life for traders – it can only be avoided by not trading. If someone tells you that their equity curve never draws down, then they are a liar. It really is that simple.

The implication for those seeking to trade full time is that your first drawdown will coincide with your move to full time trading. This is a natural feature of systems, they cut their losses and then let their profits run. There is a timing dislocation between these two events that results in the account value immediately slipping. The problem is that this occurs at a time when you are most economically and emotionally vulnerable, it is also a problem because most new traders are undercapitalised. They simply don’t have enough money because they have not thought their transitions through and they may or may not have been infected by the thinking that you can give up your day job and earn 100k a year on a bank of 50k. It is at this point in a seminar that I can see how people begin to sag because it begins to dawn on them that they need much more than think to survive as a trader.

However, I think they are missing the bigger picture since the move to full time trading does not have to be an all-in proposition. The move can occur gradually over time as your capital grows and you acquire more skill. And along the way your life begins to change in small but incremental amounts. You may even reach a point where you stop believe in magic and start believing in your own ability to slowly and inexorably change your own life.

Author: Chris Tate
Article reproduced with kind permission of the author.
Source: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/there-is-no-magic/ 


I end this piece with the quotes below:

“Just coming back from vacation where we’ve been doing a lot of hiking in the mountains, here’s an analogy. You’re standing on a peak of a mountain looking at an even higher peak. But to get there you first have to go down that small valley…no way around it!

It's the same in trading, so as long as the size of the drawdown is within your expectations, you can and should relax when you’re in a drawdown. It's just a necessity you have to endure to get those profits. So understanding and accepting Drawdowns as part of this business will make your life as a trader much easier!” – Marco Meyer (Source: Tradingeducators.com)

“Having said that drawdowns are still making me uncomfortable. I don't like them at all and each time I'm in a big one I'm having the same doubts and troubles most of you probably have too. But knowing that actually nothing is wrong helps a lot to make it through these times. Without that knowledge and understanding, you not only have the doubts but you allow them to win over, follow them and then probably stop trading at the worst time possible.” – Marco Meyer (Source: Tradingeducators.com)


www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
EURUSD has become particularly bearish since last week (the bearishness has been in place since August 2018). On November 7, another phase of a bearish movement was begun and price has really become weak. There are support lines 1.1250, 1.1200 and 1.1150, which would tend to impeded further bearish journey. The outlook for this week is bearish, and thus long trades are not currently recommended.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
This pair is currently doing exactly the opposite of what EURUSD is doing. The trend is bullish and the bullishness has been in place for a long time. On Wednesday, there was a new lease of bullish breakout, which has made the market skyrocket by nearly 150 pips. The bullish trend is still in place as there is a high probability that price will continue going upwards this week, reaching the resistance levels at 1.0100, 1.0150 and 1.0200. It is highly unlikely that price will be able to stay above the resistance level at 1.0200, even if it breaks it to the upside.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish 
The situation surrounding the Cable is currently dicey. The long-term trend is bearish and the short-term trend is bullish. However, the current selling pressure is undermining the short-term bullish signal in the market. Since last week Wednesday, the market has lost well over 320 pips, and another loss of at least, 300 pips, will result in a stronger Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. . 

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
There is an undisputable Bullish Confirmation Pattern on this currency trading instrument. In the long run, price has gained over 900 pips since March 2018, plus the current bullish breakout has occurred since October 29. Some other JPY pairs are currently trending downwards, but USDJPY remains strong, thanks to the strength in Greenback. The current strength should remain in place, otherwise, a massive bearish movement could begin.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This cross is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. In the long run, the market is quite choppy; whereas there has been a slow and steady bearish movement in the shorter timeframe. The recent bullish signal that was generated (especially last week), has been threatened by the ongoing southwards movement in the market. The further the price moves downwards, the more convincing the weakness in the market.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is a kind of bullish in the short-term; but the situation in the market is precarious as the trend remains undecided in the long-term, and the bull is almost giving way to the bear’s pressure. Since Friday, GBPJOY has lost 320 pips, now getting close to the demand zones at 145.00. The demand zone could be breached to the downside, which may render the recent “buy” signal in the market useless; otherwise, the “buy” signal will be saved.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“Money is made as a by-product of following a sound trading plan, and adhering to the principles of money management.” – Louise Bedford

Source: www.tallinex.com

BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance levels: $7,200, $7,400, $7,600
Support levels: $6,400, $6,200, $6,000

The price of Bitcoin was range bound in the first week of November 2018. In retrospect, the digital currency was ranging above the $6,400 price level all through the month of October 2018. The major bearish event is that on October 11, the bears went deep into the $6,200 price level. While on October 15, the bulls had a price spike that reached the high of $7,600  but price pulled back to the low of $6,500.

That was why we had a price ranging above the $6,400 price level. On November 7, the price reached a high of $6,565.66 but was resisted. The digital currency was in a downward trend after the resistance at $6,600 price level. The digital currency is likely to fall because price is in the bearish trend zone.

Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

LTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $66, $68, $70
Support Levels: $50, $48, $46

Yesterday, November 7, the price of Litecoin was in a bearish trend. The crypto’s price reached the high of $56.43 and was resisted by the bears. The price of Litecoin faces resistance at the upper price level of $60. The price fall has resulted in the breaking of the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is likely to continue its fall.

As the digital currency is range bound between the levels of $50 and $65, the price will find support at the lower level of price range. Traders are to exit their long trades as the crypto’s price is in the bearish trend zone.

Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal. In addition, the price of Litecoin is below 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is in the bearish trend zone.


LTC/USD Short-term Trend: Bearish

On the 1-hour chart, LTC price is in a bearish trend. The crypto’s price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating price is in the bearish trend zone. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a buy signal.

GOLD (XAUUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish   
Gold is bearish is the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. Since April 2018, price has shed 20,000 pips, reaching a yearly low of 1159.00. However, price has been ranging since the yearly low was reached in August, as speculators await breakouts of the price. There have recently been wild upwards and downwards swings, which have not been strong enough to put an end to the ongoing sideways movement in the market.  This is supposed to happen before the end of November and the most probable direction is towards the north.
.

SILVER (XAGUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish
Exactly like Gold, Silver is also bearish in the long-term and sideways in the short-term. Since the top of April 2018, price has gone downwards by over 30,000 pips, reaching an annual low of 13.0000 in September 2018. Since then, the market has become very choppy with no directional movement. A movement towards the annual low will give emphasis to the ongoing Besrish Confirmation Pattern in the market; otherwise a protracted bullish movement, which goes on for a few days consecutively, will result in a valid bullish signal.

Source: www.tallinex.com

ETH/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance Levels: $250, $270, $290
Support Levels: $180, $160, $140

The ETH/USD pair was range bound in the month of October 2018. The digital currency was ranging above the $200 price level. On October 15, Ethereum had a price rally which made the crypto to reach the high of $241.

The resistance at $240 made the crypto to fall but managed to recover at $204.10. In the first week of November, the digital currency is fluctuating below and above the $200 price level.

Ethereum is expected to continue its range bound movement. Today, the price of Ethereum is currently trading at $202 as at the time of writing.

 Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance Levels: $6,800, $7,000, $7,200
Support levels: $6,200, $6,000, $5,800

Yesterday, October 31, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways trend. On October 29, the crypto’s price was broken by the bears after a long period of range bound movement above the $6,500 price level. The price fell to the $6,300 price level and commenced another range bound movement. Nevertheless, in the last three days, the price of Bitcoin was fluctuating above the $6,300 price level.

The BTC price is still under a bearish trend and price is expected at the $6,200 price level. However, if the $6,200 price level is tested or broken, then a revisit to the critical support level is imminent. Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. The price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is in a bearish trend zone.

BTC/USD Short-term Trend: Ranging

On the 1-hour chart, the BTC price is in a sideways trend. On October 31, the crypto’s price tested the $6,200 price level and rebounded to its range bound movement. The crypto’s price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is falling.

Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

LTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $60, $70, $80
Support levels: $50, $40, $30

The LTC/USD pair had been bearish in the month of October 2018. On October 1, the LTC price has an opening balance of $60.40. The crypto's price faces resistance at the $60 price level.

On October 9, the price of Litecoin was resisted at the price of $59.99 and it fell to a low of $52.65. On October 15, the price of Litecoin reached the high of $62.06 but pulled back to the low of $55.87. The price continued its fall to the low of $53.26 and commenced a range bound movement up till date.

On the upside, the $60 price level has to be broken for Litecoin to resume its uptrend. Meanwhile, the price of Litecoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
EURUSD is in a bearish trend – which started about 2 weeks ago. Price went downwards by roughly 160 pips last week, having gone down by 250 pips since October 15. Further bearish movement is anticipated, that would move price towards the support lines at 1.1350 (which was previously tested and will be tested again), 1.1300, and 1.1250. However, a very strong selling pressure is needed to break the support line at 1.1250 to the downside.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
There remains a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on USDCHF, which has been in place for at least, 4 weeks. Since the current bullish movement began in September 21, price have moved forwards by about 470 pips. Last week, there was no significant bullish movement, and price closed on a bearish note on Friday, which was presumed to be a temporary reversal in the context of an uptrend. The bullish journey is expected to resume soon.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish 
The movement on Cable is nearly similar to the movement on EURUSD – the only difference being that the movement on the former is faster than the movement on the latter. Since October 12, price has dropped at least, 450 pips, as the market makes high lows and lower lows. Higher lows allow traders to enter short at better prices, and it is a pattern that is expected to continue as Cable targets the accumulation territories at 1.2800, 1.2750 and 1.2700. 

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is bearish, especially in the short-term; and in spite of bulls’ effort, a bearish signal has already been generated and this will become more significant as the market goes further southwards (a trend that is expected this week and next week). There would be pauses and transitory rallies on the way, but the demand levels at 111.50, 111.00 and 110.50 would be reached.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This is a classic example of a bearish movement. Since September 21, price has dropped roughly 600 pips, thus giving a rise to a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern. The market will continue its drop this week, as JPY continues to exert its energy. There is going to be lots of opposition to the bearish trend once price reaches the demand zone at 126.50, nonetheless. But with enough selling pressure, the demand zone will be breached to the downside.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
There was a massive drop on the GBPJPY, which happened last week, and which ended the protracted ranging movement that was seen in the latter part of September 2018 and the early part of October 2018. The last week drop was over 400 pips, as the weakness in GBP was too favorable to the stoing JPY. Price closed on a bearish note on Friday, following some shallow upwards bounces. Further drop of at least, 250 pips is anticipated this week. 

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Markets go up and markets go down. Sometimes they go up a lot and sometimes they go down a lot.” – Chris Tate

Source: www.tallinex.com

THESE 4 TRAITS WILL MAKE TRADERS SUCCESSFUL

If you have a passion for trading, Dr. Brett Steenbarger has some choice words for you: you're not going to make it. Instead, traders need to be passionate about markets. It may sound like a minor distinction, but it's not. In decades of working with billionaire hedge fund managers and traders, he's found that traders that are passionate about trading don't put in the work and trade too much.

To be successful trading, Dr. Steenbarger has learned:

1.   A rule of thumb for how traders should control losses so that they never lose more in a morning than they can make in an afternoon, more in a day than they can make in a week and more in a week than they can make in a month;

2.   Why traders should not just focus on minimizing their weaknesses, but also maximizing their strengths;

3.   A simple trading journal that will help you improve each day; and


4.   That the best traders are ones that embrace losses and use them to become better.

Author: Dr. Brett Steenbarger

Source: https://blog.topsteptrader.com/brett-steenbarger-limit-up-futures-trading
 
www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.

BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance levels: $7,200, $7,400, $7,600
Support levels: $6,400, $6,200, $6,000

The BTC/USD pair had been range bound since the beginning of the month. The digital currency commences a range bound movement each time price test the $6,800 price level. On September 21, the crypto's price reached the high of $6,782, and the price fell to a range bound movement. Also, on September 27 and October 15, the bulls tested the $6,800 resistance level and were repelled. Price was ranging above the $6,600 before the BTC price had a downward fall.

The crypto's price is ranging at a price of $6,301.66. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that the bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 46 which indicates that price is in the range bound zone.

GOLD (XAUUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish   
Gold is bearish in the long-term, but bullish in the short-term. Price skyrocket on October 11, thus bringing about a bullish signal in the short-term. In the long-term, Gold would need to continue making its bullish effort before the long-term bias can become bullish as well (provided the market continues going upwards). A movement to the south, would invalidate the short-term bullish signal and strengthen the bears’ position and enable a bearish trend continuation. However, a move to the upside is the most likely.

SILVER (XAGUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bearish
Silver is neutral in the short-term, and bearish in the long-term. Should the market continue its current consolidating movement, the long-term bias also may become neutral. It is more likely that the current market condition will continue, until the situation changes around the end of November 2018. That means a breakout is more likely to occur, and when it does occur, it would most probably favor bulls. Either there would be a bullish breakout by the end of November, or there would be a continuation of the current short-term consolidation.

Source: www.tallinex.com

LTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance Levels: $66, $68, $70
Support Levels: $46, $44, $42

Yesterday, October 17, the price of Litecoin was in a sideways trend. On October 15, the digital currency had a price rally which made the price to reach the high of $62 but pulled back to the low of $56. Litecoin had been fluctuating below and above the $56 price level. As the crypto's price is consolidating, the key levels of the market are not evenly apart. Therefore trading is not recommended until when price is out of the range-bound zone.

Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal. In addition, the price of Litecoin is neither above nor below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is in the sideways trend zone.


LTC/USD Short-term Trend: Ranging

On the 1-hour chart, LTC price is in a sideways trend. However, the price of Litecoin is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is in the bullish trend zone. In addition, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal.

ETH/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $350, $370, $390
Support Levels: $180, $160, $140

Last month of September, the price of Ethereum had been on a range bound movement. In September, Ethereum had an opening balance of $282.80 but fell to the low of $196.60. Later it commenced a range bound movement all through the month to close at a price of $228.62. In the month of October, Ethereum was in a range bound movement for ten days before the bearish trend.

Ethereum is currently trading at $199.78 as at the time of writing. Price is expected to rise as the digital currency has reached the oversold region.

Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 34 which indicates that the market is oversold signaling bears’ exhaustion and suggesting bulls to take control of the market.

BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $7,000, $7,200, $7,400
Support levels: $6,100, $5,900, $5,700

Yesterday, October 10, the BTC price was in a Bearish trend. The bulls had been holding the price above $6,500 in the last ten days. This cause Bitcoin to be stagnant and range bound above the $6,500 price level.

Today, the bulls have succumbed to the bearish pressure. The bears have broken the $6,500 price level and price is approaching the $6,200 price level.

The next move is likely to be the $5900- $6,000 price levels. Traders are to look out for buy setups at the end of the bearish trend. Nevertheless, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal. The price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is falling.


BTC/USD Short-term Trend: Bearish

On the 1-hour chart, the BTC price is in a bearish trend. The price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is falling. The Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 18 which indicates that the market is oversold signaling bear’s exhaustion and suggesting bulls to take control of the market.

LTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance Levels: $60, $70, $80
Support levels: $50, $40, $30

The LTCUSD pair had been in a range bound movement in the month of September 2018. It has an opening balance of $62.07 but closed with a balance of $60.39 as at the end of the month. The digital currency fluctuates between the levels of $50 and $65.

As a trader, you can make partial profits as the digital currency ranges between the range bound zone. You can initiate a long trade at the lower level of price range and exit at the upper level of price range and Price is currently fluctuating at the lower level of price range and it is expected at the upper price level. Meanwhile, the price of Litecoin is below the 12-day EMA and 26-day EMA which indicates that the bearish trend is ongoing.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 38 which indicates that the market is oversold signaling bears’ exhaustion and suggesting bulls to take control of the market.

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market was bearish last week, and the bearishness has become pronounced since September 26, 2018. Since the mentioned period, price has lost about 300 pips (or more or less). The market would remain bearish as long as USD is strong, and the support lines at 1.1450, 1.1400 and 1.1350 may be tested. There could be temporary bullish effort on the way, but the general movement this week should be bearish.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
The Bullish Confirmation Pattern on this market has been steady and unaffected. Since September 21, price has gained about 390 pips (it gained about 140 pips last week). Price topped at 0.9953 and ended Friday on a slight bearish note. The outlook for this week is bearish, as price is expected to continue going upwards until it reaches the resistance level at 1.0000 where a very strong and stiff resistance will be met.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish 
The bias on the GBP is bearish but there is a serious rise in a bullish momentum, which would eventually render the bearish outlook ineffectual. Price went downwards from Monday till Wednesday and then started going upwards. The upwards movement was strong enough to threaten the extant bearishness in the market, and once the market gains another 200 pips (which is expected to happen this week), the bias on the market will turn bullish. 

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
USDJPY went upwards from October 1 to 3, and then started going downwards from October 4. Unless the demand levels at 112.00 is breached to the downside, the outlook on the market will remain bearish. A movement from here, towards the north, will result in confirmation of the current bullish bias. That means failure to go upwards will eventually result in “sell” signal in the market.


EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This cross is bearish in the short-term, but bullish in the long-term. The movement that was experienced last week was not that much, but this week might be different, as JPY pairs break out with renewed momentums. Should price drop 200 pips from here, the bias on the market will turn bearish. Should price rise by 200 pips from here, the long-term bullish bias on the market will eventually be saved.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The rally attempt that was seen last Friday ended the consolidation that was witnessed in the last two weeks. If not for the fact that the JPY is kind of strong in its own right, the market would have gone upwards significantly last week (Just as GBPCHF, GBPAUD and GBPNZD have gone significantly upwards). However, any signs of weakness in JPY may result in a strong bullish movement, which may enable price to reach the supply zones at 149.50, 150.00 and 150.50.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Your trading life is the sum total of all of your experiences, not just the ones you are comfortable with.” – Woody Johnson

Source: www.tallinex.com

ETH/USD Medium-term Trend: Ranging

Resistance Levels: $260, $280, $300
Support Levels: $200, $180, $160

Yesterday, October 3, the price of Ethereum was in a bearish trend. The ETH price fell from the high of $230.11 to the low of $ 217.32 and commenced a bullish movement. The $200 price level is the major support level of Ethereum, therefore traders should initiate long trades at this level in anticipation of a bullish trend.

The ETH price is expected to reach and break the resistance at $240. The price of Ethereum is trading at $225.57 as at the time of writing. Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. In addition, the price of Ethereum is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bullish trend is ongoing. The Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 50 which indicates that price is in the sideways trend zone.


ETH/USD Short-term Trend: Bullish

On the 1-hour chart, the price of Ethereum is in a bullish trend. The price of Ethereum is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bullish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates an a buy signal.

BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish


Resistance Levels: $7,000, $7,200, $7,400
Support levels: $6,400, $6,200, $6,000

The overall trend for the price of Bitcoin in the month of September is a bearish trend. Price of Bitcoin has a balance of $7,036.25 at the beginning of September 2018. As at the time of writing, the capital has gone down to $6,490.75. In other words, the digital currency lost 7.66% of its capital.

 On September 5, the bulls were overcome at the $7,400 price level. The digital currency fell to the low of $ 6,169.30. Since then the bulls have not been able to recover their losses. For the bulls to be in equilibrium with the bears they have to break the levels $6, 500, $6,700 and $7,400 price levels.

Nevertheless, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. Similarly, the price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that the bearish trend is ongoing. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 46 which indicates that price is in the range bound zone.

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair has become bearish, especially in the short-term. Last week, price went sideways from Monday to Wednesday and then dropped sharply on Thursday and Friday. The drop was 170 pips, and it was enough to bring about a near-term bearish outlook on the market. This week, the bearishness could continue as the market is projected to drop at least, another 100 pips, which would enable the support line at 1.1500 to be reached. 

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on USDCHF, brought about by the strength in the Greenback (and the bearish run on EURUSD). The rate at which USDCHF has gone upwards is faster and more serious that the rate at which EURUSD has come downwards. Price gained 230 pips last week, ending the recent bearishness in the market and ending September 28 on a bullish note. The outlook on the market is bullish for this week.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish 
In the first 3 weeks of September, Cable made commendable effort to bring about a sustainable bullish signal in the market. Nevertheless, the downward movements that was witnessed on September 21, 27 and 28, have rendered the bullish effort useless. In fact, the bias on the market is now bearish and the accumulation territories at 1.3000, 1.2950 and 1.2900 could be tested before the end of the week. 

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This is a bull market, with a clean Bullish Confirmation Pattern. The strength of USD, plus the perceived weakness in JPY, has helped the buying pressure in the last few weeks. Since September 7, the market has gained about 320 pips, and it might gain at least, another 200 pips within the next 2 weeks. This week is going to be volatile for JPY pairs, as it is the new week of the October.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
On September 24 and 25, this cross went sideways. From September 26 to 28, it began to pull back. The pullback was not significant enough to bring about a bearish signal in the market, unless price falls by another 200 pips. From this point, price has a higher probability of going upwards than going downwards, and as a result of this, the supply zones at 132.00, 132.50 and 133.00 might be attained before the end of this week.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
There is a valid bullish outlook on this trading instrument, irrespective of the fact that the market movement was flat throughout next week. It is possible that the flatness in the market could continue for a few more days, before there is a breakout in the market. When the breakout occurs eventually, it would end the current flatness in the market and most probably favor bulls. The expected bullish movement could even become significant, especially when GBP finally begins to gather strength.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“…The good thing is that there is no age limit when it comes to trading and, unlike the Olympics, you don't have to worry so much about the physical part as you can go for gold from the comfort of your chair.” – TradingEducators


Source: www.tallinex.com