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401  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 20, 2013, 02:08:45 AM
Hey Guys Smiley,
  Lot's of activity Smiley.

About the "Do Not Trade at a Loss" feature, results are not yet conclusive, it shouldn't be overly hard to code, we just don't want to include a feature that looks "good" but that could end up creating losses; especially given that a good portion of our users are new to trading.

About losses or profits in the last market movement, I will say again: you can not account for success or failure with individual market movements you have to look at them in aggregate over a period of time when using EMA. I have been getting emails from people who have had quite some success these past two weeks by tweaking their settings to this particular market (lower time frames, alternate thresholds, etc.).

The issue with this is that it can often work well. Why is this an issue? Because although Butter may generate some losses in a given market, and tweaking Butter to what you as a user perceive the market to be can generate some profits in this market, the math tells us that if we were to look at 50 or 100 markets over a longer span of time the EMA strategy would win out in the end.

I was much more militant about this in the beginning because we designed Butter with the Mathematics of Goomboo's quite in depth discussions and theories in mind but I can understand the lure of immediate profit, in the end it is a personal choice of how you wish to use Butter, it will work either way, you just have to decide what time frame you are looking at.

The "Starter Settings" will stay as they are with the long term view, but please keep in mind you are meant to tweak these as you gain understanding of Butter and according to your own risk profile.

We are also working on improving the trading engine with some other indicators, but it's quite premature for me to promote this as we are still trying to figure out what works and what doesn't; we want to make sure that whatever we release it is not only an improvement over the current engine, but an important improvement over the current engine.

For any issues of a one to one nature (tech support, refunds, etc.) please drop me an email at Pablo@Butter-Bot.com Smiley.
402  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 19, 2013, 02:31:56 AM
Pablo,

When altcoins are released, how will the bot know how much of the single pool of fiat to spend on each pool of different coins?

Would I suddenly find myself with all altcoins & no btc one day?

Do we get to assign percentages of the fiat pool for each altcoin?

How does the bot manage that?

Hi Ngin Smiley,
   We are still working out the mechanics of altcoins, but I feel that it would make sense if each currency pair had a pool of currency allotted to it and that it would trade that way. I'm not saying that's how it's going to work, it just seems intuitive to me; thoughts?
Seems logical. Will the bot also be taking into consideration the curves associated with BTC/LTC, etc in addition to LTC/USD? Maybe sometimes it would be cheaper to buy LTC with BTC than USD, and vice versa, I don't know. Either way, I'd want to be able to set limits on how much USD &/or BTC the bot could spend on LTC.

But that amount I set would have to allow for gains due to the bot trading LTC, too.
For example if I say to the bot don't spend more than $100 USD, or 0.3 BTC, and by trading that amount it earns $165 USD, or 1.6 BTC, it should be able to trade with all that it has earned, and not be limited by my settings anymore. See what I mean? How can you do that?

Ngin,
   I see what you're saying. I will forward your comments over to the developer and we will see what we can come up with. I imagine the first release of altcoins will use a simpler system to allot funds for trading than we are currently discussing, but I think you have some good points for more advanced development and work flow.

I'd be interested to know if you have any other suggestions for how you would like this to be handled?

Pablo.
403  Economy / Goods / WTB: 1 BTC Casascius Coin, 2011 (with error) Graded on: November 19, 2013, 12:21:33 AM
WTB: 1 BTC Casascius Coin, 2011 (with error) Graded.

Please PM with offer.

This will either be escrowed through John K. or paid upon receipt, my reputation thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=197175.120

Pablo.
404  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 18, 2013, 11:02:41 PM
@ Pablo

I took notice yesterday when trying to build a B-Bot simulator in excel, that your bot actually takes 3 "update cycles" to actually execute an action. I have to ask why? Shouldn't it execute (ideally) when the second update cycle takes place? Why wait until the third cycle?

I used to think two things about B-Bot which were dispelled when trying to build my own version in Excel.

A) The idea that B-bot will act immediately if you set the first pair of thresholds to 0. Not the case. It actually still uses it, and there doesn't seem to be a way to disregard the first pair of threshold values. (Not a problem, but it is something worth knowing if you are using very long update periods (i.e. 1 hour 2 hour etc..)

B) This means that even if B-Bot noticed a correction in the market at 1 hour intervals it won't actually execute anything until 3 update periods. (3 hours) At 2 hours it should take 6 hours and this is only 1 way.

So between a buy and sell order, if you have your settings at 1 hour update intervals, then B-bot has a Buy and Sell period of about 6 hours. At 2 hours it should be double that. That was kind of alarming to figure that out. It seems like a pretty long turn around period...

(1 hour, Buy threshold 1 check, YES/NO)
(1 hour, Buy threshold 2 check, YES/NO)
(1 hour, Buy Execute, YES)

(1 hour, Sell threshold 1 check, YES/NO)
(1 hour, Sell threshold 2 check, YES/NO)
(1 hour, Sell Execute, YES)

=======[Discount Code for Butter (10% off)]=========

https://butter-bot.com/?r=f5a17f5b

Use my referal code cause' im sooo cute!  Grin Cheesy



You'll get an extra month free, it's all on me!


Hey Smiley,
  That's not quite accurate:

Butter will execute immediately when threshold 1 and threshold 2 are met (so after 2 hours in your 1 hour interval example).

As for disabling the first threshold (which you set to 0) you need to set it to a negative value, so that it will always be lower than the actual difference. That should void the first threshold for all intents and purposes.

I hope that helps Smiley.

405  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 18, 2013, 08:57:34 PM
Wondering what everyone uses to backtest?  When I set the charts at bitcoincharts.com to EMA 9/20 and hourly interval over the course of the last 10 days.  I only see ONE instance where, at those values, the bot should have sold short and possibly made a slight loss.  Other then that, the only other time I see a cross over was on Nov 10th with the correction that would've made some good profits.

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg10zigHourlyztgSza1gEMAzm1g9za2gEMAzm2g20zv

Hi Butch Smiley,
   Butter has it's own back testing engine; please feel free to download a demo and give it a try.

Don't hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
406  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 18, 2013, 08:53:40 PM
Pablo,

When altcoins are released, how will the bot know how much of the single pool of fiat to spend on each pool of different coins?

Would I suddenly find myself with all altcoins & no btc one day?

Do we get to assign percentages of the fiat pool for each altcoin?

How does the bot manage that?

Hi Ngin Smiley,
   We are still working out the mechanics of altcoins, but I feel that it would make sense if each currency pair had a pool of currency allotted to it and that it would trade that way. I'm not saying that's how it's going to work, it just seems intuitive to me; thoughts?

Pablo.
407  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 18, 2013, 03:04:44 AM
Hey Guys Smiley,
  Just want to welcome the newcomers and give a shout out to those already in the community!

Pablo.
408  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 18, 2013, 03:03:51 AM
Pablo,

I was thinking about if you were to add the 'don't trade at a loss' feature to the bot, it ought to be able to be switched on / off so that those of us who don't want to use it don't have to. Also so we can see for ourselves how it pans out in backtesting when its on or off.

It would be nice if the devs could code a smart method that didn't hurt profits in backtesting. It would be a nice feature to have, as I've seen in backtesting the bot be responsible for thousands of dollars in losses only to be saved by a price rally later. I think there ought to be a way for it to be smart enough to not have those losses.

Hi NginUS Smiley,
  Yep, if we do the "do not trade at loss" feature, you will definitely be able to turn it on and off Smiley.

We are working on improving the trading engine as I mentioned a few pages back, we are being very diligent about it so it is taking its time, we'll see what we can combine and what we come up with. I will report back when we have some definitive results Smiley.

Pablo.
409  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: New Bitsumo.com - Buy Online With Bitcoins on: November 18, 2013, 02:50:36 AM
Hi Pablo.

Have you considered buying BitMit?

 Cheesy

Hi ReCat Smiley,
   It's an interesting idea, but I'll look into it, thanks Smiley.

Pablo.
410  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 17, 2013, 03:22:34 AM
Everyone else having problems with MtGox API at the moment (and last couple of hours)...?
Price info seems to be pulled correctly and graph is updated but yellow warning keeps saying that there is a problem with it. I'm trading in €, if it has any meaning.

Hi Gentle_bend,

I'm also using the MtGox API in combination with €/BTC trading, and I'm not having any issues at all.
Have you tried a refresh of your Chrome Extensions? (CTRL + 'R' in the Extensions menu)


Thanks for that MicroFi but despite reloading/restarting bot and browser I can still see the warning message and no info about my finances on Mt.Gox ...  Cry  On the other hand brief look at the logs doesn't indicate any problems (I'm not a coding person though).

I think I'll move my coins to BTC-e, just in case this rally(?) ends abruptly (will it ever?  Grin)   
 

Gentle_Bend,
   Could you please drop me an email at Pablo@Butter-Bot.com? I will be happy to help you debug this issue :=).

I look forward to hearing from you.

Pablo.
411  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 17, 2013, 03:21:02 AM
Hi there - running the bot off my laptop entails that I keep it on and Chrome open as far as I understand. I am reading comments about a planned hosted solution - will this mean you'll provide a web interface to manage our bot settings on your server?

Hi BigB Smiley,
  Yes, that's exactly what that means, when hosting is live, you will be able to run Butter from our servers through a web interface. I hope that answers your questions, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.

Hi Pablo,

I hope that you are considering all possible scenarios because from a security point of view this can be easily become a nightmare.

Nobody will be able to steal money/BTC, however the potential for wiping out accounts because of intentional misconfiguration of the BOT parameters is huge.

What would be the details on how to interact with the BOT in a hosted environment? RDC? Teamviewer? A web application?


We are looking at security to the best of our ability and as far as is reasonable for us to do so (I.E. if they NSA or CIA decide they really want to hack us well... Smiley ), but hosting will include very clear disclaimers regarding this issue. Nothing anyone can build is fool proof and although we are confident that hosting is not a decent target for an organized attack (because you can't steal any coins) and we are confident we can build an infrastructure to withstand most other situations, we really can't make any absolute guarantees, in computer security, no one can.

So to answer your question: We are taking every reasonable precaution but in the end it is a personal choice to use or not the service, we can't make absolute guarantees.

Please let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
412  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 17, 2013, 03:12:44 AM
Hi all,

I'm a new user to Butter Bot, I've been running the demo for the last few days and reading the various conceptual arguments about bot profitability vs B&H etc... I'm now in the bizarre position of actually hoping for a BTC price crash so I can buy back low, assuming that the bot gets me out in time!
All in all, I think the bot is for me and I'm looking forward to being able to use it with LTC/USD also.

Just wanted to pipe in though that I too would love to see a 'don't sell at a loss' feature.
It seems to me that if you're able to specify that the bot shouldn't sell below it's last purchase price, then you're basically on 'B&H plus extra profits during market volatility'.

Sure, the price could tank. If you're lucky, the EMA settings you have got you out of BTC in time and you can buy back at a lower price and profit as the price climbs back up - but if not, you've basically switched to B&H on those coins until the market recovers.
Since people are arguing over whether B&H is a better strategy, and the suggestion of a split between the two seems sensible, this looks like an ideal scenario.

We're assuming of course that the overall trend is up. But if you're B&H, then you're assuming that already... and if the price never goes back up, well you'd have lost with B&H anyway!

Of course, if the price has really tanked and takes months to recover, you'll be losing out on all the profit the bot would be making on a lower priced, but still volatile market over that time - but if the feature's available then you ticks yer box and you takes yer chances. Wink

If the feature is planned, I'd be interested to know how it'll work - If I find myself locked in to BTC at a higher price because the bot didn't spot the downtrend in time to get me out at a profit, my thinking is that I'll probably want to pump some more USD into the account and have the bot pick up some more BTC when it spots the next uptrend. I'd want the bot to remember that X amount of BTC can't be sold below $Y, but the rest is available for it to trade with.

From a development point of view, I can see how that would get complicated. You'd need to track the amount of BTC sold and at what price. Presumably that means the trades would have to be recorded to a database and have some kind of open / close position. A trade of X BTC opened at $Y. Current price below $Y so trades can't be used to 'close' X BTC until Y > the price of BTC at the point of the X trade.
Trades instead 'open' new records and close themselves until the $Y is reached.
The point being you wouldn't be able to just look at the last trade.......

I'm digressing - just wanted to say hi. Wink

Hi Simiane Smiley,
    We're really on the fence about this one; we have been back testing the "do not sell for loss" scenario and it has pretty bad results compared to EMA. Then again, if you guys want it we should accomodate your requests; but I kindda feel like a lot of people are gonna loose some cash if we put that feature into production.

Let me percolate on this for a bit, I'll get back to you Smiley.

Pablo.
413  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 08:49:41 PM
I understand, that's why I would like to run 2 separate butterbots . One with the "Do Not Take a Loss" command (I hope you will include it soon) and another instance with the "normal" trading values.
 By the way - another suggestion : to be able to run 2 instances - bots with a single bitstamp account and with a single chrome.


Is there a way to set the butterbot to never sell at a loss ?
 For example right now the bot can buy at 400 and sell at 390 - depending on the settings and the chart.

But can I set it in a way if it buys 5 btc at 400 - to never sell those 5 btc below 400 ? Only above

Hi Joehal Smiley,
  This feature is very requested and it's not hard to code but we have not included it for a simple reason: it assumes that in the immediate term, BTC will always go up. Regardless of our long term bullish or bearish positions on BTC, it's a bad assumption to make. Suppose it's April and BTC is trading at 240, you purchased at 240 but then BTC begins to crash. Butter will not sell because of the "Do Not Take a Loss" command and by the time it hits 120 you have lost half your net worth.

The argument can be made that over 6 months you may make your money back plus a profit but that's not a healthy assumption to make with any commodity, nor is it really a trading strategy. This feature is so requested though that we may include it at some point with an advisory I suppose.

I hope that answers your question, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.

For the first suggestion: I'll bring it up with the developer Smiley.

For the second: You can already do that, you can run multiple profiles and have multiple Butter's on your PC with different settings on the same exchange. Please just make sure to use different API keys for each.

Instructions: You can have multiple profiles running on the same machine simultaneously. It's pretty easy, here's a description on how to set it up: http://cybernetnews.com/chrome-multiple-profiles/

I'm here for whatever you need Smiley.

Pablo.
414  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 06:21:50 PM
Thank you for the great quick reply. Every indication seemed to point that things were running, so I'll just let it roll for now and see where things go.

Hey BigB Smiley,
  You can always double check that everything is running by looking for the "connectivity check mark" on the main bot menu; please see below:



Do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
415  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 05:53:01 PM
Hi BigB Smiley,
  Yes, that's exactly what that means, when hosting is live, you will be able to run Butter from our servers through a web interface. I hope that answers your questions, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
I look forward to this option, as I am not online all day, everyday, and it would be great to have the bot running even when I'm not around.

Thanks, I've been running Butter Bot since 10AM or so (~4 hours) and not a single trade has executed. Normal?

Hey Smiley,
EMA (the bot's algorithm) is a trend seeking algorithm, that means that the bot seeks to get in/out of up/down trends as quickly as possible; thus the bot will only trade when the market reverses itself.

BTC has been climbing slowly/been mostly flat for the past few days and thus the bot is holding a "buy" command, therefore you would not expect to have seen a trade yet. When the market reverses itself you will see a trade and the bot will sell your BTC for Fiat.

This is not a High Frequency Trader (HFT) mostly because we have tested these strategies and they tend to have very poor results. With EMA, the fewer trades you see, the better, because it means that trends are manifesting themselves and making you money. Many trades in a short period of time could mean the bot has been triggered by a false signal and could end up costing you fees.

I hope that answers your questions, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
416  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 05:50:51 PM
Is there a way to set the butterbot to never sell at a loss ?
 For example right now the bot can buy at 400 and sell at 390 - depending on the settings and the chart.

But can I set it in a way if it buys 5 btc at 400 - to never sell those 5 btc below 400 ? Only above

Hi Joehal Smiley,
  This feature is very requested and it's not hard to code but we have not included it for a simple reason: it assumes that in the immediate term, BTC will always go up. Regardless of our long term bullish or bearish positions on BTC, it's a bad assumption to make. Suppose it's April and BTC is trading at 240, you purchased at 240 but then BTC begins to crash. Butter will not sell because of the "Do Not Take a Loss" command and by the time it hits 120 you have lost half your net worth.

The argument can be made that over 6 months you may make your money back plus a profit but that's not a healthy assumption to make with any commodity, nor is it really a trading strategy. This feature is so requested though that we may include it at some point with an advisory I suppose.

I hope that answers your question, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
417  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 04:34:34 PM
Hi there - running the bot off my laptop entails that I keep it on and Chrome open as far as I understand. I am reading comments about a planned hosted solution - will this mean you'll provide a web interface to manage our bot settings on your server?

Hi BigB Smiley,
  Yes, that's exactly what that means, when hosting is live, you will be able to run Butter from our servers through a web interface. I hope that answers your questions, please do not hesitate to let me know if you need anything at all Smiley.

Pablo.
418  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 04:32:48 PM

Hi,

I just changed from the recommended settings for BTC-e to these settings that were kindly posted here for us which have a much greater profit than the official settings do. I've even managed to squeeze an extra 1000% out of it by playing with tick offset, so I'm happy with it & thanks for posting.

I'm concerned however that with the larger trade frequency set I may miss opportunities which happen quickly due to the upcoming Senate hearings. Is that what happens with the bigger values there, or am I mistaken?

How will these new settings handle flash situations in the market? Will they miss out?

I guess maybe I'm not understanding how the bot pays attention to the market, if its eyes are open looking at the price all the time, or if it just looks now & then, in which case it could miss alot. Could someone explain that to me please?


Thanks.

Hi Ngin Smiley,
   Yep, the larger threshold values require the movements to be bigger for the triggers to happen, the higher time intervals mean that more time elapses between each time Butter polls the market. All in all, this kind of tweaking will work on an individual basis depending on whether you see a flash crash, a flash crash with a quick rebound, a pure surge, etc.

You can go mad trying to tweak your settings for what you perceive each individual market to be, all in all it's better to look at your trades in aggregate and try to find proper settings for the long term average.

Please let me know if this does not answer your question.

Pablo.
419  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 02:16:45 AM
Pablo,

'd like to inquire about how I can do the folllowing. I'd like to give to some family members for Christmas,  a fully functional  bitcoin trading system, such as I have myself.

I would be hosting their instances in each their own VM  which would have wallet, butter bot, OTP software installed.

I'd set up accounts for BTC-e, and deposit $100 to start with.

I'd create Coinbase accounts for them so the can liquidate to their own baks.


My question to you is, when I'm buying all these 1 year subscriptions, using my referral code over & over again probably won't work? Would my family & I be  eligable for as many referral bonuses as there are gift bot purchases?

Hi Ngin Smiley,
   If I understand correctly you want to buy a couple of licenses using your referral code?

I don't see a problem with this, you will be able to collect your free one month rewards for every single purchase, no problem Smiley.

If I have misunderstood, please let me know.

BTW: Putting aside our software is in the bundle (thank you for thinking of us Smiley ) I think that is a genius way to introduce people to Bitcoin; I will try to come up with something creative like that to give my family members for Christmas and introduce them to Bitcoin; though knowing me it will probably be just a paper wallet Tongue

Please let me know if you need anything at all.

Pablo.
420  Economy / Services / Re: Butter Bot!: New Bitstamp, BTC-E, and MtGox EMA Trading Platform on: November 15, 2013, 01:25:56 AM
Well it'll go sharply.

Up OR Down. lol.

Pablo, my graphs disappeared for some reason. I restarted the bot and everything, they simply aren't showing.

Vesper, 
   Are they back or are you still having the issue? Email me if you are still having problems with the graphs please, and I'll take care of you post haste Smiley.

I personally think the market is not going to react to the hearings, but that's just my personal opinion Smiley. So one of us is bound to be right.

Pablo.

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