Well...  one could draw various parallels here, though it remains unclear whether this is a case where correlation implies causation. For example, since the introduction of VAR, no one has seen Barcelona in the Champions League final... why? Confusion 
And yes, unpleasant thoughts cross my mind when I look at what’s happening at the World Cup, in La Liga, in the Premier League, and so on. There's probably too much money involved to leave any room for chance (or purely sporting factors haha).

buwaytress, yep, we were (sinking) in the same boat 
But no, I’ve been taking a break for a few days now. After getting kicked in the balls repeatedly, i need to rest. I might place a couple of bets on the Nations League, but I’m not sure about that either.

Wow, a ban for a whole month, just the one that applies to national team games, what an inhumane punishment! In fact, they simply received an extra vacation to drink beer, take care of household chores and have fun. Honestly, even as a United supporter, I view all this post-match bickering with skepticism, it’s too late for that anyway. One day the referee makes a call against you, the next day it goes in your favor - you just have to play better in the end. But the fact that all these scandals are endless, even when VAR already exists, is annoying, this is still not the quality product that the most expensive league in the world should produce.

I didn't quite understand what the problem with the system is, then. The Premier League has the most money and attracts a large number of top players (though certainly not all of them, in fact, the biggest superstars arguably play outside the Premier League) creating intense competition at both the mid-table and elite levels. Some players handle the pressure, while others don't, but that’s how it works in other leagues as well. The only difference I see is that the Premier League can buy an average player for 100 million (whereas La Liga or the Bundesliga might only pay 50), and that average player, by delivering mediocre results despite such a huge price tag, creates the impression of a flop.

This is not a little bit, but very strange. The next break for the Nations League will be in November, but only two rounds will be played instead of the current three, so it might be shorter. Then there will be the winter break in the Champions League itself, followed in March by another break for the Nations League play-offs. The season has been torn to shreds. It's sad, I don't like such kaleidoscope of events, there is no any consistency.

Look at the history of matches between Real and Inter - Inter always loses, I don't think it would have been any easier for them even if the score had been 0-0 at halftime. On the contrary, for some reason Real tends to relax after scoring two goals and gives the opponent chances (just look at the recent La Liga game against, of all teams, Elche).
Inter won, well done, but 6 goals conceded in 4 games doesn't look very good. To my surprise, not a single goalless draw has been recorded even after the fourth round, Serie A is recovering 

It’s funny, but when a gambler keeps playing against a house that holds the edge, your advice will bankrupt him more surely than if he simply went all-in every time  If the goal is to win, say, 5x your stake (while acknowledging the risk of losing), it is better to place a single bet at those odds rather than many small ones. If the goal is to play for as long as possible (i.e., to enjoy the process), then naturally you should wager a small percentage of your deposit and reduce your bet size if the deposit shrinks.
If we happen to find ourselves in a scenario where we hold a genuine advantage, we can apply the Kelly criterion (preferably the half-Kelly or even quarter-Kelly variant, as the standard Kelly criterion is overly aggressive).

A decent result, but a disappointing performance. By the way, this is the second time this season that Espi has secured a win for Real in stoppage time (and I think the assist came from Mbappé the first time too, though in that instance, it was more a case of Mbappé simply losing the ball haha). It’s a positive, but with a bitter aftertaste: out of six games, Real lost one and scraped by in two during extra time. And that’s before even facing their toughest opponent (Atlético). I hope Mourinho can shift Real's performance so that they don't have to rely on last-minute goals otherwise, it will mean guaranteed dropped points over the long run.

If I wanted to play at a casino or with a bookmaker for large sums and had doubts about the fairness of payouts, I would first complete the KYC process and ensure I had legal leverage over the service. At the very least, that would reduce the risk. Next, I would compare the betting conditions. As is well known, the odds on prediction markets are generally better than those offered by traditional bookmakers, however, prediction markets lack many of the features found at traditional bookmakers - such as extensive niche markets, large multi-bets, and so on.
All in all, it depends on your specific circumstances and especially the jurisdiction you are in. For instance, in my jurisdiction, the main priority is avoiding KYC, so I choose prediction markets and bookmakers that don't impose KYC requirements.

That’s a market with zero liquidity for each outcome, you probably took the screenshot right when the market opened?
Besides, you remember the format - this tournament is spread out over a long period, with the final stage not taking place until the summer of 2027, there’s little point in tying up money for such a long time. Given that only one team from Groups A qualifies for the playoffs, it makes sense to place bets specifically on that outcomes right now, and only switch to title market once the playoff participants are known.

Вряд ли создание такой системы возможно + придется отойти от принятого (в основном) подхода на бтт, что должны быть прямые доказательства, а не хоть на 100% обоснованные сомнения. Я думаю вы помните битвы в Репутации, когда отпетые скамеры довольно долго от ответственности увиливали пока не были собраны формальные доказательства.
И еще, с учетом того что ИИшки прогрессируют, в будущем будет труднее различать тупого пользователя от умной ИИшки, в том смысле что пользователь будет выглядеть для соображающего человека больше похожим на ИИ чем сам ИИ.
Те боты которые сейчас на форуме плодятся это нищета какая-то, явно бесплатные/околобесплатные модели трудятся. Если кто-то всерьез за дело возьмется то вы таких тайкури (не помню как его ник латиницей пищется) увидите что не порадуетесь  

RTX 5060 8 gb (дешман) летом 35к -> 43,5к -> 49k
RTX 5060 8 gb (популярная) летом 31к -> 48к -> 48k
RTX 3060 12 gb (дешман) летом 30к -> 39к -> 44k
RTX 3060 12 gb (популярная) летом 36к -> 40к -> 45k

Прошло меньше 3-х недель  и бакс за этот период не рос а наоборот на рубль упал. 3060 за 45к это конечно жестко для 2026 года.

Собственно в тему зашел посмотреть следит ли кто за разворачивающимся скандалом. Вкратце: Дарио Амодеи (антропик) жахнул хмурого и опубликовал статью, в которой расписал как ИИ-AGI (который вот-вот создадут бля буду) убьет людей.
Поэтому надо что? Да, вы угадали - всё зарегулировать, снизить темп разработки и естественно контролировать дальнейшую разработку должны именно демократические (да так и написал, всерьез в 2026 году) страны, а Китай на это должен согласиться. Конкуренты (ОпенАИ, Маск) его поддержали. Хотят ребята функционирующий картель (триллионы то инвестированы, а выхлопу опенсорс и Китай мешает) аж спать не могут. Заради человечества аж отказались от планов на ИПО в этом году.

Китай ясное дело послал нахрен. Пугалка не сработала, как-то надо выкручиваться дальше. Берем попкорн 

Много интересных вариантов впереди, в диапазоне от "создать катастрофу от якобы лица умного и злого ИИ и под этим предлогом протащить регулирование", до лопания пузыря 
В первом варианте цена карт будет в космос лететь (ИИшки придется локально гонять - это будет дешевле + без слежки/регулирования), во втором варианте в пол чуть подешевеют может и то вряд ли.

It seems like you have no idea what you're writing about, but why don't you at least fact-check your statements? France won the World Cup in 2018, but Modrić received the Ballon d'Or. Germany won the World Cup in 2014, but Ronaldo received the Ballon d'Or. And so on. If you’re allergic to facts, then at least don’t make statements that can be instantly refuted. And there’s no need to make up stories about hatred, why bother, when you theoretically have facts to justify the award given to Yamal, even though he didn't make the list of top performers at the World Cup or in the Champions League?

Damn! Barcelona's PR machine is striking! Right now, the odds of Yamal not winning the award are trading at 78 cents - even lower than the price at which I bought in. Fraudicio Scamano, Flick, and even Rodri have spoken out in support of Yamal, but this seems to have rubbed many people the wrong way, and a war between fanboys has now broken out on social media.
To hell with them all - we’re making money here The question remains: is this a chance to buy at better prices, or is it time to come to our senses and avoid the risk, given that the reward is subjective and has already been rigged so many times? Hmm...

This is the main problem for Ligue 1, that there is no one much stronger club that could beat everyone else except PSG consistently. If such a club existed, then the unnecessary loss of a few points would put PSG in a difficult position, for a competitor, it would be enough to avoid defeat twice in head-to-head matches (for example, to achieve two draws or even a draw and a defeat) and maintain the lead. But in reality, no such club exists, so PSG's rivals are destroying each other and making the task easier for PSG.

Statistically, betting on odds of 7 looks promising, given that Real Madrid has recorded between 5 and 8 draws per season in recent years - making this the most likely range for such an outcome. However, I’m afraid that if we apply a filter and select only clear underdogs, like Elche, the range will look completely different. In any case, I admit that this bet looks interesting and not at all hopeless, let's see how it plays out (though as a Real Madrid fan, I hope it doesn't work out - haha).

Surprisingly, for me, there are several extremely interesting matches on each matchday: Netherlands vs. Germany, what will Klopp show? Norway vs. Denmark: Will Haaland continue to score more than a goal per game? Italy vs. Belgium: let's see how Italy performs against a strong opponent, they need victories desperately after missing yet another World Cup. England vs. Spain is the icing on the cake, and I would also view it as a battle between contenders for the Ballon d'Or 

Individual performance comes first, with trophies ranking only second, these are the official criteria. How can you overlook the fact that Yamal didn't make the team of the best players for either the World Cup or the Champions League? An award winner shouldn't be that bad. I’ve come across Yamal’s stats from last season several times today - practically 99% of his goals and assists came against clear underdogs, while he flopped in big games. He shouldn't have made those statements, now the public is scrutinizing him with tenfold zeal 

What’s better: a dildo up to your ass or a pink magical unicorn? 
Don't take this the wrong way, but that is exactly how your question sounds. All fiat currencies that have ever existed have died (even the dollar aka the-most-successful-fiat-currency has defaulted twice and is currently dying again, as it is losing value at an incredible pace).
Your question initially sounds like a scam, since it contrasts some real negative processes (which, by the way, are not caused by deflation, but by a monetary system based on debt printing) with some speculative positive benefits.

The second reason your question is deceptive is that you fail to distinguish where the deflation or inflation is taking place - you immediately assume we are operating within the modern fiat (fraudulent) system. But why not within a gold standard or a barter system? Why do you pretend there are no alternatives to the modern, fraudulent system?

Yes, I agree that this is the primary reason: the very mechanism of prediction markets leads to rapid industry monopolization, whoever wins the liquidity battle captures the entire market. It seems that currently, over 90% of the market is split between Polymarket (a "free" prediction market) and Kalshi (a regulated one).
However, there are niches that exist on neither Polymarket nor, even less so, Kalshi, such as bets on death, nuclear explosions, and the like. It seems to me that prediction markets specializing in such topics could be profitable, but I don't know if they would want to advertise here.

It seems to me that if you set the cup aside, I simply don't see any difference. The clubs have the same number of points, Arsenal has a goal difference of 8-1, while City has 8-2. The fact that Arsenal are the reigning champions and have the same manager can hardly justify a twofold difference in the odds. Perhaps bookmakers are factoring in the remote possibility that City might still face some form of punishment for their "115 matters" including a potential deduction of 5-10 points.