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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
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on: March 10, 2024, 05:34:44 PM
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In Girona's match against Osasuna, in fact Girona won with a score of 2:0. Because, currently Barcelona's position has shifted again to third place in the standings. But even so, next week Barcelona still has the opportunity to shift Girona from second place again. In fact, next week the opponent Barcelona faces is Atletico Madrid, which will definitely be a bit strong and make things difficult for Barcelona. However, the possibility that Barcelona can win the match against Atletico Madrid is still very large. Because if you look at the Head to Head record from the last 5 meetings, the result is that Barcelona is superior by winning 4 times. So in my opinion next week, Barcelona will most likely be in second place in La Liga again. ~ You are looking too far, first you need to see how the games of these teams in the Champions League will turn out. Both teams have not yet secured their place in the 1/4 and are on the verge of relegation (especially Atlético). I can assume that despite Atlético's failures in recent games, they will be more motivated than Barcelona, since any loss of points could lead to Atlético being pushed out of the top 4 by Athletic. If Atlético loses to Inter in the round of 16 plus they fail to qualify for the Champions League next year, then I think Simeone will be sacked.
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322
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
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on: March 09, 2024, 10:03:32 PM
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Napoli 1 - 1 Torino
An unpleasant result before a trip to Barcelona. In the sense that, judging by the statistics, Napoli was closer to victory, but it all ended in a draw:
Shots - 22:11 Shots on target – 8:2 Corners – 13:7
In Serie A, everything is already lost and it was probably not worth wasting energy on this game, but for the sake of own confidence, 3 points would be a well-deserved result today. I hope Napoli has exhausted its limit of unluck and in the game with Barcelona random at least will not be against them.
1-1 draw isn't really a bad result in my opinion, considering the fact that they got a Champions League game to play next week, at least they got a point, which is much better than losing the game, I kind of think their performance was really affected due to the fact that they got a bigger match ahead to face, and those players played in such a way that they won't sustain any injuries that could spoil their chances of winning their Champions League game come next week. Napoli now have 44 points, and if they had won it would have been 46, Bologna lost to Inter and they had 51 left and we can say that Napoli missed the opportunity to reduce the gap. But in fact, there is still a huge distance between Napoli and Bologna (for such a small distance), plus there are other clubs like Atalanta and Roma that will be difficult to bypass. In fact, in the tournament sense, nothing has changed for Napoli, but psychologically the result is unpleasant. Maybe their thoughts are already in the Champions League game, and the result of the game with Torino will not affect them, it’s good if that’s the case.
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323
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
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on: March 09, 2024, 09:54:37 PM
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~ A shocking result of the match between Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid. It's 2 - 0
Wow, how can Atletico Madrid be that poor in this match? This's gonna be a big evaluation for them. Nothing to say more about this.
On the other hand, Girona, as one of the fav club this season is still struggling against Osasuna. So far, Girona is playing good. Girona is also ahead with their first goal, and no goal from Osasuna.
By the way, this defeat of Atlético opens up two new possibilities: firstly, if Atlético wins against Las Palmas, then there will be only 2 points between Atlético and Atlético, which casts doubt on Atlético’s place in the top 4. Secondly, maybe I’m naive, but will this state of affairs (degradation of the club over several seasons) still push Atlético’s management to change the coach? Or is Simeone going to break all records for longest tenure at one club?
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324
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024
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on: March 09, 2024, 09:48:10 PM
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Bayern 8 - 1 Mainz -snip it is a bit late for club trophy, but Kane will take another individual trophy this season reading a lot about him being "bad luck" for the team, due to not having trophies with Spurs, and now setting Bayern to lose title after 10 years but this season is more about Leverkusen than Bayern, Bayern won title last season with 71 point, and they will probably reach that number this season as well, but Leverkusen is already on 64 points, not sure about records there, but this seems as perfect season for them Last year Bayern had 52 points after 25 games, 5 less than now, so they are certainly going at a better pace than last year. But still, even last year was a crisis for them and it is not worth emulating. Bayer is at the pace of the champion Bayern of the best years and they broke their record for the number of games without defeat (it seems that they have already surpassed it by 3 games). Therefore, for Kane this season there are only personal awards and a chance in the Champions League. By the way, today Kane has already broken the scoring record (more precisely, he repeated it, there is one goal left to break) in debut season. Plus, in order to surpass Lewandowski’s record (41 goals), there are all the conditions.
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325
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
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on: March 09, 2024, 05:09:57 PM
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Napoli 1 - 1 Torino
An unpleasant result before a trip to Barcelona. In the sense that, judging by the statistics, Napoli was closer to victory, but it all ended in a draw:
Shots - 22:11 Shots on target – 8:2 Corners – 13:7
In Serie A, everything is already lost and it was probably not worth wasting energy on this game, but for the sake of own confidence, 3 points would be a well-deserved result today. I hope Napoli has exhausted its limit of unluck and in the game with Barcelona random at least will not be against them.
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326
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
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on: March 09, 2024, 05:00:48 PM
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What is happening with Atletico Madrid?
I write right now in the Champions League thread about them, because i was having high hopes of seeing them winning against Inter Milan, but man they are playing horrible right now. And they are not longer so effective in defense like in the past, seems like they are suffering so much for not having Griezman in the starter 11.
Damn, 2-0 with 10 minutes to end of game. Live quotes confirm the victory of Cadiz: 1.01 - 21.56 - 49.00 Frankly, I was expecting such a result, but only in the other direction I assumed that after a series of failures the team's results should return to the average, but I was wrong. Although it’s hard to call it a mistake that I assumed that Atlético should not have problems with a team from 18th place, which will leave La Liga by 90% at the end of the season.
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327
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024
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on: March 09, 2024, 04:34:15 PM
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Bayern 8 - 1 Mainz I predicted 4 - 0, which, given Bayern's results, was already bold (I see that only a few participants chose that Bayern would score 4 goals and no one chose that more would be scored), but such a result was difficult to expect. Kane has scored a hat-trick and with 13 games left is just 11 goals behind Lewandowski's record. Now it seems to me that he will break this record and with a margin.
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328
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Local / Майнеры / Re: Глобальные новости крипто-майнинга
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on: March 09, 2024, 04:04:13 PM
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Согласно данным аналитического сервиса Glassnode, 5 марта 2024 года выручка майнеров криптовалюты биткоин (BTC) в долларах США достигла отметки $75,95 млн. Это 2-й результат по величине за всю историю наблюдений. Эксперт отрасли Колин Ву отметил, что при этом комиссия за транзакции составила 9%. Исторический пик пришелся на 15 апреля 2021 года, когда добытчики «цифрового золота» заработали $77,54 млн за сутки. Получается что майнеры сейчас на коне~ Скорее под конем. Тогда был локальный пик цены 60к бачей, только вот хешрейт при этом был 180, а сейчас при цене 68к хешрейт 625. Понятное дело что и мощность асиков выросла и энергоэффективность, но очевидно что сейчас практически тот же самый пирог делится на большее количество ртов. Кто-то расширялся и получает "по-старому", но он заплатил за это сделав инвестиции, а в целом друг друга едят товарищи.
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329
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Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Bitcoin vs Золото vs Фиат
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on: March 09, 2024, 03:50:49 PM
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Интересные заявления делают аналитики международного инвестиционного банка JPMorgan. А именно, что волатильность не позволит биткоину сравниться с золотом. "Аналитики подчеркивают: волатильность у биткоина в 3,7 раза выше, чем у золота. Именно из-за более высокой волатильности актива спотовые биткоин-ETF не смогут собрать средства, сравнимые по объему с инвестиционными продуктами на основе золота. Чтобы достичь паритета с золотом, рыночная капитализация биткоина должна составить минимум $3,3 трлн. Такой объем золота используется сейчас в инвестиционных продуктах." Но аналитики не могут не согласиться, что рост капы биткойн все равно неизбежен (в том числе за счет ETF фондов), но называют довольно скромные цифры, а сроки наоборот немалые. https://bits.media/jpmorgan-volatilnost-ne-pozvolit-bitkoinu-sravnitsya-s-zolotom-/Интересно, где они связь увидели между волатильностью и каким-то выдуманным потолком капы? К тому же у битка волатильность на протяжении всего существования снижается, что как бы намекает что при достижении все больших уровней волатильность будет все меньше (бОльшие уровни будут достигунты за счет бОльших игроков -> которые и будут волатильность контролить). На золото я бы вообще не ориентировался, его волатильность чуть ли индексом рынка является: что-то в районе >50% золота идет в промышленность/ювелирку, добыча золота процесс равномерный прямолинейный -> цена стабильна.
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330
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Local / Майнеры / Re: Донеси на майнера в РФ
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on: March 09, 2024, 03:36:36 PM
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Ну так в статье по ссылке: базовый тариф растет с 4,85 до 5,27. Это 8.6% за полгода. А как жи инфляция годовая в 4-5% (я точно не помню фантазии местных вождей) не, что в статье я понял. я к тому, что повышали каждые полгода уже хз знает сколько лет. я, кажется, году в 13-15 электронный личный кабинет сделал и стал на это внимание обращать. я к тому, что если бы каждое повышение было на 10%, то цены явно бы куда сильнее возросла. с 4 до 5 это 25% всего за 6 лет и это еще не учитывая сложный процент. ЗЫ. 25/6= 4.16% годовых На дистанции смотреть надо, у меня в голове отложилась цена 2,70 (правда год не помню), а сейчас 6+. И прошло не то что бы 10 лет Вообще я про конкретно это повышение написал: под ебаные лимиты нехило так и базовый тариф накрутили, при том что про официальную инфляцию сказки поют. ~ И будут расти, новые предприятия и производства требуют электрики и как за последние год- полтора давно не помню чтобы так вокруг бодро все строили. В целом здесь было бы не страшно, если бы россети за эффективностью следили, но так как тариф повышают регулярно, всем пох и поэтому даже если есть косяки, потом просто включат в тариф и все.
Новые предприятия нехило так за подключение платят, да и тариф там комерческий. Суть в том что даже при якобы дотируемой (якобы потому что в нерыночной экономике вообще нет смысла рассуждать о ценах и где что дотируемое а где "настоящая" цена) ЭЭ цена будет расти опережая официальную инфляцию.
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331
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Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: ЦБ РФ защитит россиян от Биткоина
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on: March 09, 2024, 03:22:01 PM
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Для того, чтобы на доллары выросла цена, на них должен быть какой-то повышенный спрос. Советский рубль так-то был вполне стабилен, и проблема реализовывалась не через обесценивание рубля, а через дефицит товаров. Те, кого хоть как-то затрагивал дисбаланс внутреннего и экспортного рубля с рядовыми гражданами и близко не пересекались, и возможности простых граждан, даже если бы те с какого-то перепуга полезли в незнакомую для них противозаконную тему, это просто не масштаб. Даже нумизматы и бонисты находились под постоянным контролем и надзором КГБ~
И чтобы купить обручальные кольца (золото) нужна была справочка из ЗАГСа - "просто так" совки не имели права купить презренный желтый металл Что касается стабильности рубля, то звучит как оксюморон с учетом дефицита товаров который вы упомянули. Ну типа бумажки есть и цена на товар есть (причем стабильная на протяжении многих лет), но вот самого товара нет. Можно ли здесь утверждать что бумажкит были "стабильны"? Ну в принципе да, если принять факт что они равны мусору (околонулевая стоимость). Именно поэтому совки эти бумажки и копили в сбербанке так как деть особо некуда было.
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332
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Risking 1% in Gambling
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on: March 08, 2024, 08:08:38 PM
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Gambling really is for the lucky to be honest.
Everyone will get there with the hopes of winning or at least to have a good time.
It's only the few lucky ones that end up actually winning something.
And they are just randomly sampled. There's no correlation between how good player you are and how much you win.
I want to deviate on that. I will continue to believe that gambling is for skilled people who can be profitable in the long run. Because if you rely on luck, you are not gonna end up winning, you might if you are extremely lucky like you are hitting a jackpot (one time big time), but if you only hit a minimal amount you will still come back again to gamble, and eventually you'll lose. That's the edge we have, and we can never beat that. So, in my case, I try to learn and develop my skills so one day I'll make a living in gambling. ... sounds impossible, right? But that's just me... I would like to know more details about your plan. For example, how do you want to increase your skill in Dice? Or in blackjack, where multi-decks are used and shuffling occurs long before memorizing the eliminated cards can give you any information. If you look at things soberly (judging by your reasoning, you perfectly understand the mechanism of gambling) you should have some kind of real plan. I would really like to know how you will try to avoid losing in a game where the advantage is not on your side.
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333
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Your go-to sports betting risk management strategies?
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on: March 08, 2024, 08:02:55 PM
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If you are using risk management strategies in gambling, you are both gambling for fun and you are gambling to win. What I opine about risk management in gambling, it is not to prevent you from losing but to present you the best possible strategies to make you win a bet. It turns you from an emotional loss chasing gambler to a logical event winning and profit making gambler.
Which of these is your go-to sports betting risk management strategies?
1. Hedging - Basically it is placing another bet to reduce the potential losses or risks associated with your first bet.
2 Arbitrage Betting - Here you bets on all possible outcomes of an event with different bookmakers to secure a profit no matter of the outcome.
3. Cash Out: When you cash out in betting, you take a portion payout from the bet before the game is over It is do to guarantee a profit or minimize losses, especially when the original bet is winning or losing.
4. Matched Betting: It is involves the use of free bets and promotions from bookmakers to cover all possible outcomes of a game and guarantee a profit.
*The list is inexhaustible. You can add your favorite if it is missing.
1. In general, this strategy is equal to point 3 (it’s just implemented in a different way, because not every bookmaker provides a cashout function). But in my opinion, in itself it is meaningless, since if you have made a bet, then keep it until the end, all additional manipulations only bring you additional losses. 2. Arbitrage betting in modern realities is almost meaningless (you can earn a fraction of a percent, which will ultimately be eaten up by commissions when moving funds for further arbitrage). In my opinion, if you find an arbitrage bet, then you should try to understand where the value is and place a bet on this outcome - this way you will increase your profit and will not irritate the bookmaker with arbitrage. 3. As I already wrote, this is a bad option, usually you lose about 30% of your funds when you use it. Too expensive in my opinion. It's better to make a hedge bet. 4. This is equivalent to bonus hunting. Firstly, if this is all you do, you will simply be kicked out of the site. Secondly, you can earn a little money from this, but it is not a systematic profit, plus it cannot be scaled, so I would not waste my time on this.
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334
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
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on: March 08, 2024, 07:52:14 PM
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Have important second leg match in UEFA Champion League upcoming middle week, Xavi Hernandez make many rotation with current starting eleven against Real Mallorca will begin few minutes later. Seems the first time for youth player Marc Guiu become the regular player and start playing in the first minute after Xavi Hernandez save Robert Lewandowski at the bench. Will effective with many rotation make by Xavi Hernandez easily for Barcelona securing three points? the opponent team Real Mallorca on the top performance after defeating Girona last match and not close opportunity to continue the impressive trend performance for defeating Barcelona. Barcelona's starting line up against Mallorca SourceLewandowski is no longer young, so it is quite logical before the game in the Champions League, the result of which determines his further participation (or non-participation) in the tournament, not to make him tired. Perhaps he will come in as a replacement. In general, this game does not decide anything at all for Barcelona (they have already lost the title, but are guaranteed to remain in the top 4) so Xavi can experiment here as he wants. Perhaps Mallorca will try to take advantage of this situation and we will see a lot of goals now (a repeat of the 3-3 score would be great).
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335
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)
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on: March 08, 2024, 04:49:34 PM
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This week its really difficult to bet and for my beloved Juventus, they have a potentially difficult match against a truly angry and hungry Atalanta. But i want to trust in Juventus - Juventus - Atalanta BC i will bet on my beloved Juventus
- AC Milan - Empoli i will bet on AC Milan
the win of Juventus is 2.15! If I win this bet it will be nicer to have won In the last 6 games, Juventus have won only once, which is why the odds for the game with Atalanta are so generous. Considering the fact that Atalanta has maximum motivation (if the situation goes well, they can even get into the top 4), I’m not sure that the risk is worth the profit. The bet on Milan looks reliable, I would even take it with a handicap of -1, but I am stopped by the fact that Milan is already in the top 4 and can neither compete for the title nor fall lower - I’m not sure of their motivation as in the case of Juventus.
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336
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
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on: March 08, 2024, 04:42:12 PM
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Barcelona have odds of 1.46 for the win against Mallorca today. I think it is quite tempting to add to a parlay. Barcelona couldn't win their previous game against each other by the way. However I'm more positive this time. I'm aware of their performance level and I just don't want it to end up like the Granada game a month ago (3-3). They weren't good enough against Athletic Bilbao the last time. As I hope for some progress I will try my luck with Barcelona win. I hope my parlay wouldn't lose from the first game already. Lewandowski might be the decider for this game in my opinion. Yep. I have a great desire to bet on this outcome plus on the victory of Girona, simply based on the fact that these clubs cannot fail all the time. The odds for Girona to win are also quite good - 1.55. In general, in my opinion, in this round all the favorites’ quotes are very generous (except for Real Madrid) - I think that Athletic and Atlético are underestimated. The only problem is probably that the clubs may have reduced motivation since the tournament position has already been determined, so if you make a multi-bet, you shouldn’t make it too long.
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337
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season
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on: March 08, 2024, 04:34:47 PM
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Wow, I'm surprised by the big victories of Liverpool and Roma, but the most interesting match in terms of results is still Karabakh - Bayer.
Exactly, well, actually, Liverpool could have predicted from the start that they would definitely be the ones who were superior in this match. However, 5 goals in the first leg, this really gives the green light to progress to the next round. What is very satisfying is Roma's performance under their new coach. Roma's big win over Birghton with 4 goals was very satisfying. and we might not think that far ahead of the number of goals. And Brighton had absolutely no chance to score a goal. Excelletn, this time, Roma is truly excellent. ~ In fact, taking into account the fact that on March 10th Liverpool will play a super important game with City, one could assume that they would not strain themselves in this game. But even with a less than optimal lineup, they were able to beat strong (as it seemed from the games with Galatasaray) Sparta with a score that guaranteed passage to the next round and made the second match a formality. As for Brighton, they had chances (which Adingra regularly created), but were unable to capitalize on them. Perhaps in the return game Brighton will take revenge, but they will definitely not be able to win back 4 goals.
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338
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions
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on: March 08, 2024, 04:27:28 PM
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Following football trends, Victor Osimhen of Napoli will be better off taking the move to PSG and go become the new prince of France. With Mbappe touted to leave for Real Madrid and Goncalo Not firing in the 9 position, Osimhen is one who is one that can fill the voids easily.
That could be the right solution as a replacement for Mbappe who will leave at the end of the season but it doesn't seem like it will actually happen considering that PSG is not Osimhen's main destination. He would rather be in the English Premier League and everyone knows that too. Osimhen once dreamed of being part of one of the big English Premier League teams and he was a Chelsea fan when he was little. But now the situation has changed and every player has his own view regarding his career and in this case, of course Osimhen can change his future according to his wishes. As one of the great strikers in recent seasons, of course he wants to be at a big club that focuses on winning titles and we know PSG can do that if only as seasonal champions in Ligue One. But something bigger like the Champions League will never be easily won by PSG. Now Osimhen must consider his options and where he will continue his career in his new home. It seems to me that if Osimhen only wants money, then he should go straight to Saudi Arabia. The Ligue 1 "title" is not a title that people pay attention to at all (even when there was competition in the league). Formally, Ligue 1 belongs to the top leagues, but in fact there are only four top leagues: England, Spain, Germany, Italy. To be a prince in France and be visible throughout Europe, you need to play in the French national team, Osimhen and his Nigerian national team will not be able to follow Mbappe’s path here. If Osimhen wants to develop as an athlete, then he needs to move to the top league, there are no other options. The only question is what Osimhen himself will choose.
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339
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024
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on: March 08, 2024, 04:08:53 PM
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2.37 - 4.02 - 2.53
Last year Aston Villa finished 7th and they are obviously in a better position than a year ago and considering that they are ahead of many big clubs they are doing great.
Looking at the Odds given, it seems that for this match Aston Villa is favoured only because they play home, nothing more than that, because looking at the opportunities owned between Aston Villa and Tottenham at this time both still have the momentum to be able to win in the match they will carry out. In terms of performance for this season and last season, of course they are better for this season because with Emery it raises a hope where Aston Villa, which last season played poorly, is brought back to be one of the dark horse clubs until now but there are indeed some conditions that Emery still cannot maximise well in the previous few matches even though they have returned to good performance in the last 3 matches. This will be interesting for sure because after all, apart from the position, this will also prove whether Aston Villa deserves or not in the top 4 in the end considering that for now in terms of points, their gap can still be overtaken with still many matches to be played until the end of the season. If the game were in London, Tottenham would most likely be considered a slight favorite, but in general Aston Villa looks better in all respects: they have 2 points more (this is taking into account the fact that Tottenham will win their game in reserve), the goal difference is Aston Villa +22, and Tottenham +16. Of course, any team can win, but Aston Villa are reasonable favorites. In fact, this game may decide who will take fourth place (if Aston Villa wins, the issue will be resolved) - United are 11 points away and their game is so poor that it is difficult to imagine that they will be able to intervene in this fight.
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340
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season
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on: March 07, 2024, 08:19:51 PM
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Wow, I'm surprised by the big victories of Liverpool and Roma, but the most interesting match in terms of results is still Karabakh - Bayer. Firstly, Karabakh was really close to breaking Bayer’s phenomenal streak (but apparently it’s so phenomenal that it would require some kind of miracle). Secondly, the very fact that teams that have already played in the same group are playing in the 1/8 is ridiculous (I think UEFA should fix something here). The third point is probably a repetition of the first, but still Karabakh, after games in the group where it lost both with a total score of 6-1, was able to give a serious fight to Bayer. I can imagine that in Germany Bayer will take it out on them to the fullest and we will again see something like 4-0 or 5-0.
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