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1  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: EOS - Asynchronous Smart Contract Platform - (Dan Larimer of Bitshares/Steem) on: December 04, 2018, 10:04:56 AM
I think Tech wise it's very interesting. Very high transaction rates, much more decentralised that centralised systems. "converging on decentralisation" as a route to adoption and uses way way less power than POW. A "blockchain", you can use at scale for real-ish stuff (like gaming?...)

HOWEVER if it takes off, there is the scary danger it become, as @fractalUniverse called it FED 2.0.

The biggest problem I see is centralisation of the token distribution. A few whales dominate the voting for BPs. Vote buying is already happening so there's already corrupution, in a system that provides trust through the unquestionable integrity of the block producers...

Telos is interesting in that they capped the snapshot at 40,000 tokens on their chain. Personally I think that was too high and they really should have implemented a logarithimic function rather than a cap to give the big whale investors something for all the money they gave block.one.

The big problem is identity. The WORBLI chain is tackling that using KYC approaches. Most people seem to imagine there is a magic identity solution around the corner that will make EOS great again... get you URI handouts here folks... except I'm really skeptical there is any such solution anytime soon.


2  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: - AURORACOIN - on: December 04, 2018, 09:48:38 AM
Just looking into this experiment. Has there been much real world usage? Are there other examples of regional coins like this and how does Aurora compare?



I would risk saying that Iceland is the furthest world wide in terms of crypto adoption

not disputing this but it seems theres still a very long way to go even in iceland.
3  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: - AURORACOIN - on: November 23, 2018, 12:03:56 PM
Just looking into this experiment. Has there been much real world usage? Are there other examples of regional coins like this and how does Aurora compare?

4  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Core 0.16.1 Released on: July 03, 2018, 04:41:57 AM
What would happen if all work stopped on bitcoin core? I can see why some altcoin projects need lots of development but bitcoin users don't see any difference from how it was years ago.
5  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can you wait to prove them wrong about Bitcoin? on: July 03, 2018, 04:33:31 AM
An ETF will change things quite a lot
6  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-07-02] Bitcoin Thieves are Monitoring 2.3 Million Addresses Using a Clipbo on: July 02, 2018, 01:51:48 PM
just curious. Do wallet client use some something other than port 80 when sending transactions?
7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Best way to store Bitcoin safely ? on: July 02, 2018, 01:45:57 PM
Are services where people pay to have their coin stored for them and are reliably insured in the even the keep gets hacked/messes up?
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will bull run of BTC start soon? on: June 06, 2018, 01:30:32 PM
If a price rise is gonna to be driven by consumers then maybe some good news just before thanksgiving will trigger a rally.
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: I lost 80% of my bitcoins in alts, What can I do now?! on: June 06, 2018, 08:36:15 AM
So did the OP HODL?
10  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Beware of Increasingly Sophisticated Malware Infection Attempts on: June 06, 2018, 08:22:02 AM
Noone is safe. Use Ledger on Trezor for everithing. It is safer but not safe. on the internet noone is safe.

It's true noone is completely safe. But then noone is completely safe in the real world either. All houses can be broken into by thieves with enough skill.
11  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Beware of Increasingly Sophisticated Malware Infection Attempts on: June 05, 2018, 08:30:34 AM
information security is a mine field. The more experienced you are the more paranoid you can get.

12  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Tokens (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] [ICO] PAVO - IoT Blockchain for the AgTech Ecosystem on: June 05, 2018, 08:08:49 AM
Are you developing hardware or just blockchain software?
13  Economy / Economics / Re: What limits the market cap of bitcoin? on: October 25, 2017, 01:08:21 PM

The other thing is money creation. Now we have central banks and commercial banks creating money (as debt) and feeding it down to companies, who use it to pay staff. This creates massive stability (inertia?) in the current system. It seems much more likely that an alternative crypto-based economy grow in parallel to this old paradigm, without some major innovations this can only happen very slowly in the margins and it will take a long time to gain critical mass.

Perhaps one day noone will ask how much a bitcoin is worth today. Rather they will ask how much a USD is worth today. But the truth is this could take long time.

If BTC crashes it could go down like the nasdaq in 2001 and take quite a long time to come back up. I think it will. If I can a stash of bitcoins, I'd definitely hold some right now, but I'd also be looking to divest some into safe stores of wealth.

I agree with just about everything you wrote, but want to highlight the bolded section. It seems to me that this is an impossibility, because nobody can afford to transact in btc or store value in it with such volatility. Any producer or merchant accepting btc as a payment option has to immediately convert the transaction into fiat or risk having their profit margin eaten away by the volatility. It seems impossible to me to have a parallel btc-denominated system grow along side the fiat-dominated system because everything to sustain a btc-only system is not produced presently. There will still be points where btc has to be converted in order to interact with the larger economy, and god help you as a businessman if btc is in a down period when you have to buy new supplies, because all the transactions you would have done in btc over the previous period would now be at a loss.

Yes, I can't argue against this either. Anyone producing goods for instance with fiat based upstream costs would probably find selling in BTC (and holding it) a risky strategy. couple of pounts:

i) There's the upside potential to consider too. If you sold your carrots for some bitcoins a few years ago and you'd very happy about it today.  (but you'd have to have been able to afford to hold them).
Basically volatility isn't a problem in you can afford the risk.
Say, if I'm a comfortably well off consultant who own a home, my running cost are quite low I can afford to charge my services in BTC knowing they might go up for down Vs Fiats. In general suppliers who can afford to take the risk on a portion of their income will find this much easier.

iii) Conversion to more stable values stores is always an option. If I sell my BTC and convert to fiat as soon as I sell my goods there a lot less risk. It's important to remember, fiats can go up and down too. The UKs brexit referendum dropped GBP by 20% over a few days and this affected importers significantly. It's not BTC level volatility but just pointing out there is no ultimately stable currency.
(Maybe BTC will become the ultimately stable currency one day? once everything has been mined and there a no more forks its possible BTC becomes ridiculously stable. I'm not really sure this is likely and it's not necessarily easy to define what stable actually means, for now it means compared USD but that may not always be the case.)
The downside of simply selling in BTC and converting to fiat is that BTC prices will be equally volatile.
14  Economy / Economics / Re: What limits the market cap of bitcoin? on: October 24, 2017, 05:39:59 PM
Yes. It would be quite interesting to know how much all current holders actually paid in total but it's something we can never know.
15  Economy / Economics / Re: What limits the market cap of bitcoin? on: October 24, 2017, 02:13:08 PM

The rise could be sustainable if the ecosystem around Bitcoin really expands.

As I explained some posts ago, this would occur if there are more use cases. For example, remittances is one of the fields where Bitcoin has extreme potential, because the volatility risk is much lower there as with most other applications (because the user only needs to "hold" the coin [and hold the bag if there is a crash] for some minutes, while the transaction is being confirmed). If there are more remittance operators available, and Bitcoin will be massively used for that, this would be reflected in a "sustainable" price rise.

But currently this "real adoption" still is limited - so it's perfectly possible that the current market cap is "overvalued" if we take into account the really existing current Bitcoin ecosystem. And so "Grandma and her dog" could get burned  Cry Grin

I agree. Reworld uses cases are necessary to sustain BTC long term and at the moment it must be over valued.

Sending money is an easy early uses case, but it's not clear what it might take to get crypto more widely adopted.
I was chatting to a local organic farmer recently about whether they would be interested in starting to sell their produce in BTC. I think the idea is interesting, but as most consumers aren't using BTC they unlikely to adopt. It will take time for ordinary people to get used to managing their funds and feeling safe doing so. No doubt there are more software innovations needed to really make this happen.

The other thing is money creation. Now we have central banks and commercial banks creating money (as debt) and feeding it down to companies, who use it to pay staff. This creates massive stability (inertia?) in the current system. It seems much more likely that an alternative crypto-based economy grow in parallel to this old paradigm, without some major innovations this can only happen very slowly in the margins and it will take a long time to gain critical mass.

Perhaps one day noone will ask how much a bitcoin is worth today. Rather they will ask how much a USD is worth today. But the truth is this could take long time.

If BTC crashes it could go down like the nasdaq in 2001 and take quite a long time to come back up. I think it will. If I can a stash of bitcoins, I'd definitely hold some right now, but I'd also be looking to divest some into safe stores of wealth.
16  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Help with Vanitygen, how decrypt private keys on: October 09, 2017, 05:52:59 PM
thanks both of you!

I made some changes to the PROT key just in case, maybe thats why it gave an error. i'll try it again... that is if i can still remember the password.... doh!
17  Economy / Economics / Re: What limits the market cap of bitcoin? on: October 08, 2017, 09:59:34 AM
Currently worth $70 Bn, Is this a lot?

Personally it seems quite a lot for a fairly untested currency.

US gold reserves currently worth something like $300Bn, the largest in the world (though it's no clear if anyones checked its there). All this is less than a company like Google but still $70Bn is a lot of money.

For the bitcoin price to rise  a lot of money would have to flow in. Right now it seems like every grandma and her dog is being persuaded onto the bitcoin bandwagon. Is this not a sign of an impending crash, in which those at the bottom of the pyramid get burned? Is the bitcoin rise sustainable? Where will the money be flowing in from? Will shops have to start selling bitcoin investment scratch cards over the counter to keep the price rising?

I'm keen to head from people who can make arguments based on fundamental economic principles, either way.

 


Theres no limit to the marketcap of bitcoin and you must understand about that will never have a limit. Imagine all of the people around the world are using bitcoin. There is not limit to the price of bitcoin as the stable currency like usdt. bitcoin is possible to growth 10k dollar or even 100k dollar for each bitcoin.

Well the theoretical limit is the amount of wealth everywhere but bitcoin in the world, which is tons of trillions, so yes, Bitcoin is a tiny dot in a sea of potential wealth that can come in in various forms, be precious metals like gold and silver, stocks, bonds, commodities and all kinds of assets. BTC could be worth millions of dollars if people diversified small %'s of each of their holdings on their portfolios into BTC.

This should explain it better than any words (just consider BTC is not 70 billion and not 5, but like you see, it's still nothing, we are early adopters)




This is a good vis. Makes it clear how small BTC still is and how crazy economics is.
Unlike the number of dollars in circulation, or the number of bitcoins in existence, the actual marketcap of bit coin is not 'real' in the same sense. The price of BTC in dollars can fluctuate arbitrarily based on supply and demand, this could make the market cap of BTC expand or contract by billions, yet no new money was created or necessarily even changed hands.
18  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Help with Vanitygen, how decrypt private keys on: October 05, 2017, 08:22:36 AM
Use the code keyconv ENCRYPTED_KEY, it will ask you for the password, and return decrypted private key.

For your case it will be keyconv PsTNSPvWJF8mNm2JVSnwsX9fSFymdvvXZxecSABwpXrnkHVfUQi4qt8ekDTcgCm7qBAf

can you elaborate what you mean by  keyconv ENCRYPTED_KEY?
19  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: EOS - Asynchronous Smart Contract Platform - (Dan Larimer of Bitshares/Steem) on: October 04, 2017, 11:02:12 PM
Good one. Buy when EOS is still cheap.

I am sure you all have seen this already: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2209559.0

I don't understand exactly what XenonNetwork is? Is it somehow built upon EOS? So is EOS already somehow functional? Not clear at all...

EOS will be open source software and not a network. Xenon intends to fork the software and run the network. They will just use these tokens rather than the ones EOS are selling.
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AIRDROP] XENON - Massively Distributed EOS Alt-chain on: October 04, 2017, 10:55:12 PM
looks very interesting, its like what happened with omise go. so that was meant Airdrop will be automatically for all ethereum holder? please correct me if I am wrong

seems a little crazy to me, but that seems to be what it says. Won't they need to spend a small fortune in gas to send everyone tokens?
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