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August 09, 2020, 03:25:59 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 0.20.0 [Torrent]
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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: August 08, 2020, 11:46:21 AM
^  Ugh..  Aston Martin?  They suck afaik.  But is their potential development any good this year?  

The company really needs the team to raise their profile and give them some sales and recognition.   They should be highly motivated to succeed and make a mark if nothing else because its so important.

I presume everyone here is interested in F1 so its relevant to mention you can claim a PC edition of F1 2018 free if you want to store it away for a rainy day, no hassle to claim and register on steam I found and I know the site for years -
Thats not referral, go via google if preferred just a free game and a good one.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bitcoin Looking Bullish now? on: August 08, 2020, 03:20:48 AM
China stats cant be relied on, they just wont tell you how many died so you must guess, just like 31 died from Chernobyl a small mishap.  Been that way previous, its that way with every stat they produce.   Nobody has a real idea how much gold they are accumulating because they dont want to be front run in their accumulation, same for anything they dont want you to freely draw a conclusion on their data so its adjusted.

BTC has to be taken as bullish right now as it maintains above weekly averages.   It has a slight decline possibility but could just be taken as a consolidation after the previous gains, consolidation can be bullish in terms of settling and breaking the upper band or ceiling to price just like we did previously with 10500 marker.   While 10500 remains the base price its fair to say we're bullish and ironing out the price.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: yellow brick road on: August 08, 2020, 03:10:24 AM
Short Bitcoin is just a form of selling, depends if that person is extended in their liabilities or not.   Never short anything is a pov as the price can spike if the trade gets crowded.   Like for example look up how VW became the worlds most highly valued company for a time, it was shorted but then received a take over bid and the short sellers had no way to buy back their shares at any price.   They were over balanced and should have taken profits as price does not determine value, they relied on market liquidity and it dried up instantly one day.
   BTC can obviously receive alot more attention, alot of buyers can come into this market but most of the time its just the regulars pushing back and forth trying to trade it.    Its really easy for shorts to get wiped out with a limited resource.    I usually expect pullbacks because I think too many hold BTC with their fingers crossed and worse is being extended with any kind of leverage, if thats the average we will pull back for sure.
  The Federal Reserve is trying to make you believe long everything is correct, they'll inflate all prices but they are the Wizard of OZ and behind the curtain the reality is alot less impressive.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 07, 2020, 02:41:24 PM
then at 150K
At this point it would be ideal to take a dividend or interest type withdrawal rather then sell the capital.   If that degree of change were to happen, who would want to sell it outright and risk bad timing.    I dont think we're in that end game yet.

visible shock-waves:

Lots of Iraq munition dumps being made safe after the war, footage of that in the desert is quite clear demonstrating this.

BTC price challenges 2 day and weekly averages right this moment

5  Economy / Speculation / Re: A move (almost) no one is expecting: gap at $11795 on: August 07, 2020, 12:03:24 AM
Selling would be the unusual part, everything appears positive now.   The crowd of popular opinion is generally quite predictable in being cheerleaders and then also too gloomy on the lows when price is better 'value'.    Was this supposed to be a ceiling, Im not sure its stopped or just hesitant as BTC often is.   Its not even pulling back properly, the range here is much reduced over previously.

Lows shown here are weekly average but just today the lows have been 2 day average.
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: August 06, 2020, 11:51:49 PM
Trump at 2.65 is too good, I would be tempted there.    I just put something down on Biden at 2.23 and that seems a fair bet considering the chaos seems to be ongoing.    Just as a trend if I thought Trump had screwed up but was improving somehow then that'd be the bet but it seems to be a continual tumble, its hard to understand how its a win.   Of course its the contrast between the two.

 Also saw this story on split vote which whether its intentional or not, its definitely a thing and again we repeat events of 100 years ago.
7  Economy / Services / ★ BTCGOSU Mini Signature Campaign ★ - ★ Senior, Hero/Legendary ★ on: August 06, 2020, 02:05:06 PM
Bitcointalk Name: STT
Current Post Count:  6617
Amount of Merit EARNED in the last 120 Days: 21
BTC Address:  bc1qae0squck4ztnsym04zts6q9dsvfshynjj9hlzn

I've read the rules before applying, apologies if campaign is not open and I'll delete later if thats the case.
8  Economy / Exchanges / Re: which bitcoin decentralized exchange has no trading fee? on: August 06, 2020, 06:09:36 AM
Whats in it for them I'm wondering but also I'd like to know the answer if it exists Smiley
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Monthly updates and thoughts about the market on: August 06, 2020, 12:22:56 AM
None of us get to say we called it really, Satoshi apparently knew it was going to play out like this way back when this all started.   He had the Hubble telescope of foresight on that one really, most others considered as a 'new' alternate is simple blocks of gold.   We're all way behind that judgement and vision that a better system would be required.    Politics is a very predictable failure and an awful caretaker for any nations savings value, no genius required to observe that.   The timing of when exactly any asset responds to the latest wave of inflation or is taken badly by negative effects of interference which can be deflationary, theres skill in that I think.
   Thats my old SPY chart which happened to have an old trend match near the bottom and give me some confidence that shorting was not likely profitable risk reward bet from there on.   The volume also spikes near that level which often means it at least pauses as digestion is required.
We're going to find out this word is misplaced, new money isnt free money and theres certainly negatives and value to repay & readjust.   So bumpy ground, volatility is a certainty.   I dont think new highs for BTC this year would represent a positive, that'd make me fear some negatives as its just too broad and large a movement in just 9 months or less.   New highs not being positive might sound like nonsense but we'd achieve far more if regular gains occur per year not just this year, I dont want a spike to occur personally.
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: What's going on with crypto market? on: August 05, 2020, 11:58:25 PM
I'm looking for a top, I might be wrong but there's nothing incorrect about looking and considering the alternate views in the midst of an obviously more positive market now in August then we had in march.   Just like in March it paid off well to be an optimist and at least consider the possible reversal and true enough, the panic was incorrect.   That's a broad view but my simple take is 1 hour bars with just the idea of greater volume for the red bar then the green and the obvious latent hopes of speculators that we drift up simply with momentum and gravity aiding us somehow, markets often dont give simple gains.    I think profit taking can occur and its quite reasonable to enter a short at first near term then look to close or hold it depending on how longer term is developing in the bigger picture.
11  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Best (no)betting esports site on: August 05, 2020, 11:53:57 PM
One of the best sites for discussion of prospects in games used to be reddit.   There was a variety of websites with reviews and discussions but that was in the peak, Im not sure they exist still now.  I can go get the link for Reddit because its a bigger website its longer term then others that might pop up.    We used to have a few twitch channels even with populations of bettors but twitch has come down a bit more negatively on gambling now unfortunately even where its esports it can be view negatively.

Try here for regular info and probably similar for other games :
12  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FreeBitcoin Bot - What do you think about this tool?? on: August 05, 2020, 11:50:55 PM
The best chance to make a profit on this particular website is via the event betting, the odds given there can be far better value then many traditional or mainstream odds quoted.   I think its because its player based and not hedge too much, sometimes the public is just wrong and takes the odds to extremes it shouldn't which means its worth a punt on the off chance alone.   
    Point being the bot gets you around the system perhaps or not but definitely the listed odds in events should be viewed as quite attractive, thats my tip.
13  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: GAMBLING SITE INVESTMENT on: August 05, 2020, 11:46:02 PM
Long term returns are most important, some of the losses today are won back and vice versa of course.   But 18% even over a year would better then most investments possible, its good publicity for the scheme when a large amount of revenue occurs in a short period of time but my main concern is how it compares in terms of risk reward pay off over say an entire year.   Thanks for keeping the thread updated, its a useful resource when it exists over the full course of holding a position.
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy every dip! on: August 05, 2020, 11:38:52 PM
It will be below 10,000 again its just a question of how long, months, a year or a day perhaps or just a few minutes as some news allows a spike to envelop orders on exchanges.  The price is never perfectly accurate as it largely relies on only partially efficient price discovery  systems and unsophisticated traders for a varied supply and much of the supply is not listed or stored on an exchange.   The time span of selling and also buying will always vary according to the type of market participant.    Theres going to be some people who have BTC stored like a coin down the back of the sofa and they wont sell because they forgot they even have it, source for that is myself and others Ive read as the variance in BTC worth has meant we have pockets stored accidentally and still recoverable.     I always go for the trend not trying to select absolute particular peaks or lows and I believe we traverse quite a diverse range.   Watch the 200 day average if nothing else imo.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Netherlands pilot scheme to allow women to play in senior men's team on: August 05, 2020, 11:21:08 PM
There shouldn't be any rule to stop it being possible but realistically there is a clear physical disadvantage.   I'd put down a bet a woman could play in that league for at least a couple games, depends how we qualify it as a successful term but its a skilled game so its possible to have a winger maybe play and it could be either gender if they are fast enough and can place the ball it'd possibly work.    Really depends on the team to make this a thing, obviously if they close ranks and assume they are receiving a sub standard supporting player then its hard to say it'd work out
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Next Bitcoin Bull Run Will Be ‘Dramatically Different’ on: August 05, 2020, 11:08:46 PM
2017 was marked by the dollar index decline almost throughout the whole year, since that doesnt occur every year thats what Im watching out for this time.   Just recently Dollar has declined after during March registering a richter scale type movement back and forth tracing lows and highs as understandably volatility was apparent in world trade and debt trading.
    I'm more interested in common terms between rallys perhaps on a different magnitude but DXY was down to a new low today and if it continues below say 25 that'd put us into a similar trend decline dollar value that was evident during the BTC rally of 2017.


Just one thing to focus on for BTC to propagate across the general population and its simplicity.   The product has to be less obstructive, convenience will determine success I think, when BTC becomes less remarkable at least in its requirements then ironically it will be more useful to most
17  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Slots are better than Dice. on: August 05, 2020, 10:46:40 PM
Rather then absolute payouts and the maths and probability to each game type its better to consider the personal factors like engagement and long term interest.   If dice bores you when playing you are far more likely to give up or get tired and make mistakes, overbet and mismange bet size compared to slots where it can be entertaining and involving even when you play a longer game thats more likely to succeed then immediately.   I'd agree possibly its better to do dice for the fast large size bets if you are have worked out your odds beforehand and are aware that might be the better choice.
  Usually I just play for fun with the random chance it pops up a big win and slots imo always wins out in my consideration for that reason.    Play for fun is my simple advice on alot of questions tbh, saves alot of misgivings.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is it worth paying to advertise your ref link? on: August 05, 2020, 09:56:58 PM
Context counts considerably, advertising works with a relevant audience but overall people will skip something that doesnt especially interest them or even they dont understand is definetly a skip most of the time.  So its varies, a specific demographic will have far higher likelyhood of registering interest and trust of that product imo.
19  Economy / Gambling / Re:$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: August 05, 2020, 08:54:07 PM
The reason those instances pop up is because there could be 5 million people with 1 ticket as well as the whale bettors who might have as much as 5 million individually.    As a group unnamed, there would be equal likelihood of seeing the 1 ticket win over the guy with 5 million tickets, its counter intuitive but in that specific example its possible.   Just having 1 ticket is the uncommon bit probably, we usually have a few.    Obviously I think the figures vary and probably the vast majority are minor to the much more active players, I've been playing years and have very few referrals really.   I tried to explain how BTC is useful over time but people want everything today instantly so its hard to sell tbh.    If I had a few they tend to drop off and need renewing, that sounds familiar though 1 die hard player would be nice to refer its not happened for me yet.    
  If it was that easy to raise referral revenue they'd not be giving you the commision I guess, they'd do it some other way with more limited payment over this royalty thing that in theory can pay out forever is like a revenue share almost.   I own a couple funds that pay royalties and they arent cheap to buy at first because its all profits (barring bankruptcy) not that much of costs or loss that most things with income require.   Its a sweet deal, in this case it does require active turn over pretty much so wish I was one of those popular influencer online peeps.    I did watch a video recently on paying instagram models for promotion of products, they can put a link in their bio and in the next Bitcoin hyper mania phase perhaps that'd be worth doing possibly though its cheaper just to raise your own views somehow.
20  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: August 05, 2020, 07:42:37 PM
In person voting does favour the rich and those with time to spare, anyone working one job or multiple jobs doesnt have the luxury of voting always unfortunately.   Easy for me to confirm because Ive been in that predicament.    Seems like instead of all the arguments we knew would be pointless like the impeachment this simple idea of allowing mail in votes would have been a better and more influential fight to pick, might have even turned the tide.

increased turnout generally means higher votes for Democrats.
By that measure its a return to power for republicians in this vote because even with all the protests we didnt see new voters register.   Maybe the lockdown helped to secure a low registration of new voters or stop any rising percentage of active voters.   You have a more likely repeat of the last election when its just the same people who have got older since then, unless there is some significant change from last time its not especially reasonable to expect a different result.

However a long time accurate predictor says Trump will lose out here, he predicted for Trump in 2016 and similarly accurate back to Reagan era:

with video
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