|
201
|
Economy / Speculation / Re: We are still early in this bull run. Retails have yet come back massively!
|
on: March 03, 2024, 02:35:15 PM
|
We’re not in the peak bull period until Grandma & Uncle Bob start calling & asking how to buy Bitcoin. All jokes aside we’re not even at the halving yet, the peak bull run won’t be until next year. The bull has some way to run yet so sit in & get ready to watch the greatest show on earth. We have Spot ETF demand now, the run to Bitcoin will be like nothing we’ve ever seen.
Grandma & Uncle Bob and our friends who suddenly knock our doors to ask our advice about Bitcoin or help them to invest in Bitcoin, it will be time for thinking of peak. These hype activities will be reflected on Google Trend, Youtube Subscribers, Views even we know there are bias factors on those parameters, they are still helpful. We've not even had the halving yet, so no one should be thinking they have missed a party that hasn't even started.
Halving is about 48 days 17 hours from now. https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/It's easy to not see how high we can go from here, over $100k would seem ridiculous to most and close to $200k would be impossible. This would cause people to put an imaginary price ceiling and then rue the missed chance to get bitcoins while they were cheaper.
No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle. 16x like the past cycle is too much so I humbly expect for 8x for this cycle. So we might end up with $120,000 but I don't exclude any chance that Bitcoin will make a bigger than 8x. |
|
|
|
|
202
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club
|
on: March 03, 2024, 11:15:51 AM
|
VAMOSSSSS 🔴 What a team we have, they never give up. Decimated by injuries the last month but still finding ways to win.. A winner in the 99th minute  Dare I say it, the sign of champions? It is one of signs of champions but they must maintain it. Liverpool are actually more experienced than Arsenal and Klopp is more experienced than Arteta but the lesson from Arsenal last season is worthy for Liverpool to look at. They must avoid falling into such match as they will not be able to win at a very last minute match by match. I was a little different this week as an easy bet I made almost led to a loss. Nunez's late goal to give Liverpool 3 points saved me from my multi  I was pretty sure Liverpool could win easily but Nottingham exceeded my expectations in today's match. Good job done by McAllister and Nunez. They made a great combination and brought three points to home for Liverpool that are so meaningful for them in the Premier League competition. Manchester City and Arsenal nearly believed that they will have a chance to take over a first position but then they all were upset with this goal. |
|
|
|
|
203
|
Economy / Speculation / We are still early in this bull run. Retails have yet come back massively!
|
on: March 03, 2024, 10:59:32 AM
|
Institutional investors are whales who are game makers and manipulators but Bitcoin market hits its all time high with very last forces from retail investors. Bitcoin is up more than 44% last month (February) and makes many people feel like they missed the party. Fact is, it is still early. See some metrics above like - Google Trend
- Youtube Subscribers
- Youtube Views
Like Youtube or not, we can not deny fact that it is one of most favorite homes of retail investors, newbies in Bitcoin market. It is where they get most exposure and information, to hype themselves in Bitcoin market. Three charts above show that we are far from peak hype of the past bull market. Also, let's check |
|
|
|
|
204
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino
|
on: March 03, 2024, 10:21:56 AM
|
Metawin seems to be a very popular casino, I couldn't imagine a newcomer casino having up to 200k follower on Twitter, that's a huge number.
Their X/ Twitter account is actively with promotion like Sweepstakes. Follow them and stay tuned for new promotion announcements from them. https://x.com/Meta_WinnersTheir landing page at Activity area shows that Meta Winners are very actively with betting. I am just glad that they came here and I think that it was a very good decision because there would be many people who didn't know about Metawin before they came to bitcointalk.
Bitcointalk adds a huge value to every casino, the backlinks that they get from signature campaign participants help them to rank higher in search engines and it has also been proven many times that this community helps trustworthy casinos to grow bigger.
Bitcointalk is a legendary website for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies as well as cryptocurrency-accepted casinos. Altcoins can have their own forums but cryptocurrency-accepted currencies probably have only Bitcointalk as a best forum to advertise their business. It's good for Metawin to join Bitcointalk and run advertisement here as they surely picked a right place for this marketing activity. |
|
|
|
|
205
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How did people buy bitcoin before Mt. Gox?
|
on: March 02, 2024, 10:16:35 PM
|
"bitcoin market" was first fiat-btc exchange https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=20.msg726#msg726new liberty standard was another bitmarket.eu bitomat then mtgox then bitcoinica then btc-e then others followed im sure im missing a few mentions, but google can give you more answers faster then me finding old notes Missing like Coinpal exchange? A video on how to purchase Bitcoin on Coinpal. History of CoinPal exchange that lasted very shortly for only four months. CoinPal was an exchange that accepted PayPal for relatively small order sizes and a weekly limit on purchases.
The site was first publicly available on December 31, 2010[1]. On January 14th, 2010 CoinPal introduced an API that allows merchants and others seeking payment to use the service to accept micro-payments[2]. The operator of the site also operates CoinCard for selling bitcoins.
On April 30th PayPal froze the exchange operator's PayPal account and the exchange announced that service had ended[3].
|
|
|
|
|
206
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker
|
on: March 02, 2024, 10:08:45 PM
|
as from the start of january there has been alot more coin purchases from otc/exchange rather then grayscale exits to then enter other ETF's
compared to ETF prelaunch .. just Grayscale's 620k holding..
total ETF of all ETF holding is as of last report at ~815k
so 195k extra btc is locked into ETF in last near 8 weeks
If this rate of accumulation continues, BlackRock and Fidelity will take over a first position from Grayscale soon. [1] Now Grayscale has 428,544 BTC and the numbers for BlackRock and Fidelity are 161,226 and 104,128 BTC respectively. These new Bitcoin Spot ETFs only have a little bit more than one month of trading and still have a lot of time to take over a first position from Grayscale. [1] https://bitcointreasuries.net/We have another Green week from US. Bitcoin Spot ETFs with totally 30,041 BTC added. |
|
|
|
|
207
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest
|
on: March 02, 2024, 09:57:54 PM
|
I appreciate your response too but maybe they have machanism to cope with bots and service abuse? Don't get me wrong, you have 6+ years of experience as a faucet owner but if I recall correctly, freebitco is the first faucet out there or at least one of the most experienced one.
If I am not missing any update, Freebitco.in still has their faucet lively runs. Their faucet is one of the oldest faucets and it's good to see they are running it till 2024. Can't talk much about delayed withdrawals, I have no idea.
If at the end, withdrawals are approved and proceeded, it's good but it is actually inconvenient for users. If it can be done more quickly, it will be more comfortable experience for users. It's obviously that we must know about reasons behind withdrawal pending time, like their internal procedure before approving it. I don't know what to say, if their current business model wasn't profitable, they wouldn't run signature campaign and wouldn't keep website the way it is right now. They have enough money and probaly enough staff (or will hire if they want) to make significant changes.
It's a point as they have a long signature campaign that began in March 2020 and so far it has been running nearly 4 years. |
|
|
|
|
208
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker
|
on: March 01, 2024, 02:16:45 PM
|
Damn...anyone else noticed so far this week (thru wednesday) ETFs have had inflows of what looks like over half a billion dollars every day!
~9400 BTC, then ~10,100 BTC, then ~11,200 BTC. Going by the approximate bitcoin price each day that was ~$500 million, ~$580 million, ~$680 million. Give or take a few tens of millions. Totally bonkers numbers.
The new capital is big and Bitcoin Spot ETFs are nearly half of Gold ETFs, just after a little bit more than 1 month of trading. Gold ETFs need 20 years, since 2004 to get only 2 times of Bitcoin Spot ETFs. and it shows todays btc is near yesterdays "USD CASH" number
im not saying its exact.. but i seen a pattern that when they only buy say 2500btc.. the previous days "USD cash" was only ~2500(2400-2600) above the BTC holding amount of that day
i feel they are subtly hinting that days prediction of how many coins they want to buy for the next day. (but obviously cant be accurate due to swinging prices of the days trade)
It is a good hint as they must have cash to buy bitcoins. We will test this hint more in coming days of it continues, you discovered a good indicator but I guess it won't be true for all days because they don't need to use all cash they have to buy bitcoins. It can be right for 1 day, 2 days or more but not for 100% of days. |
|
|
|
|
209
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑
|
on: March 01, 2024, 01:56:37 PM
|
RLB token is listed on Binance!
No, the token was not listed on Binance. Available exchanges for the token I think @tranthidung is just explaining what people think about everyone's hope that RLB is listed on the CEX exchange on binance which will probably make the price increase rapidly, but that doesn't mean that RLB is already listed on Binance, no need to be too serious @tranthidung just saying what is in his mind, we all know that RLB is only listed on the Dex exchange where we have not seen it listed on CEX, the point is whether it is registered or not on Cex as long as traders and investors still believe in RLB, of course RLB will have its own value in the future .
The token value comes from many factors: use cases, utilities and support of the team. We all have those with Rollbit casino and the RLB token. Centralized exchanges, Tier-1 exchanges like Binance are like tip of iceberg to make investors feel more FOMO. It is not most important factor to create intrinsic value of a token. |
|
|
|
|
210
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑
|
on: February 29, 2024, 03:46:25 PM
|
Don't expect about it since for sure the focus of people are more into bitcoins that's why there are some left behind that's why maybe RLB and some of alts left behind. But its not actually bad occurrence for RLB since we see how it pump when bitcoin is in bad shape that's why later on once we see bitcoin hype subside a little bit maybe we can see the attention of RLB investor will go back again and start to accumulate waiting for some good movements to happen.
Altcoins can have a lag behind Bitcoin when Bitcoin skyrockets. Past cycles show that altcoins will have their bull runs like some weeks, one month after a Bitcoin bull run. It is same for Bitcoin ATH and altcoins' ATHs. This 2024 and 2025 bull run of cryptocurrency market is only at its beginning and we still yet to see Bitcoin and Ethereum break their all time highs. FOMO in this market is not high enough and best is still ahead of us. $RLB is one of best GambleFi tokens and if you are interested in it, put it into your radar, you have to load it up, before it is late. |
|
|
|
|
211
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Best 10D each year of Bitcoin in return.
|
on: February 29, 2024, 03:26:26 PM
|
Good info. Let me ask something though. I see that in the first picture, in 2024, in the section about the "return in the rest 255 days", it gives a negative percentage. Isn't it strange, since in 2024 Bitcoin has only gone up?
I did not look into it with details and how the author made that chart. I shared as it reveals interesting point of view and I think it's enough. Here is a break-down of Bitcoin price change in 2024 so far. - p_oc: percent of price change between open price and close price daily.
- open: Open price
- close: Close price
If I take a sum of 10 best days so far in 2024, I have it is 50.5%, that is closely to the number in the chart and if I take sum of the rest, probably it gives a number is -9.2%. If I drop two latest days, 27 and 28 Feb, two cumulative numbers will be 42.2% and -15.1%. Did the chart author make a typo from 42% to 52%? Green days +------------------------------------------+
| date p_oc open close |
|------------------------------------------|
1. | 28feb2024 9.5 57,071.1 62,504.79 |
2. | 08jan2024 6.9 43,948.71 46,970.5 |
3. | 26feb2024 5.4 51,730.54 54,522.4 |
4. | 26jan2024 4.7 39,936.82 41,816.87 |
5. | 27feb2024 4.7 54,519.36 57,085.37 |
6. | 01jan2024 4.5 42,280.24 44,167.33 |
7. | 14feb2024 4.2 49,733.44 51,826.7 |
8. | 09feb2024 4.1 45,297.38 47,147.2 |
9. | 12feb2024 3.4 48,296.39 49,958.22 |
10. | 04jan2024 3.1 42,855.81 44,179.92 |
|------------------------------------------|
11. | 29jan2024 3 42,030.92 43,288.25 |
12. | 07feb2024 2.9 43,090.02 44,318.22 |
13. | 08feb2024 2.2 44,332.13 45,301.57 |
14. | 15jan2024 1.9 41,715.07 42,511.97 |
15. | 02jan2024 1.7 44,187.14 44,957.97 |
16. | 24feb2024 1.6 50,736.37 51,571.1 |
17. | 16jan2024 1.5 42,499.34 43,154.94 |
18. | 10feb2024 1.3 47,153.53 47,771.28 |
19. | 01feb2024 1.2 42,569.76 43,075.77 |
20. | 11feb2024 1.1 47,768.97 48,293.92 |
|------------------------------------------|
21. | 10jan2024 1.1 46,121.54 46,627.78 |
22. | 20feb2024 1 51,777.73 52,284.87 |
23. | 06feb2024 1 42,657.39 43,084.67 |
24. | 18feb2024 .9 51,661.97 52,122.55 |
25. | 19jan2024 .8 41,278.46 41,618.41 |
26. | 23jan2024 .8 39,518.72 39,845.55 |
27. | 27jan2024 .7 41,815.63 42,120.06 |
28. | 24jan2024 .5 39,877.6 40,077.07 |
29. | 16feb2024 .4 51,937.73 52,160.2 |
30. | 02feb2024 .3 43,077.64 43,185.86 |
|------------------------------------------|
31. | 25feb2024 .3 51,565.22 51,733.24 |
32. | 05feb2024 .2 42,577.62 42,658.67 |
33. | 15feb2024 .2 51,836.78 51,938.56 |
34. | 20jan2024 .1 41,624.59 41,665.58 |
35. | 13jan2024 .1 42,799.45 42,842.38 |
+------------------------------------------+
+------------------------------------------+
| date p_oc open close |
|------------------------------------------|
36. | 05jan2024 -.1 44,192.98 44,162.69 |
37. | 07jan2024 -.1 43,998.46 43,943.1 |
38. | 28jan2024 -.2 42,126.13 42,035.59 |
39. | 21jan2024 -.3 41,671.49 41,545.78 |
40. | 25jan2024 -.4 40,075.55 39,933.81 |
41. | 13feb2024 -.4 49,941.36 49,742.44 |
42. | 03feb2024 -.4 43,184.96 42,992.25 |
43. | 06jan2024 -.4 44,178.95 43,989.19 |
44. | 11jan2024 -.6 46,656.07 46,368.59 |
45. | 19feb2024 -.7 52,134.81 51,779.14 |
|------------------------------------------|
46. | 30jan2024 -.8 43,300.23 42,952.61 |
47. | 21feb2024 -.8 52,273.54 51,839.18 |
48. | 31jan2024 -.8 42,946.25 42,582.61 |
49. | 17jan2024 -.9 43,132.1 42,742.65 |
50. | 04feb2024 -1 42,994.94 42,583.58 |
51. | 17feb2024 -1 52,161.68 51,663 |
52. | 23feb2024 -1.1 51,283.9 50,731.95 |
53. | 22feb2024 -1.1 51,854.65 51,304.97 |
54. | 09jan2024 -1.8 46,987.64 46,139.73 |
55. | 14jan2024 -2.4 42,842.26 41,796.27 |
|------------------------------------------|
56. | 18jan2024 -3.5 42,742.31 41,262.06 |
57. | 03jan2024 -4.7 44,961.6 42,848.18 |
58. | 22jan2024 -4.9 41,553.65 39,507.37 |
59. | 12jan2024 -7.6 46,354.79 42,853.17 |
+------------------------------------------+
|
|
|
|
|
212
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ Shuffle.com | The next generation of crypto casinos | Sports, Casino + token
|
on: February 29, 2024, 02:47:24 PM
|
$2000/day is a lot but everyone is different in ability maybe he's limited to that because it's the maximum limit so it's very natural if he's an active gambler and it's their pleasure to do it, if the losing streak is not asked anymore, I myself experienced where the losing streak continued to occur as a result only just rested because I had run out of money. lol.
Self-limit bet threshold is good as it is part of Gambling Responsibly but is $2,000/ day limit is too high? If I am a gambler who set that limit for myself, I would have $1M to do that. A simple math is $2,000/day will add up to $60,000 / month and if I am not very rich, I am not affordable to assign such big gambling budget for daily bet. Taking a break, stop gambling after a lost streak is good because it will help a gambler to stop uncontrollable bet and revenge against losses so it is a good practice. |
|
|
|
|
213
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino
|
on: February 29, 2024, 02:40:31 PM
|
We now have a lot of popular casinos in the forum, and most of them have consistent promotions. To name a few, there's Roobet, Duelbits, and Stake as well. Even in the drawing competition for Roobet, not sure how it will help, but it works wonders for them since they have been consistently running that.
Not all business are the same and they have different budget too. I am happy to see Metawin here and give me chance to join their signature campaign. If they have an attractive platform, effective marketing strategy, they will make their advertisement very sustainable. Either signature campaign or whatever contest types, they only able to keep it running for a long time if they get good effect and also new users, good money inflow on their platform. It's early to say how long they will keep their advertisement running as they only started and will need time to evaluate cost and benefit. |
|
|
|
|
215
|
Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑
|
on: February 28, 2024, 03:13:15 PM
|
RLB is down more than 10% now, but in my opinion it is not only RLB that is affected by the increase in bitcoin prices, there are several other large cryptocurrencies that are also experiencing price declines when the price of bitcoin is rising high at the moment, I don't think that this will also be bullish towards RLB too, but maybe in the long term it could be that RLB will experience an increase, but for now people might prefer to buy it at a cheaper price, at least to get a profit when the price goes up again.
It's very basic. With a rise of Bitcoin, capital in cryptocurrency market will be attracted to Bitcoin. When Bitcoin calms down, stops its run, altcoins will shine. If anyone waits for good price to accumulate $RLB token, it seems they are given a very last good chances before an altcoin season and a bull run for $RLB token. It always works this way, price drops, people hesitate to accumulate even they really like it. When price starts a bull run, they disbelief and when price soars a lot, they FOMO to buy. Looking at the development of Rollbit and their growth so far of course the RLB token has better value than other casino tokens even though RLB needs another CEX exchange to be able to get even higher trading volumes to attract traders' interest in buying and investing in this RLB token
This, what will you think if you wake up with that news. RLB token is listed on Binance! |
|
|
|
|
216
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin trend accumulation score by cohorts
|
on: February 28, 2024, 02:12:37 AM
|
Okay, so we can see that Bitcoin accumulation is happening, and that richer owners are accumulating coins more than those who own less (but the trend is expanding to smaller owners as well). But what does that really give us?
...
For now, there's only a tiny bit of blue if we consider 2024, and it's hard to say if it's going to actually be a major accumulation trend like in November 2023.
I understand it but a trend must be started with some light signals. Sometimes it will fail to create a trend but sometimes, from early light signals, we will gradually see a new solid trend. Let's see. This is the only thing that can be done as the best option if the ability to collect more Bitcoins like big whales is not possible.
Perhaps you misinterpret my post. By "like whales", I meant that we can follow the game making progress of whales, if they are accumulating and we see it, have spare fund for investment, let's accumulate bitcoin like them but with awareness that whales always have long term plans so don't follow them and expect to get profit in short term. "like whales" does not mean we are able to buy big amount of BTC like whales. It's a misunderstood point. These are great indicators of the great optimism and confidence that ordinary people and large companies have in Bitcoin’s ability to surpass previous peaks and achieve ATH after halving, so naturally all people currently will follow the strategy of accumulating and holding.
They can say it, accumulating and holding but I am sure many of them will fail to hold. They will shake their hands in a bull run with correction because they will believe in fud like, the bull run is over. If we can hold, we belong to small percent of diamond handed investors and we will have chance to take profit at better price. |
|
|
|
|
217
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How did people buy bitcoin before Mt. Gox?
|
on: February 28, 2024, 02:04:38 AM
|
I'm doing some research and writing about the history of bitcoin, and am curious if there are any OG bitcoiners out there who can tell me how it worked before bitcoin got big.
Read two topics. Before Mt.Gox, there are exchanges like New Liberty Standard and Bitcoin Market. History of Bitcoin, you can read this one |
|
|
|
|
218
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who was Satoshi Nakamoto?
|
on: February 27, 2024, 02:57:27 PM
|
If you don't know, Satoshi Nakamoto used to post his real name and address in Bitcointalk. 1, 2, and 4 exist in the staff forum. 3 was permanently deleted at some point (it must have contained Satoshi's real name and address).
If Satoshi himself posted his real name and address on a public forum within the community, that means someone here still knows who he is and if he is still alive or not. What if the guy in the comment section of the reddit post, the one who consider himself OG member of the forum, knows that Nick is Satoshi? Kinda interesting tbh. I don't know what is topic #3, it gone forever already. No information that who deleted that topic. Did Satoshi delete it by himself or later admins delete it like sirius, theymos? The topic number means it is very earliest one and very few people knew about it and still alive today. Nick is Satoshi, interesting if someone can provide more information about that. Satoshi Nakamoto tried to mix his writing between European style and USA style. It is abnormal and it seems Satoshi Nakamoto intentionally did it to hide his nationality. Personally I don't care real identity of Satoshi Nakamoto and wish that nobody will find him. |
|
|
|
|
219
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who was Satoshi Nakamoto?
|
on: February 27, 2024, 01:48:39 PM
|
Same here! I don't know about Nick Szabo. I already read that news about the identification about Hal Finey. Yes, Hal Finey isn't Satoshi Nakamoto. Hal Finey and Satoshi Nakamoto were very close friend. Both are also a programmer. Their best contribution is Bitcoin. Here @thymos represents their existence.
I meant I read about Nick Szabo in the past but I am not sure he is (or is not) Satoshi Nakamoto. It is different than the article from Lopp that is very detailed and has enough information for me to believe Hal Finney is not Satoshi Nakamoto. If you don't know, Satoshi Nakamoto used to post his real name and address in Bitcointalk. 1, 2, and 4 exist in the staff forum. 3 was permanently deleted at some point (it must have contained Satoshi's real name and address).
|
|
|
|
|
220
|
Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker
|
on: February 27, 2024, 11:32:03 AM
|
Some summary graphics about Bitcoin Spot ETF trading in last month. - Selling pressure from Grayscale (investors) eventually began to slow down and with less selling pressure from Grayscale, the inflow will outperform outflow.
- From January to February, net inflows of all Bitcoin Spot ETFs increases a lot from 33k BTC to 85k BTC.
- We also can see the new supply crisis. Last 28 days, all Bitcoin Spot ETF bought 272k BTC, Grayscale sold 167k BTC and more important, only 25,2k BTC was mined from latest Bitcoin blocks. This crisis will become bigger after the halving in April.
|
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
