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1036
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Economy / Gambling / Request for making a bot !
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on: December 05, 2014, 12:02:40 PM
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Hello all ,
I have a strategy for dice gambling .
The strategy is very simple and seems it's profitable .
I think if someone can make a bot for it , dice sites such as Primedice [that are trusted] are going to down due profitability of the bot !
Who is ready for making that bot for Primedice ?
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1038
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Primedice | The Most Popular Bitcoin Game | 1% Edge | PVP | Active Chat | Faucet
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on: November 07, 2014, 01:11:05 AM
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Chance of losing one bet is 0.02
Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9
It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times
It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing . No, he's right. The chance of N independent events all happening is equal to the product of their individual probabilities. It's precisely *because* the rolls are independent that he can raise 0.02 to the 5th power to get the probability of 5 98% rolls all losing. I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens .
Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
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1039
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Primedice | The Most Popular Bitcoin Game | 1% Edge | PVP | Active Chat | Faucet
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on: November 07, 2014, 12:08:32 AM
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i mean ive not seen anything like this in a while. how about anyone else? i apologise, as i did not ask for artik's permission to post the picture, but it was so weird i felt i had to   Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML? The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen. How you calculate ? How many is The odds of losing 5 98% ? Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing . |
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1040
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Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiDICE.com - The World's Most Popular Bitcoin Game
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on: November 06, 2014, 10:33:31 PM
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Also, now that people mention it -- I checked and see you took the 0.01 from my account too, despite there being a deposit (0.1 BTC) within ~2 minutes of the account created.
I honestly don't give a shit about 0.01, but this whole thing makes me incredibly uncomfortable. And is in fact the second time my account balance has been subject to arbitrary manipulation. Before I ever come back to satoshidice, I'd like to see accounts have a full history of how you derived what their balance is (aka: giveaway, affiliates, deposits, withdrawals, bets) so i can check it, as I've basically lost all trust in this site.
+ 1 Big like . |
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