3
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: July 08, 2018, 10:54:43 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | 6390,523688 | 118,2840988 | 1,85 | V2.1.0 | 1.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6348,8 | -335,7381161 | 5,29 | V2.1.0 | 2.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6614,231082 | -70,30703405 | 1,06 | V2.1.0 | 3.07.2018 | 6647,233881 | 6497,659409 | -149,5744717 | 2,30 | V2.1.0 | 4.07.2018 | 6643,933601 | 6585,603139 | -58,33046165 | 0,89 | V2.1.0 | 5.07.2018 | 6630,635947 | 6532,215386 | -98,42056168 | 1,51 | V2.1.0 | 6.07.2018 | 6626,883213 | 6605 | -21,88321327 | 0,33 | V2.1.0 | 7.07.2018 | 6619,601073 | 6760 | 140,3989273 | 2,08 | V2.1.0 | 8.07.2018 | 6757,248283 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,01 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 08.07.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6757,248283
|
|
|
4
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: July 04, 2018, 04:37:05 PM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | 6390,523688 | 118,2840988 | 1,85 | V2.1.0 | 1.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6348,8 | -335,7381161 | 5,29 | V2.1.0 | 2.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6614,231082 | -70,30703405 | 1,06 | V2.1.0 | 3.07.2018 | 6647,233881 | 6497,659409 | -149,5744717 | 2,30 | V2.1.0 | 4.07.2018 | 6643,933601 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,12 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 04.07.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6643,933601
|
|
|
5
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: July 02, 2018, 08:08:11 PM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | 6390,523688 | 118,2840988 | 1,85 | V2.1.0 | 1.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6348,8 | -335,7381161 | 5,29 | V2.1.0 | 2.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,17 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 02.07.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6684,538116
|
|
|
6
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: July 01, 2018, 11:56:12 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | 6390,523688 | 118,2840988 | 1,85 | V2.1.0 | 1.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,19 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 01.07.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6684,538116
|
|
|
7
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 30, 2018, 08:15:34 PM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,19 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 30.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6272,239589
|
|
|
8
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 29, 2018, 09:09:55 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,22 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 29.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir.
|
|
|
9
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 27, 2018, 10:41:43 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,25 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 27.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6319,126532[/color
|
|
|
10
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 26, 2018, 08:04:51 PM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,22 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 26.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6476,457771Açık kaynak oldu kodlar yazılımcı arkadaşlar La bi el atında düzeltin şu makineyi sapıtıyor hala arada. 2 gün learning 3 gün forgetting yapıyor  Aynen hep beraber geliştirelim 
|
|
|
12
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 25, 2018, 06:32:38 PM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,22 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 25.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6512,529267
|
|
|
13
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 24, 2018, 07:48:10 PM
|
Güzel bir projeydi en başından beri takip ediyorum fakat makine öğrenmesini sinyal bot uygulamasına entegre edip otarz bir şeyler yapılsa ve piyasaya sürülse çok daha güzel para kazandıracağını düşünüyorum.
Merhaba, Para kazanmak için yaptığım bir uygulama değildi  zaten öyle olsa ne makaleyi nede kodlarımı paylaşırdım ama kendimce enazından kendime sinyal oluşturan bir bot yazabilirim  Orasını zaman gösterecek diğer projelerimden boş vakit bulabilirsem eğer 
|
|
|
15
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 21, 2018, 10:47:01 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,14 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 21.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6769,888491Genel olarak bakınca ilk günler ne kadar kötüyse hala o kadar kötü, halbuki yapay zekanın gelişme göstermesi ilerlemesi lazım. Herhalde yıllar sürecek bunun ilerlemesi  Çook çok iyi olmasını beklemiyorum açıkcası benim hedefim %7 sapma civarıydı şuanda bunun çok aşağısındayım benim için başarılı bir proje 
|
|
|
16
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 20, 2018, 11:11:13 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,18 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 20.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6772,277341[/color
Bu yapay zekayı kendiniz mi programlanıdız?
Merhaba algoritmalar için hazır kütüphane kullandım o kütüphaneleri kullanarak model geliştirme kısmını programladım.
|
|
|
18
|
Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Harbor Platform Prototype demo
|
on: June 19, 2018, 04:54:20 PM
|
Colormate made by Harbor Team - Win64Bit (32bit is not supported)
- Do not use your in-app wallet for anything other than testing.
- Recommend (Windows Display Setting -> Scale and layout 100%)
- Available only on ropsten test net.
ColorMate is a program that finds an appropriate color set for a given color. This is a program provided for testing and verification of Harbor platform, but it is not only a project for testing but also a project for independent improvement. it's simple app for find color pattern   It has limited functionality as a client program and can be tuned off through purchase. In-App support for Wallet account creation, purchasing, certificate issuance and verification, and product integrity verification. "Harbor Platform is anyone can make software marketplace It only need smart contracts and Harbor SDKs}   you can make new wallet address  You can request free ether for testing  You can purchase a license and verify your license key and you can check this on public ropsten test network  Ether prices are periodically updated with market prices.(using Global price Contract) Refunds are available within a limited time and If you have a purchase history, you can issue additional, but there are limits to the number of licensed users This product is not a commercial product and is designed for functional verification and testing. site: https://www.toharbor.com/download: https://github.com/harborPlatform/HarborPlatformContractDemoharborplatform infomation: https://meetup.toharbor.com/platform.html
|
|
|
19
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 19, 2018, 08:59:29 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon | 13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,23 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 19.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6772,277341
|
|
|
20
|
Local / Ekonomi / Re: Bitcoin Fiyatı Machine Learning Tahminleme Günlüğü
|
on: June 18, 2018, 06:35:05 AM
|
Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon | 13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,24 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel: *Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 18.06.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6493,753999
|
|
|
|