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21  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 04:51:58 PM
By the way, if you find it hard to believe that a man in the situation of Dorian Nakamoto could invent bitcoin and not cash out a single coin: check Grigori Perelman, who settled the Poincaré Conjecture and then turned down the Fields Medal and a 1,000,000 US$ prize:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grigori_Perelman
http://brettforrest.com/articles/shattered-genius/

I too think it is him.

I do not think it is him at all.

By ''him'' I meant Perelman. I have been having this thought Satoshi is Perelman for a few months after I watched a documentary on Perelman.

Doubt that Perelman would create bitcoin with a system, where half of the coins come in 5 years and other half in about 120. This was not created in keeping fair balance in mind, but to have a strong starting momentum and rapid initial growth. Perelman has been more idealistic then that.
22  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 04:40:41 PM
It will probably go to 600, then bounce back to 620 because many think that this was "just to test 600", and then back to 600 and below because no one still wants to buy. Slow downfalls caused by denial are the most boring kind..
23  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the world too dumb for Bitcoins? on: March 07, 2014, 03:58:11 PM
I think you guys are missing the OP's point entirely.  

IMO it's not about bitcoin being easier to use, it's about the ignorant and stupid masses that seem to want to panic sell every single day/week there is an "OMG, Mt Gox!", "OMG they found Satoshi!", "OMG ancient coins on the move!"

If the gullible masses are so easily to manipulate to dump coins by the mass Media (who works directly for the Corptocracy, who in turn is in bed with the politicians, the banks and the WS sharks), then what makes the future of Bitcoin (or any cryptocurrency) any different than it is today?  It's not like negative Media about bitcoin will just stop in 5 years.

If there are tons of people who buy without any solid reason, then you can be sure, that there are also people who sell without any solid reason. For instance people actually cried "this is the bottom, now we are going back up", after one of the biggest exchanges probably lost all of their customers funds. So, they actually thought that it is positive news that confidence to the entire market system got a painful hit.
The bitcoin market is a gamble most of the time, because people can't comprehend what is important and what is not. The price can actually go up, when it should go down and vice versa.
24  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the world too dumb for Bitcoins? on: March 07, 2014, 03:46:11 PM
Anyone reading this post has an IQ higher than the average person.

What makes me say that? Well, the average person in England for example reads The Sun which we know due to the popularity of the paper.

Unfortunately, as us intelligent Brits know, The Sun is a sad perspective of news. One of todays top stories:
"70 year old man's escort is son's girlfriend".

Equally, last week, I was at my girlfriends cousins house. He has 4 daughters ranging from 6 to 12 - He's an intelligent investor, very wealthy, but had no idea there were parental controls on the iphones/ipads he's given to his daughters and didn't know about the dangers online *sigh*.

We live in a non technical world where most people aren't technical, but those who are technical tend to be more successful these days...

The bad news, is for BTC to become the type of global currency we want it to be, the world needs to embrace it. In a world where our laws don't embrace international crime over the web, how are people going to ever want to explore something they simply don't understand?

I feel Bitcoin has a major problem and one that can't be solved for a generation or two, and that's to do with intelligence and understanding.

I invested at $1k - As a technical person, I'd been following the rise and can see the long term sustainability and benefits of BTC. If everyone around me non technical who also started hearing about it invested, that price would be $10k+, but I can't see it achieving high limits due to the reasons stated. I now worry we'll see the price lower long term as the world moves away from it..

Thoughts?

People may miss the technical aspects of bitcoin, but most can see the financial aspects and understand that playing bitcoin is a high risk gamble. It doesn't make people dumb, that they don't like to gamble to fill the pockets of the earlier adopters.
25  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 03:42:32 PM
As it seems, this weekend will see a nice downfall, probably even a flash crash. People are getting tired of waiting for Santa Whale to buy their "cheap coins". The smart ones are getting out earlier, the rest will be waiting for miracles until it's too late.

You got a short memory, Hoss. We are following the same pattern from the ramp from $400 to $607 then a pull back to $533 before the next ramp to $710.

tide always goes out before the Tsunami.

We'll see..
26  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 03:34:29 PM
As it seems, this weekend will see a nice downfall, probably even a flash crash. People are getting tired of waiting for Santa Whale to buy their "cheap coins". The smart ones are getting out earlier, the rest will be waiting for miracles until it's too late.
27  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 03:09:27 PM
It does appear that the coins are doing something at Gox.
Let´s say an early adopter agreed to provide 200.000 coins and help MTGox to come back up.
What would the implications be ?

a) Lot´s of coins which will be withdrawn and dumped on other exchanges
b) confidence raises and we are going to the moon

I vouch for a)

It's a mess either way. If someone wanted to do a bail-out, then he should have acted earlier. It would be idiotic to act now when a big part of the damage has already been done.
I wouldn't be surprised though, because it seems to be the nature of the bitcoin community. Emus who like to bury their heads in sand and act only when it's too late. When MtGox was already rotten, then the community was for letting it go bad, because "the free market will take everything and nothing bad will happen". I wouldn't be surprised if someone got spooked now because of the very low buy interest, that is showing at the markets and now they were "maybe a bail-out would restore confidence".
If it is a bail-out at this present time, then it's definitely a)
28  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 12:16:55 PM
As I wrote that it is absurd that we were going up, everybody was bashing on me and was writing "to the moon"  Cheesy

Now we go down and these morons are silent.

Thanks to your "to tha moon" BS I also get in panic and bought @685 with every money I had (50K). And now I´m fucked.

You're not fucked forever, the price will go back up. Give it time Smiley


if you absolutely panic and think you misinvested and want to sell lower than bought, i have a good way to handle it for you.


1) check the charts. realize how much you have lost already
2) calculate how much more it will cost you when it keeps going down like this
3) read the wall observer thread ignoring everyone except stolfi, kkaspar, fonzi and like
4) upon growing panic decide to act NOW
5) imagine you sell all your coins in one swap - BUT IN REALITY ONLY SELL ONE COIN
6) since you have sold now after experiencing real panic, price will start to rise now
7) congratulations you have hit a daily low to sell
Cool if panic persists, try it with 5 coins...



It's actually simple.. only buy when there is solid momentum going up. And don't cry if it goes up without you buying. When the price goes up without having any reason to go up, then crying about it is like passing the roulette table and crying "I should of called red, then I could have won". It's better to keep the amount of money you have, then to lose the amount you have. Never make a bet when there are only slightly good chances of winning. Be patient and wait for opportunities that are better then just slightly good. Don't be illusioned that there won't be any more chances.. there will always be new opportunities. This is smart gambling.
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:54:34 AM
kkasper's weekly routine:

Monday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Tuesday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Wednesday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Thursday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Friday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Saturday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Sunday
Get up, have a wank, go back to sleep. Dream about going on Wall Observer and telling everyone they're religious zealots.


How do you know that I'm using a laptop not a desktop?

I figured it needs to be within reach of the bed  Wink

I like to skip Saturdays and Sundays also. And someday, I hope that the religious zealots here will feel shame without needing me to point it out for them. Then I can finally rest.
30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:49:16 AM
kkasper's weekly routine:

Monday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Tuesday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Wednesday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Thursday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Friday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Saturday
Get up, open laptop, go on Wall Observer, tell everyone they're religious zealots.
Sunday
Get up, have a wank, go back to sleep. Dream about going on Wall Observer and telling everyone they're religious zealots.


How do you know that I'm using a laptop not a desktop?
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:45:38 AM
As I wrote that it is absurd that we were going up, everybody was bashing on me and was writing "to the moon"  Cheesy

Now we go down and these morons are silent.

Thanks to your "to tha moon" BS I also get in panic and bought @685 with every money I had (50K). And now I´m fucked.

me thinks you´ll still be able to sell at 662 as a matter of last chance to GTFO cause bitcoin market is a very retarded idiot which is made for denying facts and screw over

the most participants possible  Wink

Btw, I agree with you that LTC has better chances then BTC at the moment. They have prospects of new opening markets, and that can be considered as an "real reason" for price to rise.
BTC currently only has the will of the hodlers and the hopes of the line drawers to support the price. That's why I'm sitting at BTC-E also at the moment, even when holding fiat at BTC-E makes me a little nervous Smiley
32  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:27:44 AM
As I wrote that it is absurd that we were going up, everybody was bashing on me and was writing "to the moon"  Cheesy

Now we go down and these morons are silent.

Thanks to your "to tha moon" BS I also get in panic and bought @685 with every money I had (50K). And now I´m fucked.

First rule of trading bitcoin, Do Not trust the religious zealots.
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:24:57 AM
I wonder how low we will go when the real panic begins
what do you mean ?
He means:

"I want the price to drop so I can buy in cheap."

resignation begins when the price have been quite stable and didnt CCMF for an extended period (all things being relative). Then, people start cash out little by little (because they obviously cant wait anymore or need money to buy sushis), and as a "snowball effect", the price go lower and lower.. eventually, it drops even more rapidly as people reaction to such a downtrend would be selling more and more... hence, panic sell Wink
So, you're saying Wall Street is preparing its entry?


Probably. But they aren't rushing blindly into it for sure. Right now, there is nothing that is legitimately boosting the price (besides insiders/whales/fools). Wall street is probably waiting for a clear buy in signal. which could be regulations incentives in the US, mining difficulty jump (as new ASICs are about to flood the market), price crash...

I think that those from wall street who wanted in, are already in. Dreams of bitcoin hitting big at wall street will more probably remain dreams. No serious player will trust their funds into something where he has to hope that unknown Satoshi/drug dealer/computer crackers/confidence men will hold their coins and by that keep the value of bitcoin.
If they want to invest into crypto, then they will start pumping something that has a more transparent history.

like LITECOIN  Cheesy Wink


So if bitcoin days destroyed = how old these coins we can infer that there's a possibility of a cashout. A dump of these old coins will have a great impact on market, thus greatly screwing the guys with new coins (2013-2014)


you have been warned !  but yes under 90 bucks you can count on wallstreet to pick up the tap....but any other unregulated exchange will be gone...with or without your

coins...thats the question

I still think that there will be something new, that will be launched on already regulated exchanges. There has to be solid history for serious investors to trust it.
"But..but..but I have a feeling that most of the old coins are owned by nice people who wouldn't do that" won't be enough for people who know how to handle money.
34  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:19:24 AM
So we're going down because of Satoshi , Japan or Mtgox coins being moved around?
Or because we are sheeps Smiley)))))

We were going up because we were sheeps...
35  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 11:13:52 AM
I wonder how low we will go when the real panic begins
what do you mean ?
He means:

"I want the price to drop so I can buy in cheap."

resignation begins when the price have been quite stable and didnt CCMF for an extended period (all things being relative). Then, people start cash out little by little (because they obviously cant wait anymore or need money to buy sushis), and as a "snowball effect", the price go lower and lower.. eventually, it drops even more rapidly as people reaction to such a downtrend would be selling more and more... hence, panic sell Wink
So, you're saying Wall Street is preparing its entry?

Probably. But they aren't rushing blindly into it for sure. Right now, there is nothing that is legitimately boosting the price (besides insiders/whales/fools). Wall street is probably waiting for a clear buy in signal. which could be regulations incentives in the US, mining difficulty jump (as new ASICs are about to flood the market), price crash...

I think that those from wall street who wanted in, are already in. Dreams of bitcoin hitting big at wall street will more probably remain dreams. No serious player will trust their funds into something where he has to hope that unknown Satoshi/drug dealer/computer crackers/confidence men will hold their coins and by that keep the value of bitcoin.
If they want to invest into crypto, then they will start pumping something that has a more transparent history.
36  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2014, 10:59:28 AM
The price is dropping after several days of low volume and little interest to buy? How can this be?! This is impossible!
The wizards of drawing lines told that there will be a breakout soon. Sad

Smiley
37  Economy / Speculation / Re: What would happen if Satoshi dumped his coins? on: March 06, 2014, 08:21:03 PM
Not only Satoshi.. When you look at the history of bitcoin, then in all probability, there are millions of coins out there that have been earned by drug dealers,computer crackers and confidence men.
This is the main reason I only hold coins when going to sleep, when there is a very strong upwards momentum, like we witnessed in November.
I can trust the source code of bitcoin, and I can even somehow trust some of the exchanges, but I can't trust a bunch of unknown people with unknown motives to keep my coins valuable.
It seems that most people are just ignoring this problem, since it hasn't happened yet. But this isn't making me feel any secure, because The Crash would only happen once, with leaving bitcoin in ruins.
38  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2014, 07:35:56 PM

Fair enough that you have your mantra or your view of things in which you seem to want to simplify and to describe BTC bullishness attitudes as a form of cultish behavior.

 Frequently, there is some truth to any fiction and/or any propaganda, including the framework that you are outlining.  

I do NOT really have any major problem with you having your viewpoint and expressing it - though I remain somewhat bothered that your simplification has a tendency to dilute and distract and to mislead....  and also sometimes it rises to the level of patronizing and criticizing guys for being blind followers - when that frequently is NOT the case.  YET, I have seen that a few of your posts have made decent points, from time to time, so long as you steer clear from what seems to rise to personal attacks.

By the way, my various times stating, millions, billions or gazillions, it does NOT matter was to suggest that the exact number was NOT the point that was being made at that particular time... though, I recognize that sometimes, we may need to get fairly specific concerning the numbers that we are considering.... .. and in that regard if we were to take a snapshot of bitcoin's current infrastructure, we are going to come up with several ways to calculate the value of that infrastructure.. and some ways are going to produce larger numbers depending upon which aspects of the infrastructure that are included in such snapshot(s).


I know that I can be patronizing and sarcastic, but I have discovered that it's the best way to go here if you want to stay sane. When I used to go into serious arguments with people here, and hear, that I'm shortsighted and even anti-technology, if I don't see for example, that bitcoin will solve worlds banking problems, or how there is no deflation problem with bitcoin, or how bitcoin is "sound money" compared to fiat, then I saw that if I'll continue to take this conversation seriously, then the joke's on me. Just imagine yourself talking to Christian radicals who are telling you that you are blind and influenced by the devil if you don't believe that the world is 6000 years old and was created in 7 days. And all the proof that says otherwise, is the work of the devil and should be dismissed. The same thing works here only the devil form has been given to banksters.

The funny thing is that most of my friends or acquaintances, who know my involvement with bitcoin, think that I'm really bullish for bitcoin just because I'm involved. I have explained them that bitcoin indeed is a shady get-rich-quick scheme where you can earn money if you gamble smart, but the idea of independent and transparent, information technology based monetary systems, really have a bigger future.
39  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2014, 06:34:33 PM

great thing about bitcoin is that the market is never worried about the obvious implications that its completly rigged on his way back down to 30 bucks  Huh Wink

and if there would be at least a smear of integrity about all craptofuck left, LTC /BTC would be at 0.25 not ten times less

While I agree that LTC should cost more, I think that LTC is even more concentrated and manipulated. Someone is constantly forcing the market with 2mil.$+ buy and sell walls at BTC-E. I bet it's the same guys that run BTC-E, because I really doubt that an outsider would trust this amount of money to the anonymously owned BTC-E Smiley
40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2014, 06:30:41 PM
Is Satoshi cashing out or not? Please advise  Undecided Undecided Undecided

Not yet, there is a planned number that's not yet reached...

Do you really think satoshi would have imagined that bitcoin would reach $1000 when he first started?
IF he had a planned number, im pretty sure we have already reached it.

Are you telling me that it even doesn't make sense to Satoshi that bitcoins price is this high? Smiley

Depends on your view. Do you really think that satoshi thought bitcoin would go to $1000 when he started at $0?


I don't know what Satoshi thought.. I don't even know who Satoshi is, so it's very hard to speculate his motives and plans. And that makes it funny that people are calling bitcoin "sound money"... they are actually trusting their wealth in the hands of someone they know nothing about... because if those old 1mil coins will be dumped, then bitcoin is back to costing cents and won't ever recover Smiley

Cents? There are xx millions of dollars on exchanges at least so price would be at around $xx. What bottom price would be at flash crash doesn't matter.

Market orders are not static. Start dumping even 50k coins and most of the buy orders will get pulled to see how low will the dump go. 1mil+ coins will easily get the price back into cents and most of the fiat will permanently leave the exchanges because no one will know if there will be another wave of 1mil coin dumps.
Only thing that keeps people calm at the moment is that this hasn't happened yet.
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