I could be wrong, but it seems you might have some sort of addiction problem with these weird urges of "taking big risks" and stuff.
I only said that i weight Sens chances to win as 25-27%, compared to 23% offered by the bookies, so its quite obvious i still expect it to be a loss more than 70% of the time.
i dont bet more than i can afford to lose, i was an early adopter and have some mined BTC, so its all fun and games.