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11081  Economy / Digital goods / Re: PrimeDice Strategy - 15 BTC Winnings in 24 Hrs - Limited Release on: December 03, 2014, 11:29:24 AM
Understood, and I agree. I plan on playing for a bit, likely next week, and will then post my spreadsheet with auto calculations to share (updating it before I do with next round of gameplay). Not selling, just sharing. It doesnt integrate into PD at all, all it does is visualize betting strategies, took me a while to get the rounding patterns correct that PD uses, sometimes its Round Up, sometimes Round Down, and it does this at different decimal points depending on the variable its calculating.

Having this down really helps show the odds of "At 2.5 X Payout what are the odds of rolling 5000 rolls before hitting a streak that would bust to insufficient funds". It also factors back into the equation average per roll winnings into your BankRoll.

It works well when you use betting strategies that have a bust level of 1 in 800,000 rolls or greater. The higher the odds of busting, an odd multiplier comes into play I have yet to figure out.

Meaning if you played a AutoBet round where based on bankroll you could survive 25 consecutive losses based on starting bet, increase on loss, and payout factor, etc - and that 25 loss streak had a 1 in 1,000,000 chance in happening - the same (at least from what I can tell) is not true for the same odds (1 in 1,000,000) where the streak is only 8 deep.

Meaning odds aside, you will fare better with a larger depth regardless of identical odds.

If you dont believe me, try this simulation:

BankRoll: 0.05
PayOut: 2.25 X
Increase on Loss: 110%
Starting Bet: 0.00000002

Under this scenario, the odds of busting according to my tables are you would bust at 20 Consecutive Losses. The Odds of that happening work out to an occurance rate of 1 in 2.17 Million Rolls. So with a 44% Chance of Winning on 1 Roll, the occurance odds of rolling 20 straight losses are 1 in 2,170,000.

Now that said running a second simulation, with a much shallower depth of busting, the same does not (at least from my experience) hold true.


BankRoll: 0.05
PayOut: 1.123 x
Increase on Loss: 800%
Starting Bet: 0.00000040

Under this scenario, the odds of busting according to my tables are you would bust at 6 Consecutive Losses. The Odds of that happening work out to an occurance rate of 1 in 2.17 Million Rolls. So with a 88.16% Chance of Winning on 1 Roll, the occurance odds of rolling 6 straight losses are 1 in 2,170,000.

However, the Second Scenario listed plays much riskier and will bust far sooner regardless of the math behind the rolls.

Unless my math is flawed... Feel free to chime in here if so.

CD

Your argument is invalid. Smiley

Every bet has its own chance of wining/losing.

The bet you make is nothing to do with the other you have made before.

You can lose 10 times in a row on a %90 winning chance game and believe me it can happen a lot more than 1/2900000 times.

11082  Economy / Digital goods / Re: PrimeDice Strategy - 15 BTC Winnings in 24 Hrs - Limited Release on: December 02, 2014, 04:46:43 PM
I can't believe he lost it all again . Did he lose it all on one big bet? or multiple bets?

He was following a system. So, multiple bets most likely.

Martingale blackhole just got out of control and devoured him Cheesy
11083  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [Primedice.com] 2 Billion Bets Giveaway! on: December 02, 2014, 03:50:29 PM
Yayy i like free moni.
11084  Other / Off-topic / Re: 9 health tips for men on: December 02, 2014, 02:57:31 PM
1) Get a girlfriend,
2) Stop excessive masturbating,
3) Stop smoking,
4) Do exercises everyday for 1 hour at least,
5) Ban xhamster,
6) Ban pornhub,
7) Ban xvideos,
Cool Ban youporn
9) Ban porn from your computer.



10) Stop being so concerned about what other people do with their junk.
11) Burn bible.
12) Use brain.

That list was for me dude :p

I dont believe in anything. Except bitcoin
11085  Other / Off-topic / Re: How do you earn money online? on: December 02, 2014, 02:45:41 PM
You can make a good money if you learn to do serious software engineering.  Sometimes more than you could do in your home land, if the place you live sucks.

For pennies you can do signature programs and play goldentowns

You can make up to 0.4/month with signature campaign which equals to about 160$ today so a bit more than pennies just to post.

I like the idea of learning serious software engineering. You can become a developer in 6months if you study hard and it will earn you a good salary.

Programming is always good thing to do you have even online lessons and tutorials. You can all watch or download.
And yes this is huge money only if you pick good software to work with you have plenty and market is big so choose wisely.


Which programming language is best to start with? C?
11086  Economy / Services / Re: PB Mining -- 5 year mining contracts! on: December 02, 2014, 02:16:30 PM
Is this website still profitable? I saw some messages saying impossible to ROI on pbmining (or cloud mining in general) is it true?

I am thinking to invest 1000$ if i find it profitable and ROI in ~2-3 months.
11087  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: December 02, 2014, 01:51:58 PM
Price is 8 satoshi at the moment... It doesnt even make sense to sell at this price point. Why ppl sell??

8 is bigger than 0 . 

Yeah it looks like its going to hit 1 or 0 sato's soon at this rate. But then... who is buying? Cheesy
11088  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: December 02, 2014, 01:47:14 PM
Price is 8 satoshi at the moment... It doesnt even make sense to sell at this price point. Why ppl sell??
11089  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Dogecoin celebrates its 1st birthday Thunderclap campaign! on: December 01, 2014, 02:31:37 PM
Happy b-day doge
11090  Other / Off-topic / Re: How do you earn money online? on: December 01, 2014, 01:01:47 PM
Cook some meth. Huge money.
11091  Economy / Economics / Re: why do people agree to pay taxes? on: November 30, 2014, 09:10:52 PM
Only noobs pay taxes,,

Pros don't give a flying puck about taxes.

They steal big and mostly they never get caught.
11092  Other / Off-topic / Re: 9 health tips for men on: November 30, 2014, 09:02:42 PM
1) Get a girlfriend,
2) Stop excessive masturbating,
3) Stop smoking,
4) Do exercises everyday for 1 hour at least,
5) Ban xhamster,
6) Ban pornhub,
7) Ban xvideos,
Cool Ban youporn
9) Ban porn from your computer.

11093  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: November 30, 2014, 06:45:15 PM
What exactly do you expect by "new features"?? How can a coin has a feature other than being a currency at all??

It is a damn crypto currency, like all the others. And it is "proof of faucet". That is the main feature.

Sorry but this coin won't get free a coffee from starbucks.
11094  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [Primedice.com] 2 Billion Bets Giveaway! on: November 29, 2014, 09:36:03 PM
username: johnmayer

signature: added.

thanks.
11095  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: November 29, 2014, 09:19:06 PM
I wont sell a damn before it hits 100 satoshi.

I dont care if it doest get even close to that.
11096  Economy / Digital goods / Re: PrimeDice Strategy - 15 BTC Winnings in 24 Hrs - Limited Release on: November 29, 2014, 04:43:14 PM
Wow what a story.

I just read the first page and this one.

up to 30btc then go to "zero"Huh!?

Wtf man... Cry
11097  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: November 29, 2014, 04:19:48 PM
Last payout was 99.30486594find

lol. This thing is getting popular.
11098  Economy / Services / Re: [ANN] BIT-X.com Signature Campaign [Launching Shortly] on: November 29, 2014, 02:01:12 PM
Count juniors in please!
11099  Other / Archival / Re: Last Drink You drank. (daily thread) on: November 29, 2014, 01:59:12 PM
Water juice.
11100  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [FIND] FindYou Coin - Faucet Distribution on: November 29, 2014, 01:20:13 PM
Just hold and wait, it will jump to the moon after distribution.
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