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261  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 15, 2024, 12:00:48 AM
Dana White vs his wife Cheesy

That's more suitable for the PowerSlap  Grin

It is confirmed now that the main event for UFC 300 will be revealed during the post-fight press conference of the UFC 298. Yeah, I think so too, that they haven't had confirmations in the backroom for who will be fighting. We'll find it out soon enough though.

Good to know. It's about time. The expectations are set so high that whatever fight will get announced, many people will get disappointed anyway. And there are limited options for high-profile fights. The most viable options are probably Adesanya Vs DPP, or Aspinall Vs Pereira.

Everyone wants the biggest UFC event of all time and Dana doesn’t even know if Conor will be able to fight by then or not.

He confirmed that McGregor will not fight until later this year (Autumn).
262  Economy / Reputation / Where do we draw a line? Signature campaigns or shilling campaigns on: February 12, 2024, 11:34:42 PM
I just came across this post by Icopress (one of the most active campaign managers currently):

(...)
There is something else I would like to discuss.

As you know, a signature campaign is a type of advertising that is shown under a member's profile through discussions in various sections of the forum without explicit indication. And I have never forced anyone to mention or recommend an advertised project directly in posts as this should be voluntary.

But today, as a manager, I was extremely outraged because I observed a situation where a user wears a Wasabi signature, and recommended other open source wallets.

After advertising for mixers was banned here on the forum, payout rates began to decline due to lack of competition, but Wasabi decided to be understanding and respectful of the contributions of quality posters while maintaining a high level of rates. At the very least this deserves respect.

I don’t mind at all if you recommend this or that wallet as long as you list the list of available options. But if you recommend open source wallets without mentioning the one whose advertisement you are wearing, then you have no place on my team, since I see this as a disparaging attitude towards my work and the advertised project.

I will respond to similar incidents in the future.

Bits emboldened by me.

As much as I understand his logic and I even respect him for stating that publicly rather than kicking out "misbehaving" participants without stating the reason - I think we have a precedent here where the campaign manager is openly policing (to a small degree but still) the content of the posts by telling participants what they can't post, or what they must include (i.e. you can't say you like product X without mentioning product Y).

This alone might not sound like a big deal, but the unwritten rule was that signature campaigns are nothing more than renting out advertisement space, and there was no expectation of participants to endorse advertised services.

I feel that if we leave things like this unchecked, that's a short way to the introduction of shilling campaigns, where participants will be openly required to make a minimum number of positive posts about advertised service, or maybe even negative posts about its competitors.

So again, I don't imply any ill will in Icopress' post, in fact, I think he acted in participants' best interest, but I see this as a small step in a potentially very bad direction.

So the question is, should the forum introduce any rules on compelled/restricted posting, or do we let anything go, including shilling campaigns?


263  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: February 11, 2024, 10:10:06 PM
Kupuj plotki sprzedawaj fakty nie tym razem? Bitcoin rośnie i obecnie testuje lokalne szczyty a wolumen na etf-ach osiąga rekordowe ilości ponad 1 mld $ dziennie. Osobiście uważam że zobaczymy jeszcze okolicę 30 tysięcy prędzej niż później, ale może myślę tak dlatego że już sprzedałem, a rynek dalej rośnie. Grin. Podtrzymuję się swojego planu i uważam, że czeka nas korekta podobna do tej w 2020, podczas gdy USA będzie obniżać stopy procentowe, btc będzie spadać. Paradoksalnie obniżanie stóp to powinna być pozytywna informacja, ale liczy się powód dlaczego są obniżane.

wg mnie sprzedawanie faktów miało miejsce ale efekt nie był aż tak drastyczny jak wielu się spodziewało.
To właściwie dlaczego spodziewasz się korekty az do okolic $30k, jeżeli mamy same potencjalnie pozytywne informacje? Tylko dlatego że stało się to w 2020?
Halving za pasem, stopy prawdopodobnie w dół, rekordowy popyt na ETFy - dlaczego nie mielibyśmy iść w górę?
264  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 11, 2024, 05:48:42 PM
(...) but I think I am OK for them to fight because I believe in equality for both genders (...)

Men and women are supposed to be complementary, not equal.
I'm not necessarily for banning women from MMA, but I won't support that either. I just take it as a symptom of an unhealthy society.

(...) the age gap is seriously alarming and he could be taken out by a fighter 8 years younger than him, (...)

Volkanovski is only 35. Depending on his genetics, he could still be within his peak performance period. Writing him off, just because of that head-kick KO loss is not serious. His previous fight against Islam was widely seen as his success not failure, and he also defeated Rodriguez in between those fights,
265  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 10, 2024, 03:53:02 PM
It seems, bookmakers keen towards Topuria. I look at the comments and Topuria had higher odds, I think 1.91 will be the final odd or if they increase Volk's odds and decrease Topuria's odds, that will be a huge mental shock for Volk. It probably already is when it moves from 1.53 to 1.91 and you are getting anticipated. Many people even compare this fight to Aldo - McGregor.

I have no clue how do bookies set their odds, but I suspect they adjust them accordingly to how people are betting. So if public perception is that Volk is on the decline (because of the way he lost to Islam) and that Topuria is on the rise, and much more money was going on Topuria - then they might be forced to adjust the odds to mitigate the risk of making losses in case of Volk's losing.

Volkanovski is favorite to win but some people are saying he is too old to fight in same level with Topuria so he made great funny video for this, and you must watch it.
It is only two minutes long so you wont waste time, and he did a good job acting and making fun of himself, and I think he earned some money from casino for doing this:
https://youtu.be/C2nsn2uzWog

That's pretty funny. He's got a lot of distance to himself and probably one of the strongest mentalities in the sport.
266  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Investment in gambling on: February 10, 2024, 03:41:25 PM
OP, I find it really hard to understand what exactly is the purpose of this topic and what are you trying to say.
Are you saying that you invested in a ponzi scheme that has some sort of a bug that keeps paying you interest despite withdrawing your investment? Or are you saying that investing in ponzi schemes is good provided that it's done early?
In either case, good luck in voluntarily sending your money to scammers, I'm sure it'll work great for you in the long-run.
Also, don't go too crazy with your $6 profit.
267  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 09, 2024, 04:50:13 PM
I like to bet it riskier and to bet on Underdog and if the Underdog could bear fangs because I think that Ilia Topuria is a dangerous opponent for Volkanovski. and knowing that I think this is a great opportunity for the risk taker in my opinion, and Topuria surely has the potential to prove himself against Volkanovski, I am truly excited about what may happen with this fight,
I agree with the exception that the odds are simply not attractive enough. x2.02 is hardly an underdog, it's more of an even fight according to bookies.
While the Justin Gaethje VS Max Holloway will still be ongoing and not canceled (...)
Yup, they updated it and the fight is no longer showing as cancelled.

(...) I find interesting is the Main Event for the UFC 300 was now Weili Zhang VS Xiaonan Yan which it doesn't look great at all for an Anniversary event and the Main Event would be this one, no offense for women fighters but I would like to see an exciting match.

I don't think women should be fighting in mma at all, but currently there are 2 main events, plus, Weili Zhang VS Xiaonan Yan may not be exciting to you or me, but both of them are Chinese so potentially it could bring a lot of views from their fellow countrymen. I understand mma is getting more popular in China, so it could be a way for the UFC to expand.
268  Bitcoin / Mycelium / Re: [Mycelium Android] Transaction stuck for ~2 weeks, can't bump the fee on: February 09, 2024, 04:35:48 PM
I think if you don't open your wallet, mycelium will no longer rebroadcast your transaction.
Or you could just delete an unconfirmed transaction from Mycelium, so it won't get rebroadcasted anymore.


As for me, I took the advice I got in this thread and started using Electrum wallet with RBF feature It's really good and helps you not stress out about transactions getting stuck.
269  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 09, 2024, 10:09:26 AM
If I was Chandler, I would have accepted any other opponent. How long he is inactive already? Quite a period. He is not getting any younger, he has quite a family to feed at least. I dont know what Chandler is waiting for. For a biggest paycheck from a fight against Conor and to retire after? Imho Conor can do whatever he wants, Chandler mush fight at least to stay busy.

I called it. I expected that the dream fight with Conor could turn into a career-trap for Chandler. The longer the wait the more fans' interest will dwindle.
Now, Chandler should move on and take some other fight, but there's a risk that if he loses, he would drop in the rankings and Conor would no longer want to fight him. Right now, from McGregor's perspective, losing a fight to high-ranked Chandler is not much of a shame, he could use the long break as an excuse. But losing to a low-ranked Chandler could mark the end of his career. There would be no justification to match him up with any of top fighters anymore.

Yup I took a peek a couple of hours ago...  And I really think those odds are pretty good for Volk.  The books could be putting too much weight on his last loss vs Makhachev which Volk took on short notice hence saving the event.  Volk during interviews also seemed to give hints that he got paid well for it, saying that he has now enough to take care of his daughter and setting her up for life.

I think Topuria is slightly more likely to win, so wouldn't consider anything below 2.0 on Volk as good odds. Not to take anything away from Alex, but I think Ilia is better than any of his previous opponents (with an exception of Islam).
270  Economy / Gambling / Re: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST.io🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶PLAY 📈INVEST➡🔺🎲🎰🔲 | BET CONTEST ▄■▀■▄ on: February 07, 2024, 11:30:32 PM
He came online to the forum today, which is a good sign but didn't post anything so hopefully he will address the pending issues regarding the withdrawal which requires manual review or due to the empty hot wallet as well as the campaign escrow wallet if he has the intention of continuing the advertisement.

That's right, he was last active today at 4 pm. It's fair to assume he is aware of the problems. But if they don't get resolved (or at very least - addressed) then it'd mean that LL doesn't care at all about his customers/contractors or that there are some liquidity problems - I don't know which is worse tbh.
271  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 07, 2024, 10:41:10 PM
^  What's the line on Topuria?  If it's anything crazy like 3.50 then you're like forced to bet on him because it's starting to go into price that's going to be +EV.  Even if you lose, if the opportunity comes up again, the right move is to make the bet.  :/

Per Unibet:
Volkanovski: 1.79
Topuria: 2.02

Pretty far from 3.5  Undecided
I rarely bet nowadays but if it goes above 2.5 for Ilia, I probably will throw some quids on him. He's got what it takes to beat Volk, both in terms of physical abilities and mentality.


So what is the recent news re UFC 300? Google search is showing some weird things for Gaethje Vs Holloway. It's not clear if the fight is confirmed or canceled.
I must be quite behind as I had no clue they were matched against eachother

272  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN]Stake.com NEW SIGN CAMPAIGN l UP TO $160/WEEK l HERO/LEG SPOTS OPEN on: February 07, 2024, 12:04:40 PM
Bitcointalk Username: pawel7777
Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=183781
Post Count: 6337
Forum Rank: Legendary
Are you able to wear our Signature, Avatar & Personal Text? Yes
Stake Username: pawel7777
273  Local / Polski / Re: [Oceny miesięczne] My polskojęzyczni i merity... on: February 07, 2024, 08:47:22 AM
Jak nie? przecież jest watek z aplikacją na moderatora a tam poruszana jest sprawa merit source
No tak, ale sam watek jest aplikacja o moderatora, gdzie merit source jest wspomniany pobocznie. Zrobienie osobnej aplikacji o merit source wg wskazowek mialoby o wiele wieksze szanse powodzenia.
z tego co pamiętam ktoś aplikował i nic z tego nie wyszło
No problem w tym ze nikt nie chcial.

Szczyptę mogę dorzucić, czemu nie. Aczkolwiek samemu za mało piszę, żeby rzucić tyle, co kiedyś.
Wielkie dzieki! Chociaz ten sposob dystrybucji jest mocno marnotrawny. Z kazdego merita jaki otrzymalem mam do dyspozycji tylko polowe z nich (smerits).
274  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: February 06, 2024, 10:31:33 PM
ciężko teraz. Ja już od miesiąca bez kampanii i nie ma gdzie dojść. Albo pełne, a jak pojawia się wolne miejsce to dla full membera. chyba trzeba będzie dojść jako full member i czekać cierpliwie na awans.

Zawsze zostaje też altcoinstalk. Absolutnie nie zachęcam nikogo do zmiany forum, ale można pisać na obu. Jest tam całe mnóstwo wątków podobnych lub identycznych jak tutaj, więc sporą cześć postów pisanych tutaj można wkopiować/wkleić w odpowiedni wątek tam.

Maksymalne stawki to obecnie $1.5/post, więc zarobki podobne/wyższe niż na za full membera na btctalk. Są ciągle wolne miejsce i można "teleportować" konto z btctalk, zachowując rangę.

Przegląd kampanii:
https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=314333.0;topicseen
Instrukcja jak teleportować konto:
https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=178480.0;topicseen
275  Economy / Gambling / Re: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST.io🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶PLAY 📈INVEST➡🔺🎲🎰🔲 | BET CONTEST ▄■▀■▄ on: February 06, 2024, 04:24:00 PM
Their old issue return and for sure this one would provably create a trouble on LL side since I'm sure that many will criticize him again for lack of responsibility to watch over the current status of their campaign also for the balances remaining on their casino. Their reputation is now in trouble again and for what currently happening here for sure many people are doubting again to trust their casino.

It's like they're sabotaging their own effort. Spend money to advertise and bring more players/recognition to the site, and then greet them with empty hot wallets/campaign funds and lack of communication.

Bitvest campaign is a good campaign as you are being paid on Bitcoin if you're a Hodler this is the best campaign to join, lets see in the coming days if Lightlord will show up and continue with the campaign.

Pretty much every campaign here pays in bitcoins (even if rates are stated in USD) and the Bitvest is among the lowest paying campaigns.
276  Economy / Gambling / Re: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST.io🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶PLAY 📈INVEST➡🔺🎲🎰🔲 | BET CONTEST ▄■▀■▄ on: February 06, 2024, 11:40:03 AM
Ps: Campaign is temporary pause due to lack of funds to cover for this week payment. Immediately the wallet is refilled, the campaign will continue but for now you can remove signature and avatar and try your luck somewhere else. If the campaign was to resume, all posts for the week will be counted but for now I'm waiting on a feedbacks from Lightlord.

The payment delay was intentional to wait on a feedback but I can't keep you guys waiting any longer therefore we just have to pause and wait on a positive feedback to continue.

This is not looking good reputation-wise. LL got negative trust ratings in the past for delays in campaign payments and similar thing is happening again. The funds have run out but LL didn't even bother to inform manager/participants if he wants the campaign to continue or not.
Luckily the manager stepped in and paused the campaign so there's no debt to the participants (they still have a right to expect payment for up to the time the pausing was announced though).

Looks some people will never learn. Sad.
277  Local / Polski / Re: [Oceny miesięczne] My polskojęzyczni i merity... on: February 06, 2024, 11:26:39 AM
myślę, że warto już coś napisać w Twoim wątku i przypomnieć się społeczności, może znowu ktoś zasili pule meritów, często jest tak, że niektóre merit source szukają okazji gdzie mogli by zostawić lwią cześć przypisanych meritów, kiedy na przykład kończy sie im czas na ich rozdanie i musieliby szukać wartościowych postów, jako OP może będziesz miał ochotę coś tam skrobnąć, ja na pewno pomogę

Rozumiem co masz na mysli ale tamten watek nie powstal z mysla o proszenie o merity, z czym nie czulbym sie komfortowo.
Jezeli checemy merit source to niestety ktos z nas musi aplikowac o zostanie takowym. W przeciwnym razie sami jestesmy sobie winni. Jezeli nikt z nas nie chce sie podjac tego obowiazku to proszenie inych o merity jest troche nie na miejscu.
278  Economy / Services / Re: WasabiWallet.io Signature Campaign on: February 05, 2024, 11:21:59 PM
We have 1 open slot (H, L, Sr - $3 Post, Full - $2) / Payments for 5 week are on their way. [Exchange rate: 43,420] Wink

Username: pawel7777
Segwit Bitcoin address: bc1q79vqvnghljgu926g7gtuhnncq560kc24cur43t
279  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] MetaWin.com Signature Campaign | The First WEB3 Casino | Sr Member+ on: February 05, 2024, 11:10:21 PM
Rank- Legendary (could take the Senior spot for now if nothing better is available)
Segwit BTC address- bc1q79vqvnghljgu926g7gtuhnncq560kc24cur43t

After bets.io was paused, getting a spot in this one would be great.
280  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: February 05, 2024, 11:03:18 PM
kampania Bets.io została wstrzymana po 6 tygodniach, z pawel7777 mamy jednego użytkownika z naszego podwórka, który brał w niej udział
Little Mouse spróbuje przenieść niektórych użytkowników z tej kampanii do innej.

Nom. Niestety. Spóźniali się z płatnościami aż w końcu spauzowali kampanię.
Szkoda że zbanowali mixery. Przynajmniej ich kampanie były stabilne i przewidywalne.
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