Simply: Bitcoin is Bitcoin; Bitcoin Cash is not Bitcoin.


I don't understand the hate towards the BCH. It was exactly what the "small block" camp wanted them to do (to "fork off"). Creation of BCH instantly ended the contagious block size debate, so the only people that should be mad about it was the "big block" camp, as they didn't get what they wanted.
After the fork we've seen some people claiming that BCH was the real Bitcoin, which was plain false and wrong, but that's a different story.

93% of all bitcoins have already been mined, and each next halving has 50% less effect on reduction of block reward, so obviously we can't expect bull runs to be synchronised with halvings forever. But I imagine the next halving (expected April/May 2024) will still be the catalyst for the next rally, even simply because of the psychological factor. If everyone expects something to happen, it could create the "self fulfilling prophecy" scenario. And, of course, 50% less selling pressure from the miners will also have a positive impact.

He said he has $2k of available funds, so he "only" needs to make 5% a day, meaning he could choose a game with 95% chance of wining (i.e. dice) and assuming there's no house edge at all.
So the daily probability would look slightly better than your chart, but the point still stands, he would go bust pretty quickly.

There's nothing special or wild about the $100k mark. If you think about it, it's not very far away from the previous ATH of $68k and considering high inflation rates since then, it's definitely achievable.
The major thing preventing crossing the $100k barrier would probably be the psychological factor. People like round numbers and many will consider $100k as a target for the next bull run, but they also know that loads of other investors will have the same target, so they'll set their sell orders below the $100k mark. So we might see a massive sell out at around $90k that could derail the bull run.

Bankroll management is a complex topic, but I wouldn't say there's any inherent value in saving some money for the future betting. If you spot an amazing opportunity of a high value bet that does not come too often - there's nothing wrong in putting all your available gambling funds on it, provided that money is earmarked for gambling and you can afford to lose it.
The priority should be to aim for the maximisation of the profit and not to last long just for the sake of it.

As I posted before, I was predicting an easy win for Sterling, but now I'm having second thoughts. I still think Sterling is more likely to win, but I don't think it will be easy for him to take O'Malley down and Sean is not without a chance. If it goes to distance, O'Malley will probably win and is more likely to win by KO. So Sterling will have to find a way to win by submission.
The current odds for O'Malley are around 3.15, making it a good value bet.

Really curious on how Chris Weidman will perform against Brad Tavares. It's Weidman's first fight since that horrific injury (broken leg) in a fight against Uriah Hall.

This one?:

credit to r/BitcoinUK

It's always nice when people take actions but we need some proper, informational actions of the dangers of implementing CBDCs, otherwise masses will be quick to dismiss any warnings as tin-foil hat conspiracy theory.

Doubling the value from the current levels would mean BTC would only get to $60k, which would be a great disappointment. The absolute minimum for a bull run to be considered successful is to go above the previous ATH (~$68k). But if we want to factor in high inflation, it will have to go significantly above that. If it fails to do that, Bitcoin's reputation as a store of value would get tarnished, and the "hodl" would no longer be considered a good strategy.

I don't think high volatility is an inherent feature of the bitcoin market, it is expected for volatility to drop as the market cap increases and as the market matures (clear regulations and less legal uncertainties).
And I'm not sure if it's still appropriate to consider stock markets as stable and predictable. Recent years proved they can be as volatile as Bitcoin, with some of he biggest stocks noting huge drops, i.e. Netfilx going down by 75% from late 2021 to mid 2022, or Tesla dipping by 63% (2nd half of 2022) and 72% from its ATH, but there are plenty of other, lesser known listed stocks with bigger drops.

Nie mam pojecia. To czesto nie jest wyszczegolnione w warunkach kampanii, ale ja zawsze pytalem i odpowiedz byla zawsze pozytywna.
Najlepiej zapytac nie u managera (bo on sam nie jest w stanie podjac takiej decyzji) ale u reklamodawcy (jesli maja konto na tym forum) i w przypadku pozytywnej odpowiedzi, dac znac managerowi ze zmodyfikujesz sygnature.
Pytajac ja zawsze argumentowalem tym ze daje to ekstra zachete do pisania powyzej maksimum platnych postow, oraz do nie usuwania sygnatury w przypadku zakonczenia kampanii.

Z przeszlosci pamietam ze nawet w przypadkach kiedy kampania otwarcie pozwalala na dodawanie referrali, to wiekszosc ludzi z tego nie korzystala bo im sie nie chcialo poswiecic kilku minut ekstra.

The guy you're responding to didn't say to wait for the price to go up before buying (although his choice of words when saying to buy "irrespective of its price" was a bit unfortunate).
The point is, delaying buying by waiting for the absolute bottom can be a bad tactic and can backfire easily. Say if we're expecting BTC to reach $100K during the next bull run, and if there's a 50% chance BTC will drop to $20k before that happens, mathematically it makes more sense to buy now at $30k than risk missing out on the bull run while waiting for the drop that might never happen.
It's almost impossible to time the market perfectly.

The "crab market" is just part of the game and as you said, it could be an indication of the accumulation phase. I don't think any serious investor would abandon crypto just because of the boredom. As long as there's no reason to believe the next bull run will not happen - I think we're safe.
And of course, if people leaving due to the lack of action was true, we'd see the price tanking rather than holding still.

Fair point, people, when thinking of security, tend to only focus on possibility of someone hacking their keys over the internet, but that's only one of many vulnerabilities. Losing keys stored in a physical location also needs to be considered (be it theft, fire/water damage or simply forgetting when you put them) - and the more physical location there are - the greater the risk.
But perhaps OP meant to split the phrase and keep it separately in an electronic version, i.e. as an encrypted file saved on 2 separate email accounts etc.

I wouldn't call Sean chubby, unless he gained weight recently and I don't know about it. He's notably shorter than Alex and (I'm guessing) has shorter reach.
He's definitely not a retard neither, he got some good observations (the one about Joe Rogan that you quoted being one of them). The way he talks makes him sound dumb, but it's just part of the act, he decided to not hold back and talks whatever's on his mind at the moment. If you look at his early career interviews, he was much more respectful and not very controversial.
And yeah, there's a big chance pre-fight conferences will be much more entertaining than the fight itself. I wish Strickland could beat Adesanya but I just don't see that happening, he just doesn't have what it takes.

If you're simping on OF, you need to seriously reflect on your life. I'm not even joking. Don't pollute the forum with this garbage.


Oh wow, I did not see that coming. So apparently Du Plessis is suffering from some injury and refused fighting in Sep, as he would have no chance for a proper training camp. I understand his decision and he'll likely get the title shot next time around so nothing is lost other than time.
As for Stricland, I can't imagine him beating Adesanya but pre-fight interviews and conference will surely be entertaining.

Do people really get excited for McGregor Vs Diaz 3? Personally I couldn't care less. Making such fight would have very little to do with sport and would be an open attempt to milk both for their names before throwing them away. But maybe I'm the weird one here, I didn't care about McGregor Vs Mayweather neither. I guess I just don't like freak fights too much.
Luckily I don't think that fight will ever materialise. By accepting it, McGregor would officially rule himself out from aspiring for the title, and he has too much to lose to let the hype die out. Career-wise, Conor has to take a fight against someone from the top 10 (and win) to stay relevant and not fade away.

Z mojego doświadczenia jest to trochę podobny mechanizm do kopania BTC solo Vs w mining pool. Niby możesz znaleźć blok w pojedynkę ale jest to bardzo ciężkie i kopanie w poolu jest z reguły bardziej opłacalne i daje przychód regularnie.

Moje "sukcesy" w zarabianiu prowizji z poleconych wyglądały głównie w ten sposób że miałem długie miesiące bez żadnych rezultatów a potem trafiała się jedna osoba która robiła duże obroty i generowała większość zysku.
Z punktu widzenia kampanii, nie chodzi tylko o to żeby ludzie zapisywali się klikając w sygnatury, ale także o budowanie rozpoznawalności marki i reputacji wśród społeczności bitcoinowej.

Dobra wiadomość jest też taka że większość kampanii, które mają jakiś program poleconych, nie ma nic przeciwko jeżeli uczestnik wstawi sobie zmodyfikowany referral link w kodzie sygnatury (oczywiście przy wcześniejszym uzgodnieniu). Tak więc niekoniecznie musisz wybierać między jednym a drugim.

You sure do a lot of thinking. Do you have any justification for that $20k prediction, or are you just saying it might happen?
It's true that anything can happen, but we do have more bullish signs on the horizon than bearish ones, mainly halving and the BlackRock's spot ETF.

I'm going to call you out on this one. Name one. Just one.

p.s. This thread was started in April and was discussing different price action. Bitcoin dropped to $25k region but rebounded to over $31k. Not sure is there any point of keeping this topic alive.

Chance of winning alone is definitely not enough and is probably the main reason why so many people lose money. What you need to be looking at is the relation of payout rate to the chance of winning (Expected Value of the bet). So what if the team A has 90% chance of winning if the odds are set at x1.05. This wouldn't be a good bet to make. And if the team B has only 10% chance of winning, but the odds are set at x15.0 - that'd be a good value bet.

Dokładnie. Chodzi o sygnatury w profilu użytkownika. Jak pewnie zauważyłeś, większość postów na tym forum jest pisana przez osoby które mają jakąś reklamę w "sygnaturze" która pokazuje się na dole (prawie) każdego posta.
Kampanie sygnatur płacą ludziom za pisanie (a więc reklamowanie) na forum. Oczywiście musisz do takiej kampanii zostać zaakceptowany i spełniać wymagania włącznie z wymaganą rangą.
Przegląd aktywnych kampanii (płacących w BTC) znajdziesz w tym wątku:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=615953.0
Możesz kliknąć na każdą poszczególną kampanię i zobaczyć więcej szczegółów.