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2221  Economy / Economics / Re: The current Bitcoin economic model doesn't work on: June 05, 2011, 06:06:26 PM
[quote author=cloud9 link=topic=57.msg171509#msg171509 date=1307294917it was a comment addressing this issue, and your comment on it being impossible to measure the demand for medium of exchange:

With Bitcoins, I see the great opportunity to create a currency that's both value standard and medium of exchange, but, unlike other currencies, you can adjust the supply dynamically to the demand exactly, since the number of transactions and the velocity of money can be calculated exactly. This would result in a currency that's a perfect value standard. Money supply can not be manipulated by governments, since it is coded into the system. Savors had more incentive to save, since their currency holdings would not be devaluated by inflation, giving more and cheaper capital for investments, giving the possibility of more economic growth.

I welcome everyone to work with me together to create an alternative crypto-currency, if the bitcoin community does not want to change its money supply system.
[/quote]

But you are not mesuring the demand for money (bitcoins), you are just keeping bitcoin nominally in line with dollars.

Again, how do you measure the demand for money?

PS: In the example you have eliminated the currency. The problem with that equation is that it does not take into account the changes in the valuation of the currency. But I dont want to discuss about the equation. I want you to answer how do you measure the demand for money.
2222  Economy / Economics / Re: The current Bitcoin economic model doesn't work on: June 05, 2011, 04:00:33 PM
Yes, but that was not the question. The question was: how do you mesure the demand for money?
So for yesterday's %P of -32.1903% (smaller than zero value indicates bitcoin deflation against LRUS$)

Where are you getting this calculation from?

If I suspect correctly you are trying to keep the price of bitcoins nominally stable in dollars (I can not be sure until you tell me where you get that number). Why would you want to keep bitcoins nominally in line with the dollar? And more important, how does that answer my question?

PS: The M*V = P *Q equation is wrong, but I am accepting for the sake of argument.
2223  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: ¿Que nuevos nuevos sub-foros quieren? on: June 05, 2011, 03:41:26 PM
Voy a dar mi opinión porque sólo somos 4 pelagatos; si la comunidad ya estuviera formada por mucha gente me quedaría callado, ya que soy un recién llegado.

En mi humilde opinión, la división en sub-foros debería estar supeditada al tráfico existente, por lo que en este momento no tendría mucho sentido. Cuando el tráfico de un foro alcanzara cierto nivel, ya se podría ver cómo dividirlo, basándose en los mensajes existentes.

+1

Yo lo único que añadiría sería una sección para comerciar. Ya que tenemos una sección en castellano y seguramente habrá gente geograficamente cercana, deberíamos aprovechar para comerciar entre nosotros.
2224  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I have fallen out of love with democracy. on: June 05, 2011, 03:38:10 PM
You are 100% right.

Democracy is just political darwinism. Its a unfair and authoritarian system designed to benefit the political and banking class at the expense of the rest. There is a really good book called "The myth of the rational voter" that I always recomend.
2225  Economy / Economics / Re: The current Bitcoin economic model doesn't work on: June 05, 2011, 01:56:00 PM
alexk, how are you going to measure the demand for money?

Hint: its impossible.

Doesn't Bitcoin automatically adjust the medium of exchange by fairly fixing the bitcoin supply (limiting the quantity of the medium of exchange but making it infinitely divisible - very similar to gold divisible down to the molecular/atom level), and making it nearly infinitely divisable, and rewarding/punishing a holder during deflation/inflation when tradeable goods,service,other increases/decreases in relation to tradeable bitcoins?  Isn't a balanced Equation of Exchange achieved without addition/removal of bitcoins, due to the above?  Is gold a physical accounting record and bitcoin a digital accounting record?

Yes, but that was not the question. The question was: how do you mesure the demand for money?
2226  Economy / Economics / Re: The current Bitcoin economic model doesn't work on: June 05, 2011, 01:02:56 PM
alexk, how are you going to measure the demand for money?

Hint: its impossible.

Long answer:
During the gold standard, gold was the value standard and money was the medium of exchange. Central banks gave the guarantee, that everyone can, at any time, exchange his currency holdings into gold. This guaranteed that the value of money was linked to the value of gold, that's why gold is called "value standard" here.
Suppose that the central bank overestimated money demand and increased money supply too much. People would then start to exchange currency into gold more, which would force the central bank to limit money supply to protect their gold holdings. If the central bank underestimated money supply people would start to exchange gold into currency, thus giving the central bank an indicator to increase money supply.

Offtopic:

This is how central banks promised they would opperate, its not how they actually operated.
2227  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why do you trust the miners? on: June 05, 2011, 10:24:59 AM
Smeagol doesn't trust filthy minersess...  always trying to take my precious.

 Grin LOL
2228  Economy / Economics / Re: Buy or Wait? on: June 05, 2011, 08:56:20 AM
There is one way it will surely succeed. When people spend their bitcoins and don't sell them.

Hoarding is a different matter. Possibly better to hoard just as you would save (if the price is going up, then hoarding is like saving/investing anyhow, so hoarding is the wrong term.)

When the price stabilizes or falls, the question will be where can stagnant bitcoins be placed so they will produce a return.

I agree. The price of bitcoin will suffer a drop at some point and Im curious to see the reaction fo the community.
2229  Other / Politics & Society / Amazing Tom Woods speech on: June 05, 2011, 06:13:46 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp5hMiTS2dg
2230  Other / Politics & Society / Re: We've come to the point where we must protect our mining pools on: June 05, 2011, 06:12:56 AM
You can have the public/private pool idea implemented with a fallback to mining on your own if both go down. That way even if the private pools are compromised, the miners will keep mining for themselve until the pools are back up again and the network wont be compromised.
2231  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 05, 2011, 05:44:09 AM
Yeah! The increasing creation of new money by new debt can stop when it reaches an inflection point, but millions of people keep in slavery paying interest on debt already issued! The point is that societies cannot payback debth without contracting the money supply and harming or destroying the economy. This is perverse! With so much leverage caused by the fractional reserve banking even proportionally few people in a society paying back debth and living debth free can literally destroy the whole economy.

I agree with what you are saying in general about the system creating excessive debt and it being a form of slavery. But the excessive debt is not created by fractional reserve banking alone. Only when you put a central bank behind the fractional reserve system it becomes inflationary, as the central bank is taking the risk away and allowing the banks to inflate. But fractional banking alone is not inflationary, since the risk of going bankrupt keeps the temptaion of credit expansion in check. There are several historic examples of how fractional banking alone is not inflationary.

The risk of going bankrupt? What risk? In what idealised world? C'mon we all payed for banks not to go bankrupt. We cannot expect banks to "hold back" for fear of bankrupcy when they have no reasons to fear it.

The thing is that you have several historic examples (Scotland, Canada, USA, ...) were there was free banking, taht means no central bank and no centalised credit regulations, and fractional reserve banks behaved. They were really afraid of bankruptcy, and actually there were very few bankruptcies. Check this out: http://www.independent.org/publications/tir/article.asp?a=774
2232  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 04:48:26 PM
The films contain some problems, but in a nutshell the money expansion is *far worse* than outlined in the films. The films are worth watching. The is also an updated version of Money Masters, called "The Secret of Oz", in which the producer Bill Still acknowledges and corrects some of the errors made in the first film.

Actually, The Secret of Oz is even worse than The Money Masters.
2233  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 08:46:59 AM
Its ok. You dont have to believe me. Its good policy to not believe anything anyone says on the internet. But if you keep reading and researching about monetary theory and history you will realize how many lies there are in the movie and how it manipulates to sell their talking points, as it happened to me.

Hey, i dont say you are wrong, only to teach us what is the (hidden) agenda of the movie in your opinion. If it tries to manipulate us into believing someting, please spell out what that is. I mean something of subtance, related to economic matters, not related to gossip about what a dead president said or not. I would really appreciate your macro view on this subject.

As I told you this would require a discussion on basic economic theory that could take pages to write. All I can do is give you a brief peak at parts that are wrong on the movie, as I already did, and point you aout to books with satisfactory economic theory and history.
2234  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 08:09:43 AM
Btw, I usually agree with the videos of NIA, but behind NIA there is a scammer. Watch out for that.

We agree on that, Peter Shiff explained it lately. It seems strange though, but NIA seems to have a shady side.

Btw, Peter Schiff follows the austrian school of economics of which Murray Rothbard is one of the big figures and that contradicts a lot of the things that The Money Masters says.

Quote
By the way, I dont agree 100% with the movies, not by a long shot, in particular with the solutions they propose in the end, but I find them informative and a fresh perspective to consider.

Its ok. You dont have to believe me. Its good policy to not believe anything anyone says on the internet. But if you keep reading and researching about monetary theory and history you will realize how many lies there are in the movie and how it manipulates to sell their talking points, as it happened to me.
2235  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 08:02:24 AM
Hugolp, thanks for caring, but I dont feel extremely deceived after reading your solid and profound arguments about the inner workings of our current monetary system, thanks.  Wink

One point though, if you use so called "academic books" as a measuring stick for "the truth", especially in economics, you will have a rude awakening in the coming years. If you are interested in how independent the "prestigious" economic professors of the top universities are, those who write themost influencial papers, I recommend you watch: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VpZtX32sKVE. You will learn that many of them are just paid puppets of the financial sector.

On the other hand, if you want to be a good sheep and obbey what authorities teach you without thinking for yourself, go ahead, you will feel more comfortable living that way, no question about it. I rather learn from different sources and think for myself, not giving anyone the authority to say whats true or whats false.

So you feel its ok that The Money Masters lies about Lincoln?

Btw, I usually agree with the videos of NIA, but behind NIA there is a scammer. Watch out for that.

Murray Rothbard is considered the father of the modern libertarian movement. Just check him out before talking about sheep and obbey authorities and more stuff.
2236  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 07:39:15 AM
Yeah! The increasing creation of new money by new debt can stop when it reaches an inflection point, but millions of people keep in slavery paying interest on debt already issued! The point is that societies cannot payback debth without contracting the money supply and harming or destroying the economy. This is perverse! With so much leverage caused by the fractional reserve banking even proportionally few people in a society paying back debth and living debth free can literally destroy the whole economy.

I agree with what you are saying in general about the system creating excessive debt and it being a form of slavery. But the excessive debt is not created by fractional reserve banking alone. Only when you put a central bank behind the fractional reserve system it becomes inflationary, as the central bank is taking the risk away and allowing the banks to inflate. But fractional banking alone is not inflationary, since the risk of going bankrupt keeps the temptaion of credit expansion in check. There are several historic examples of how fractional banking alone is not inflationary.
2237  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 07:23:27 AM
Thanks for sharing those details, but how can you prove those quotes were real or not. In which sources do you base your opinion.

But more importantly, discussing this or that quote of a dead president (which neither you nor me can prove), does not add to the central theme of the movie which is to explain how the financial system operates today. Again why dont you share your views on how central banks really work, what is their purpouse, and what misleading concepts about our current financial system you could see in the movie, to get the opinion that it is completely worthless of watching to educate oneselves about money.

I did more than pointing that quotes are not real. I pointed out big "problems" on the way Lincoln is described. As I said to point out everything I would need to write pages and pages, and that is a work I can do if someone is willing to pay for it because it would take me weeks to do properly.

But the fact that the movie quotes some false cites shows how careless they were in the historic part (which is the whole point of the movie).

EDIT: I can recommend you some books about monetary history if you are interested. For example, Rothbard's "History of Money and Banking in the USA: ..." is a good start: http://mises.org/resources/1022

EDIT2: I understand your disconfort about discovering that the movie has a lot of bullshit. I felt the same way. I actually got interested in monetary history because of that movie (and "From Frdedom to Fascism"). But when I started reading more academic books I realized how flawed (and outright lying) that movie was. I was extremely deceived, as I imagine you might feel now.

EDIT3: I just realize you are asking for proves about the quotes not being real. Thats not how it works. You (or the one claiming the quotes) have to prove that they are real. The Jefferson one is easy to disprove because the word deflation was not used back then. The Woodrow Wilson one is false becuse there is basically no evidence that he said it.
2238  Economy / Economics / Re: You cannot talk about Money without watching this movies first on: June 04, 2011, 06:51:25 AM
Then again, could you teach us which are the historical mistakes and which are the wrong and right reasons to criticize central banks?

You give nothing to the comunity by trashing movies without any subtance. We are all here to learn, if you know something we dont know please explain it in detail, you say you studied central banking so why keep the knowledge to yourself.

By the way, for those interested in other opinions: Money Masters Amazon Reviews:
http://www.amazon.com/Masters-International-Bankers-Control-America/dp/B0018IPKCG
Seems that this issue is quite polarized: 24 x 5 stars, 4 x 1 stars and nothing in between!

I would need to do a whole tesis pointing out the faults of The Money Masters. But I will give you a couple of examples:

1. Several quotes in the movie are false. For example, the Jefferson one about banking institution. Another false one is the Woodrow Wilson cite about regreting the creation of the Fed, there is no record that he said it.

2. The Money Masters paints Lincoln as a anti-banker president that fought against the centrallized control of money. It even insinuates in a very obvious way that Lincoln was killed by the bankers as revenge. But in reality Lincoln passed the National Bank Act when the war was finishing that centralized the credit in the big banks of New York and gave them the power to inflate the money supply and charge interest on it. How can you ignore something as big as this? Because it does not fit in the lie they want to sell about Lincoln being anti-banker.

Central banking is a problem, and I want to close the central banks, but that movie is just wrong.
2239  Economy / Economics / Re: Why bitcoin isn't the answer on: June 04, 2011, 06:24:58 AM
I am not a marxist or an austrian, I think they are both absurd.

I know that you think they are absurd. I am not interested in what you think. I am more interested in if you can justify it.

Marxist theory of value is inherently flawed in that it ignores capital as a factor and assumes that value produced in excess of labor is exploitation. This analysis would also apply to, say, a automated printing press. Additionally, the long term conclusions of Marxist theory are not empirically supported.

While I am sympathetic to some of Austrian theory, I find their analysis of the boom/bust cycle to be problematic. Tulip bulbs did not inflate due to low interest rates or government intervention. I find the irrational exuberance explanation a for more compelling theory, and one that is better supported by psychological research into decision making.

Actually, Austrian theory explains perfectly the Tulip bubble. During the time the Tulip bubble happened there was a big influx of gold and silver coming from America to Europe. Therefore there was a big expansion of the money supply, which austrians predict will cause bubbles, and it is what happened.

There were bubbles in all Europe, but there was a large influx of gold towards Holland (thus creating the most famous Tulip bubble) becaus of the fame of the Bank of Amsterdam. More info here: http://mises.org/daily/2564 (its long, you can download as pdf, and you will find the data about the monetary expansion)
2240  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin and the Efficient Market Hypothesis on: June 04, 2011, 06:20:35 AM
In what way?

The Efficent Market Theory is not a theory that describes reality. It can be used for some specific cases where the conditions are very close to the conditions required by the EMT. But in general the EMT does not hold.

According to the proponents of the EMT bubbles should not even happen. Eugene Fama, one of the most famous proponetnts of the theory, has denied that bubbles exists. Go figure.
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