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1  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: A Bitcoin está pronta para adoção em massa e uso cotidiano? on: August 22, 2018, 08:37:51 PM
Na minha opinião: ainda não
2  Local / Português (Portuguese) / O dinheiro estatal já perdeu a batalha contra criptomoedas on: August 17, 2018, 10:18:02 PM
Uma batalha perdida
O maior esforço dos reis durante a idade medieval era transformar ferro em ouro. Eles estavam aprisionados à dura escassez que o ouro impunha diante de seus olhos. No entanto, com a evolução do dinheiro e das instituições que governam nossa sociedade, os governantes conseguiram o que queriam: o poder de criar ouro do nada através de dinheiro estatal.

Entretanto, eles não conseguiram necessariamente criar ouro do nada. Mas conseguiram encontrar algo melhor ainda: transformar papel sem valor em ouro. Através do sistema de reserva fracionária, os bancos puderam lentamente destruir todo aquele sistema monetário baseado em ouro e outros metais preciosos como bronze e prata.

Isso aconteceu porque não era tão simples e seguro armazenar metais preciosos para realizar transações no cotidiano. Era preciso ter confiança em um banco para realizar a custódia, ganhando um papel que poderia ser utilizado para resgatar o ouro. Depois que os bancos começaram a criar mais papel do que a quantia em ouro depositado, surgiu o sistema de reservas fracionárias, logo depois, as primeiras moedas lastreadas em ouro.

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3  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin price is melting down and this is your fault on: August 10, 2018, 07:04:05 PM
What did you learn from bitcoin? From your post, I think nothing.
It's curious to see how this people want high price of bitcoin. At first they are looking for low price to buy it, then come here and open threads "bitcoin needs rise" and similar ones, their point is profit. What do you think about stable 20K usd price? You'll come again and say: we need rise... That's boring to my mind, bitcoin goes like it has to go.

If you think that i've learned nothing then you didn't understood a shit about my text.
4  Economy / Economics / Bitcoin price is melting down and this is your fault on: August 09, 2018, 06:29:59 PM
We learned nothing from Bitcoin
Taken by the profit thirst during the insane highs in the second half of 2017, we become addicted to absurd profits of 10% a day, I am included in that. At the top of irrational exuberance, the market turned, came despair and abstinence. We completely forget the purpose and principles behind the emergence of Bitcoin.

It was created to be an alternative to the financial system that has led us to the greatest crisis in history. Satoshi, through his creation, gave us the possibility of having a free high-inflation, scarce money, without the need for banks, governments and unconquerable by any authority.

With Bitcoin we are the owners of our own wealth, being able to transfer to whomever we want, without giving satisfaction to anyone, in just a few minutes to anywhere in the world.

I’m not saying that everyone who buys Bitcoin has to be libertarian, or something like that. You are totally free to buy the currency for speculative purposes and fast enrichment, after all, we all like to make money. But we need to understand the purpose of the asset in which we are investing.
A sweet illusion
Now we are getting to the point of begging to  SEC in order to approve the Bitcoin ETF. We are thrilled when we see news that Goldman Sachs is going to buy trillions in Bitcoin.

We celebrated when future contracts arrived in Chicago and coincidentally the correction began the same day. Soon we will be asking for the regulation of Bitcoin to give greater security to the market.

The big question is, did Bitcoin needed some help from the state and the financial system to reach US$ 19,000? Did he needed an ETF to get millions of users making transactions? Do not.

Bitcoin got there by himself because he is a disruption as an asset and technology. It was to be an alternative to the financial system, not a tentacle of it.

The only thing that Goldman Sachs did was almost bring the world economy into the abyss. Now we want him to invest part of his funds in Bitcoin, because we are simply thinking of a valuation. We celebrate any news that can make the price go up without having any thought about it.

How the banks are destroying Bitcoin
The big banks will not put pressure on the states, with authority, to ban Bitcoin. They would incur the same mistake made previously: the prohibition and confiscation of gold. When you want to destroy an asset, this is a bad strategy because people sympathize with the asset in question, as it was with gold.

If you want to destroy an asset effectively, it should make people hate you. This is very easy, with future markets, large banks can easily manipulate the price. This already exists in the precious metals market and is now beginning to take place in the crypto-coins market, the name of this practice is: price suppression.

Through this practice, you keep prices always under control, avoiding major rallies like last year. Investors are increasingly frustrated with continued lows until they get rid of their Bitcoins. Thus, investors lose their faith and confidence in the asset, until they come to hate it.

In this way, the financial market begins to accumulate more and more currencies, until they force a new rally, selling the currencies at a more expensive price for those who previously discarded them. The banks are winning this battle, and we’re not even realizing it.

Do not trust. Verify.
If you have Bitcoin and think about selling, do not sell it cheap. We have been through major crashes, attacks, attempts at banning and he is still resilient and getting stronger. Bitcoin’s value comes from its scarcity, encryption and math, which is better than any coverage. Bank currency can be created indefinitely through fractional reserves.

Our money has no other coverage than in state words written on paper. One hour this account will no longer close, and may cause serious consequences for the financial system. At this time, you will want Bitcoin. Learn to value him more.
5  Local / Português (Portuguese) / O Preço do Bitcoin está caindo e a culpa é sua on: August 09, 2018, 04:41:21 PM
Tomados pela sede de lucro durante as altas insanas no segundo semestre de 2017, nos tornamos viciados em valorizações absurdas de 10% ao dia, eu me incluo nisso. No auge da exuberância irracional, o mercado virou, veio o desespero e a abstinência. Esquecemos completamente do propósito e dos princípios por trás do surgimento do Bitcoin.

Ele foi criado para ser uma alternativa ao sistema financeiro que nos levou a maior crise da história. Satoshi, através de sua criação, nos deu a possibilidade de ter um dinheiro livre de alta inflação, escasso, sem necessidade de bancos, governos e inconfiscável por qualquer autoridade.

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6  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Paul Krugman errou sobre a Internet e vai errar sobre as criptos on: August 01, 2018, 09:48:17 PM
Como ainda tem alguém que dá atenção a esse cara? Escrevi um texto em resposta às baboseiras que ele escreveu.
7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Diversification in cryptocurrency is a bad idea on: July 31, 2018, 09:07:27 PM
You showed the difficulties in diversifying between different coins, but you didn't explain why it is "bad". Done correctly, diversification is never bad.

If you want to diversify, you must choose non-correlated assets. Non-correlated coins do exist. Just look at the article's 2017 chart. BCH was not correlated with BTC, so diversifying into BCH was a good choice. This year, however, you will need to find other coins.

The article seems to say that you want a negative correlation in your investments. That is wrong. You want a correlation that is close to 0. A negative correlation may reduce risk, but it also reduces return. For example, the correlation between buying and short selling a single asset is -1. If you did both at the same time, your risk would be 0, but then your return would also be 0 (ignoring fees).

Totally agree
8  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Diversification in cryptocurrency is a bad idea on: July 31, 2018, 07:29:52 PM
Cryptocurrencies are too much correlated to Bitcoin. If he plunges then all altcoins will follow the same path or even worse. For me, buying only Bitcoin is the best thing to do at this moment.

On the link below you have some plotted data:

For example:

Correlation between Ethereum and Bitcoin is 0.82 which means a very strong correlation. In 2017 the same correlation was 0.41. For me, if you're diversifying in two types of assets that have the same correlation you're doing it wrong.

What do you think about it?
9  Local / Português (Portuguese) / 14º Meetup Foxbit: Empreendendo com Bitcoin e Blockchain - 16/08 - Hebraica - SP on: July 31, 2018, 03:10:57 PM
Empreender, investir na criação de uma startup e entrar na era digital das formas mais atuais possíveis: no mundo do Bitcoin, Blockchain, e toda a disrupção que a critpoeconomia traz.

Para contar histórias que inspiram, dividir experiências e estratégias, a Foxbit reúne um seleto grupo no 14º Meetup de sua organização, em São Paulo.

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10  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin consumption energy is far from being a real problem on: July 24, 2018, 09:12:49 PM
Energy consumption of bitcoin has never been a problem but an advantage. Without costing too much to mine bitcoin everyone could've started mining and like other coins it could never reach any price higher than $500.
There’s an endless list of energetic expenditure related directly to central and private banks. They have over thousands ATM machines, deforestation to print paper money, the expenditure with servers infrastructure maintenance, also the maintenance of these ATM machines, physical agencies and security for money transportation.
11  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Bitcoin consumption energy is far from being a real problem on: July 24, 2018, 08:47:18 PM
What do you think about it? I believe this whole discussion is senseless. If you want to understand more please read the article below
12  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço do Bitcoin pode disparar nos próximos meses on: July 24, 2018, 12:02:57 PM
Quem leu está conseguindo entender os motivos dessa subida consistente.
13  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço do Bitcoin pode disparar nos próximos meses on: July 21, 2018, 05:18:42 PM
O FOMO da Coréia foi só uma prévia da verdadeira Bullrun do Bitcoin. Já vou me garantir comprando Bitcoin na margem 10x de alavancagem.
aqui tem corage
14  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Preço do Bitcoin pode disparar nos próximos meses on: July 20, 2018, 08:33:48 PM
Entenda mais aqui:
15  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Diversificação de investimentos em criptos é má ideia – Compre só Bitcoin on: July 19, 2018, 10:26:12 PM
Fala pessoal, o lbassoto fez uma ótima matéria analisando alguns dados do mercado.

Parece que diversificar em outras criptomoedas não é uma opção muito boa. Vejam os dados e tirem suas próprias conclusões.

É mais uma prova de que realmente o bitcoin continua sendo o presente e o futuro das criptomoedas.
Estratégia barbell? Taleb ficaria feliz em ver isso, fugir do risco médio.

No post eu explico como diversificar corretamente um portfolio.
16  Local / Mineração em Geral / Como minerar Bitcoin: Guia completo on: July 19, 2018, 10:13:25 PM
Fala pessoal, elaborei um guia completo com os custos que você deve considerar antes de começar na mineração.

Espero que curtam! Aceito sugestões!
17  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Diversificação de investimentos em criptos é má ideia – Compre só Bitcoin on: July 19, 2018, 03:25:14 PM
Fala pessoal, o propósito do meu texto é apenas afirmar que diversificar por diversificar não vale a pena nesse momento. Claro que a diversficação deve ter valido a pena no ano passado, entretanto, a estratégia não é muito boa até agora.

Um abraço a todos
18  Local / Economia & Mercado / Crise de 2008: Como o Bitcoin poderia ter impedido? on: July 11, 2018, 11:45:19 PM
Crise de 2008? Já é um assunto batido, por que eu deveria ler esse texto? Você deve estar se pergutando isso no momento. Bom, as recessões não ocorrem por um motivo aleatório, há todo um padrão que se repete por anos.

Entender esse padrão pode te ajudar a proteger seu patrimônio e identificar as melhores oportunidades de investimento.
19  Local / Brasil / Re: BRL/USD e eleições 2018 (merits para quem esclerece bem a pergunta) on: July 03, 2018, 12:43:29 PM
O meu artigo pode ajudar a esclarecer sua pergunta Smiley
20  Local / Economia & Mercado / Re: Economia básica: as principais lições que você precisa saber on: July 02, 2018, 10:10:56 PM
Muito interessante seu artigo e preocupante ouvi falar que até o final do ano o dolar vai chegar a 5 reais. Isso procede?

Oi Fernanda, creio que fique fique entre 4 e 5 reais se o Banco Central não intervir.
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