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961  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin savings plan on: December 08, 2011, 02:55:00 PM
I'm not.  Using bitcoin to store wealth at this point is silly.  You're silly.  

Hmm.

Had you just said "Using bitcoin to store wealth is silly," I would understand your perspective.

At what point will it switch from being a bad idea to store wealth in bitcoin to being a good idea? What critical point do you think needs to be reached?


When the downtrend stops, or there is a clear reversal.  The downtrend has stalled for now, but the longer we go without the price going up, the more likely it is we'll see another crash or the downtrend resume  It is young still, and the short/mid term is uncertain.  Long term I'm still positive, but unwilling to tie up assets in bitcoin at the moment.  

But that's just it... from the chart you posted, it looks as if the downtrend has flatlined. Stability makes for a good store of value (even if just for the time being,) and since the price appears to have bottomed, that makes it the best time to buy from an investment perspective.

I don't see why a flatlined price would indicate a further drop or another crash any more than a renewed increase or new bubble, but I guess if that's your analysis it makes sense to wait it out.

Personally, I'm taking the same stance I do with precious metals: yeah, it may take another hit sometime soon... but as precarious as the global economy is right now, what if instead the price takes off and I'm not properly invested yet? At that point, wouldn't it be better to have bought at $3, missed the dip to $2, but have held through to the surge, than to have not bought at $3, expected a dip to $2 to that never came, and to have missed the surge entirely?
962  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin savings plan on: December 08, 2011, 02:43:39 PM
Remember, you can also try to spend your invested bitcoins and support the bitcoin economy.  Need hosting? Find a bitcoin hosting provider.  Buy a bitcoin tshirt or two.   etc...

Good point. I've just tried out bitmunchies, and hope to give a few of the other bitcoin businesses that can fill a need of mine a try.
963  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Should the Bitcoin client have a donate button? on: December 08, 2011, 02:40:18 PM
I don't think it's a good idea.

There's an issue more important than who the money goes to. The money can go to a non-profit org, can be split among the core developers, whatever... each proposition has it's own pluses and minuses.

But the tricky question is, who owns the address the client lets you send money to? I'm of the mindset that each bitcoin address, for a number of reasons, needs to be owned by exactly one person or entity (corporation, whatever), for all time.

If a literal, formal organization was created, say The Satoshi Bitcoin Client Corp, with some specific person or group of people that had ultimate control over the organization, and this organization was the official owner of the address, I could possibly see it. As it stands now, it appears as if the community is trying to create some sort of "public property" donation address, and I just don't like how that's going to wind up working out.
964  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Should a GPU-based miner be integrated in standard client? on: December 08, 2011, 02:28:16 PM
I see one possible reason mining should be somewhat simple to activate for the casual user: network strengthening.

Not only will it bump up the strength of the network slightly (even if the average casual user only leaves it on for a few hours a week) without requiring a price increase, it'll also allow those who follow bitcoin news to be able to actively contribute to defending against a network attack. If there's a sudden noteworthy increase in hashing power, but the new player seems malicious, the ability to quickly mobilize a little extra hashing power might be useful.

As far as how to best implement that? Meh, I probably wouldn't bother if it wasn't just some menu option in the client itself, but I can also see the downside of affixing another rarely-used chunk of code to it.
965  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin savings plan on: December 08, 2011, 01:54:07 PM
I'm not.  Using bitcoin to store wealth at this point is silly.  You're silly. 

Hmm.

Had you just said "Using bitcoin to store wealth is silly," I would understand your perspective.

At what point will it switch from being a bad idea to store wealth in bitcoin to being a good idea? What critical point do you think needs to be reached?
966  Economy / Speculation / Re: Before the next big rise, I just wanted to get my two cents in on: December 08, 2011, 10:46:42 AM
Price drives difficulty; the reverse happening is merely an illusion.


There's a fundamental flaw I think in supposing that difficulty dictates price. I'd take it the other way: price determines difficulty.

To say that difficulty "dictates" price is too strong.  I've always said that the relationship is a two-way causality.

Its just basic logic that when difficulty is high and price is low, if someone wants bitcoins they will buy them (and push up the price).  Conversely, if difficulty is low and price is high, mining them is cheaper.  I charted this oscillation (see my sig).

The idea that the price automatically rises, at all, during a high-difficulty low-price situation, or falls during the reverse situation, is faulty.

As the price falls relative to difficulty (a "high-difficulty" situation) so that the price is too low for miners to profit, miners stop mining and the difficulty drops. If the price rises relative to difficulty so that mining is more profitable, more miners jump in and difficulty rises. Difficulty adjusts itself to price as miners leave/enter the business.

But note, as long as his demand for bitcoins remains the same, a miner won't impact the price at all by shutting off his rig and buying instead. Similarly, as long as his demand for bitcoins remains the same, a buyer won't impact the price at all by choosing instead to mine with enough power to satisfy his demand.
967  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin savings plan on: December 08, 2011, 09:10:16 AM
I have nephews who will be getting "bitcoin savings accounts" from me for Christmas, by way of wallets burned to CD and colorful address cards from paymyaddress.com. I imagine that I'll be dropping in a minimum of $20/month (total) to their accounts every month for the next 10 years. It's not much, but it's meant to be an example more than me actually trying to provide for other people's kids.

By then, especially if their parents also contribute (it may take a few years to get them to that point) they should be able to pay for whatever modernized job training that should have replaced the bloated, overpriced secondary education ripoff we currently have.

For myself, I'm saving regularly also... under $100 though (hey, precious metals are also nice....)
968  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] BitcoinSpinner on: December 07, 2011, 10:52:02 AM
Oh wow. When I try to type a number of Bitcoins to be sent, it is always input twice. I can only sent 11, 22, 33, 44, 55, ... BTC. lol Roll Eyes
I have PM'ed the developer regarding the double-digit issues and crashes. I assume that a fix is around the corner.
There is a fix out that should deal with the double-digit problem. However, the dev tells me that he cannot reproduce it on his devices physical or virtual, so please verify the fix and report back to him directly. I have told him that he should consider joining the forum as there is an old 20 BTC bounty that he might claim  Grin

The fix seems to have taken care of the issue on my phone.
969  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What % of your liquid wealth is in BTC? on: December 06, 2011, 10:36:32 PM
If you realize that the Fed has to continue to debase the USD to keep the world afloat then you realize the value of Bitcoin.  They cannot afford to let countries default in a domino effect like we had companies do in the 2008 crash.  The stock market is sensing this as are commodities like oil.  Unfortunately gold is not doing as well:



That just means we can still get it at a relatively reasonable price. Seems clear we're doomed to see USD (and likely Euro) hyperinflation, at which point precious metals will become extremely valuable.

And I agree, one could also anticipate a sharp rise in demand for bitcoins as the global fiat monetary system finally implodes (Ann Barnhardt's recent interview points out the increasing likelihood of this)... people will still want to transact electronically, but the infrastructure for things like egold keeps getting attacked by the feds, leaving bitcoin as the most robust alternative.
970  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What % of your liquid wealth is in BTC? on: December 05, 2011, 04:40:05 AM
This made me realize one of bitcoin's advantages over other asset classes: it's the most liquid. Up until now I'd not really considered it too seriously as a store of wealth (volatility, newness, etc.) but I might rethink that because of the incredibly high liquidity... in a sense, bitcoin is liquidity made manifest. It beats precious metals, as you don't have to physically meet with the other party to deliver it. Even cash is usually trapped in a bank, subject to some degree to their whims.

And as outlets for exchange and use increase, it only gets better. Hmm.

I think I'll be upping my %.
971  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is bitcoin a banana? on: December 05, 2011, 04:02:04 AM
Precious bits - mined at great expense of electrical power from the great sea of hashing possibilities!

I'm going to be using this phrase. Smiley
972  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: android malware? (I get different invalid certificates when browsing bitcoin ... on: December 04, 2011, 02:17:12 PM
For the record...

I'd noticed I've been having some issues like this with my Android smartphone as well. I emailed the owner of StrongCoin about it, and he acknowledged that he is hosting (on a cloud server) with the company named on the mismatched certificate I saw. Apparently they use a newer SSL protocol which tries to handle non-fixed IP addresses but can be quirky with some browsers. I can see how smartphone browsers would be the ones that don't quite mesh well with it.

I tried Firefox for Android and had no issues.
973  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is bitcoin a banana? on: December 04, 2011, 01:54:26 PM
I say: digital gold - everybody can understand that

I agree, "digital gold" is really good. captures many of the features.

That claim is also more than a little grandiose. Sure, gold is a commodity, but Bitcoin is nowhere near that valuable.

Noone said that bitcoin was as valuable as gold. It's not about quantities, but about qualities.

You can also call it digital poo. It's not about quantities, it's about qualities.

Digital copper?
974  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mappers vs Packers. Why Most People Don't Get Bitcoin on: December 04, 2011, 01:50:03 PM
If you can't dazzle them with intellect, baffle them with bullshit. There is good money in pseudosciences like astrology, NLP, this nonsense. I'm not saying they are not useful, they are simply a crutch like any other religion.

Well, if personality analysis is useful, how is it a crutch? I don't think anyone here lives their entire life trying to following their Jungian/whatever expectations, or rigidly expecting others to consistently follow theirs. (Let's hope not, at least.)

And I think at times there's no reason to NOT recognize the categories people fall into. If I decide to sell chocolate, there's no point in refusing to acknowledge that everyone is, exclusively, either (1) someone who loves chocolate, (2) someone who hates chocolate, (3) someone who has no strong feelings either way, or (4) someone who's never tried chocolate. Everyone's either a L, H, N or X.

I'm not choosing to categorize people that way, I'm just recognizing and admitting that those categories already exist in reality. (But of course, it's how we react to the categorization that can cause problems.)


Show me a peer reviewed journal (or article in such a journal) of the personality analysis you are defending. I may reconsider my position.

I'm not invested in this setup... the types may not be all that descriptive. Also, I'm not knowledgeable enough to know much more than to check out Google or Wikipedia for my own reading.

But surely you acknowledge that general personality categories do exist, right?
975  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: While the Occupy Movement Considers Their Next Move, Perhaps... on: December 04, 2011, 01:22:14 PM

I've said this in other threads, but any of the Anonymous (the hacktivist group) funding is done through BTC. I'm aware of an OWS fund, and OO (oakland) and a general Occupy fund. How do you think they get their tents, food, supplies? Thousands of dollars have moved through those accounts.

This gives me hope. Sorry I've miss reading, or remembering, your such posts, for I would have been less inclined to pen my last post, above.


That's fine if you've missed my posts. That is the key point of their use of Bitcoin. Transparency and Anonymity. Of course, a bunch of people protesting because they have no job and are fed up with the government can't just come up with the resources they have. The Occupy movement has a lot more backing than it appears on its facade.

True! Via Bitcoin? and, possibly moreover, political interest. We know it's not Joe with his hash pipe pulling out $10 from his baggy pants, having it matched by his smoke buddy Rick, and together donating the $20 to the guys serving the free food and providing the free porta-johns. If I've read the articles correctly, these folks can't even pick up after themselves, leaving the public and privately provided venues a mess across the nation.


Meh, all depends on who's doing the reporting. Gerald Celente (I admit, he's disturbingly socialist for my taste) walked around OWS with a camera and didn't seem to find it dirty. Other non-MSM sources report similarly.

I think I know where you're coming from, and I'm not gung-ho about the entire thing either, but you might want to check out some of the more objective (read: NOT rah-rah-OWS) videos on Youtube. Maybe start with user sgtbull07, then check out whatever related ones you like.

Even the participants who are disagreeable are pretty instructive... for example, I'm pretty dismayed by the people (vocal, but hopefully few in number) who literally just want the government to print money for all, not understanding the implications. But I've known about economic basics for so long I guess I forget it is not universal knowledge.
976  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mappers vs Packers. Why Most People Don't Get Bitcoin on: December 04, 2011, 01:09:06 PM
If you can't dazzle them with intellect, baffle them with bullshit. There is good money in pseudosciences like astrology, NLP, this nonsense. I'm not saying they are not useful, they are simply a crutch like any other religion.

Well, if personality analysis is useful, how is it a crutch? I don't think anyone here lives their entire life trying to following their Jungian/whatever expectations, or rigidly expecting others to consistently follow theirs. (Let's hope not, at least.)

And I think at times there's no reason to NOT recognize the categories people fall into. If I decide to sell chocolate, there's no point in refusing to acknowledge that everyone is, exclusively, either (1) someone who loves chocolate, (2) someone who hates chocolate, (3) someone who has no strong feelings either way, or (4) someone who's never tried chocolate. Everyone's either a L, H, N or X.

I'm not choosing to categorize people that way, I'm just recognizing and admitting that those categories already exist in reality. (But of course, it's how we react to the categorization that can cause problems.)
977  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mappers vs Packers. Why Most People Don't Get Bitcoin on: December 04, 2011, 12:55:01 PM
INTJ

89% - 75% - 88% - 78%

Not that I'm that familiar with this, but it seems like it'll be an interesting read.
978  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to give Bitcoins for birthdays / Christmas / weddings / etc. on: December 03, 2011, 10:04:49 AM
I love it... but, the cheap bastard that I am, mine will only get the 1 BTC coins.

Yep. Tongue

Well, the kiddos will get a couple more dropped into bitcoin "savings accounts," with nifty address cards for adding more later.
979  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What form of physical bitcoins would you prefer? on: December 03, 2011, 09:51:01 AM
What do you think of the current design?
http://printcoins.com/images/gallery/spread.jpg

Please be more descriptive than good/bad. I am looking for what to improve if anything.

I think some sort of background imagery would help. Perhaps a faded picture of a pile of bullion, or maybe you can create a theme for the product and have a different pic on each denomination... since these are paper, perhaps the 1btc note could show a nursery of pine saplings, the 100btc note could show a single majestic oak, etc.

Leaving just the bitcoin symbol by itself is just a little too simple, imho.
980  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What form of physical bitcoins would you prefer? on: December 03, 2011, 09:44:43 AM
Howsabout CVD Superdiamonds with single atom arrangements forming the keys.  Grin

Really before we go crazy over physical bitcoin, shouldn't we have a way to redeem them that doesn't require 3 forms of ID and 8-10 business days.

StrongCoin lets you do it quickly and securely.
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