isn't money velocity of M2 supposed to be accelerating if hyperinflation is supposed to be taking root?
Wouldn't the unlent excess reserves be pushing the velocity down most recently?
Also gold has been going up as the velocity as shown on the graph has been going down. Did you think about that?
In fact you should be worried about the decrease slowing down and perhaps reversing. Central banks may have wiped clear a lot of the losses and debts but will banks start flowing this credit around as they used to again? Central banks are enabling it to happen.
to my simple mind we've had USD devaluation, i.e. debt accumulation, for 100 yrs with rising asset prices across the board in stocks, bonds, commodities, and now gold. we've now hit the ceiling and everything will go into reverse, i.e., rising USD value as assets across the board default and go into reverse, including gold; down.
You can't say this without saying why. It's a worthless statement.
Even if the banking system collapses and takes most of the credit system down with it, I still see gold going up as it is safety from the collapsing system even with deflation and the like. Also this wont happen, such a circumstance has been diverted when governments and central banks subsidised banks. Now governments and central banks will continue to throw money at the problem until their own systems collapse.
I should mention that there are several definitions for hyperinflation. All I will say is that I think there will be inflation to come rather than deflation in the foreseeable future.