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1  Local / 媒体 / 【转】金融牛人2019预测 on: January 04, 2019, 02:40:14 AM
GZ澤澤在HK(https://weibo.com/u/5629480607?refer_flag=1005055013_)
1月2日 22:01

2018年相當動盪和反復,主線是美國加息,中美貿易戰,英國脫歐和歐洲各國此起彼伏的政治經濟危機。事情順延到2019年,情況不會有本質性變化,可能出現的局面是1,形勢階段性好轉,市場得到緩和,但投資情緒仍會相當謹慎。2,形勢進一步惡化,那麼資產價格會以比上一年更大幅度下跌。

1,美元加息,應該是進入了下半場的下半場,預期第一季度不會加息,非美國家在貨幣政策上可以緩一口氣。隱約覺得日元和歐元可能都已錯過了在工具箱里添加工具的最佳時機了,但他們仍然會跟隨美元之前的收緊步伐。在貨幣政策上對其匯率強勢有利,但歐元仍然會受制於區內不成器的隊友,所以反復,同時由於是權重最大的美指籃子中貨幣,所以也會造成美元強弱的反復。因此展望今年繼續看多日元,歐元會反復。澳元深受中國經濟放緩和債務影響,看跌澳元。英鎊之前分析很多了,仍然維持祇有”獲得議會通過以現協議脫歐”和”不獲得通過無協議脫歐”兩種可能,前者會令英鎊強力反彈,後者會令英鎊直接暴跌。人民幣面臨經濟增速放緩,順差縮小,外匯儲備減少,貨幣政策背離等因素,只能看跌。

2,資產價格。由於全球貨幣寬鬆暫時結束,銀根收緊,IMF調低各國經濟增長,部分國家信貸收緊更造成債務壓力,看不到新的經濟增長引擎,多年來量化寬鬆造成資產價格增長速度遠大於經濟增長速度,令嚴重的貧富懸殊狀態激發西方民粹主義浪潮此起彼伏。這些因素會給資產價格帶來很大壓力,甚至直接刺穿泡沫。資產價格的下跌速度如果加快,會形成骨牌效應。全球化時代環環相扣,沒有太多獨立國情,這適用於全球大多數主流國家。

房價上,
香港:跌幅會比2018年加大,但是由於供求失衡,公屋供應速度遠遠滿足不了單程證新移民來港速度,長遠土地政策遠水難救近火,長遠公私營房屋比例7:3會令私營房屋將來更加短缺,以及截止2016年數據已有64%按揭戶已供滿,剩37%仍在供,加上自2003sars危機和2008金融海嘯後香港金融系統監管相當謹慎穩健,所以2019年度估計港樓平均跌幅會在15%左右。澳洲至今為止跌幅和香港相近,新加坡也已開跌,前些年受惠於中國資金而被炒高的地方都會回落。但不要忘記支撐境外樓市的其中一個強力因素-CRS,仍然會起作用,也就是説,部分資金如果非急需套現,其實是沉澱了下來了。

至於國內的樓市,部分人盼了很多年崩盤,部分人相信中國國情永在,我看小幅下跌。

3,數字貨幣市場。
2017年底看2018年跌50%,然後2019年大幅反彈。現在看過於樂觀,既然2018年高峰下跌80%,那麼2019年需要慢慢恢復元氣,除非有突發大利好,否則不存在2017年那種爆發性行情,能夠慢慢回暖已經不錯。我連傳統品種都不會預測點位,對於比特幣這種划時代新事物更加不會做。跌到多少錢升到多少錢這些事情留給神仙們做。至於會有什麼大利好可能呢?1)是大國(絕非中國)的官方伸出實在的橄欖枝,2)是得到當年互聯網時代某些先驅企業式的真正落地應用。我認為這兩點都會發生,但時間沒法猜。
2  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: | STRATIS | The first blockchain developed for businesses |Full POS on: May 24, 2018, 02:07:34 AM
Would someone send me some  $TSTRAT for contract testing.
address: TXbEKzRJ7UDuf84J6uwdfZbgxBP4HaVurX
thanks.

https://smartcontractsfaucet.stratisplatform.com/ doesn’t work.

Working. But SmartContractsTestNet is a separate network from TestNet. Address look like mxGDND66M615NvF7osXYCidXyQJqNt2KbM. Follow instruction https://smartcontractsdocs.stratisplatform.com/en/latest/deploying-your-first-smart-contract.html
Right. should run a smart contract enabled version of the Stratis full node
cd src/Stratis.StratisSmartContractsD
dotnet run -addnode=13.64.119.220 -addnode=20.190.57.145 -addnode=40.68.165.12

after create a wallet
http://localhost:38220/swagger/
and have some addresses like :
      "address": "mzfA6815Jm2fAytR3wRaT34qQ73fWXGhrr",
      "isUsed": false,
      "isChange": false
    },
    {
      "address": "mshhEVctQW7U3KE1gfcirbBMg69MpcqU4Q",
      "isUsed": false,
      "isChange": false
    },

200 coines received Grin.

3  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: | STRATIS | The first blockchain developed for businesses |Full POS on: May 22, 2018, 01:29:01 PM
Would someone send me some  $TSTRAT for contract testing.
address: TXbEKzRJ7UDuf84J6uwdfZbgxBP4HaVurX
thanks.

https://smartcontractsfaucet.stratisplatform.com/ doesn’t work.
4  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 【我的老婆本!!!】悠悠苍天 何薄于我。 on: February 02, 2018, 09:43:47 AM
我的老婆本!!!如此行情如何见江东父老。这一年的收成全泡汤了。悠悠苍天 何薄于我。资本真的杀人不眨眼,钱是赚不到了,身体也都快被气垮了。
投资就是折磨人心的过程,没有刻骨铭心的痛,那有大成的喜悦。新手还是死抬最好。
5  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 在大饼阴跌之下,很多人已经熬不住了,开始割肉了 on: February 02, 2018, 09:38:28 AM
这个位置割有些吃亏,最优策略是装死,一年内破前高是大概率。
股票亏货或新手最好不要追涨杀跌,买入持有,且不能贪而投入自己亏不起的资金。
6  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [TESTNET] Monopoly Game | Smart Contract | Fork Nxt on: November 20, 2017, 02:54:06 AM
thanks smartcomet for your suggestions. Grin
7  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monopoly Blockchain Game on: November 11, 2017, 02:35:11 PM
TestNet is OK.
8  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monopoly Blockchain Game on: November 07, 2017, 01:54:41 PM
Cool stuff as a hobby project, don't see how you'd monetize this though.

When FSM runs fine, many use cases can be implemented on it Grin.
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: | ARDOR | Scalable Blockchain-as-a-Service Platform | Proof of Stake on: November 07, 2017, 02:46:08 AM
FSM(Finite State Machine) is new design of AT(Automated Machine). Two years past, FSM were still in the code and didn't improve. That is why i want to develop a game or a use case to push FSM to real world or  solve some problem of businesses. When i have been coding , i found many bugs that FSM need to improve.

Last week, i reached the first milestone which succeeded in aridropping coins, distributing dividend to asset holders.

Because i am not good at UI design, all tests are on http and offline. Actually I use Nxt1.3.5 NRS, and sometime the 1.3.5 UI too.

https://nxtforum.org/news-and-announcements/monopoly-game-powered-by-nxt/

https://github.com/btc2nxt/FSM
10  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: | Nxt | Blockchain Platform | Proof of Stake | Official on: November 07, 2017, 02:45:05 AM
FSM(Finite State Machine) is new design of AT(Automated Machine). Two years past, FSM were still in the code and didn't improve. That is why i want to develop a game or a use case to push FSM to real world or  solve some problem of businesses. When i have been coding , i found many bugs that FSM need to improve.

Last week, i reached the first milestone which succeeded in aridropping coins, distributing dividend to asset holders.

Because i am not good at UI design, all tests are on http and offline. Actually I use Nxt1.3.5 NRS, and sometime the 1.3.5 UI too.

https://nxtforum.org/news-and-announcements/monopoly-game-powered-by-nxt/

https://github.com/btc2nxt/FSM
11  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monopoly Blockchain Game on: November 07, 2017, 02:33:55 AM
FSM(Finite State Machine) is new design of AT(Automated Machine). Two years past, FSM were still in the code and didn't improve. That is why i want to develop a game or a use case to push FSM to real world or  solve some problem of businesses. When i have been coding , i found many bugs that FSM need to improve.
Last week, i reached the first milestone which succeeded in aridropping coins, distributing dividend to asset holders.
Because i am not good at UI design, all tests are on http and offline. Actually I use Nxt1.3.5 NRS, and sometime the 1.3.5 UI too.

1. set nxt-default.properties file
nxt.apiServerEnforcePOST=false
nxt.isOffline=true

2. pre-distribute the coordinator(x,y)

http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=createATProgram&secretPhrase=1&atVersion=1&name=predistributeFSM&description=test&runType=SYSTEM_AT&machineCode=1e000000003d350103000000003203030113000000010000000000000033160101000000331701020000003500011200000034500412000000130000000413000000331601030000003317010400000035010112000000345004120000001300000004130000003316010500000033170106000000350201120000003450041200000013000000041300000033160107000000331701080000003503011200000034500412000000130000000413000000331601090000003317010a00000035000114000000061200000014000000345004120000001300000028&machineData=0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000003c00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000003c000000000000003c000000000000003c00000000000000280000000000000028000000000000000200000000000000&variables=01000000050000000a000000000c00000048000000&feeNQT=200000000000&deadline=1440

variables means: will start run at height 12. After sleep 10 blocks, will run again at height 22.

account id of predistributeFSM  is 1, which is hardcoded in the source.
This FSM  will generate 5 coordinators for Airdrop FSM to delivery coins to the collectors.
http api: getPredistributeCoordinates  can show them.

version reserved
0100 0000
delayBlocks/ sleepBetween/ freezeWhenSameBalance/ startBlockHeight/ varBytes(72)
05000000 0a000000 00 0c000000 48000000

3. Airdrop FSM
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=createATProgram&secretPhrase=btc2nxtTest1&atVersion=1&name=airdropFSM&description=test&runType=SYSTEM_AT&machineCode=1e000000001f35000300000000070000000003000000070000000003000000374903110000000000000001000000261100000035000100000000020f00000000000000060f0000000400000002100000000000000006100000000500000002140000000300000026140000003448031100000014000000375203120000000f0000001000000005140000001b12000000dc021300000002000000091300000012000000010a0000000000000000000000040a0000003447030f000000100000003302041300000005120000001e12000000e42a2114000000030000000f1a6700000028&machineData=00000000000000000100000000000000005cb2ec220000000500000000000000000000000100000000000000070000000000000000000000&variables=01000000050000000a000000001500000070000000&feeNQT=200000000000&deadline=1440

account of Airdrop FSM is 2, which's balance is zero, so must send many coins to it.

4. Be a collector
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=gameEnter&secretPhrase=1&statusName=Collector&map=1&x=1&y=1&amountNQT=30000000000&feeNQT=100000000&deadline=1440

5. collect coin
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=gameMove&secretPhrase=1&actionName=Collect&x=5&y=22&feeNQT=100000000&deadline=1440

6. issue an asset of a land
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=issueAsset&secretPhrase=btc2nxt2&name=hotel&description=test&quantityQNT=270000000000&deadline=1440&decimals=8&feeNQT=1000000000000&landId=8

landId=5..8 are hotels
landId=9..12 are restaurants

After issue assets, lands of town bind to assets.

7.Be a workder
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=gameEnter&secretPhrase=btc2nxt2&statusName=Worker&x=1&y=41&feeNQT=100000000&deadline=1440

8.Build a single room
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=gameBuild&secretPhrase=btc2nxt2&asset=535298268338500849&x=6&y=41&feeNQT=100000000&deadline=1440

the asset id must be the id of land's asset.

The room need 5 Builds to finish.

9. shareRedeemFSM
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=createATProgram&secretPhrase=btc2nxtTest1&atVersion=1&name=shareRedeemFSM&description=test&runType=SYSTEM_AT&machineCode=1e000000000f020400000001000000354603000000000205000000000000003753030300000004000000050000001b030000003501060000000000000000000000040600000034540304000000050000003351040900000005030000001e03000000e4020400000000000000040400000028&machineData=000000000000000005000000000000000000000000000000&variables=01000000000000000a000000001000000040000000&feeNQT=200000000000&deadline=1440

shareRedeemFSM will auto send shares to workers, depends on workers' works. Because the asset is not create by shareRedeemFSM, we have to transfer asset to it, which has account id 3.

hareRedeemFSM will run at height 16, and continue to run in 10 blocks.

version reserved
0100 0000
delayBlocks/ sleepBetween/ freezeWhenSameBalance/ startBlockHeight/ varBytes 8*8=
00000000 0a000000 00 10000000 40000000

11. Check in
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=gameConsume&secretPhrase=2&actionName=CheckIn&x=6&y=41&amountNQT=3000000000&asset=535298268338500849&feeNQT=100000000&deadline=1440

A player's CollectPower will restore to 100 after check in, and has to sleep 4 hours. All amountNQT goes to dividendFSM's account, which id is 4.

11. dividendFSM
http://127.0.0.1:9776/nxt?requestType=createATProgram&secretPhrase=btc2nxtTest1&atVersion=1&name=dividendFSM&description=test&runType=SYSTEM_AT&machineCode=1e000000000f02040000000100000035460300000000020500000000000000010600000000000000000000003755030300000004000000050000001e030000000b1ac900000004060000003456030400000005000000020b000000080000001b0b0000005f3757030c0000000b0000000200000009070000000c000000020c00000007000000010d0000000000000000000000040d0000003458030b0000000d0000001b070000001b08080000000c000000330204080000001a9300000005030000001e0300000083020400000000000000040400000028&machineData=000000000000000005000000000000000300000000000000&variables=01000000000000000a000000002000000058000000&feeNQT=200000000000&deadline=1440

dividendFSM will run at height 32 to distribute dividend to the workers by their shares of the asset.

version reserved
0100 0000
delayBlocks/ sleepBetween/ freezeWhenSameBalance/ startBlockHeight/ varBytes 11*8=
00000000 0a000000 00 20000000 58000000
12  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [HZ] Horizon - Decentralized Asset Exchange on: November 03, 2017, 03:45:31 AM
sad. Angry

but a new project is nearly done,  i am testing in offline mode.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2263776.msg22934646#msg22934646
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monopoly Blockchain Game on: October 13, 2017, 01:30:18 AM
any suggestions are appreciated.
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Monopoly Blockchain Game on: October 13, 2017, 01:29:30 AM
There are some computer games using crypto-currencies, like Cryptokingdom, Augur and so on.  Huntercoin is a game on blockchain launched in 2014 based on bitcoin source code. Cutting edge of the Huntercoin is human mining. In this introduction, I will introduce Monopoly like game based on Nxt 1.3.5 codebase with smart contract named FSM(Final State Machine),which is new design of AT(Automated Machine).

   Nearly all coins will be distributed by FSM , after players jump to the location of the coins in next block, they will share the coins. There are lands in the game too, so players can buy lands(Asset) to build hotel, restaurants, healthy club and weapon factory, which can be traded in asset market in the game also.

source code: github.com/btc2nxt/FSM
15  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Pascal Coin: P2P cryptocurrency without need of historical operations on: October 04, 2016, 02:02:47 AM
After changed ThousandSeparator to FormatSettings.ThousandSeparator ...

compiled Ok in Delphi XE5

when run , got an error in UBlockChain.pas
Code:
  if length(Result)<>32 then begin
    raise Exception.Create('TargetFromCompact result length<>32 '+inttostr(Length(Result)));
  end;

after delete the code, application ran Ok.
16  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🍇 ◣BBR◥ Boolberry🔷 RUNE EDITION🔷 Blockchain Development Company[Polo/Bittrex] on: September 16, 2016, 03:44:05 AM
post to 8btc.com
http://8btc.com/thread-39745-1-1.html

QQ group :521909768
17  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🍇 ◣BBR◥ Boolberry🔷 RUNE EDITION🔷 Blockchain Development Company[Polo/Bittrex] on: September 14, 2016, 02:34:15 PM
posted to Chinese Bitcointalk community, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1616873.msg16247471#msg16247471

will post others tomorrow
18  Local / 山寨币 / 🍇 ◣BBR◥ Boolberry🔷 块链开发公司接管开发🔷 交易[Polo/Bittrex] on: September 14, 2016, 02:27:46 PM
为什么有两个BoolBerry贴子:
因为我们为Boolberry开发注入新的思想,比如:新网站、新白皮书、新的程序下载链接,并且我们需要为近期的开发对贴子进行有效的管理。
原来的开发人员管理着原Boolberry贴子, 因为他最近才冒出,所以我们不能依赖原来的贴子来发布我们的开发进度。 Boolberry.com也由原开发人员控制,我们没有该网站的管理权, 也没旧的推特帐号管理权。
这个新贴子用来建立建立社区和技术支持,同时最新关于块链开发公司的开发都会发布到本贴。

什么是Boolberry运行版?

当我们发布Boolberry运行版时,原Boolberry项目没有任何活跃的开发人员。我们的运行客户端版本同CryptoZoidberg和Boolberry.com网站的旧版本相容。我们将继续这一新运行版本的开发。对与CryptoZoidberg的合作,我们持开放的心态,并接受他的代码提交。

总结:
Boolberry是一个应用cryptonote协议的虚拟币。是早在2014初上市,但在2015年中开发停止,最近块链开发公司在开源的项目继续开发,并将最新cryptonote技术应用到此Boolberry版本上。

源代码:https://github.com/BlockchainDevelopmentCompany/boolberry

由于Boolberey已经有了GUI的客户端,并且已有的修剪算法能使块链更小、更富有延展性,所以她优于AEON, Monero 各其它cryptonote币. 一如继往,她也保有了交易不被跟踪的匿名性。我们的发布版本将采用Boolberry v.X.X.X-RUNE形式,她与其它boolberry接点上运行软件版本相容。


兄弟们:

FYI: 1blockologist通过skype联系我, 他想继续BBR的开发。但目前来说,我不了解他,也不知道他将水平如何。
让我们来看看他的开发,再评论。

Zoidberg.

source: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=577267.msg16189155#msg16189155

=========================
关于块链开发公司
=========================
公司成立于2014年,目标是深入了解不同虚拟币项目。我们不赞成不同虚拟币社区互相诋毁,比如一些币的持有者推广自己持有的币,而反对其它币。我们认为这样会伤害整个虚拟币社会,相反不同领域的创新只会使整个网络更强大和健全。   
公司寻求更深入理解不同的虚拟币以及建立在上面的资产,使她变得更有价值,卡尔•伊坎, 比尔•阿克曼和索罗斯是我们的楷模。利用我们的信息优势,进行针对性的开发,会大大增值相关资产。
我们发现Boolberry币被严重低估,正以公开姿态来按管该币。

=========================
Boolberry特点
=========================

首次上市:   2014年5月17日 16:00 GMT
算法:  Wild Keccak (基于 PoW hash)
新块间隔时间:  2 分钟
总供应量:  约18,450,000
预挖矿:  0%
缺省P2P 端口:  10101
缺省 RPC 端口:  10102

=========================
讨论区
=========================
Reddit: /r/boolberry

=========================
研究报告
=========================

最新发布: Boolberry 机会和开发路线图

原始贴子见:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1611499.0


QQ群 :521909768
19  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🍇 ◣BBR◥ Boolberry🔷 RUNE EDITION🔷 Blockchain Development Company[Polo/Bittrex] on: September 13, 2016, 12:29:48 AM
NEW BOUNTIES

100 BBR for Chinese translation of main post and posting in Chinese Bitcointalk community, a Chinese cryptocurrency QQ and Wechat group, and 8btc.com

200 BBR for Chinese translation of the research paper and posting in Chinese Bitcointalk community, a Chinese cryptocurrency QQ and Wechat group, and 8btc.com

spread the news
i love CryptoNote coins, so i would like to do translation and some market in china.
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Someone please make a steem clone on: September 02, 2016, 03:26:15 AM
I got an idea of Xteem.

Xteem will be a crypto-media Xteem, based on Ethereum, Nxt blockchain or other POS blockchain. Xteem has several functions:
1. erasable blockchain, in which article or reply in a transaction can be deleted for copyright problem;
2. TA software for analyze stock, coin market;
3. many parameters of Xteem are changeable by contracts, so don’t need to change source code.

How a user earn money?
Not like Steem, which reward the writers by Steem dollar.  just to like reddit, weibo, webchat...
a)   an user gets money by others’ tipping;
b)   answer other user’s question;
c)   write a article which reader pays when read;
d)   trade others’ fund and get fee.
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