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61  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin trending down. Dogecoin trending up. on: February 17, 2014, 09:19:28 PM
I refuse to believe that an individual named Satoshi who wrote a computer program to basically copy a system that was already in place (a digital payment system via bank apps, paypal, etc. etc.) is going to change the way money is exchanged in the future.  There are far too many more powerful people who will be taking that role.  Sorry Satoshi.  Sorry investors. 

It's posts like this that make it almost impossible to tell whether it's the work of an ultra-troll, or someone that's been paying so little attention to the situation that it's almost unbelievable.

Copy a system that was already in place? gtfo. You're either trolling for a rise, or you're just completely clueless.

Far too many more powerful people who will be taking that role? Bitcoin's trading value may tank, it may be regulated out of existence, etc., but you just clearly don't understand the bitcoin model.
62  Economy / Speculation / Re: One address of Silk Road 2.0 stolen coins found, +/- 40,000 coins! on: February 14, 2014, 10:38:06 PM
wow, I am having an orgasm RIGHT NOW!

There's got to be an award out there for you. Something along the lines of, "Most Terrible Forum Poster of all Time."

Please, please - gtfo.
63  Economy / Speculation / Re: I had another Bitcoin SPECULATION dream. on: February 14, 2014, 07:30:34 PM
Fair enough.

I hope you make money doing your thing. And that's sincere.
64  Economy / Speculation / Re: I had another Bitcoin SPECULATION dream. on: February 14, 2014, 06:42:19 PM
I wish I could only actually know what parts (if any) of these stories are true.

Really do.
65  Economy / Speculation / Re: Down, down, down, down, down on: February 14, 2014, 06:20:20 PM
Actually this brings up an issue. What happens when mining becomes pointless? No mining, no blockchain verification.

I'm thinking that you need some education on the subject of mining and its economics in general, but be more specific - how are you defining "pointless"?
66  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin at 470! on: February 13, 2014, 08:02:24 PM
Where is it smart to buy?

Bitstamp and Coinbase, I'd say. I like Coinbase.
67  Economy / Economics / Re: The Value of BTC, in terms of Hardware Purchased and Installed on: February 11, 2014, 04:03:08 PM
But yes $5K to 10K coins is believable.  Why?  Because its been growing by a factor of 10 every year.  $1, $10, $100, $1000 whats next?   The bigger question in my mind is the adoption curve, and where might we be on that?

But adoption is wedded to new people buying bitcoin on the exchanges, because we can't all mine. As we're seeing, merchants adopting bitcoin is actually the easy part, contrary to what many people believed previously. Getting new people to trade their fiat for bitcoin is the hard part.

Buying bitcoin = adoption. And more people buying bitcoin = a price increase in bitcoin.

That's why I think that when we "sell" the idea of bitcoin to noobs, we need to sell it as an investment and not just a revolutionary technology/currency.
68  Economy / Economics / Re: Question from a Bachelor in Econ on: February 11, 2014, 03:49:37 PM
There is a belief in the BitCoin community that a large market cap or widespread adoption and becoming more like gold will magically bring stability to the value of the currency, but there is no data to support this.

That's completely false. Yes, there's a century's worth of past stock market trading data to suggest that a larger volume makes for a more stable market.



69  Economy / Economics / Re: bitcoin excuses 2014 on: February 07, 2014, 07:07:07 PM
Go ahead. Blame everyone but yourself.

Agreed. It's quite the rant.

OP - sounds like you're a hodler, so check back in a few months.
70  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Passive income methods (GPU Mining included) {QUESTION!} on: February 07, 2014, 06:22:44 PM
You can certainly go with scrypt mining, Revolution.

You also don't have to start out with 4 m/hash. Technically, breaking even is completely scalable - it's equally difficult, no matter how much hashing power you buy originally (all other things being equal). So you could start off smaller (which means less risk in dollars spent) and then add more GPU power if you do break even.

Just some thoughts.
71  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Passive income methods (GPU Mining included) {QUESTION!} on: February 07, 2014, 06:09:09 PM
Can I just switch currencies all the time and make a good passive earning?

No one can answer this question. It's a risk either way. You have to make the decision for yourself one way or the other to mine or to not mine.

The real question is, if you mine, is your counterpart out there who will enter the trading "market" that will buy the coins you're bringing to market?
72  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Passive income methods (GPU Mining included) {QUESTION!} on: February 07, 2014, 04:43:09 PM
This really belongs in the altcoin mining section, but what the hell.

Now most sites say that I can make 1000$+ profit out of most alt-scrypt currencies using that hardware...

$1000+ if you're very lucky, and part of that luck includes the trading price of bitcoin going back up. Because you have to cash out in bitcoin.


...and that I can sell it back at 50%+ the original price (1700$+) meaning I should get a good ROI.

No, I don't think so. That was true a month ago, but probably not now. There will probably be a flood of used hardware that will be flowing into ebay soon that is going to lower that figure.
73  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin dropped to $784 at bitstamp, $779 at btc-e, $866 at mtgox on: February 06, 2014, 06:43:55 PM
And still dropping!
Sell now! before it's too late!

Whenever I read your username, I read it as "banal t. coin." Banal seems so fitting for you.

Quote from: seleme
I panickly hodled  Grin

Absolutely hilarious!

The panic hodl - works every time.
74  Economy / Economics / Re: Inquiry regarding the economics of block rewards on: February 05, 2014, 09:41:48 PM
This is essentially what the bitcoin model aims to combat - monetary inflation.

It would devalue the coins of previous holders. Who would want to buy it on the exchanges if each purchase devalues as the next block reward is found?

75  Economy / Economics / Re: Is popularity of Bitcoin increasing it price at all? on: February 04, 2014, 10:09:01 PM
Right about now in the Bitcoin market, there are real efforts being made to keep Bitcoin at this 'stable' $800 price range, presumably until genuine public interest and demand for Bitcoin can catch up enough to actually support these current hyperinflated prices.

Show us the proof of your sources.
76  Economy / Economics / Re: The Value of BTC, in terms of Hardware Purchased and Installed on: February 04, 2014, 08:18:59 PM
Ok.  Someone buying BTC to buy a product would, at the micro-level contribute ever so slightly to increase the demand, thus raising the price.  The BTC transaction against a product would occur (buying a computer on Overstock.com, for example).  Then, the merchant would sell back the BTC against fiat almost immediately, contributing, again at a micro-level, in reducing the price ever so slightly.  So, BTCs transactions as a currency - the claim to fame of Bitcoin - should be neutral, in theory, to the price of Bitcoin.
 
But the elephant in the room is, why the f*** would someone trade fiat for bitcoin (which incurs an exchange fee) merely to turn around and spend it on a good? It's rhetorical - you just wouldn't do this. It's not even a one-for-one transaction; it's a loss for that consumer because of the exchange fee. Someone will surely chime in about lower transaction fees lowering the cost of goods in a world where bitcoin merchant adoption is widespread. But that just isn't a tenable argument, because it's not enough of a reason for the average person to exchange his trusty fiat for bitcoin. It probably is for us, because we get it. But the average person just won't.

The only reason *for the average person* to buy bitcoin at present is speculation that it will prove itself as a good store of value; aka, be an investment. Whether that is measured against fiat, or buying power, it doesn't matter.

Bitcoin may very well be such a "bubble", after all...

It's the epitome of a bubble.

77  Economy / Economics / Re: The Value of BTC, in terms of Hardware Purchased and Installed on: February 04, 2014, 07:14:29 PM
I agree and disagree.

On a micro-scale, a daily basis, I agree - it may even look that the miners follow where the money is.  

But on a macro-scale, over a long period of time (1yr) and if you include all the coins? That, I am still not convinced.   I still believe that the mining group does increase the overall market cap of all the coins, eventually.  The miners provide the product that the speculators need (or will need).  Over a 6 months to a year period, the two balances out. But because we are in a period of growth, the miners are putting more money in the system than the buyers of the coins.  And that is normal, the coins have to be mined first, like the shovels have to purchased before any ore can be discovered.

It doesn't matter if there is one person mining, 100, 1,000,000, or 10,000,000. The same amount of bitcoins are "supplied;" 25 bitcoins every ten minutes (with the obvious caveat of the rising difficulty bumping that number slightly higher than the block target, etc.). Somebody gets them.

The cost of mining equipment in total doesn't really matter. If there is an increasing amount of miners such that the difficulty continues to rise, it encourages hoarding - that much we already know. This aids indirectly in scarcity. But the amount of hardware invested into mining equipment does not drive the price of bitcoin up.

EDIT: And the minute the speculators will stop buying at the global price (to include all coins) - the miners will stop buying new equipment and the prices will eventually level off - at last!

The minute that speculators stop buying bitcoin on the exchanges at the current price is the minute bitcoin's price declines. And when bitcoin's price declines, the prospective new buyer's cash doesn't flow into the buy side of the market. Because afterall, nobody wants bitcoin if bitcoin can't prove itself as a competent store of value.

New cash flowing into the exchanges is what will drive bitcoin's trading value up. Not the increasing sum total of the value of mining hardware.


78  Economy / Economics / Re: The Value of BTC, in terms of Hardware Purchased and Installed on: February 04, 2014, 04:37:43 PM
+1, odolvlobo.

Well said.
79  Economy / Economics / Re: The Value of BTC, in terms of Hardware Purchased and Installed on: February 03, 2014, 09:25:02 PM
True however the price would be driven by the increase of hashing power - difficulty to obtain bitcoin. Price will go to infinity only theoreticaly when last bitcoin is mined.

So, just because something is scarce, it puts a gun to the head of a potential bitcoin purchaser, drives them to log on to create an account on an exchange, and purchase bitcoin at ever increasingly-higher amounts?

Increased network hashrate does not fuel a demand for bitcoin.
80  Economy / Economics / Re: No Miners Scenario - what will happen if average miners stop mining? on: February 03, 2014, 07:22:54 PM
Pools provide an entry point to miners of any size - small, medium, or large. But they're especially an entry point to small/medium sized miners.

A given pool doesn't have to be "big." There could be lots of small pools or a few big pools, and the effect would be the same. Except that in the scenario where there are only a few big pools, a smaller number of people (the pool operators) have a large amount of bitcoin that they've collected through pool fees.

So I suppose it would be correct to say that many small pools decreases risk to the network. But I think any worry about this is unnecessary.
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