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21  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2019, 07:32:27 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
90:9
% of supply long:short
0.26:0.026
Long Daily Charge
$42,210
Short Daily Charge
0.26558 BTC
Total Long
47,035 ($339,874,910)
Funded Longs
$124,148,122
Total Short
4,797 ($34,663,122)
Funded Shorts
3,794 BTC


shorts bailed earlier than expected.

i guess we need to get rid of those longs next.

they are paying 47k$ daily for the privilege to hold mostly at break even or loss( most of them opened around 7k).



22  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2019, 10:10:44 PM
47.0k BTCUSD long (valued at $337m) utilizing $124m USD margin.
BTCUSD longs costing $45k per day to #hodl.

7,475 BTCUSD shorts (valued at $54m) utilizing 6,268 BTC of margin.
BTCUSD shorts costing 0.558 BTC per day in fees.
84% of the shorts are fully collateralized.
 


Watch out guys.

We are at critical level.

If it breaks, we could insta dump very quickly - if you're long imo you should either put a stop, or manually baby-sit your position right now.

the next 24h are critical.
23  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 09, 2019, 01:16:33 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
84:15
% of supply long:short
0.21:0.037
Long Daily Charge
$37,883
Short Daily Charge
0.32568 BTC
Total Long
37,880 ($285,020,484)
Funded Longs
$126,276,811
Total Short
6,743 ($50,736,355)
Funded Shorts
4,587 BTC


closed my long because its the most crowded trade on the internet.

went short @7580$

feeling not so confident (tight stops)

https://www.tradingview.com/x/lTknVaPh


Good move.
But don't forget to buy again at 6k-ish as there will be another bounce back and this time it should be higher than 7.7k range.

In terms of short term BTC price predictions, I would not rule out up, even though down or sideways could be correct outcomes, at least in the short to medium term, but if you don't have any coins and you are thinking about investing, what do you do?  Wait to buy?  

What if you have some bitcoins, but you are nervous about the short term price?  Do you hold or do you sell and wait to buy back lower?

Currently, BTC price is bounce/floating between about $7,300 to $7,600, I am not going to get too excited regarding short-term BTC price moves unless there is a break below $6,700 or a break above $8.2k.  

Furthermore, I continue to sense overexuberance in the alt coin space, so even though i sense that there could be somewhat of an altcoin season that comes sometime in the future that goes up along with BTC, there likely remains a lot of froth that can be purged from that space, and if it is purged, it might cause some continued downward pressures on BTC.  

Nonetheless, those kinds of short term uncertainties about BTC price and even concerns about various froth in the space that goes beyond bitcoin to some degree don't really say much at all about ongoing and decently strong BTC fundamentals, that can cause sporadic upbursts in BTC price from time to time.  

Will we see such sporadic upbursts in BTC price in the near future, could be, and I would hate to be a fence-sitter or take the wrong side of a bet during such possible upsurge happenings, but hey each of us have to make our own choices regarding what actions might be prudent in terms of BTC holdings.  

tldr

BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
85:14
% of supply long:short
0.21:0.035
Long Daily Charge
$37,759
Short Daily Charge
0.30891 BTC
Total Long
38,059 ($287,075,231)
Funded Longs
$125,862,175
Total Short
6,393 ($48,221,760)
Funded Shorts
4,477 BTC


dump should be close.

https://bfxmargin.com
24  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 09, 2019, 07:15:09 AM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
84:15
% of supply long:short
0.21:0.037
Long Daily Charge
$37,883
Short Daily Charge
0.32568 BTC
Total Long
37,880 ($285,020,484)
Funded Longs
$126,276,811
Total Short
6,743 ($50,736,355)
Funded Shorts
4,587 BTC


closed my long because its the most crowded trade on the internet.

went short @7580$

feeling not so confident (tight stops)

https://www.tradingview.com/x/lTknVaPh
25  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2019, 07:32:55 AM
what's it gotta take to make the monthly turn green ?

there bulls i gave u a target.
26  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2019, 12:34:42 PM


Heard an interesting conspiracy that exchanges hack themselve to avoid taxes.

Korean Tax Service told Bithumb to pay $30m tax in June 8, 2018.

-> Bithumb got hacked $35m 12 days later.

Upbit was ordered to pay 50-60m tax in Jan 8, 2019.

-> Upbit got hacked 50m today.
27  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2019, 08:05:50 AM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
81:18
% of supply long:short
0.17:0.039
Long Daily Charge
$44,325
Short Daily Charge
0.2801 BTC
Total Long
30,219 ($216,038,653)
Funded Longs
$126,643,502
Total Short
7,073 ($50,565,584)
Funded Shorts
5,187 BTC


i hate to say it but i guess the shorts gave up rather easy.

now all that is left is Bulls high on hopium.

can't share the same trade as them.

looking to close and maybe switch short on the next runup.
28  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2019, 10:50:35 AM
She’s getting away whiteboy.  Watcha gunna do



leveraged positions pilling on.

funding getting ridiculous.

started a small long.

observing 6550.


i hope we can push this to at least 8k.

still in my long.

i would post a chart but not allow.
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2019, 06:26:27 AM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
80:19
% of supply long:short
0.16:0.04
Long Daily Charge
$44,390
Short Daily Charge
0.38517 BTC
Total Long
29,494 ($215,539,203)
Funded Longs
$126,829,153
Total Short
7,251 ($52,989,583)
Funded Shorts
5,205 BTC


one last push to liquidate them all.
30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 25, 2019, 01:03:51 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
78:21
% of supply long:short
0.16:0.043
Long Daily Charge
$44,462
Short Daily Charge
0.45404 BTC
Total Long
29,322 ($209,537,944)
Funded Longs
$127,033,374
Total Short
7,809 ($55,803,895)
Funded Shorts
5,821 BTC

i guess we go up now until we get rid of enough shorts to normalize the funding.
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 25, 2019, 12:55:46 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
77:22
% of supply long:short
0.16:0.047
Long Daily Charge
$43,992
Short Daily Charge
0.49316 BTC
Total Long
29,399 ($195,903,176)
Funded Longs
$129,389,054
Total Short
8,420 ($56,107,512)
Funded Shorts
6,489 BTC


leveraged positions pilling on.

funding getting ridiculous.

started a small long.

observing 6550.


who sold at the bottom ?

32  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 25, 2019, 06:19:47 AM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
77:22
% of supply long:short
0.16:0.047
Long Daily Charge
$43,992
Short Daily Charge
0.49316 BTC
Total Long
29,399 ($195,903,176)
Funded Longs
$129,389,054
Total Short
8,420 ($56,107,512)
Funded Shorts
6,489 BTC


leveraged positions pilling on.

funding getting ridiculous.

started a small long.

observing 6550.
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 24, 2019, 10:43:58 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
77:22
% of supply long:short
0.15:0.045
Long Daily Charge
$43,965
Short Daily Charge
0.38588 BTC
Total Long
27,620 ($195,828,562)
Funded Longs
$129,310,184
Total Short
8,046 ($57,046,945)
Funded Shorts
6,125 BTC


shorts getting expensive.
34  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 24, 2019, 10:24:03 PM
i guess we bounce now

late shorts need to get punished.

got some fuel on finex (2k shorts added since 7250)

would post a picture but still not allow

35  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 24, 2019, 06:27:20 AM
wondering if it is time to scam bounce into 7.9k
36  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 21, 2019, 01:18:25 PM
Is there any measurable progress with LN over the last 6 months? Or adoption ded?

https://txstats.com/dashboard/db/lightning-network?orgId=1
37  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 20, 2019, 07:58:34 AM
I actually stopped to look to see if anyone reported that one of the oldest and largest crypto exchanges was a front for Russian intelligence.

I’m 99% sure the Bitfinex rabbit hole is deeper and more twisted than BTC-e.
38  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 11, 2019, 09:14:47 AM
I just can't shake this feeling right now that price is absolutely fucked.
Telegram messages dead.
Volume dead.
Interest dead.
Everyone front running the halvening
Shitcoins stupid insane valuations with no users.
I mean how can BSV be worth $2.5 billion with around 25 users globally and zero hash rate security.

How can we go up if everytime BTC goes up 1%, already over valued crap like BSV goes up 4% ?  BCH up 13% ?

Front running bitcoin riding its coat tails of success like this.



39  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 08, 2019, 03:05:14 PM
BTC/USD
Long/Short Ratio
81:18
% of supply long:short
0.15:0.034
Long Daily Charge
$85,303
Short Daily Charge
0.1794 BTC
Total Long
26,978 ($236,508,033)
Funded Longs
$155,096,116
Total Short
6,089 ($53,380,436)
Funded Shorts
4,721 BTC


www.bfxmargin.com

BTCUSD longs (  26,978 BTC ) are worth at current price  $236,508,033 - and  consuming $155,096,116 of USD margin
The difference between what they're worth and what is borrowed makes me think we have some breathing room.
40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 08, 2019, 09:42:07 AM
Did we just break through the 200DMA ?

come on bitcoin don't make me add to my shorts again.
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