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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Beirut just got nuked it's on the news
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on: August 12, 2020, 12:17:50 PM
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The lebanese government admitted it was negligence right ? So there is no need for further theories, as far as Lebanon is concerned, the only thing we can do now is focus on the protests happening right now. Like I said, Israel wishes to get a full-on war going so they can decimate the population of Lebanon. As far as I can see, the 'official government' of Lebanon is some gaggle of lackeys of the West. IIRC, the last 'president of Lebanon' had his office (and his ass) in Saudi Arabia much of the time. It's a Juan Guido type situation. Even so, they probably don't want to see 80% of the population ethnically cleansed to make way for the Greater Israel project so they'll do anything to avoid going to war. Most certainly including lying about an Israeli attack using novel weapons of mass destruction. Hezbollah seems like the real government of Lebanon and who the people trust. With good reason. They more than the puppet government wish not to see their people final solution-ed and have stayed relatively mum about things as best I can tell. Nasrullah, however, has said that 'he knows more about what is where at the port of Haifa than at the port of Beirut.' And he has a reputation for making good on his promises. We'll see what happens next. I would expect fireworks in Jerusalem as trade for the Beirut flash-bang. Seems more of a fair trade. The president of Lebanon is christian, so I don't really know what we would do in Saudi Arabia, do you have any source for that ?
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Fortnite Betting?
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on: August 11, 2020, 10:32:56 AM
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Due to the pandemic that we currently have now I think one of the sports should be included in a sports betting site is eSports I'm familiar with the games Dota 2, CSGO, LOL, etc. but fortnite is something new I don't actually watch tournaments of a battle royal but I think this will be pretty interesting to see the team on where you place your bet to survive from other players.
Dota2 and CSGO are already in different betting platform so I guess fornite betting wants to have a unique and originality in their betting platform so they come up to the original plan on having the kinds of sports they had for betting. And we should not underestimate the sports they chose for betting because they had too vast fans and gamblers willing to bet in their platform. Pretty sure they can get huge on it as it seems that for now they had no competition with the sports they chose for betting. Agree with you about respecting the game, fortnite has a lot of fans around the world and I think it can still do well in betting whether the graphics is good or not, or even thought its hard to bet about the winner cause it ain't like CS GO or Dota 2. I believe that it still has its audience. However, if we are talking about olympics here, I may see fornite as a good game but I still don't see it as game for the olympics, just an opinion. If a game like chess is considered as worthy to join the olympics, I don't see why video games could not do the same. The only problem I see with video games is that Chess is an "intemporal" game. It hasn't changed for decades, while video games are always changing. So does it make sense to add video games, when we know that the games played today will not be the same as in 2 years and/or that players good at one game might be bad at others, etc ? I don't know, but it could be interesting to try.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You have to prove that you can take the loss
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on: August 11, 2020, 10:28:12 AM
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I think that the regulations and rules that were set in place by many governments are not sufficient enough to prevent gamblers from making drastic actions in their lives, especially to those facing severe depression, anxiety and addiction in gambling and other things related to it. Mental health I think should also be considered as a big loss would definitely affect their capability to interact in the real world. Make laws that would only allow gamblers with a strong mental faculty and just allow those who don't to only play lottery and small town legal gambling that only needs very small bets.
Education my man, instead banning it, making all sort of regulations, isn't it easier to educate people and to teach them how to have fun and maybe win some money, but never to risk more they can afford to lose..Controling yourself is what you can learn to do, also you can learn how you can enjoy in risky gambling but to not get harmed too much if things go wrong way. Restrictions, limitations, is not good when they are imposed. Saying things like "teach them how to control themselves" or "teach them how to gamble with moderation" or "teach them how to limit their gambling spending" is easy but in reality, teaching them is very hard especially most of them are adults already. They know what they are doing right now and they are not like 5 year old kiddos out there where you can still teach them and they will follow what you said. They will just follow if they experienced something bad that can change their lives for a long time or maybe forever. Educating gamblers isn't as easy as you said bruh. The best thing to educate them is to let them learn themselves. Let them experience the bad and good things about gambling and they are the one to adjust whether they will continue or not. If we talking about an addiction it's not about learning. Most gamblers are aware they are playing a rigged game, it's just that their brain is "tricked" into thinking it's having fun. Even if they are aware that gambling is bad, they have a sort of irrational craving that will not go away with education or past experiences.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You have to prove that you can take the loss
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on: August 11, 2020, 09:59:35 AM
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I think it is a good one but there is a loop hole in this and they forgot that this is online and people could just easily create multiple account and use fake I.D's to do the KYC. But I like their idea on having a soft cap on every gambler it would help a lot for those problematic gambler I think it would lessen those who are already addicted to it, But they also need the help of the people around them to cure their gambling addiction.
And applying what you have just said, gamblers can fake their info event the government are proposing this it's still up to the gamblers from how they wanted to be help, this problematic gamblers who are deeply engaged to this business. They are in need of professional help aside from the one that being provided by their love ones. The gamblers will have the ability to fake their info to the government because maybe they don't want to see other people know how much their losses. I agree that it is better to suggest that they visit professional people to help them solve gambling problems than to prove their loss. Playing gambling needs responsibility from each people not to lose all of their money, and they can prevent the addiction. Faking these kinds of information would be the equivalent of financial fraud right ? If so, people could even go to jail for faking this.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Las Vegas Casinos Scared of Lawsuits
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on: August 09, 2020, 07:57:02 AM
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I don't think it will win in any court because the virus is everywhere and it's invisible the accuser will have a hard time proving that he really gets the CoVid in the facility, they could have got it in their homes in while travelling while in the market or while in the street it's hard to established the fact on this case but I don't like casinos open at this point of time people should only stay home and restrict their moves.
A lot of countries already managed to pin point the location of a contamination source. It might not be very difficult to prove that a certain place contaminated it's users.
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Beirut just got nuked it's on the news
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on: August 09, 2020, 07:50:40 AM
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It is just more probable that the Lebanese authorities suck and they forgot about this storage and its potential dangers. There is no need to go for a very complicated justification when negligence is so obvious.
Since Israel is constantly invading Lebanon's airspace and regularly bombing Lebanon itself, and since the very building which used to sit where the crater is was identified specifically as a potential target by the IDF, the 'simple explanation' is that it was blown up by the Israelis. But that doesn't make it the factually correct explanation of course, and even if it is basically correct there are still a lot of unanswered questions. The idea that enough explosives to blow up half the capital were stockpiled at the port of the war-torn city for 6 years and the Lebanese were to stupid to figure out the danger is actually a more complex explanation and it strains credulity. Very few thinking people who are familiar with the situation in that area are giving the theory (either the 'fireworks' variant or the 'fertilizer' variant) much thought. As usual these days, the mainstream media, a few flesh-n-blood propagandists, and a ton of bots are giving the negligent accident story what legs it has. --- Edit: I retract the statement about the specific building being identified as a target. That may be inaccurate and it was more or less a conclusion I jumped to without proper geo analysis. The lebanese government admitted it was negligence right ? So there is no need for further theories, as far as Lebanon is concerned, the only thing we can do now is focus on the protests happening right now.
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump has declared that he’ll ban Tiktok over privacy concerns!!!
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on: August 09, 2020, 07:46:48 AM
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It is not the first time the American government forces foreign companies to sell their assets. They might benefit from this in the short term, but in the long run they are only saying to foreign companies not to invest in the USA because they will blackmail them at the end... They have done this with several oil services companies, Huawei and now Tiktok. The excuses are especially lame with TikTok, because they are ok with the information the company is collecting, they are just not ok with who is collecting it.
Its always been the strategy to stop its companies progress. It hasn't been the first time the yare doing this. Huawei is just an example and there had been companies from Japan as well. But its always been presentd to the public that American market is a free market but its defintiely not the case with few Chinese products already. Yeah, it is clear now that the American market (and regulations) are now mostly controlled by lobbies paid by the major companies to pass them favorable legislation... If people believe in democracy and change by the people, they should vote for parties with true free market ideals (such as the libertarian party). I don’t understand why people are so angry with Trump’s move to ban an app that’s been stealing their privacy, and further as far as I know China has blocked google, Facebook and other Americans sites, but no one seems to be complaining about China’s moves to block American sites?. Lastly no one in their right mind will vote for Libertarian party, because even people are aware that they cannot fulfil any promises that they make before the elections. Sources: https://ksltv.com/437951/ksl-investigates-privacy-security-concerns-with-popular-social-media-app/https://www.buckeyefirearms.org/why-libertarians-dont-win-electionshttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/07/opinion/tiktok-wechat-china-trump-executive-order.htmlChina is banning these companies for political reasons, their system is quite clean about this. It's not good in my opinion, but the rules are fixed and clear. The USA have a much subtile system in which when one of their companies is losing (or if they are losing a market they consider critical), the government intervenes and helps national companies. Both situations are bad, but the US are clamming to be a free market when the government gives a clear advantage to national companies.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Las Vegas Casinos Scared of Lawsuits
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on: August 09, 2020, 07:36:59 AM
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In my opinion, it should be clear that these casinos are operating but that they cannot insure that people will not get sick. Even a warning like this is kind of stupid, since everyone should be aware by now that the situation we are currently facing can be dangerous.
If they are open for business and even have strict health protocols, no one can assure that no one will be infected. As some are walking asymptomatic, they can transfer the virus without them knowing. So it is really stupid if someone will sue the casino when someone gets the infection. What they can do to avoid such possible infection is not to totally go to casinos for now. If they really want to be safe from this virus. That's what I meant, but it's absurd to threaten casinos with a lawsuit because of disease they have no control in.
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Economy / Economics / Re: there is one thing onely that can save the usa dollar
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on: August 08, 2020, 04:01:33 PM
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If you look at the value of USD vs gold you can argue that the collapse is ongoing.
In that case, you could argue that gold was collapsing from 2011-2015. I would say both are exaggerations. What is probably really happening: U.S. Bond Markets Are Driving Force Behind the New Gold RushNear-zero and even negative yields in the US bond market are driving investors away from the USD. Meanwhile, the combination of Fed QE, fiscal stimulus, and inflation fears are driving risk assets like precious metals, equities, and BTC to the moon. You can do the same analysis with any other currency, the USD is losing value over time. Since the FED has shown no intention in stopping printing money (especially int hese last few months), one can assume that this situation will not change in the near future.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Las Vegas Casinos Scared of Lawsuits
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on: August 08, 2020, 03:59:05 PM
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In my opinion, it should be clear that these casinos are operating but that they cannot insure that people will not get sick. Even a warning like this is kind of stupid, since everyone should be aware by now that the situation we are currently facing can be dangerous.
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You have to prove that you can take the loss
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on: August 08, 2020, 03:55:37 PM
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If the results are good in the UK you can bet they will implement it elsewhere. It's not that bad, especially when considering that if the gambler loses a lot the government will have to give them social benefits.
Perhaps on countries where social benefits are really good for those with low wages and no work, they might see/feel the need to implement a similar regulation so as to reduce the number of people falling into the debt oblivion. But for real, the general population that gambles contribute to the economy by just losing there alone, and even online gambling opens up jobs for other people especially in these times when one cannot simply visit a gambling house. Why the need for such strict regulations and not something that could help the scene grow? I don't know if letting the gambling industry grow as a whole will benefit the population. The way I see it, they want to allow gambling so that the gambling industry can be controlled and parts of their revenue goes back to the government. But not free enough so that the population do not develop massive gambling addictions (which are bad for the society as a whole).
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Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Las Vegas Casinos Scared of Lawsuits
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on: August 08, 2020, 09:03:01 AM
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I am confused why did they operate then?
We are in a pandemic and if people realized they have the virus they will find a way to blame it to others even if they are at fault and obviously, they will blame the casinos or maybe the bars. Despite the level of the casinos, small or not, there will be no exceptions. They should've think this through.
Maybe that is the reason why some casinos, despite the permission for them to operate did not open.
Is it allowed in the US to sue entities for the spreading of "common" diseases such as the flu or the COVID ?
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Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre
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on: August 08, 2020, 09:00:07 AM
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C'est complètement irresponsable de parler de short sur un actif aussi haussier long terme et moyen/court terme.
Toujours cette confusion entre (net) short et vente, qui sont 2 choses totalement différentes. Le short n'est pas l'opposé de l'achat (c'est bel et bien la vente).
Je vais malheureusement devoir le répéter.
Si tu parles de short, pour hedge un achat, on parle de vente en dollars synthétiques (le short compense le long). Mais c'est bel et bien une vente et doit être mentionné comme tel. La confusion est dangereuse. Celui qui short "nu" l'actif (short net), risque gros/la ruine à tout moment et il n'aura pas un long pour compenser les pumps lié à la tendance haussière de fond.
J'en avais déjà parlé longuement précédemment. Ceux qui l'ont compris ne sont pas en position scabreuse depuis les +100% depuis et sont extrêmement + profitables que les shorters qui eux, gagnent petit, perdent gros.
Et je ne parle pas de la pertinence d'etre "long" cryptos, quand il y a eu des +500% un peu partout depuis quelques mois à droite à gauche ce qui était évidemment le très bon biais.
TL;DR vendre good, short bad.
Si tu places correctement des stops, les grosses pertes des shorts dont tu parles peuvent être évitées.
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump is asking for a delay of the election. Should we do it?
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on: August 08, 2020, 08:52:06 AM
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I think he is afraid. He thinks he couldn't win the election, that's why he is trying to delay the election. Although he shows the reason for mailing voting issues.
I wish he should win once again and even I wish he should win more and more times until there is another joker. Though it is not possible to be a president in united states of America more than twice. When you see the choices the American people are given, you can only hope for another "joke" politician to run ...
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump has declared that he’ll ban Tiktok over privacy concerns!!!
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on: August 08, 2020, 08:50:43 AM
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It is not the first time the American government forces foreign companies to sell their assets. They might benefit from this in the short term, but in the long run they are only saying to foreign companies not to invest in the USA because they will blackmail them at the end... They have done this with several oil services companies, Huawei and now Tiktok. The excuses are especially lame with TikTok, because they are ok with the information the company is collecting, they are just not ok with who is collecting it.
Its always been the strategy to stop its companies progress. It hasn't been the first time the yare doing this. Huawei is just an example and there had been companies from Japan as well. But its always been presentd to the public that American market is a free market but its defintiely not the case with few Chinese products already. Yeah, it is clear now that the American market (and regulations) are now mostly controlled by lobbies paid by the major companies to pass them favorable legislation... If people believe in democracy and change by the people, they should vote for parties with true free market ideals (such as the libertarian party).
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Economy / Economics / Re: there is one thing onely that can save the usa dollar
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on: August 08, 2020, 08:46:28 AM
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Would you please us tell why a war would be the US Dollar's last hope?
The usual recycled URSS propaganda now regurgitated by everyone who wants to blame somebody else for his own failures. The capitalist pigs will be slaughtered and their economy will fall unless they will finance a costly war with their bankrupt economy...fuck logic! And this BS comes over and over again, the US will save its economy with a war, how...that is not something the average Joe has knowledge about as it implies economics, not studies in reptilian cosmology. The war in Iraq was something at around 2.5 trillion if we price the barrel of oil at 50$ at the start of the war that's 50 billion barrels of oil or 200 years of production, although most of the exploitation is done by Russia and China right now but who would bother with those, we all know USA invaded Irak to steal its oil. /s That aside, I've been hearing about the collapse of the dollar since I was born, I've heard of it at the start of the century, I've kept hearing about it when my child was born and the way things are going my grandchild will hear about this when he will tell stories to his own grandchildren. If you look at the value of USD vs gold you can argue that the collapse is ongoing.
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Economy / Economics / Re: Economy restart big Boom and prosperity Coming
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on: August 08, 2020, 08:32:11 AM
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This is not something new but just a pattern-there is a bullish growth that is covered by the global crisis and sheds excess weight after which the "era" begins again (10-15 years) of another bullish growth and so on in a circle. This is nothing new so words like "If you Don't get Rich now you will stay poor all your life!!"they sound too loud. In the noughties, I think they said that too, and after the 2008 crisis, they said it even louder - but I don't see trillions of homeless people after all these markets drops
The 2008 crisis was directly related to homes foreclosure, the next crisis will probably not affect much real estate (apart from severe drops in certain places). People might not be expelled from their houses, but it is likely that we'll see an increase in misery (alcohol consumption/violence/drug abuse/etc).
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump has declared that he’ll ban Tiktok over privacy concerns!!!
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on: August 08, 2020, 08:24:57 AM
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It is not the first time the American government forces foreign companies to sell their assets. They might benefit from this in the short term, but in the long run they are only saying to foreign companies not to invest in the USA because they will blackmail them at the end... They have done this with several oil services companies, Huawei and now Tiktok. The excuses are especially lame with TikTok, because they are ok with the information the company is collecting, they are just not ok with who is collecting it.
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