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SIXTH – PREDICTION, a price absolute spike high for the CURRENT bull run: $xxx,xxx (yes I know what it is)
Then around another -75 to -85% Pullback?
it is easy to throw this numbers now. is there a proof someone quoted this numbers prior to events happened. now you just have to give us a simple number: what will be this cycle ATH in USD (please point a number)?
My Model was/is 10% out, 65k instead of 71k range for interim turning point, however it shows the bull market is not yet over. Model prediction ATH also at least 10% out = new prediction $387-$407k range if spike high is also 10% out. TBD. Ok guys here it is. Complete model. Remember it is out currently by at least 10%. https://github.com/BTC-Predictive-Spike-High-Model/with-coinbase-update/blob/main/Bitcoin%20Predictive%20Spike%20High%20Model%20COMPLETE%20-%20coinbase%20update.pdf |
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It predicts ONE/THE interim high (this is BITCOINS interim High, I just discovered it but it is baked in the price of Bitcoin, its really amazing), and the ultimate spike high, that all.
All the other pullbacks I don't know or claim to know about, that is not what the model does. If that is meaningless to you, I can understand. If I am scamming, where is the scam? By giving free wrong info? That can easily be proven wrong soon, that's dumb, ohhh but if Im right.
One turning point (BITCOINS ULTIMATE PIVOT POINT) + one ATH, post 3rd halving (just read some of the stuff I wrote, I think you must have speed read it or something, because you don't understand what I am about). One day you will understand, I will come full public. Probably after it breaks, 2025 -2030 my guess, but UNTIL then sure, its for sale.
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If any mathematical model predicted the price of bitcoin in a few days, it would be incredible. Unfortunately, this is not possible.
Model predicts price NOT times or dates. I cannot stress how significant the 71-73K level turning point is (and the subsequent -20% MIN pullback, that low, AFTER the interim high, WILL NOT BE TAKEN OUT in the next bear market!!! MARK my words. If I am wrong I will admit it. BUT I am not a deceiver, the model is real. |
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Op, look, you must understand that if you're posting this in 2021 and simply claiming that there was this model that predicted the ATHs of Bitcoin starting with the one in 2013, there's no reason for anyone to believe you. It sounds like a typical scam because there's no proof that this data wasn't simply added into this model since it's publicly available. And even if the model came to correct results about the past, it doesn't mean it is useful for the future and that's the only thing that matters.
What you can do to prove that the model works is post predictions for BTC price in a few months, half a year and a year from now, for instance, and in case they all become true with a very high degree of accuracy, there would probably appear people who are interested in the model. And what you've posted so far sounds too inaccurate to even be accepted as a proper verifiable prediction.
It exists, fifth prediction is upon us. If I am wrong with this prediction, it is because the model has now failed, NOT that it does not exist. It is really that amazing up until now. Please do one thing for me, check out the levels with my predictions AFTER it has happened, PLEASE don't say coincidence, and THEN it does the min -20% pullback to at least 57-58K. I have predicted this since Feb when it peaked at 41K. But the data is 2-3 years old and its NOT charting. |
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UPDATE: COINBASE FIGURE and further insights.
Keep an eye on my targets/predictions, Bitcoin finding support currently 60k, but keep an eye on the -20% pullback levels (if it gets that far) on my 5th prediction levels, as MASSIVE support there and for the Interim pullback later at 71-73K level. This info will go over the heads of 99% of all who read it, don't forget them, they are REALLY REALLY IMPORTANT!!!!
The FIFTH prediction a interim turning point (at just over $71-73K) is almost upon us.
The interim turning points are important as previously these prices and pullback levels held during the last bear market cycle lows. IT'S THAT SIGNIFICANT!
6 PREDICTIONS – 4 HAVE COME TO PASS – 2 TO GO
All so far with a +99% accuracy:
FIRST PREDICTION- Interim turning point for 2013: $269.08
ACTUAL RESULT- Interim turning point for 2013: $268.67
Then a -80% pullback occurred
SECOND PREDICTION- the high for 2013: $1,239
ACTUAL RESULT- for 2013 high; $1,241
Then a -86% pullback occurred
THIRD PREDICTION- Interim turning point for 2017: $4,958
ACTUAL RESULT- Interim turning point for 2017: $4,969
Then a -40% pullback occurred
FOURTH PREDICTION- the high for 2017: $20,038
ACTUAL RESULT- for 2017 high: $20,088
Then a -83% pullback occurred
NEXT AND FIFTH PREDICTION- Interim turning point for 2021. At a price of just over $71-73K, a corrective pullback to AT LEAST the $57-58K range will happen, or AT LEAST -20% pullback (although it may seem like cherry picking, ONLY ONE of these interim highs will be around 99% accurate, this is not a "wiggle out" but the model is more likely to predict the absolute high more accurately with ONE exchange ONLY, more than the others, in other words, A high, NOT the spread! Which one is more right than the others I dont know. But the exchanges results should have a 95-99% accuracy spread.
BITFINEX $71,477 (-20% $57,181)
KRAKEN $71,771
BITSTAMP $71,777
BINANCE $71,996
COINBASE $73,149 (-20% $58,519)
SIXTH – PREDICTION, a price absolute spike high for the CURRENT bull run: $xxx,xxx (yes I know what it is)
Then around another -75 to -85% Pullback?
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each years ATH is based on pure random speculation.
there are no puzzles/equations to solve an ATH.
you cannot predict an ATH
you can however predict a fair YL(year low) based on:
how much it costs to mine that year
how much it cost to mine in previous year
how much % of circulating coins moved in that year.
then you can base how much of that circulation had been 'bought'/mined for and thus know what number the majority would refuse to sell below.
however you cant play the same equation to work out a high.
I really appreciate your input and understand where all the comments have come from up until now. But it is patently obvious that I have come up against a stone wall of distrust and simple unbelief, amazingly, even to the point of many people simply not even being able to conceivably entertain that such a possibility could even exist, maybe that is an age group dynamic within Bitcointalk? Any theoretical physicists out there :-)? That what I claim to have is factious, made-up and of no consequence. Hence the only cause of action is a peer review, from someone that I trust. It may well be that this person does not visit these forums. Early days. The min -20% pullback at the 71-73k range is gratis, and was not through TA but the model. 100% true. However this is not investment advice. You are all responsible for you own investment decisions. |
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For the right person to peer review the model the cost will be nothing, you must be someone well know and well respected within the Bitcoin community or in finance, who would not disclose the model to any third party but may use the models information for their own personal non commercial use.
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OK thanks, have done. I hear what you say, as I said before 'all models are wrong but some are useful'. I believe the $xxx,xxx ATH price will fall within +/- 2% of the models predicted high, if facing a -60 to -80% pullback for 2-3 years and you can capitalise on that, its not luck, its math's.
However, who was it that said "the more I practice the luckier I get"
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Obvious scam is obvious.
someone once said 'all models are wrong, but some are useful' |
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Discovered it last year, its not a model that you constantly move the parameters, but all the math's stays the same but for one sequential variable which changes because of the halving. ...
Generating models and testing them against the data until you find one that fits is called "p-hacking". It doesn't matter how many variables there are and whether they are tuned or not. How many models did you try before you "discovered" this one? If the answer is more than 1, then that is p-hacking and you can't use the same data to validate your model. The issue is that if you derive the hypothesis for the model from the data, then you cannot use the data to prove the hypothesis. It is called "begging the question", which is a kind of circular reasoning. It doesn't mean that your model is wrong. I means that you have absolutely no evidence that it is correct. I don't think you fully understand what I have developed, without giving to much info away all I can really say from now on is watch the first turning point what happens at the levels below. IF it does not do what I say within 1% forget me forever. I am not a scammer just wrong, the model is broken and the highs it predicts will also most likely be null and void (an important note, there could be an exchange in USD that I have not analysed that does the interim turning point ie for the 2017 ATH Coinmarketcap.com $20088.99 99.74% accurate, not all will be +99% accurate, just one needs to be, its not a wiggle out, just how it seemed to work last 2 cycles, though it could surprise me, so I have included coinmarketcap.com also) "AS PROOF THE MODEL EXISTS The model also predicts that at a price of just over $71K, a corrective pullback to AT LEAST the $57K range will happen, a -20% pullback at a minimum. PRICE PREDICTION FOR INITIAL/INTRUM PULLBACK (please allow a +/- 1% deviation): BINANCE $71,996 BRAVE NEW COIN BLX $71,924 BITSTAMP $71,777 BITFINEX $71,477 edit: Coinmarketcap.com $73,240 The model then predicts a blow off top price high for the CURRENT bull run of: $XXX,XXX, I will not disclose that yet..." |
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Like all such models, it is worth absolutely nothing minus the value of the time it takes someone to realise that fact. Anyone interested in your model should ask you to pay them to examine your model, or else they're getting ripped off.  I would be willing to fly almost anywhere in the world to the right person who could verify the math's and model. |
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Discovered it last year, its not a model that you constantly move the parameters, but all the math's stays the same but for one sequential variable which changes because of the halving. A little like the coin miners reward is sequential in its reduction 50, 25, 12 1/2, etc. the halving changes the sequential variable. It just doesn't predict the high, but has proven to be accurate with the absolute recorded in USD spike high. It is a math's that is encrypted in the price, the halving changes ONLY one variable.
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Issue is what is the model worth not who am I, bro
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...boast...linking..., if that was true and I forever remain anonymous where is the boasting. If I come out and full disclosure of model and person and the model is not true where is my boasting. But if I come out and show it is true and who I am I can never go back into anonymity, and I currently put a great deal of value on that. But valid a critique, understandable.
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Firstly, the model exists, and I have given you the results for 2013 and 2017, they are true, however unbelievable, this is not made up. Secondly how many people know about the PLAN B prediction of 288K, and then will act on it. Surely the peak will be just under 288K with that logic, it is the most well known, its been published for almost 2 years and revised last year. Unless main stream media takes hold of it during the mania phase, as almost all people will forget about it having the attention span of a goldfish, it will not be relevant for the most but only a few. If as I have explained before the model predicts a price and therefore market cap number in the trillions of dollars, and say I can have an influence on say 10 Billion dollars (if I don't publish it but rather sell it to one whale) at the peak that is only enough to move the market a few $10's of dollars. For that person/whale/institution who does not want to hold their full bag during the next bear market, what is the fair value?
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OK so we are 1 for priceless 3 for worthless.
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Are you aware the model has 2 predictions one I have made public, that is the interim turning point, there I have a 1% deviation. Because I know there is a great deal of mistrust I have published that result, which after BTC turns at that point the second $xxx,xxx figure becomes the next objective. I have a 2% standard deviation for that prediction. As it is a laser point of data projected almost 4 years in advance (I am anticipating when the peak to peak occurs or thereabouts) from 2-3 years ago, the further you go out the smallest deviation has up until now been well within 1% for the absolute published spike highs. I would love nothing more than to spill the beans to a reputable creditable personality who could verify the model, but these people are insulated by layers of security, hence I have started to graft at the grass roots level. However I appreciate your feedback.
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