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1  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: How do you find good ICOs? on: April 18, 2018, 03:47:26 PM
5.Mining should be low on list of forum page. When you see coin page that has mining explained and front pushed right bellow the tittle or near it, its usually red flag. It means that developers did not develop any other significant feature to represent it in coins description that could drag in the investors. Mining is only process that helps functionality of currency, it is not the actual use of currency and its only sole feature.
2  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: How do you find good ICOs? on: April 18, 2018, 03:45:52 PM
4 Long term use. Coin, token, system no matter what the ICO or release is it needs to have long term useful value. Just releasing currency for the sake of it doesnt cut it. Whatever the asset is, it has to provide some real use in order for market to see long term value in it. This means when one sees coin always make sure to think ahead how could such asset provide value to certain people, organizations, companies etc...
For example it could provide platform for developers to develop other blockchain softwares on top of it, which gives it intrensic value of whole ecosystem build on top of it, it could provide capital flight in reppresed countries such as privacy coins allow, it could be distributed power sharing and use such as certain coins that distribute computer power might allow in future, it needs to give value to certain market.
3  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: How do you find good ICOs? on: April 18, 2018, 03:45:19 PM
3.Transparent team. Images and names of all developers on project, coins developed and released by hidden developers are way more likely to be scam or eventually loosing overall value. This is a fact. Its logical, if someone has ill intent its more likely that staying in shadows will guarantee better safety or perception of it. A good sign is team with experianced members who produced previously successful projects.
4  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: How do you find good ICOs? on: April 18, 2018, 03:44:46 PM
2. Flashy images and good page setup. Solid structured page is what i look for, anything that is scraped up quickly without images or videos often means that developers put little effort into marketing of coin, which is not a good sign to see for investing. Remember you are not in it alone, you want other market participants to get in too if you want to sell coin for profit.
Generally people think completly wrong on this one, thinking that flashy images mean developers are just looking for profits and coin is more likely a scam, while the reality is if you do deep statistical checking and pattern checking of the coins, it is exactly the opposite. The more work developers put into the coin the better, there can be exceptions but in the end its overall statistical performance that matters not single picked example.
5  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: How do you find good ICOs? on: April 18, 2018, 03:44:02 PM
1. Check the crypto currencies forum page on bitcointalk forums.Checking for several different things from lower part of checklist.
6  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 【币乎方法论】(一)上不了热门,没人关注,你在币乎真的被埋没了 on: April 17, 2018, 01:45:31 PM
这一切都在告诉我们,每时每刻我们都在高估自己,也都在接受高估自己的代价——失败。
我们经历的每一个挫折、每一次失败,基本都是高估自己的结果。
正如,一件在我们眼中感觉很平常的“小事”,别人做起来看似简简单单、轻松自如,我们一旦尝试,才知道奇难无比、极不简单。
7  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 【币乎方法论】(一)上不了热门,没人关注,你在币乎真的被埋没了 on: April 17, 2018, 01:44:47 PM
我们呢,自然也好不到哪去,因为这是人的通病。不信,你试着想一想、找一找,在我们还不太长的人生历程中,高估自己的事例绝对俯拾皆是。
比如,考试前的信心十足,分数下来时的一筹莫展。比如,制定计划时的信心满满,落实计划时的举步维艰。比如,创业初期的信心爆棚,失败之后的惨淡收场。
8  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 【币乎方法论】(一)上不了热门,没人关注,你在币乎真的被埋没了 on: April 17, 2018, 01:44:09 PM
其实她不明白,她的能力根本支撑不了她的野心。
因为,毕业八年,她没有完整地看过一本书,从来不利用八小时之外学习提高,刷微信、看剧倒是在行。换工作如换男友,一年都换三四个,没有行业和岗位的专业积累、沉淀。
9  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 【币乎方法论】(一)上不了热门,没人关注,你在币乎真的被埋没了 on: April 17, 2018, 01:43:23 PM
我们太习惯于高估自己

“人贵自知”,这句话我们从小耳熟能详,但现实中能做到的人实在太少了,只有极少数真正有经历、有智慧的人,才配称“自知之明”。
对我们普通人来说,大多数时候,我们都在高估自己。
比如我的表妹晴,,从小就自恃甚高,读书的时候信誓旦旦,说绝对能考上985,结果只上个普通二本。工作后经常跟我说,哥,以我的眼光和能力,最起码得做个上市公司高管吧。然而,毕业八年过去了,她还是个小公司里的小主管,离她的大公司高管职位相去甚远。
10  Local / 离题万里 / 【币乎方法论】(一)上不了热门,没人关注,你在币乎真的被埋没了吗 on: April 17, 2018, 01:42:50 PM
前几天,表妹晴又一次唠叨,哥,我不想干啦,在这个破公司当个小主管,太对不住我能力了,最起码得给我个总经理当当吧。
隔三差五,表妹总要闹上这么一回。实事求是地讲,她各方面条件都还不错,唯一的问题就是太高估自己,野心很大,能力却不足。
其实,我们很多人都有这样的通病。
11  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: 2018 is stabity year ? on: April 09, 2018, 02:33:02 PM
Current situation: bad! Past quotation: very good! Future market: bullish!
Bear market sees character, bull market sees the heart, bull bear all dozen face, this is the coin market!
12  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: 2018 is stabity year ? on: April 09, 2018, 02:31:39 PM
We are used to running away from the past, but the past always leaves a trail in your heart, so you have the memory, the memory is good or bad, after all, it is sad, it is so amazing.
To say who can wipe out all, only cruel and gentle time.
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Are we repeating the 2014 BTC crash??? on: April 09, 2018, 02:30:21 PM
Before, I found that it was useless to play the piano, and it was easy to get black, so I didn't hate it. And everyone can't be absolutely good or right, so they don't go to the pot again.
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Are we repeating the 2014 BTC crash??? on: April 09, 2018, 02:29:14 PM
There is a lot of reason to say that people who don't understand are meaningless. Even a lot of people say such silly words: understand, but still live a bad life. It's self-deprecating, but it's also in a way that you don't understand.
As market analysis, clearly know most people and most analysis are bullshit, but it happened that a lot of people to follow, some of them are really stupid, some is he who knows nothing but pretends to know, and some is god knows why.
15  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 串串:好想拉你一起研究通证经济实操设计 on: April 07, 2018, 02:28:22 PM
7
串串决定21:21固化更文,依然是受黄世辉大哥的影响。他昨天的文章里谈到的机器人问题,认为目前而言固化更文时间是可以给到真实用户和机器人一个至少不落后的起跑线,串串深以为然。
16  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 串串:好想拉你一起研究通证经济实操设计 on: April 07, 2018, 02:26:35 PM
6
我们将首先研究的课题是——失败的逻辑。
这也是查理芒果最喜欢研究的事,知道会在哪儿死,那就永远也不去那儿。
通证经济的产品设计是一套有无数复杂的角色和变量的系统,在这个系统中,各个变量之间还往往有着相关关系,牵一发动全身。
不管我们是否喜欢,我们的单一行为,都将产生多重效应。
17  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 串串:好想拉你一起研究通证经济实操设计 on: April 07, 2018, 02:24:46 PM
5
所以,太阳底下没有新鲜事。
通证经济的产品设计是新东西,但也绝不是新鲜事。
我们需要研究的也不仅仅是通证经济设计本身,而是锻造这背后的那套长青的思维模型。
再次感谢黄世辉大哥,虽然我所打算应用的不完全是黄大哥所提倡的那套系统性思考,但是他的文章让我意识到自己此前文章的零碎。
推荐关注:黄世辉。
18  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 串串:好想拉你一起研究通证经济实操设计 on: April 07, 2018, 02:23:12 PM
4 太阳底下没有新鲜事
今天,黄世辉大哥推荐给我看混沌大学一节贝佐斯思维的课,其中谈到了“变与不变”。其实这也是串串个人信奉的一个思维方法论。串串相信太阳底下没有新鲜事,不变的是根本,变本身也是不变的。
之前,跟朋友聊“直播”这种产品形态是否会是未来趋势。
朋友列举了直播的无数优势,认为直播会是下一个内容形态。在当时,各种投资大佬纷纷表示看好直播,罗胖还专门做了一期节目来分析,直播热得不行。
然而,我们回顾过去的电视节目,什么场景下人们会倾向于看直播?
要嘛,时效性强,需要第一时间看到,如新闻;要嘛,内容具有公共性,看直播本身成为一场轻参与,如春节联欢晚会。
19  Local / 离题万里 / Re: 串串:好想拉你一起研究通证经济实操设计 on: April 07, 2018, 02:21:43 PM
2 研究通证经济产品设计和IDO策划有什么用
最直接的答案,串串的25号文件里也说到过,通证经济设计师绝对会是未来前景非常好的职业;串串的15、16、17号文件也一直在强调IDO的必然趋势;那么,你真的不想趁大家没反应过来之前,提早准备吗?
最现实的答案,如果研究过通证经济设计,了解其中的坑与难,以后在个人挑选投资区块链项目的时候,将会有一个业内的眼光、体系的方法论来判断其token升值逻辑是否靠谱。这对意在做价值投资的朋友来说,足够有吸引力了吧?
最远大的答案,或许,你以后自己创业做项目的时候会用到。
最根本的答案,这是一个非常复杂的系统的设计,这个研究过程本身,就是对大脑的一次最佳锤炼,甚至,它可能会改变一个人的思维模式。
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Ethereum 2k in 2 months? on: April 03, 2018, 02:26:29 PM
No, everyone is talking about not falling too hard, and it's only possible if a new coin comes out to challenge him.
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