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621  Bitcoin / Meetups / Sheffield BBQ at Vladimir's on 18th of September 2012 on: August 26, 2012, 06:24:10 PM
There are firm plans for Meetup/BBQ in Sheffield on 18th of September 2012. Time is tentatively 1pm till you beg us to stop serving food, but it may be shifted a few hours either way depending on weather.

This is a very informal event, just few bitcoiners sitting around a fire talking bitcoin and bussiness, drinking beer, eating out of this world BBQ  and generally having great time.

For those of us who are not UK based, and going to the London Sep 2012 conference this will mean 2 extra nights stay in UK and 2x 2 hour train ride London-Sheffield-Your Departure Airport. Most people, who are coming, booking 2 nights in Novotel, Sheffield. To avoid rip off prices it is best to book train rides well in advance.

For example Bitcoin Magazine team's itinerary looks like:

- 13th morning we check into Imperial Hotel
- 17th morning we check out from Imperial Hotel
- 17th noon check into Novotel, Sheffield
- 19th morning check out from Novotel, Sheffield

Number of guests I am willing to accept (the BBQ is in my back yard) is very limited and anyone who wish to come must confirm this with me first.

So far about a handful of  people are expected to be here: Bitcoin Magazine team, Dr. Graziano, Dr. Ruzheinikov a few more people. Post in this thread if you want to confirm publicly that you will be here.

BTW Sheffield is undisputed Beer Capital of the world and we could have some activities organized like tour of the best pubs if someone is interested.

On BBQ a semi-professional chief (also the second largest bitcoin miner in Sheffield and UK, probably) will take care of the best BBQ of your life (optimistically). See some photos I'll post below, those made by me and I am just his humble student.

The food and beer is free, but chief accepts bitcoin tips, and knowing the food I am sure he will not go home empty-handed.

Risks: This is England, so weather is always a risk, as long as it is not a heavy and prolonged rain we should be fine, but if the worst happens we will come up with an alternative.

Hit me by email or skype for details.
622  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 25, 2012, 04:00:57 PM
P.S.

The level of discussion here is appalling. I am too to some degree guilty of occasionally employing some logical fallacies, often intentionally, for that I do apologize. Now let me give you some details and examples.

The simple truth is that Pirate made an extrordianary claim that he has some kind of biz model that is producing >3400% APR AND that it is reasonable to buy capital at ~3400 APR% AND that his biz model is not a ponzi. Moreover he takes(has taken) deposits/money based on that claim directly and via intermediaries/partners/employees/etc.

The opponents have called this BS and are completely justified to assert that pirate is running a ponzi scheme. based on logical reasoning.


Pirate and his shills, supporters, lieutenants and captives went on offensive employing every logical fallacy in the book (many of them anyway).

Let's just list some of fallacies routinely used and/or likely will be used shortly by team "pirate, the miracle worker":

Ad hoc: "pirate paid 1 account, hence he will pay all accounts", "pirate paid N weeks on time, hence he will continue paying on time" etc...

Anecdotal evidence: "we had a dinner with pirate, therefore he is not anonymous"

Argumentum ad baculum: "you say something against pirate, you get paid last"

Argumentum ad crumenam: "pirate has NNNNNN BTC, therefore he is right", "I bet NNNNNNN BTC, therefore I am right (or ballsy), you did not bet therefore you shut up"

Argumentum ad hominem: attacking opponents personally and on various unrelated matters, like their own businesses, bets they have or not have placed etc...

Argumentum ad ignorantiam: "Of course the Bible is true. Nobody can prove otherwise.", "pirate is not a ponzi because nobody can prove otherwise", "there is a giant teapot orbiting the sun, because nobody can prove otherwise". This also includes "shifting the burden of proof", btw.

Argumentum ad misericordiam: (soon to be employed) "I did not murder my mother and father with an axe! Please don't find me guilty; I'm suffering enough through being an orphan.", "I lost so much money on ponzi and stupid bets, I am suffering enough, do not tell me that I am guilty of promoting and conspiring in a ponzi scheme and a scammer"

Argumentum ad nauseam: ohh yea repeat utter BS until any reasonable person tells you "fuck off, no point to talking to you", nauseating it is indeed.

Argumentum ad numerum: "so many people invested in that, they cannot be all wrong"

Argumentum ad verecundiam: (Appeal to authority, false authority in this case): "Pirates's lieutenants and shills say they know him, and he a has magical biz model and it is not a ponzi, it must be so then"

Bifurcation: "if pirate pays all accounts now, he is not running a ponzi" (That is an interesting one, think about it)

Fallacy of presupposition: (demanding an explanation of something that is not true or have not been established)

Ignoratio elenchi: (illogically concluding that some set of usually fallacious arguments support the desired conclusion)

Non causa pro causa: "pirate has defaulted because, they were posting that he is running a ponzi"

Non sequitur: "pirate pays 7%, therefore he has some miracle biz model making lots of money and it is totally possible"

Petitio principii: "pirate is not running a ponzi, because he pays dividends, and must have some underlying biz model, and therefore he is not running a ponzi"

Plurium interrogationum: demanding a simple answer to a complex question.

Red herring: "some copies of bitcoin magazine were delivered late, therefore pirate is not running a ponzi"

Shifting the burden of proof (again): "pirate has claimed that he is not running a ponzi and that he needs to buy capital at 3000% APR and that he has some underlying biz model other than paying capital back as dividend and asked and received lots of money, now you need to prove that he is not running a ponzi."

Straw man: (happens ~10 times in every thread.) miscquote your opponent than attack his, taken out of context or misrepresented, opinion. Works especially well with typos and grammar/spelling mistakes.

Tu quoque: "you attacked ad hominem, I will respond with ad hominem too."

The persistent abuse here of all the fallacies is so annoying that continuing any serious discussion here amounts to utter waste of time, not intellectual stimulating and often simply aggravating.

The above is why I do this...

For your reference:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logical_fallacies
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophical_burden_of_proof
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celestial_teapot
http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/

623  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 25, 2012, 11:20:07 AM
What is even more disgusting is that it is seems no one whose opinion I value is posting on this forum anymore. With a very few exceptions, of course. There is no reason for me to remain here until this has changed. Bye for now.


624  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 25, 2012, 11:00:56 AM
I think it is high time for you to shut up and stop being part of the huge fraud most of us tried hard to protect people from.

In the name of Satoshi Nakamoto, "Keep your opinions, politics and religion out of my bitcoin".

When people start talking about "protecting" me from things in Bitcoin, I can't help but equate it to the reasoning for Paypal holding my funds.

Why dont you apply this to yourself and your actions, Matthew!

Why are  you so bent on censorship here? Do you realise what are you doing?

Do I need to pay money entering some stupid bets to say anything on that forum that you do not agree with?

Do you think it is wise to effectively make yourself part of a scam, no less after it has collapsed?

Have you already forgotten as your silly arguments were utterly destroyed in another thread?

Disgusting!
625  Other / Off-topic / notice on: August 24, 2012, 05:39:25 PM
http://dcao.org/?page_id=36 at the time of this writing still lists me as one of it's founding members, ignoring my request for that page to be updated.

I have resigned from DCAO on 23rd of Aug 2012 and I am not associated with that organisation and most of it's members anymore. In fact, I never was associated with most members of DCAO other than by being a member of the same informal organisation.

I will not make any further public comments on the matter.
626  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: August 24, 2012, 01:12:27 AM
time for this thread to die off and be replaced with a fresh one.
not much point in following it anymore.

no offense to anyone.

Agreed.

627  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: August 23, 2012, 09:18:13 PM
My comment was not directed at you specifically. But since you now brought it up, please do allow me to retort.

We should realise that the market does trade right now only one thing. It is not Bitcoin Magazine's new issues on every news stands in states (well... almost) and soon all over EU, it is not bitpay's new services, it is not bitinstant's upcoming BTC denominated debit cards, is it not a few more huge developments that should not be mentioned just yet. It is pirate's default which is the only thing the market is trading right now. Therefore, whether you like it or not, pirate's default is as much on topic here as it gets.

Now. if you think that anyone who has an opinion on something must obey your command and go and gamble on some strangely worded bet with a huge counterparty risk, you'd better rethink that attitude of yours.

Greed and fear do tend to cloud minds of the best of us.

628  Economy / Speculation / Re: A Theory on what pirateat40 is doing on: August 23, 2012, 08:55:37 PM
Anyone can see charts and volume. Whoever was selling large amounts on that big dump at best got 12$ average. There is no way all the coins can be bought back  below that. Once the market senses the blood it will not let wounded player off the hook.

Huge tankers can not ride circles around small tug boats, it is just how it works. Huge players cannot sell big on open market and then buy big and stay in profit. They can only push profitably in one direction and move slow and steady.

That charts shows an irrational player panicking.


629  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: August 23, 2012, 08:46:52 PM
I can't believe people fall for this shit, take a look at this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=97094.0

easy come, easy go

Oh jesus guys don't turn this into another FUD thread.
Go here, put up or shut up.

We do not need to go anywhere. We can just sit here and wait and have laughs at your expense. All the genius investors out there meanwhile can sweat it and go over all the stages of greed and fear.




630  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Your opinion on MNW's motivation to bet 10,000 BTC (one post per forum member) on: August 23, 2012, 01:54:56 PM
* MNW is Zhong Tong so can afford the 10K as soon as his friend Lord Lucan has his assets unfrozen from the AML investigation. He currently resides in North Korea with Kim Jong Il who is not dead as many believe.

I've got a better theory.

NMW is Satoshi and he finally found a good use for his wast Bitcoin fortune. He will from now on use this fortune of his to help the community through this scam infested period of time by making that kind of wagers and hedging opportunities to soften the blows while making the community using longer sentences.

i.e. from now on anyone on this forum instead of "this is a scam" must say "this is likely a scam". This will please Satoshi big time.

631  Economy / Securities / Re: (GLBSE) TYGRR.BOND-P 4.85% weekly uninsured pass though bond to BTCST on: August 23, 2012, 08:48:40 AM
Yep, delay is not default. But you do not have to wait all that long, a week or two and this will be clear as day to all but most die-hard delusional "investors".


632  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin -> MasterCard (or any credit card)... who cares? on: August 23, 2012, 08:31:21 AM
There may be a lot of frenetic activity about BitInstant offering a bitcoin credit card, but I have to ask, WHY?
Does it make bitcoins any easier to get?
...

Without reading the rest of the thread...

It makes Bitcoin easier to spend.

Yours, Captain Obvious.
633  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [POLL] How will Pirateat40's debt repayment unfold? on: August 23, 2012, 08:21:29 AM
Personally I feel that Pirate will pay back every last BTC. I just joined the forum back in April and it seemed that everyone was one big happy family at first and then all of a sudden the FUD against Pirate absolutely exploded to the point where it seems people are spending their entire day on this forum warning others about the dangers of the "Pirate Ponzi". Think about it - why are people devoting so much of their time and energy worrying about other people's money for absolutely nothing in return? The only explanation I can think of is that this is some sort of psyops that was put into action to try to discredit Bitcoin and contain its rise.

Classic! I must quote this too.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stockholm_syndrome


Vladimir, thank you very much for the link sir - I am ashamed by my ignorance. Here I was thinking that the Stockholm Syndrome referred to when a hostage begins to look kindly upon their captor, but you have taught me that it can also refer to when one has faith and trust in an individual who graciously allowed them to share in their business venture and made them fistfuls of cash in the process
....

You are intellectually lazy, bitsire. Is it that difficult to make a connection from  people being held hostage to people's money being held hostage? Do I really need to explain you the obvious?
634  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Hey Pirate, it's Monday....WHERE ARE MY BITCOINS ? on: August 23, 2012, 01:54:45 AM
Bitlane, if he defaults and you are looking to find him, my first suggestion would be to investigate Somalia, lots of work for a pirate there.

Somalian Pirates We~!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C1_NpLKnWLU

back at ya
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=249RL82kjP4

this too

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTMRJUH1FdA
635  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: The gauntlet has officially been thrown down by Trendon Shavers aka. pirateat40 on: August 23, 2012, 01:50:25 AM
Wouldn't someone have to break a contract and have no intention to pay to be considered a scammer? Has there been a contract broken? Is there implied intention to pay?

Yes. I know you have a lax understanding of what a deadline is, but Pirate failed to repay bitlane on time and then again on his second self-given deadline. That's a broken contract already, regardless of possible future mitigation.

Fair enough. I suppose he does deserve a scammer tag at least until he pays.

Could we maybe instead have "naive and greedy" tag for all the pirate's "investors". This way all the new (and old) scammers could concetrate on working those marks and leave the rest of this forum alone maybe? Just a thought...  Wink



636  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Bitcoin Savings & Trust - Money Returned List (One reported). on: August 22, 2012, 08:30:16 PM
Pirate, one account and 100 BTC is not good enough. You should try harder.
637  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Hey Pirate, it's Monday....WHERE ARE MY BITCOINS ? on: August 22, 2012, 05:18:26 PM
The panic didnt go as well as planned..  

Looking at chart, most of volume was in 13-10$ range during the dump. It is reasonable to assume that if our miracle worker indeed has dumped lots of BTC at "high prices" his average would be at best about 12$


638  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Will ASIC mining destroy Bitcoin? on: August 22, 2012, 04:27:14 PM
The real question for miners is - Do you spend your money on these machines or do you simply buy the BTC on an exchange.  Historically, are you not better off just buying BTC off MtGox, especially if you believe difficulty will dramatically increase after the first x-number of units are delivered and turned on?

+1,

after some analysis and some risk models done with help of professionals back in May 2012 I have suggested to some people I've been in touch with regarding potential ASIC mining project to forget about mining and simply buy BTC instead. After that our ASIC project was scrapped. It was back when BTC was valued at 5$.

My opinion is still the same. BTC represent better risk/reward than mining, provided that one keep em secure in own wallet, of course.

For what it worth,
Vladimir "The Miner".
This is the first time I've heard that you scrapped your ASIC project.  Interesting...

I don't know anyone besides BFL who is making a legitimate effort towards developing a Bitcoin mining ASIC then.  Anyone else know of someone?

I perhaps should clarify that we never actually tried to build our own ASIC's (I would not know where to start). The idea was to rise funds and set up a mining company that would in turn finance one or more ASIC development teams and we would get in return preferential terms, long term discounts, distribution rights, equity shares etc in those chipmakers. However, negotiations took too long, the potential ASIC development partners did no give us what we wanted, there were too many of those potential ASIC teams. In the end we did not like risk/reward and withdrew from the marketplace.

That is the story of it. Thankfully, nobody on our side got hurt financially, except maybe me (some professional fees and time invested and it is all negligible anyway).
639  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Will ASIC mining destroy Bitcoin? on: August 22, 2012, 03:56:42 PM
The real question for miners is - Do you spend your money on these machines or do you simply buy the BTC on an exchange.  Historically, are you not better off just buying BTC off MtGox, especially if you believe difficulty will dramatically increase after the first x-number of units are delivered and turned on?

+1,

after some analysis and some risk models done with help of professionals back in May 2012 I have suggested to some people I've been in touch with regarding potential ASIC mining project to forget about mining and simply buy BTC instead. After that our ASIC project was scrapped. It was back when BTC was valued at 5$.

My opinion is still the same. BTC represent better risk/reward than mining, provided that one keep em secure in own wallet, of course.

For what it worth,
Vladimir "The Miner".


640  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Who do you think Matthew's backer is for the 10k btc bet? on: August 22, 2012, 03:00:05 PM
My position is that once Occam's razor strongly suggests that some investment is a ponzi scheme, the burden of proof is on alleged ponzi operator to prove otherwise. And again demands to prove a negative (i.e. non existence of a viable biz model) is just a logical fallacy known as Ad Ignorantiam

So any business that operates now has to show you their books and operating procedures as soon as you question them? Okay, what if someone questions the Bitcoin Magazine. Are we going to show everyone all of our financial documents to prove we're not a sham? Who's business is it?

"Oh but matthew, we're not forcing anyone to invest in us!"

True! And neither is anyone else. Message to the community: Please be vocal, be less -abusive- about your voice and everyone will be happy. Harassment of people is unacceptable. If you try to tell them that you believe something is a ponzi, and they don't listen, let them lose their money. This is bitcoin, not USD. We have some freedoms. When you're leaving people alone to do what they want with their money, stop shouting at them from across the street "Shills!". This entire issue of mine is the -tone- of the community, not the concern.

Matthew, when I talk to investors I make it extremely transparent to them what it is exactly we do and how, how much it costs and what are our expectations of revenue and that there are risks involved etc and I answer all questions and I do not promise any return in immediately foreseeable future. And yes I will show potential investors our books if needed (subject to some conditions), there is nothing wrong with that. Moreover, we do not accept any investments from anyone who is not either a high net worth individual or a sophisticated investor and who ought to understand exactly what they are doing when they invest in unlisted shares of a private limited company.

Moreover, you completely ignored the first part of relevant sentence "once Occam's razor strongly suggests that some investment is a ponzi scheme...". Are you suggesting that Bitcoin Magazine looks like a duck? I'd say then that you bring up lame duck arguments.

The tone of the community is an issue, indeed. Gullibility and naivety of majority of posting population here is astonishing. Complete lack of basic understanding of how to present a coherent or sound argument and inability to recognise trivial logical fallacies are incredible as well.

P.S. Matthew, say "unkle".
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