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361  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hey! it's $50k today. on: March 02, 2024, 12:48:40 PM
The momentum is definitely there for higher prices including $80k and based on previous movements over the past decade we know that whenever major resistances SPECIALLY previous ATH prices are broken (ie. $70k) the momentum grows even bigger in a short time after.

For example in the previous full cycle (ie. 2017) the previous ATH of that time used to be $1200 ish, when it was broken on March 2017, there was a panic sell that didn't last that long. In less than 2 months price had gone up 100% to $2400 (early May).

We are in March 2024 now! If we see the previous ATH broken at $70k and the same pattern repeats price should be $140k by May Wink
362  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Vs Military Industrial Complex on: March 02, 2024, 12:41:33 PM
You are bringing up a handful of topics, each of which could be discussed separately since they are all special cases that could have unpredictable effects on the economy as a whole and consequently on bitcoin price. For example WW3, collapse of US, hyperinflation of dollar, military expenditure, etc. each of these topics could have unexpected effects that create chain reactions in the world including recession that has negative impact on bitcoin.

- For the time being and under normal circumstances, US will keep creating more debt slowly devaluing dollar hence creating slow inflation that will also help bitcoin price grow.
- As dedollarisation continues, there will be less destinations for US to export that inflation that were decreasing the devaluation of dollar so the devaluation remains domestic and dollar dumps more creating bigger inflation hence helping price of everything including bitcoin go up.
- In case of a bigger dedollarisation and a dollar hyperinflation, the US regime's expenditure will have to decrease meaning the military industrial complex will be the first to fall and we can experience a short term period of peace in the world.
I don't find too much correlation between BTC and the US economy. Although BTC price is supported by BTC Spot ETF in the US, BTC does not depend on a certain country. Even if the economic crisis leads to hyperinflation, a solution can be applied such as using the BTC standard to issue fiat, or confiscating the gold of the American people again to apply gold standard. I believe that the US government will not let the world's leading economy collapse.

To protect peace, we need a powerful army ready to go to war to protect peace. Therefore, I believe that the existence of the US military is necessary, for example to protect peace in Taiwan and South Korea. I do not expect the military industrial complex to collapse, the US military needs them to have the best strength.
Every country needs a military but the problem is when that military is used for "adventures" overseas. One of the reasons why there are conflicts in the places you mentioned like Korean peninsula, Taiwan, West Asia, Africa, Ukraine, ... is US presence! not the other way around. And this large number of presence abroad is the main reason for the massive expenditure and the $35 trillion national debt.
363  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Here's why BCH/BSV lovers constantly attack BTC... on: March 02, 2024, 08:31:33 AM
and even tried to take miners to increase their hashrate as an attack on Bitcoin
Any idea why BTC/BCH/BSV don't support merged-mining (since they all depend on SHA-256)? Was it done on purpose by BTC devs to deter forks?

I'm asking because LTC/DOGE support merged-mining with Scrypt.
The nature of different coins leads to decisions such as choosing the algorithm, supporting merge mining, etc. Altcoins that want to be different and investigate different algorithms choose a different algorithm (like Litecoin using scrypt), altcoins that don't want to make major differences and want to live under the shadow of another project choose the same algorithm and use merge mining.

Shitcoins like BCH/BSV that planned to scam people specifically newbies telling them "this is the real bitcoin" while attacking bitcoin use the same algorithm and not even implement replay protection!
364  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Green Energy Subsidies on: March 02, 2024, 04:45:22 AM
Still on the developers stand point,
I’ve come to understand that mining of Bitcoin have had a shift as per level of sophistication. From a time when all that was needed was just a device, a desktop was okay for the task and now, they’ve got sophisticated devices designed for the sole purpose of coming up with these calculations for block reward and confirmation of transactions.

This is largely due to the design by Satoshi Nakamoto as per difficulty level and block reward after the halving. With the fact that, these devices are the ones using up these energy, wouldn’t it make more sense for the company behind these devices design it in such a way that, it’s able to use less energy or perhaps have some backup energy source to switch to remotely, creating a time out for conventional energy source like the fossil fuel.
That's a good point. The mining is growing so it is best if it grows using more efficient hardware that consumes less energy compared to the computing power it provides. But it only increases the efficiency while the power consumption still grows.
365  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Would P2WPKH v1/bech32m addressee be legal (and usable and spendable)? on: March 01, 2024, 02:52:07 PM
Code:
020000000001013715989bfedc450192588c193465473d472fad620d6aea1768341af4aa2c49c10000000000fdffffff01318601000000000017a914628cde58e1bcd42efb72b1821ec9fdf49e0f1d49870120

b4b003aebb5672a4c4dbc37da21f0255f9034109b6f5bf26ddb95b7ed6ff24f8

00000000
I don't think you needed to provide any witness at all (the part I separated) to spend this output. Which is what anyone-can-spend means.

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Bitcoin Core console, sendrawtransaction: "bad-txns-nonstandard-inputs (code -26)"
Electrum console, broadcast(): "TxBroadcastServerReturnedError: Witness version reserved for soft-fork upgrades"
That's the non-standard error I mentioned above. Mempool rejects it but if you can bypass standard tests (like if it is already in a block) it is considered valid.

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so unless someone else has a brilliant idea of how to spend it, it is stuck, barring a miracle (such as a future soft fork that allows this address format).
You could spend some time trying to mine a block yourself if you want to have a record of it on a public blockchain.
Otherwise you could test all of this on RegTest.

Someone correct me if I'm wrong but Taproot is always active on RegTest. So just mine a 100 blocks in a second (100 because coinbase needs to mature to be spendable), send the output of your first coinbase to your bc1p address and mine another block. Then create this final tx spending that non-standard output and mine that block too.

Read some sources on how to work on RegTest like this one for more information: https://gist.github.com/System-Glitch/cb4e87bf1ae3fec9925725bb3ebe223a

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BUT! Isn't it strange that major wallet software allows sending to this homemade address type if outputs to such are forever unspendable?
Such outputs are actually spendable by anyone until there is a consensus rule added to handle these things, then it would depend on whether you can provide the correct script to spend them.

The decision to accept the address may be because of having forward-compatibility (if some day a new version would be added, the old clients are still easy to use) although I'd say they should show a big warning that to this version of software you run and at that time the destination address you entered is non-standard and your funds could be lost.
366  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Green Energy Subsidies on: March 01, 2024, 12:44:26 PM
Would this be the only or the quickest solution?
The only way through the code and from developers standpoint.

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I have been reading about how a percentage of miners have been moving t renewable source of energy, plus the fact that globally, countries are looking to move to greener, renewable energy.
That's the non-developers way and the better way that is being used.

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An alternative algorithm is almost like ripping up the sheet and doing it again a different way. Would it still be satoshi's invention or not? Would there be another change later on if something unsatisfactory pops up? And most importantly would it offer same level of security?
Well, the development has to continue and we should be open to changes, but also vigilant about the principles.
367  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Are you ready to join DeFi on Bitcoin? on: March 01, 2024, 06:25:03 AM
Stuff like Rootstock are not layer 2, they are counted as side-chains. Also they are not new, they've been around for a long time and they have not attracted that much attention because they are not hype-based projects and token creation is a scheme that requires hype to survive which means shitplatforms such as ethereum are the choice for token creators to create their useless junk.

Furthermore, Binance Labs recently invested in Babylon, a novel protocol facilitating Bitcoin staking on PoS blockchains. This innovation presents intriguing opportunities for both BTC holders and PoS ecosystems, offering passive income without complex solutions[5].
This is also not new. For years, centralized systems have been trying to take people's bitcoins and promise giving them profit on the coins they gather. Sometimes it is called "stake" and usually they are scams and almost always they turn into a Ponzi scheme.

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I would like to know your views on Defi on Bitcoin:
There is NO such thing as DeFi on Bitcoin. There are altcoins that try to stick themselves to Bitcoin but have nothing to do with it and there are also side-chains that are not Bitcoin.

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What are your thoughts on storing BTC?
Obvious: not your keys, not your coins.

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Do you believe DeFi represents an evolution for Bitcoin?
No. The way these "tokens" are defined, they offer nothing new and have no utility in the real world.

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Are you interested in participating in DeFi with your BTC?
No. If I see something pump and dumping on an exchange, I may try to take a quick profit during the pump and sell before the dump begins but that's the only thing I'm interested in.
368  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Tether Confirms Extensive Collaboration With DOJ, FBI and Secret Service on: March 01, 2024, 04:59:01 AM
It's worrying investors that's why they haven't been on tether buying sprees. If they'll block holders from funds because of fraudulent or inaccurate requests it's going to cause investors to dump. Tether isn't a good option to invest in.
People don't "invest" in something that has a fixed value, they use it for convenience and because they have no other option. For example when they want to transfer funds between exchanges without losing much Tether is a good option compared to others (fiat costs a ton of fees and has a lot of limitations; cryptocurrencies have medium fees but trading them on different exchanges would lose you a lot of money due to spread and price differences; Tether on the other hand has fixed value) or when there is a bear season specially when altcoins are dumping hard they can use Tether as an escape.

This is why despite all these serious risks, people still continue using this centralized shitcoin.
369  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Would P2WPKH v1/bech32m addressee be legal (and usable and spendable)? on: March 01, 2024, 04:42:43 AM
Good for anything?
It's good for burning your precious coins! .... or at least make it extremely difficult to be spent but spendable by anyone!!!

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Will wallets accept it?
They should not since the address (the data part) is short and non-standard (20 byte instead of expected 32).

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Will nodes propagate a transaction to it over the BTC network?
No because their IsStandardTx[1] check will recognize[2] such transactions as non-standard so they'll not propagate it.

[1] https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/dfc35c99340da3236e2841b348580f0e881762ce/src/policy/policy.cpp#L94
[2] https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/dfc35c99340da3236e2841b348580f0e881762ce/src/script/solver.cpp#L164

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Can we use normal privkeys to spend from it with, as we do with regular native segwit?
Technically anybody should be able to spend any coins sent to such output. The reason is that witness program of any size other than 32 is valid but not-defined (also non-standard hence the burned coins as I said at first) so the node ignores verification of it expecting it to be a future change/soft-fork.

It falls into this branch: https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/dfc35c99340da3236e2841b348580f0e881762ce/src/script/interpreter.cpp#L1946-L1952
which will return true.

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Due to lack of better terminology, we can call them P2WPKH(Bech32m). A thing or not? That's the question.
No because there is nothing like it defined in the consensus rules so the protocol sees it as an arbitrary hash not pubkey hash.
370  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Green Energy Subsidies on: March 01, 2024, 04:21:24 AM
From a developing standpoint the only solution to energy consumption (regardless of it being "immense" or not as it is claimed) is to find an alternative mining algorithm that doesn't consume the same amount of energy but at the same time keeps the principles of Bitcoin such as decentralization intact.

So far the attempts made in the past with alternative algorithms (such as Proof of Stake) are introducing serious flaws into the system by changing the algorithm.
371  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If everyone is holding their bitcoin, will there be a balance? on: February 29, 2024, 04:48:52 PM
I have read several posts encouraging people to hold their bitcoin for the greater good of bitcoin and probably more reward in the future.
Technically what is suggested or at least should be suggested is to not-panic-sell instead of jut holding at all times and at all costs. This is addressing a problem with newcomers who have not yet experienced the famous bitcoin downtrends like what we had in 2014 and 2018 where price keeps going down 10% 20% 50% 80%!
At some point they panic and sell thinking it's over but little do they know, the dump to $150 back in 2014-15 was a golden opportunity to buy not to sell, again the $3000 days in 2018-19 were similar golden opportunities and again the latest $20k days last year.

So yeah, they should HODL instead of panic selling.

what will happen if everyone is holding their bitcoin and no one is willing to sell.
As others have already said, it can't happen. There are many different people who own bitcoin for different reasons. Some will always have to liquidate their coins. It could be a merchant who received bitcoin and wants fiat for their costs, it could be an investors wanting some profit out, it could be a weak hand panic selling, a miner paying bills, etc.
372  Economy / Economics / Re: Is fossil fuels REALLY running out quickly, or do we still have time? on: February 29, 2024, 07:11:34 AM
The thing they aren't telling us is how they're going to supply the needed electricity for all this demand. Considering how a major part of their arguments for this replacement is "environmental related". Many electricity production methods are not as clean as they're advertised. For example the nuclear power plants create a lot of pollution and create "nuclear garbage" that hurts the environment more than fossil fuels specially if they're used at large like what they're planning on doing (replacing everything with electrical versions).

As for fossil fuels, they are running out but not as fast as some reports say (like the usual 50 years). We still have a century or two of fossil fuels left. One of the main reasons why some countries (specially in the West) are desperately trying to abandon or reduce their need of fossil fuels is political since they are a net importer of it from the Eastern bloc!

I also would like to point out that fossil fuels like oil and gas are used in a lot more things that can be replaced. For example the tires used in an EV is still considered a petro product thing! So the need for fossil fuel is not going away in our lifetime.
373  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The impact of Bitcoin ETFs on market and Top Exchanges. on: February 29, 2024, 05:56:14 AM
The recent approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US has had a positive effect on the value of Bitcoin.
I disagree.
In a world where a lot of things happen every day, approving ETF that happened last month in January is considered ancient news not "recent" anymore. Smiley
This means any effect it could have had on price, has already happened 2 months ago (February is already over too!).

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The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs provides an easier way for mainstream investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
I disagree with this too.
Because unlike other stuff that have an ETF, it is not hard at all to buy, trade and own bitcoin. Take gold for example. It is difficult to purchase large amounts of gold (it is physical) it is extremely difficult to trade it (physically) and store it safely. This is not true about bitcoin. All you need is a digital wallet (or even a hardware wallet).

So ETF is NOT an "easier way" to gain exposure to Bitcoin, it is a terrible way that can only be useful for those who don't want to leave the centralized world and instead of buying bitcoin they want to buy a garbage that is promised to be linked to bitcoin!
374  Economy / Economics / Re: Beginner questions on: February 29, 2024, 05:26:19 AM
You keep saying "share" but bitcoin is a currency not a stock. Imagine if you had dollar and exchanged it for euro. You have another currency and can go up or down but it will continue to have a value.
Granted Bitcoin is the only decentralized money in existence and has a capped supply but the part about its value is similar.
375  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Coinbase struggling to keep up with volume. on: February 29, 2024, 05:12:52 AM
Unfortunately with all the money these centralized exchanges have been making all these years, they still don't have strong enough servers to be able to handle the increased traffic during big market movements where price either goes up high a lot and quick or drops down a lot and quick. This is why we always see complains similar to this one where their accounts stop working and it is only going to get worse as the price keeps rising up faster and bigger.

The only solution is to use alternative methods of trading such as using decentralized exchanges or try to see if you can find another decent CEX that doesn't go down like Coinbase although most of them are similar.
376  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price is rising faster and faster, It is time to Buy Bitcoin ! on: February 29, 2024, 04:50:03 AM
and considering we haven't broken any kind of major resistance (like $60k) yet, this is not a big enough momentum to discuss much bigger resistances such as $100k.
OK now things are getting interesting. In less than a day after I wrote this the $60k resistance was broken.
This is good news because it shows this momentum is not only very strong but also is getting stronger. Since now all the massive amount of money that has been waiting on the sidelines watching the market and waiting for a signal to jump in, is starting to jump in.
$100k at this point is not far at all...
377  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Vs Military Industrial Complex on: February 28, 2024, 07:06:51 AM
You are bringing up a handful of topics, each of which could be discussed separately since they are all special cases that could have unpredictable effects on the economy as a whole and consequently on bitcoin price. For example WW3, collapse of US, hyperinflation of dollar, military expenditure, etc. each of these topics could have unexpected effects that create chain reactions in the world including recession that has negative impact on bitcoin.

- For the time being and under normal circumstances, US will keep creating more debt slowly devaluing dollar hence creating slow inflation that will also help bitcoin price grow.
- As dedollarisation continues, there will be less destinations for US to export that inflation that were decreasing the devaluation of dollar so the devaluation remains domestic and dollar dumps more creating bigger inflation hence helping price of everything including bitcoin go up.
- In case of a bigger dedollarisation and a dollar hyperinflation, the US regime's expenditure will have to decrease meaning the military industrial complex will be the first to fall and we can experience a short term period of peace in the world.
378  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price is rising faster and faster, It is time to Buy Bitcoin ! on: February 28, 2024, 06:44:13 AM
It is too soon to talk about bigger rises and FOMO style jumps because for the time being we only have a slow but solid rise. If you look at the charts you can see that we tested $50k resistance on Jan 11 and failed to break it and it broke on Feb 12 which is about a month showing this slow rise. Then after $50k reaching the current $57k which is a 12% rise took more than 2 weeks and considering we haven't broken any kind of major resistance (like $60k) yet, this is not a big enough momentum to discuss much bigger resistances such as $100k.

The potential is definitely there and all the signals are positive (like the 2 consecutive big green bars in past 2 days).

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It is time to Buy Bitcoin !
Yeah but the better time to buy bitcoin was when others were crying their hearts out about bitcoin being dead and dumping more like when price was in $20k and $30k.
379  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Is there a way to bridge out bitcoin testnet to bitcoin signet? on: February 28, 2024, 06:24:56 AM
Shit or not. I think its worth joining to get some free money.
Sure. Take it if they want to give it away, as long as you are not putting your valuable bitcoins at risk by depositing them somewhere and your system at risk by installing some shady software.

As for the value, I can't predict what price it will have after launch but I can predict with certainty that it won't last because the model is flawed. You can't just pay people real money just because they own bitcoin. These things either turn into Ponzi schemes or a short lived pump and dump.
380  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Is there a way to bridge out bitcoin testnet to bitcoin signet? on: February 28, 2024, 06:06:18 AM
Now that I received bitcoin testnet, I would like to bridge it or converted it to bitcoin signet instead. Is there a way to do that?
No there isn't any way to do that. Both chains and their coins have no value so there is no mechanism to "trade" them and there is no reason for it either. There are 3 or 4 faucets listed in https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Signet#Get_some_coins that could give out these value-less coins. Other than that, like testnet coins someone has to donate them to you.

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That is weird if not shady.
It seems like they want you to end up "locking" your bitcoins somewhere (mechanism isn't mentioned) then possibly give you some shittoken in return and call that "staking". This is not new either. Such tokens will not have a value for long.
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