Bitcoin Forum
April 25, 2024, 09:01:27 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 [28] 29 30 31 32 »
541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin to the moon? on: January 28, 2015, 02:06:23 PM
is coinbase going to make us reach 1k this week?

California Regulator says: Coinbase Exchange 'Not Regulated or Licensed'

http://www.coindesk.com/california-regulator-coinbase-exchange-regulated-licensed/

What I'm wondering is if Coinbase used the world 'support' to be "availability of trading platform" in those States and not to say it was regulated/licensed.
542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Something really fishy about the media couverage on: January 28, 2015, 12:40:30 AM
First they deny it
Second they try to destroy it
Third they befriend it
Lastly they assimilate

543  Economy / Economics / Re: The Future True Reference of Value on: January 27, 2015, 03:40:03 PM
Quote
With todays transportation and communication, there should be world money.

I agree from an idealistic stand point, but I don't think countries would like to inherit other nation's problems using a global currency.

Quote
When the situation is stabilized with world money, that money type will be the best approximation for value.

IMO, this won't happen. I believe the best we can hope for is a globally-backed world reserve currency that allows each nation to exchange its fiat for shares of the world reserve according to set rates.

If it is not bitcoin, I think world money will be suggested, starting while the different fiats bite the dust. I suppose many suggestions will be hopeless commodity backings, may be the most serious suggestion will be a world fiat money administered by the UN (and we will really be in trouble).


Yeah, look into SDRs if you haven't already. They are potential claims on freely usable currencies available to IMF members. Not a currency per say, but an asset reserve. Value is determined by a few of the economic powerhouse currencies of nations with ties to the IMF: US, Japan, Euro, Great Britain.
544  Economy / Economics / Re: Who control our bitcoins? WE do!! ☆ BANK RUN ☆ on: January 27, 2015, 02:31:02 PM
Maybe it doesn't with the private industry but it should. Fractional reserve is fraud made legal, plenty of bankers have been lynched after runs on supposedly full reserve banks in times when it was a crime and tolerating any possibility of it with Bitcoin allows the same thing to happen, 10 times more on the books than in the vaults.

100% agreement here, just the normative evil of the world. I urge you to check out the FDIC website regarding historical reserves since the 70s. They publish yearly values. If you look at their ratios, you will soon realize that even the FDIC hasn't remained solvent (they are public). They are below a ratio of 1:1 many years now. It's quite sad, but the system is backed by the Fed which is backed by the USG. Centralization allows this to occur unchecked.

Quote
If some exchanges and services can operate with full transparency and store everything in user controlled wallets then why can't others? What do they have to hide? Anyone not asking that is irresponsible with their coins and deserves to loose them.

They don't want you to know because it relinquishes their control on you as a customer. If you don't know, you are forced to believe in them and form a bond of trust. This makes the equation one-sided and it doesn't benefit the customer (us). This is what they want.

We can ask all we want, take our business elsewhere, etc., but if mainstream gets it, you can bet it will go this way. The sheeple do not care about transparency. It is not important to them; I'd dare to say most like not having to make any decisions of their own. It boggles my mind sometimes.

545  Economy / Economics / Re: The Future True Reference of Value on: January 27, 2015, 02:22:28 PM
Quote
With todays transportation and communication, there should be world money.

I agree from an idealistic stand point, but I don't think countries would like to inherit other nation's problems using a global currency.

Quote
When the situation is stabilized with world money, that money type will be the best approximation for value.

IMO, this won't happen. I believe the best we can hope for is a globally-backed world reserve currency that allows each nation to exchange its fiat for shares of the world reserve according to set rates.
546  Economy / Economics / Re: 80 richest people on the planet have the same wealth as the poorest 50% on: January 27, 2015, 02:15:29 PM
The problem isn't the rich. The problem is the lethargy of the working man. If you want change then switch off your PC, mute your televisions and begin to appreciate your fellow man. You'd be surprised how many people think the same way but wouldn't know where to begin. We need a shepherd to guide us. Be that shepherd.

Especially in this forum, just want to point out your comment is very wise and something I subscribe to myself. In a lot of ways, the middle class is voluntarily hanging itself. We need to get re-energized about our place in the world once more. Prior to these inflated decades of entitlement, the middle class man was revered for his sense of duty, honor and commitment to family and friends. He worked hard and it stood for something. Getting rich was not his idea of life, though perhaps a by-product.
547  Economy / Economics / Re: 80 richest people on the planet have the same wealth as the poorest 50% on: January 27, 2015, 02:10:11 PM
"80 richest people on the planet have the same wealth as the poorest 50% (3.5 billion)"
^^^
$3.5 Billion combined for the richest 80 people, seriously?
Don't you want to check that one before posting it?

Datas are correct i saw them elsewhere few days ago.

Trillions, maybe?
Bill Gates alone own 80 billion dollars.
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_World%27s_Billionaires

Yes ofcourse is trillions.

Maybe he meant the same wealth as the poorest 3.5 billion people?
548  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin or stockmarket? on: January 27, 2015, 02:08:05 PM
It all depends on what your goal of using the technology is.

Investing in Bitcoin:

- Has the potential to net you some nice tidy fiat sums if the tech becomes very popular. Once full implementation and all coins have been minted/dispersed your chances of returning a handsome profit decrease.

Investing in Bitcoin Stock market:

- Provided there was one, you would have public assurance and protection from a highly regulated industry. You could earn tidy profits given your financial market prowess and guessing skills.

Perhaps buying BTC short-term (5-10 years)
BTC stock market (if created) long-term (10+ years)

The problem will be if BTC goes the way of public or private. Currently the tech is public, but all business surrounding it is mostly private.
549  Economy / Economics / Re: Who control our bitcoins? WE do!! ☆ BANK RUN ☆ on: January 27, 2015, 02:00:21 PM
For many users, included me, there are good chanches that the exchangers are acutually doing what banks usually do: operating on fractional reserve.

This is extremely dangerous for bitcoin, besides the price tanking because non-existent bitcoins are currently traded. More than that, letting them to do it invalidate the whole bitcoin concept, a perfect money for an untrusted network.

Bitstamp is constantly refusing to do an audit, also after all the shit that happened. Me and many others do not trust they on their word about not operating on fractional reserve, but they refuse to submit proof because they think they are " too big to fail". They are acting just like a bank, and by all the chanches operating under fractional reserve (maybe, also legally). Let's prove them wrong!

I want to organize a bank run, somebody can help me?

The mainstream at large is allowing demanding Bitcoin to go this way. Exchanges are the interface between the customer and the miners (BTC minter) just as banks are the interface between the customer and the Fed (money creator). It has been shown time and time again trust is difficult in practice. Not saying I agree with it, but it appears this is a necessary evil if the technology is to be implemented in the real world.

Another problem is that the technology may be public, however; all infrastructure is private. As nice as it sounds, demanding solvency audits and inner circle information doesn't have to happen with private industry.
550  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin value in the next future 50 years- rubbish or global currency? on: January 27, 2015, 01:55:11 PM
Quote
rubbish or global currency?  

I'd guess neither. It will be utilized on the national level of various countries. Unification of currencies to one of global use offers no true benefits to any country.
551  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 27, 2015, 01:06:00 PM
If you create more money, the real value of the existing money should go down. There is the question of who will enjoy this new money. In the case of QE it seems to be the governement, stocks holders, banks and maybe some people who have debt so a minority of the population.

I think you mean most of America. The poor enjoy QE as well as banks. By the poor, I mean people obsessed with buying shit they don't need with money they don't have.

Banks enjoy it because they can now lend money at better rates to people who don't need that money in the first place. Lower interest rates allow the poor to stay poor (by buying extra shit) and the rich to get richer (taking enormous loans at low rates to facilitate greater business opportunities cheap credit allows). It hurts everyone depending on the way you look at it.
552  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 27, 2015, 01:01:39 PM

I thought that's what I was explaining.  Only commercial banks have a deposit account at the Fed.  No individuals so if you borrow money from JP Morgan and deposit into your Citi account.  The Fed just change their ledger to reflect this.  So the only way for the money to get into the economy is for banks to lend it out.

It's a common misunderstanding that money is not created from commercial banks.  They create it in the form of credit.  It's called endogenous money.  Most of the mainstream economists get this wrong

Here's a paper the Bank of England put out on this issue

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q1prereleasemoneycreation.pdf


Can not trust a source that comes from the bank itself, because this involves the ownership of trillions of money, they will try to hide it as much as possible and give others as much misleading info as possible

There are 2 facts that do not support the theory that commercial banks can create money:

1. Federal reserve act of 1913. It gave FED exclusive rights in creating USD. If commercial banks are doing that, they are braking the law

2. There were many bank failure in financial crisis: If commercial banks could create money by just issuing a loan, then they would just simply loan to each other and create trillions and trillions of dollar and they will never need FED. The fact that they went bankrupt is because they don't have money and they can not create it by themselves, they must turn to FED to borrow money

However, since majority of the financial activities are settlements between different bank's database with very little movement of real money. From bank's point of view those virtual money are more important for daily operation. Real money (e.g. reserve) only become a problem when there is a liquidity crisis. Just like an exchange only have problem when customer withdraw their bitcoin. And today's banks limit the withdraw strictly to prevent a bank run



Endogenous money is a heterodox view so it's a 180 that BoE would put out his view.  They have no ulterior motive to put out this paper.

Banks create credit money.  They are not minting money, like the Treasury.  Can you say where Federal reserve act says this?  Whe people say "printing money", what they mean is the Fed is increasing reserves.

The money is comes into existence when someone borrows it.  If there are no borrowers no money is created.  

Banks didn't become bankrupt.  They were at risk of insolvency.  Investors were pulling money out and the banks froze lending to each other because they didn't trust one another.  It was a liquidity crisis not a bank run

1) Fed. Reserve creates and credits its accounts with "new money"
2) Fed. buys US Treasury bonds with this new money
3) This injects new money into the system (interest rates are effected here)
4) Commercial banks lend the new money into existence based on their view of the economy at that moment
4.5) The US Government also brings new money into existence through government-sponsored programs

There will always be borrowers, whether then are individual people or other banks or other businesses.

Prior to the Fed. Reserve Act, banks and lenders were not required to be part of a centralized network or keep a set amount of non-interest bearing reserves around. The high interest rates and huge economic inflation caused the bank run. America was in dire straits before the 1930s. Lots of wars, Great Depression, famines, economic uncertainty, etc. No individual could get a loan for anything because banks refused to lend, so the people tried to get their money out. It most likely was a combo of the banks didn't have the money, people made a huge run on the bank en masse and banks refused to lend.

Prior to the FRA or the creation of the Fed, banks were not dependent on a centralized system. Without the Fed America would not be where it is today (both good and bad). Before, banks didn't create new money, it was made up of people who actually leant money they physically owned.  With the Fed, new money can be created out of thin air and used to allow the country to profit in an unlimited manner.

Now banks are required to purchase non-transferrable stock in their reserve bank forcing banks to abide by a centralized money making unit (the Fed). This ensures the system will only break if all the pieces crumble. Makes it very difficult if everyone (all banks and lenders) must abide by rules that keep them vested in the money maker (the Fed). This centralized system made banks of yesteryear less powerful (controlling the economy totally), more corruptible and more controllable.
553  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 02:53:21 AM
This a call to the community at large to develop an exchange based upon contracts directly from miners in an effort to eliminate the need for regulated exchanges or those who seek to write IOUs of BTC for fiat money.

BTC price increases come from large fiat injections by users (customer base). The huge investments we are seeing today will not effect the price in the least bit. They serve to increase outlets for collecting the community's fiat dollars which in turn will increase the price.

The infrastructure is being built by the financial elite for the elite. Exchanges/trading platforms serve only their own interests in the end.

In the years to come, I hypothesize an increase in marketing and a large push for mainstream adoption. Once the infrastructure is in place (owned by the elite), the last puzzle piece is all of us and our fiat dollars. We as a community will voluntarily hang ourselves by throwing our collective fiat into a system owned and operated by those that already control the economic world.


"We" had about 5 years to develop secure, user-friendly exchanges. If it takes the "financial elite" to deliver what is needed, then at least we will finally have that need filled.

Nicely said. This is true. I'm arm chairing, I do not deny this. Also, I am not trying to peg the elite as bad people. Money begets money. Just trying to point out and facilitate a discussion regarding switching out the present meat grinder for one more community focused. Any thoughts regarding development in any specific direction? Things you'd like to see? Theories?

Good questions:
I've lost track of the status of usable P2P exchanges. Are they developed and not yet user-friendly, and/or are there some good ones which not enough people know about?

Coinffeine (coming soon) is one I know of. The UI has a nice look. However, I bet their biggest problem will be getting enough financing. Banks don't like decentralized anything.

http://www.coindesk.com/coinffeine-demonstrates-distributed-p2p-bitcoin-exchange-platform/
554  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 02:43:24 AM
if the govt/bankers chips of even a 0.25% of every btc  transaction through regulation its only a matter of time before they control the majority share

its not like the elite are going to let bitcoin take over and bitcoin community has proven that when you give any anonymous person/entity  enough incentive ,they will steal it all so i reckon this is a fair compromise

the banks buy in ,we get mainstream adoption and insurance  ,ease of use and professionalism but we have to be regulated  in exchange for this ....its a fair trade imo

nobody rides for free .......Smiley



People suck. Evolutionarily, trust is not innate so your post rings a harsh reality. A tradeoff indeed, but an exciting one at that!
555  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 02:18:21 AM
This a call to the community at large to develop an exchange based upon contracts directly from miners in an effort to eliminate the need for regulated exchanges or those who seek to write IOUs of BTC for fiat money.

BTC price increases come from large fiat injections by users (customer base). The huge investments we are seeing today will not effect the price in the least bit. They serve to increase outlets for collecting the community's fiat dollars which in turn will increase the price.

The infrastructure is being built by the financial elite for the elite. Exchanges/trading platforms serve only their own interests in the end.

In the years to come, I hypothesize an increase in marketing and a large push for mainstream adoption. Once the infrastructure is in place (owned by the elite), the last puzzle piece is all of us and our fiat dollars. We as a community will voluntarily hang ourselves by throwing our collective fiat into a system owned and operated by those that already control the economic world.


"We" had about 5 years to develop secure, user-friendly exchanges. If it takes the "financial elite" to deliver what is needed, then at least we will finally have that need filled.

Nicely said. This is true. I'm arm chairing, I do not deny this. Also, I am not trying to peg the elite as bad people. Money begets money. Just trying to point out and facilitate a discussion regarding switching out the present meat grinder for one more community focused. Any thoughts regarding development in any specific direction? Things you'd like to see? Theories?
556  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 02:01:48 AM

A sad reality isn't it? Here's another thought for you. King Abdullah just died. The US has been spoon-feeding him exorbitant amounts of USD for decades in return for "conservative" fiscal policies regarding oil; Salman is inheriting a rule filled with angry people. Oil prices down a coincidence? The petrodollar under threat? Digital currencies taking the MainStage? Grooming for BTC to become the next SDR by the IMF?


I would suggest that the main driver of the oil price crash has been the US softening up the ever obstinate and stubborn Mr Putin. Also, cheap oil is good for the whole economy (apart from the oil companies) and if you look throughout history an economic boom generally follows low oil prices.

Yeah, true. The West is definitely punishing Putin. No doubt. Also, low oil prices have been used as a last ditch effort to reinvigorate a stalled or failing economy. The price to produce a barrel of oil in the hasn't changed much. Sits around $50 for domestic crude, ~$20 in the middle east, but the prices sure do on the consumer level at the gas station!
557  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 01:55:23 AM
Yeah, I hadn't thought about it in enough detail to see how useful Bitcoin is to the major players. I see it now.

One last thing to add though:

Should we be worried about a goernment (say the US) gradually stocking up on a vast number of BTC until they have enough in reserve to be able to crash the market? Would 1M BTC be enough?

They now have one legit exchange to use, others sure to follow (Winklevii etc.) and probably use agents to buy BTC across the country. Would this be an angle of control that they would be interested in?

I'm gonna leave this thread for now but it's been most interesting. Ta!

Don't worry about the number of coins long-term, that is immaterial. Power/control will not come from 'owning a piece of the technology,' but will come from overseeing those that develop it and interact with the customer of it (i.e. the USG controls fiscal policy by regulating fiat generation through treasury bonds, not by holding onto huge quantities of fiat).



558  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 01:42:47 AM
How would Bitcoin work against guerilla armies then? Surely it enables them to distribute arms money without borders or limits and actually works against the USA if they plan for world domination? Or are you arguing that the US wants its opponents to be well funded because they have the firepower to crush them anyway?

Edit: This post was in response to MatTheCat.

I read that the US funded the Ukrainian 'protestors' who overthrew Yanukovych with payments via Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a great way of funding insurgents who may otherwise be cut off from financial services within their host economies. Certainly better than suitcases full of USD, half of which invariably goes missing before it gets to it's intended recipients.

A sad reality isn't it? Here's another thought for you. King Abdullah just died. The US has been spoon-feeding him exorbitant amounts of USD for decades in return for "conservative" fiscal policies regarding oil; Salman is inheriting a rule filled with angry people. Oil prices down a coincidence? The petrodollar under threat? Digital currencies taking the MainStage? Grooming for BTC to become the next SDR by the IMF?

Edit: This is a lot of tin foiling I realize. Now I'm getting side tracked from the true discussion.
559  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 01:34:00 AM
How would Bitcoin work against guerilla armies then? Surely it enables them to distribute arms money without borders or limits and actually works against the USA if they plan for world domination? Or are you arguing that the US wants its opponents to be well funded because they have the firepower to crush them anyway?

Edit: This post was in response to MatTheCat.

Since guerrilla armies are actually supported by most large powerhouse countries (US included), it works to their favor. You now have a paperless trail for the buying and selling of arms masked as transparent system.

For instance: the guerrillas get arms or BTC (a non-fiat digital asset with arbitrary value, backed by nothing national but worth something; USD) in exchange for doing the dirty work of the US in global policy. When shit hits the fan, the USG can say "hey it's not our money, we didn't finance it. We didn't blow up those people. A great way to shirk responsibility and keep the world at our beckon call.

The US wants its friends close and its enemies closer. I wouldn't say the US wants world domination (this is too much for one plate). The US controls the world's reserve status. It's what keeps other countries dependent on us in a time in history when the US doesn't produce much and all we do is export money.
560  Economy / Speculation / Re: A voluntary hanging? My tin foil hat. on: January 27, 2015, 01:26:23 AM

I don't think the US authorities want to destroy it, they want to see it through. In fact, I believe the front running of legislation/regulation before the infrastructure is even available supports this idea. The US stands to make a lot of money through the taxation and regulation of BTC. This could also be a new way to open commerce on a digital level. New loans/credit lines can be extended to banks and lenders and the UST can sell bonds to the Fed in exchange for worthless and overly inflated fiat to pump into its governmental programs that support digital currencies as well as commercial banks.

I think that Bitcoin is far more likely to have had military intelligence funding behind it other than being the brain child of some attic dwelling libertarian geek genius and I reckon that old guy who collects model trains and lives with his mother in California, (Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto) was most certainly part of the Bitcoin development team.

As the US makes its strategic manoeuvres to defend it's petro dollar system and crush awkward nations that stand in the path of 'Full Spectrum Dominance', would you not consider that an established and stable Bitcoin market be a great tool for undermining 'hostile' economies by allowing a means of capital flight which no totalitarian government will be able to control? As for the future of Bitcoin from here on out, I suspect a good bit more of a rally is yet to come but still favour a lower low than $150. I suspect Bitcoin will do the 'unthinkable' and go into double figures in due course. As you suggest in your previous posts, big money wins in the long term by actually running the price of Bitcoin down, forcing miners to sell at increasingly lower prices, possibly forcing them out of the frame allowing 'big money' to pick up the game. Ultimately, Big Money will of course ramp the shit out of Bitcoin, but not before they have a stranglehold over the whole market and gaining a stranglehold probably means yet lower prices and eventually a period of stability that facilitates its actual intended use as 'money'. Something that goes down $150 dollars one week and up $150 dollars the next (i.e. 100% of it's value), can never hope to be used as money or a store of wealth in any sense.  

Aww man, it's like you've read all my posts and my mind. Amen brother.

--Bitcoin is the brainchild of a think tank decades ago? Definitely.

--For undermining other nations? Absolutely.

--Defending a dying petro dollar? Bingo.

--A way for negating large swaths of foreign debt obligations in the future? Check.

Bitcoin is like the military. People will come into it with their own idealized beliefs, be leveled by the powers and exit an avid touter of its value (from the military's perspective) or end up PTSD'd in a system that never cared about them to begin with.


Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 [28] 29 30 31 32 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!