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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will not be able to stay above $50k for 10 consecutive days ever again on: May 17, 2021, 07:44:58 PM
Wow, proudhon is still here. This guy is a legend.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Halvings impact on Bitcoins price on: May 23, 2020, 03:23:03 PM
It looks like a fairly large difficulty drop is coming, currently estimated as between -17.6856% and -7.4388% by diff.cryptothis.com. Miners are not having an easy time for the moment.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: One block left until final difficulty change before reward halving on: May 16, 2020, 12:10:55 PM
I think we will get a little drop at the next adjustment but it will trend upwards after that.

https://diff.cryptothis.com/
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: One block left until final difficulty change before reward halving on: May 15, 2020, 07:49:22 PM
Looks like in three and a half days we will be getting a 1.6% drop. Not bad. Sure, maybe miners were on a last ditch effort before the halving to run the last of their old hardware and are now switching off. That's what I did with GPUs when ASICs were coming online. Happens during every change in the system.
5  Economy / Speculation / Comparison between different futures markets on: May 15, 2020, 07:44:59 PM
I'm checking out OKEx and Kraken. Could anyone comment on the relative strengths of their futures trading platforms?
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: One block left until final difficulty change before reward halving on: May 05, 2020, 10:16:52 AM
I think difficulty will be greater for epoch 313 and 314. We are currently in 312.

It's remarkable how few difficulty drops there have been. A quick look at the diff charts show the biggest drops in 2011, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

I agree miners are generally well capitalized speculators. Miner selling has been trending down this year.

On-chain indicators such as CryptoQuant's "Total Miner Halving Capitulation Index" do not show unusual selling pressure among miners at this time.
7  Economy / Speculation / One block left until final difficulty change before reward halving on: May 05, 2020, 03:58:29 AM
Looks like we'll be getting an increase of about 0.88%. Miner capitulation has already happened. This is it!


Edit:
Previous difficulty: 15958652328578.42
Current difficulty: 16104807485529.38

Increase was approximately 0.92%
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Does the Coronavirus (Covid-19) make BTC to rise? on: March 02, 2020, 05:54:29 AM
Central banks are gearing up for a coordinated rate cut.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-economists-expect-fed-to-cut-rates-soon-to-head-off-impact-of-outbreak-2020-03-01?mod=home-page
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: February 12, 2020, 03:10:07 AM
This may become The Big One.

It went up infinity percent already, what's another 10x?  Wink
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: February 11, 2020, 03:23:58 AM
Another post from masterluc today.

"Everyone is shouting: halving, halving.  And in the comments under my ideas rave about them.  So, a fresh look.  I have the audacity to say that halving, as a scalar event, does not affect the price chart at all.  Two previous halving I experienced and observed.  Generally zero to ground.  Halving points fall into completely random places of different trends.  And they do not cause anything, not even the slightest reaction of the market, despite the general excitement and fundamental nature of the event.

 You know, this is probably a phenomenon even.  But there is an explanation.  Halving is the nature of Bitcoin, a metaphysical phenomenon that creates its essence and the manifestation of which cannot be found on the surface.  Halving is manifested in the fact that bitcoin is growing for a long time.  And in the spring you will not see anything special."
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 09, 2020, 08:34:30 PM
CHOO CHOO
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 09, 2019, 08:00:28 PM
Does that mean it's more bearish or less bearish now?
Less bearish.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 09, 2019, 07:32:59 PM
And the translation from Google:

"In general, between the girls, I'm tired of it all.  Forecasts are not the same for me, I do them without the former grasp and vision.  Fattered, settled Vanga ...

 But to be honest, according to the latest market situation, I can say that the short-term bearish picture again suddenly deteriorates.  Just wanted to say it."
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 09, 2019, 07:26:50 PM
"Вообще, между нами девочками, надоело мне это все. Прогнозы уже не те у меня, делаю я их без былой хватки и виденья. Растолстела, остепенилась ванга...

Но вот честно говоря, по последней ситуации на рынке, могу сказать, что краткосрочная медвежья картинка опять внезапно портится. Просто хотела это сказать."
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: June 04, 2019, 04:47:11 PM
Похоже-таки дальше не пойдем пока... $8000 не держится.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: May 22, 2019, 07:22:39 PM
"Hy чтo, тpeyгoльник в чeтвepкe и нa 10к$?"

Google translation: "What is the triangle in the four and $ 10k?"
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: May 13, 2019, 12:48:45 AM
Translation of previous post:

"I looked at the unfortunate and daytime closure of the deadline .... Notice of the ease of the trending. Bitcoin said, “Xc who's the fuckin ',” and democratically went about typing at 3000 to 10,000 in one wave, having broken the slash of oil. All we will be testing $ 6000, however,). Mda. What does this say to us?

Bitcoin has wondered that it has been greatly repaired. (Kkhm, still, sitting almost on the verge of a bad 200 ...). If you want to get it

Still Bitcoin said, who has to scour, it will remain free of charge.

More fine My new opinion is $ 10k, then $ 6k. But this is not accurate! ))"
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: May 13, 2019, 12:47:36 AM
Поглядел я на недельные и дневные закрывшиеся свечи.... Ни намека на слабость тренда. Биткоин сказал "Хз кто такая ванга" и демонстративно пошел рисовать пузырь с 3000 на 10000 в одну волну, пробив шестерку как масло. Все таки мы будем тестировать $6000, правда сверху ). Мда. О чем это нам говорит?

Биткоин продемонстрировал, что он сильно перепродан. (Кхм, еще бы, сидя почти верхом на недельной ма200....). Если экстраполивать то, что сейчас происходит на будущее, то не сложно представить, что сейчас это только единичка единички, а потом будут тройки... И пятерки... Ну то есть этот скачок - просто прыщик на жопе будущего слона.

Еще Биткоин сказал, кто буит шортить, останется без трусов.

Короче. Мое новое мнение - $10k, потом $6k. Но это не точно! ))
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: May 11, 2019, 11:50:17 PM
Recent stock-to-flow ratio posts impressed me as the most interesting new price model to come out in years. But this thread is really for following masterluc IMO, although he no longer posts here of course. Maybe we should make a new thread about bitcoin stock-to-flow.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: May 04, 2019, 01:49:20 PM
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Ybv5PkjN-Almost-at-resistance/
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