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861  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Nefario on: October 06, 2012, 09:17:26 PM
Since GLBSE is in UK and doesn't deal with fiat currency, but they decided they would pay taxes. So technically they made themselves illegal but (sic) doing that, plus nefario was talking about how he wants to go legit and that would require lawyers and stuff like that. They basically shot themselves in the foot.

This is a theory that I've been mulling over for a while.  Bitcoinica self-destructed after it moved to London as well.  Derivative trading is completely unregulated in London.  It is entirely possible that someone is quietly buying out key Bitcoin businesses, and basically paying for them to fail.  Nothing prohibits it.  I'm sure there are those with enough money, and enough interest in seeing Bitcoin harmed, to pay off all those involved.  From the outside, all we see is "blah blah hacking terrorism money laundering investigation blah blah shutting down".  While, behind the scenes, there is a lot that could be going on.

So, I guess what I'm saying is, if you want to take a chance at getting rich, move to London and start a Bitcoin stock exchange.
862  Other / Meta / Re: Moderator inaction and bias on: October 06, 2012, 08:40:36 PM
I agree with the spirit of your complaint.  Moderation should be unbiased.  But I also recognize that the various subforums are not really the place for announcements for lots of people to see.  Overall, the moderators do a good job of keeping the main forum cleared of cruft, while keeping it interesting and maintaining the ability for everyone to post there.
863  Other / Off-topic / Re: Possible Bitcoin connection to Colorado shooting? on: October 06, 2012, 02:35:40 PM
Court filing refers to "burnt currency" allegedly sent by James Holmes to psychiatrist.

http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/news/national/james-holmes-court-documents-in-the-aurora-colorado-theater-shooting-released-friday

http://www.courts.state.co.us/userfiles/file/Court_Probation/18th_Judicial_District/18th_Courts/12CR1522/001/Peoples%20Pleading%20P%2010%20Brief.pdf

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"The notebook and the burnt currency are not ______ [blacked out]. Until and unless reviewed by this court, nobody knows what they are, or even whether they would be, in any way related to ____ [blacked out]. Based on the circumstances, it is highly unlikely that they would _____ [blacked out] or privileged in any way,"

Coincidence?

864  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Nefario on: October 06, 2012, 12:29:19 PM
I will just chime in here to join the chorus of those who are glad not to have had any dealings with GLBSE.  Listing Bitcoin Island on such a vulnerable securities exchange would have been a huge mistake.

Hopefully this episode will convince some of you to work towards investing in more real assets, real local economies, and real freedom from unwanted regulators, rather than any more shady anonymous "securities" and ponzi schemes.

If not, I'm afraid before too long Atlas may be the only one around here with both the foresight to recognize when the emperor is wearing no clothes, and the balls to actually point it out.
865  Economy / Economics / Re: why does it matter who directly takes bitcoin? on: October 06, 2012, 10:38:41 AM
Velocity.
866  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: TEDx: Bitcoin, seasteading, and 3D printing: How technology moves society on: October 05, 2012, 01:54:17 PM
Good talk.  Very good presentation.  I especially liked the ending.

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Scientists argued for 150 years that politicians needed to stop population growth, but it weren't new laws that stopped its acceleration.

I don't know whether you can edit the description, but "weren't" is plural.
867  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: bitcoin is centralised on: October 05, 2012, 10:43:12 AM
Labor based value theory has been replaced by supply and demand since 20th century, and it has its reason.

And that reason is the industrial revolution, and the realization of the fact that human labor is relatively worthless in comparison to resources and capital.
868  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners operate the majority of Bitcoin nodes. on: October 05, 2012, 10:39:50 AM
Trading Bitcoins has a cost.  The cost is that of operating the network.  Relying on this network without accounting for the cost is an externality.  It is in your best interest to operate a node, and not to be dependent upon miners operating the network for you.  Suggesting that you act in your best interest is not undue force or influence.
869  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 05, 2012, 10:13:58 AM
Durability has to do with a currency in use and is not about loss protection. It's more about expiration. Like when the orange you traded for a brick starts to mold or the ink on your $10 bill starts running.

Okay... still sounds like loss to me.  Are you generally concerned about others destroying their Bitcoins, and the effect it has on you or "the currency"?  If so, why?

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Portability has nothing to do with protection agains theft. It is about how easy it is to have it on you and use it.

And what about currencies that were not really portable at all?  Were they just bad money, or perhaps is portability not a specific requirement?



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Divisibility is not about liquidity or ease of exchange, it about the possibility to use fractions of the currency.

Is there some other reason, besides liquidity or ease of exchange, that you would want to use fractions of a currency?

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Intrinsic value is not about protection against market failure, it is about the various effects that intrinsic value has.

Such as?

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I think you should just make your own new list instead of shoehorning them into aristotles set of ideas.
Demand for properties of a monetary system do change you know.

I am not "shoehorning" anything.  I am expanding upon and generalizing Aristotle's ideas.  I tried to make this clear.
And, no, general truths do not change.  That's the entire point of seeking them out, of studying philosophy, economics, of science even.


Money is information. That's all it is. Who owes what to whom.

So, what does my owning a Bitcoin tell me about who owes what to me?  How about a dollar?

I agree that money is information.  But it isn't information about debt.  It is information about supply and demand of scarce resources.

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The perfect money is neither inflationary, nor deflationary, it is not scarce, nor is it abundant, it just is.

Yes, I agree with this.


In the economic sense, a "failed" market is a less-than-perfectly-functional market.
No, in an economic sense, a market failure is a situation that leads to less than optimal results due to the shortcomings of the concept of a market itself. Naturally these situations are very rare, but include things like pollution and other externalities. On an economics board, you'd do well to use the jargon properly.

Frankly, given the rather spectacular inconsistencies in the multiple schools of modern economic thought, I think I'd prefer to use words based on their regular, English meanings.  And since I'm making more of a philosophical, rather than economic, assertion, perhaps you can just pretend that "market failure" has a more generic meaning than the technical meaning you might usually proscribe to it?

If not, well, then here's my argument.  I disagree that "market failure" is a natural consequence of "shortcomings of the concept of a market itself."  I think, rather, that it is a natural consequence of something else, force and fraud, intentional harm, ie. crime.  In my view, calling this "market failure" is a complete abuse of the language, newspeak even.

Let's say we decide to meet at the coffee shop to exchange Bitcoins for fiat, and you decide to rob me of my fiat instead.  Would you call that a failure of the market for Bitcoins?  No.  That's crime, something "the market" doesn't even pretend to protect against.  Since we were in a coffee shop when the crime occurred, is it a failure of the coffee shop to protect against crime?  No.  The "concept of a coffee shop" doesn't include "protection against crime" any more than the concept of a market does.  It's a failure of something else, morality, government, individuals, society perhaps, but not "the market" or "the coffee shop".

So, I'd prefer to use the term "market failure" to mean exactly what it says, failure of the market, rather than failure of the concept of a market to be so expansive as to include every possible human action.  If I'm going to posit a "concept of a market" at all, it would be a complete fool's errand to try to make it dependent upon all the stars in the universe aligning in order for it to function properly and not be deemed a "failure".

That's why I tend to view the concept of a "market" as one of voluntary exchange in good faith between reasonably self-interested individuals, rather than some mystical all-encompassing pseudo-religion capable of solving all human problems.  Externalities can and should be relegated to some other mechanism, the justice system or similar, since I also disagree with your assertion that externalities are "very rare".  But that's for another post.
870  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 04, 2012, 03:50:35 PM
Airstotle eh, can you give more info on this reference?  Thanks Smiley 

Oops, I mean to quote this.  I got it from this article, but the reference seems to trace back to Schumpeter's History of Economic Analysis, pp 59.

Where is scarcity? Or in other words, a limited quantity and being hard to get more.

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This fourth point brings up the point of scarcity, which is in essence a matter of intrinsic value.

I see scarcity as being contained within protections against counterfeit and market failure.
871  Economy / Speculation / Re: Lets pretend for a minute that major BTC companies are scams. on: October 04, 2012, 12:24:26 PM
Are you sure that I am you are being a bit negative?

Would you prefer if I were not sure that youre im being a bit negative?

+1
872  Other / Off-topic / Re: 16,000 Bitcoins now buys a personal jet right when you need it. on: October 04, 2012, 12:08:48 PM
I imagine selling something as easily tracked as a jet aircraft is not going to work out too well for "shroomeister".  Either that, or this is one of the jets that the CIA uses for renditions/drug smuggling/etc.
873  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If you want to know why I hate the dev team and how they treat Bitcoin... on: October 04, 2012, 11:48:40 AM
I can't blame the devs for being a bit overly cautious.  They started off suggesting that users use online wallet services, and that was a spectacular failure.  There are good reasons for nodes to verify the blockchain independently.  There are good reasons to use a new address for each transaction.  These things aren't just the result of laziness or lack of care for the end-user.  I'm sure there will be some scalability improvements coming in the near future.  For a whole host of reasons, Bitcoin will just have to grow slowly.
874  Other / Off-topic / Re: I only barely found out about Bitcoin- What else do I not know about? on: October 04, 2012, 10:41:01 AM
Wood.  Self-replicating carbon nano-composite.  Distills water, produces oxygen, filters air, makes food, sequesters carbon, improves soil, creates microclimates, shelters small animals.  Useful for making houses, furniture, heating, storing information, wiping your butt.
875  Other / Off-topic / Re: Awesome Project List? on: October 04, 2012, 10:31:06 AM
876  Economy / Economics / Re: Why are people running around saying Bitcoin is intangible / not backed? on: October 04, 2012, 09:21:30 AM
Well, it's sort of accurate, in the metaphorical sense.  No modern currency is "backed" in the literal sense.  And the ones that try to be, like the oil-producing states, are just backed by other currencies.

But holding those currencies gets you access to certain services.  Holding US dollars gets you access to the US military, and to the oil market.  Holding "commodity" currencies like the Canadian and Australian dollars gets you access to the commodities produced by those countries.

Holding Bitcoins gets you access to the transaction services provided by miners.
877  Other / Off-topic / Larry Ellison's Hawaiian Island on: October 04, 2012, 09:20:35 AM
Why Does Larry Ellison Need a $4 Billion Line of Credit?

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As for Lanai, the sixth largest island in Hawaii that Ellison bought for $500 million, Ellison said he has even grander plans. He said he plans to turn the island into a model for sustainable development, with solar electricity, electric cars, water filtration systems and organic farms that will export produce to Asia and other countries.

"It's going to be a little laboratory for sustainability and businesses on a small scale," he said.
878  Economy / Economics / Re: Hard for a business in bitcoin industry? on: October 04, 2012, 08:53:04 AM
I would advise unpegging prices to USD and keep it purely in terms of BTC, especially as bitcoin is now starting to mature.

Ideally that would be great.  Unfortunately, since Bitcoin's most compelling feature is as a facilitator of internet commerce, the Bitcoin economy is not made up of primary producers like farmers and miners (you know what I mean), but of merchants who have significant dollar-denominated costs.  Quoting prices in BTC helps the Bitcoin economy, but adds overhead and squeezes profit margins for individual businesses when the exchange rate fluctuates.
879  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 04, 2012, 08:45:18 AM
In the economic sense, a "failed" market is a less-than-perfectly-functional market.  Obviously Bitcoin does not provide perfect protection against market failure.  It cannot regulate externalities the same way governments do, for instance.  But it is competitive, is relatively information-transparent, is resistant to external threats, operates with a minimum of both public goods and middle-men, and enables rational self-government, which is one of the best defenses against externalities.

As a medium of exchange, Bitcoin is probably the medium most resistant to market failure in the history of money.
880  Economy / Economics / Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 04, 2012, 06:50:23 AM
Aristotle laid out his qualities of good money as follows:

  • Durability
  • Portability
  • Divisibility
  • Consistency
  • Intrinsic Value

Those are all fine and well.  But they are all specific, physical qualities, which only provide for the aspects we truly value in money.  So what are these, more general aspects that Aristotle's qualities provide?

  • Durability
    • Protection against loss
  • Portability
    • Ease of transport
    • Protection against theft
  • Divisibility
    • Ease of exchange (liquidity)
  • Consistency
    • Protection against counterfeit
  • Intrinsic Value
    • Protection against market failure

So, by induction, these are the major aspects that any good money should have:

  • Protection against loss
  • Ease of transport
  • Protection against theft
  • Ease of exchange (liquidity)
  • Protection against counterfeit
  • Protection against market failure

How, then, does Bitcoin provide for these fundamental aspects?

  • Protection against loss
    • As digital information, Bitcoins can be copied and backed-up in multiple places at once.
  • Ease of transport
    • Bitcoins can be transferred across the globe within minutes via the internet.
  • Protection against theft
    • Bitcoins can have extremely high value-density, and can be protected with wallet passwords and multiple signatures.
  • Ease of exchange (liquidity)
    • The 21 million Bitcoins can currently be divided into 2.1 quadrillion Satoshis, and theoretically near-infinitely.
  • Protection against counterfeit
    • As a 128-bit ECDSA key pair, a Bitcoin key is nearly impossible to counterfeit; and this protection can be extended if this ever changes.
  • Protection against market failure
    • The Bitcoin network is the largest supercomputer in existence, and would require either 51% control of this network, or extensive, coordinated internet failure to break.
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