I'm 2 years in with around 8.5T. Majority of my power is at slush. I couldn't imagine having 200T and not getting paid properly. I understand our payouts are bigger, due to smaller pool size, but there hasn't been a payout in the last 7 days.
In the last month I noticed that Slush was suffering too, from less and less blocks.IMHO, It is mostly because big private pools like Bitfury, KNC and others are taking over. In the last two month hash rate jumped from around 350PH to somewhat 700TH, or doubled. The only manufacturer of small miners is AntMiner with S7 now. All others are gone private, including beloved Spondoolies. I don't believe AntMiner was able to produce over 70,000 S7s in the last three month. Although, it is possible but not probable.
I think, Spondoolies went private big time with its SP50; this single unit makes 0.11PH!!! 20 of these take out Bitminter whole capacity.
We will see less and less blocks hatched out of private pools. It seems that the days of private mining are over.
Last 60 days, shift pay dropped from about 0.00035btc/h/Th/s to 0.00025btc/h/Th/s
It is just sad reality for private miners.