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3
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Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis
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on: November 23, 2020, 04:52:51 PM
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I make BETI -0.977 as of 2020-11-20, using gox then kraken daily data, with cutoff date of 2013-10-06, and filling in gaps (only a few days in each of gox and kraken) by assuming the price stays the same during the gap.
a: 0.00270185020127701
b: 0.572820201440624
predicted y: 10.7831121120664
predicted price: 48199
ln(todays price): 9.80587472366913
beti: -0.977
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4
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Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis
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on: November 23, 2020, 04:45:06 PM
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Quoted for posterity. Won't it be wonderful to be ridiculed for that one day?  More than wonderful and would totally welcome that ridicule... but at the rate BETI is growing daily I am pretty sure it has already reached escape velocity.  It doesn't work like that. It would converge on a stagnant price, because it's using a best-fit to a model. Output of a hacky script to do this today gives this: a: 0.00270185020127701 b: 0.572820201440624 predicted y: 10.7831121120664 predicted price: 48199 |
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6
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: November 21, 2020, 02:04:25 PM
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indeed an interesting observation. the Austrian econ gang is always using Japan as the bad example. how on earth is their currency doing better than all other?
How has it done against CHF over the time period? That's the benchmark for stable value; loses roughly 1% a year. Rule of thumb for shitcurrencies like those listed ITT is 5-7%, ignoring official stats. |
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10
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Bitcoin / Electrum / SyntaxError: invalid syntax Electrum-3.3.4 run_electrum
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on: February 14, 2019, 07:56:08 AM
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I downloaded Electrum-3.3.4.tar.gz, unpacked, and ran ./run_electrum.
I get:
File "./run_electrum", line 53
sys.exit(f"Error: {str(e)}. Try 'sudo python3 -m pip install <module-name>'")
^
SyntaxError: invalid syntax
I didn't want to "update", but my balance-monitoring using 2.9.3 stopped working at some, it's just perpetual "Synchronizing".
So shoddy all round. Not an ongoing solution to anything, will find new solution for monitoring address balances.
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11
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 17, 2017, 12:22:44 PM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-16 18430.69 [...]
[...]
20 2017-11-27 9527.86 [...]
21 2017-11-26 9027.86 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 20. |
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12
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 16, 2017, 12:17:35 AM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-15 17335.00[...]
[...]
20 2017-11-26 9027.86 [...]
21 2017-11-25 8407.83 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 20. Previous value: 17 for 2017-12-12. |
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13
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 13, 2017, 01:40:35 AM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-12 16854.87 [...]
[...]
17 2017-11-26 9027.86 [...]
18 2017-11-25 8407.83 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 17. |
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14
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 12, 2017, 01:05:27 AM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-11 16293.32 [...]
[...]
20 2017-11-23 8147.26 [...]
21 2017-11-20 8113.74 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 20. |
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15
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 09, 2017, 05:54:55 PM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-08 15285.20 [...]
[...]
22 2017-11-18 7679.33 [...]
23 2017-11-16 7562.03 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 22. |
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16
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 08, 2017, 10:52:13 PM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-07 14840.19 [...]
[...]
24 2017-11-08 7435.31 [...]
25 2017-11-04 7253.20 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 24. |
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17
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 07, 2017, 06:52:14 PM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
1 2017-12-06 12664.26 [...]
[...]
35 2017-11-13 6395.47 [...]
36 2017-10-31 6284.18 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 35. |
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18
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 06, 2017, 05:01:07 PM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-05 11652.18 [...]
[...]
43 2017-10-23 5839.56 [...]
44 2017-10-27 5797.46 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 43. |
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19
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin
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on: December 05, 2017, 01:15:37 AM
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BitStamp USD/BTC [...]
------------------------ [...]
1 2017-12-04 11314.70 [...]
[...]
46 2017-10-14 5680.62 [...]
47 2017-10-19 5654.06 [...]
[...]
Number of days exceeding half of top day: 46. |
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