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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 08, 2018, 06:21:00 PM

p(10mn) = probability to find a block in slot 0-10mn = 1/2
p(20mn) = p(slot 10mn-20mn) = 1/4 ( = 1/2 coz not found previously * 1/2 coz found in this 10mn slot)
p(30mn) = 1/8 (= 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2)
p(40mn) = 1/16
p(50mn) = 1/32
p(1 hour) = 1/64

so probability to "not find a block in one hour" = 1/64 ~ 0.01562 .. could happen a couple of times a day
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 06, 2018, 07:37:44 PM
Things that happen in Silicon Valley and also the Soviet Union:
Anton Troynikov @atroyn
About this, you should read Glubb Pacha "THE FATE OF EMPIRES  and  SEARCH FOR SURVIVAL"
 here => http://www.rexresearch.com/glubb/glubb-empire.pdf
Sure, thanks. Read it, and it was on Ibian's homework assignments a while back.
The #trilema logs are all about empire too.
Can also recommend 'The Sultans' by Noel Barber.

I find fascinating that things I can witness everyday happening around me and having apparently no relation whatsoever the one with the other , were quoted by that Glubb Pacha guy as symptoms of decadent empires years ago. That scared the hell out of me.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 06, 2018, 07:18:30 PM
Things that happen in Silicon Valley and also the Soviet Union:
- waiting years to receive a car you ordered, to find that it's of poor workmanship and quality
- promises of colonizing the solar system while you toil in drudgery day in, day out
- living five adults to a two room apartment
- being told you are constructing utopia while the system crumbles around you
- 'totally not illegal taxi' taxis by private citizens moonlighting to make ends meet
- everything slaved to the needs of the military-industrial complex
- mandatory workplace political education
- productivity largely falsified to satisfy appearance of sponsoring elites
- deviation from mainstream narrative carries heavy social and political consequences
- networked computers exist but they're really bad
- Henry Kissinger visits sometimes for some reason
- elite power struggles result in massive collateral damage, sometimes purges
- failures are bizarrely upheld as triumphs
- otherwise extremely intelligent people just turning the crank because it's the only way to get ahead
- the plight of the working class is discussed mainly by people who do no work
- the United States as a whole is depicted as evil by default
- the currency most people are talking about is fake and worthless
- the economy is centrally planned, using opaque algorithms not fully understood by their users

Anton Troynikov @atroyn

About this, you should read Glubb Pacha "THE FATE OF EMPIRES  and  SEARCH FOR SURVIVAL"
 here => http://www.rexresearch.com/glubb/glubb-empire.pdf

4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 02, 2018, 06:11:14 PM
New poll suggested by nanobtc.

The better to troll us with, or just wondering when we're finally going to die?

I think that the  "<20" choice should have been split into two ... "<10" and "10-20"
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 02, 2018, 06:00:05 PM

So you know about this Q fellow? How does he prove his identity? Does he use digital signatures? If I just go and post as Q on 4chan how to people know if I am or am not the real Q?


6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 29, 2018, 10:46:00 PM
wtf?
7  Local / Actualité et News / Re: Revue de presse bitcoin en français on: April 26, 2018, 05:09:25 PM
Le Conseil d’Etat change la fiscalité sur les gains générés par les bitcoins

http://www.lemonde.fr/argent/article/2018/04/26/le-conseil-d-etat-change-la-fiscalite-sur-les-gains-generes-par-les-bitcoins_5291137_1657007.html
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2018, 03:25:37 PM

Serious question: What's wrong with Belgium ?

How about "Make Britain Great Again". Seriously.

I can't believe the stories I'm hearing coming out of Londonistan.

I hesitated with "Make Botswana Great Again"  Not sure I'm helping here.
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2018, 02:39:50 PM


#MBGA !!!


Make Belgium Great Again ?
10  Local / Le Bitcoin et la loi / Re: Doit-on déclarer un compte Kraken comme étant un compte bancaire à l'étranger ? on: April 08, 2018, 01:00:42 PM

Kraken n'est pas un établissement bancaire. Il n'est pas régulé.


Et pour Paymium ? Je me demande si je dois déclarer mon compte car tout ce que j'ai trouvé c'est ça : Créée en 2011, la société française Paymium est pionnière des services Bitcoin, avec plusieurs dizaines de milliers de clients européens.

Pourquoi ne pas poser la question directement à Paymium? Ils sont français donc concernés.

Paymium n'est pas un établissement bancaire "à l'étranger". A mon sens la question ne se pose donc pas en ce qui les concerne.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2018, 12:53:19 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-07/events-today-could-lead-last-war-history-mankind-ex-putin-general-warns

the error in the calculus of the russians is as if there was something to lose :

that's what the sell outs of the medias don't know, they never lived it. A safe, prosperous America that was sending rocket on the moon with little people who would walk on it and come back to earth to tell it. where it was safe to walk almost anywhere (specially in the small towns across the continents, where you could sustain a family in the most advance condition in the world and history on 1 salary, where there was no planes crashing on skyscrappers, where aids and all the others illness weren't common place, where most kids weren't allergic or on some kind of fake or real brain disease, where you could make it anywhere without an heavy league (aka only for the rich and the diversity smoke screens), where mothers could let their kids play in the public park with no rational fear... when pollution and mass exctinctions hadn't kicked in...

who lived in those time? when america sended rocket to the moon and was trading? could you please tell us some stories of the time related to trading ? before the generations wars quick in...

edit: I know it will be hard to believe...

Have you read this ? => https://www.theorganicprepper.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/The-Fate-of-Empires-and-Search-for-Survival.pdf
That Glubb Pacha's paper explains a lot about what's going on, especially the last chapter about decadence
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2018, 12:40:07 PM
very quick short list  for a small "game list" or how i have to call it..... only  when breaking 12288 dollar price.....  almost same rules as the list before just a winning date AND
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              .15 BTC for correct date
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              only accounts with minimum 5 Merit and 20 activity (last time to many new pop't up  )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              LIST CLOSES tuesday 12 CET allways CET time  no execptions
just for quick enjoyment

normal tommorrow i look @the dates.... firts one posted has the choosen date , some one with the same date have too take another one so look out a bit....
DATES sended in PERSONAL MESSAGE will    NOT count

let us break back 5-digits      12288 = 10000 eu 5-digit for a change  Grin

07/03/2018 CoinCube  Sad
16/04/2018 serveria.com
...
05/09/2020 samson                    


i think i have everything right till now....

only     : darkholder
              Karartma1    
need to take other date wasn't availble


and where is   HairyMaclairy?  xhomerx10 ??


WHEN ONLY A DATE IS GIVEN LIKE    25june   I PUT AUTOMATIC YEAR 2018      IF ONE WANTS ANOTHER YEAR ADD IT WITH THE DATE    thx ludwigvon youre right

Ha nice, another game !

I pick september 4th, 2018 please.   oops: right format => 09/04/2018 flynn

Thank you micgoossens !
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2018, 07:32:41 PM
Ha ha, seeing that Lambo makes be bullish again  Grin

How about a nice Corvair instead.  Grin



looks like a NSU TT to me
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2018, 10:50:45 AM
WTF is all the new info under our usernames?
April Fool's. But more importantly, how are the stats calculated? This is the big mystery that this thread is failing to address or even acknowledge.

I think Cambridge Analytica is involved...
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 30, 2018, 02:05:32 PM
Bears, bears, bears, ...


16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 27, 2018, 05:10:36 PM
This => https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-25/petroyuan-futures-open-over-10-billion-notional-trades-first-hour

is the reason for Russian hysteria, Syria, everything that moves, and could make gold skyrocket and bitcoin too.

17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2018, 03:25:57 PM


EDIT: Ignore Meta


I am surprised you guys know about the Bogdanoff brothers ...
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2018, 12:20:41 PM
Prime Minister of Malta welcomes Binance to Malta. Binance to have fiat links through Malta banks.  Bullish.

I salute you for the speed at which you find these things.
Indeed. Recently Hairy and V8 are being formidable scouts. Assets.  Smiley


They are valuable Assets indeed. At the same time some others here have been formidable Asshats. 

Voyel matters.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 20, 2018, 07:47:54 AM
any good news from G20  Huh

The only good news from government is when they don't do much. Which was the case this time.


Shorting G20 ... too many countries in there
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 11, 2018, 12:17:51 PM
double bottom meme needed, please.
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